2007 Forecast

Author : Lawrence Robert Klein
Publisher : Edward Elgar Publishing
Page : 400 pages
File Size : 41,9 Mb
Release : 2009-01-01
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781849802161

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The Making of National Economic Forecasts by Lawrence Robert Klein Pdf

In this valuable volume, Nobel Prize-winner Klein gathers together a group of authors who focus on forecasting models for a number of economies. The variety of the models and the structural differences among them are especially interesting. . . Readers interested in forecasting methodologies will find much of value in this volume. Highly recommended. I. Walter, Choice This important book, prepared under the direction of Nobel Laureate Lawrence R. Klein, shows how economic forecasts are made. It explains how modern developments in information technology have made it possible to forecast frequently at least monthly but also weekly or bi-weekly depending upon the perceived needs of potential forecast users and also on the availability of updated material. The book focuses on forecasts in a diverse range of economies including the United States, China, India, Russia, Germany, Japan, South Korea, and Turkey. At a time of great economic uncertainty, this book makes an important contribution by showing how new information technology can be used to prepare national economic forecasts.

Author : Anonim
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 40 pages
File Size : 42,6 Mb
Release : 2007
Category : Agricultural productivity
ISBN : WISC:89094222312

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World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates by Anonim Pdf

Author : United States. Congress. Senate. Committee on Appropriations. Subcommittee on Commerce, Justice, Science, and Related Agencies
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 2068 pages
File Size : 45,7 Mb
Release : 2006
Category : United States
ISBN : IND:30000112699305

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Commerce, Justice, Science, and Related Agencies Appropriations for Fiscal Year 2007 by United States. Congress. Senate. Committee on Appropriations. Subcommittee on Commerce, Justice, Science, and Related Agencies Pdf

Author : Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 108 pages
File Size : 51,7 Mb
Release : 2008
Category : Earthquake prediction
ISBN : STANFORD:36105133581301

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The Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast, Version 2 (UCERF 2) by Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities Pdf

Accompanying CD-ROM has same title as book.

Author : Ralf Brüggemann,Winfried Pohlmeier,Werner Smolny
Publisher : Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co KG
Page : 176 pages
File Size : 54,6 Mb
Release : 2016-11-21
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9783110510843

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Economic Forecasts by Ralf Brüggemann,Winfried Pohlmeier,Werner Smolny Pdf

Forecasts guide decisions in all areas of economics and finance. Economic policy makers base their decisions on business cycle forecasts, investment decisions of firms are based on demand forecasts, and portfolio managers try to outperform the market based on financial market forecasts. Forecasts extract relevant information from the past and help to reduce the inherent uncertainty of the future. The topic of this special issue of the Journal of Economics and Statistics is the theory and practise of forecasting and forecast evaluation and an overview of the state of the art of forecasting.

Author : Peter Jefferson
Publisher : Bloomsbury Publishing
Page : 178 pages
File Size : 50,9 Mb
Release : 2011-05-19
Category : Biography & Autobiography
ISBN : 9781906860417

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And Now The Shipping Forecast by Peter Jefferson Pdf

Peter Jefferson presented The Shipping Forecast for over 40 years, and his familiar voice continued to be heard reading quotations on BBC Radio 4's Quote... Unquote. This book is both an affectionate memoir and a history of the science and BBC programming behind the forecast. Peter explains how it came out, who collects all the information and what it's like to read this bulletin. Even though the information in the forecast is now readily available in many formats, The Shipping Forecast is something of a 'must listen' for fans gathered over the decades. For reasons not quite understood, it has become a much-loved part of the British cultural landscape with an avid following of listeners who find its poetry is the perfect cure for insomnia. This book is perfect for those fans.

Author : International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 70 pages
File Size : 53,9 Mb
Release : 2017-09-19
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781484320044

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Belize by International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept. Pdf

This 2017 Article IV Consultation highlights that adverse developments negatively impacted the Belizean economy in 2016, with strong expansion of tourism the only bright spot. Output is estimated to have contracted by 0.8 percent in 2016, reflecting a continued slowdown in oil production and agriculture. Fish and citrus production were hit by diseases. Growth in tourism was facilitated by improved airlift, marketing and new foreign direct investment projects. Unemployment increased to 11.1 percent in September 2016, from 10.2 percent a year earlier. Growth is projected at just under 2 percent over the medium term.

Author : Gene Whitney,Carl E. Behrens
Publisher : The Capitol Net Inc
Page : 629 pages
File Size : 45,5 Mb
Release : 2009-12-31
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781587331893

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Energy: Natural Gas by Gene Whitney,Carl E. Behrens Pdf

This edition examines the production and use of natural gas, natural gas imports and exports, storage, and other pertinent topics.

Author : Anonim
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 398 pages
File Size : 47,6 Mb
Release : 2008
Category : Economic forecasting
ISBN : STANFORD:36105213185692

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Consensus Forecasts by Anonim Pdf

Author : United States. Congress. Senate. Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs. Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 1576 pages
File Size : 51,6 Mb
Release : 2011
Category : Financial crises
ISBN : PURD:32754082341755

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Wall Street and the Financial Crisis by United States. Congress. Senate. Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs. Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations Pdf

Author : International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 66 pages
File Size : 47,9 Mb
Release : 2016-07-12
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781498359665

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France by International Monetary Fund. European Dept. Pdf

This 2016 Article IV Consultation highlights that economic recovery in France is solidifying. The economy is projected to expand by 1.5 percent in 2016, primarily driven by strong consumer spending. There are also signs of a cyclical recovery in investment, and the slump in residential construction appears to be bottoming out. By contrast, net exports are declining as demand from trading partners has slowed. Private sector job creation has remained lackluster, and the unemployment rate has hovered at about 10 percent. The government has continued to advance important reforms to help create the conditions for improved economic performance. As for budget policies, there are ongoing efforts to contain spending growth at all levels of government while easing taxes.

Author : Chih-pei Chang,Yihui Ding,Richard H Johnson,Gabriel Ngar-cheung Lau,Bin Wang,Tetsuzo Yasunari
Publisher : World Scientific
Page : 608 pages
File Size : 48,8 Mb
Release : 2011-04-21
Category : Science
ISBN : 9789814460682

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Global Monsoon System, The: Research And Forecast (2nd Edition) by Chih-pei Chang,Yihui Ding,Richard H Johnson,Gabriel Ngar-cheung Lau,Bin Wang,Tetsuzo Yasunari Pdf

This book presents a current review of the science of monsoon research and forecasting. The contents are based on the invited reviews presented at the World Meteorological Organization's Fourth International Workshop on Monsoons in late 2008, with subsequent manuscripts revised from 2009 to early 2010. The book builds on the concept that the monsoons in various parts of the globe can be viewed as components of an integrated global monsoon system, while emphasizing that significant region-specific characteristics are present in individual monsoon regions. The topics covered include all major monsoon regions and time scales (mesoscale, synoptic, intraseasonal, interannual, decadal, and climate change). It is intended to provide an updated comprehensive review of the current status of knowledge, modeling capability, and future directions in the research of monsoon systems around the world.

Author : Zidong An,João Tovar Jalles,Mr.Prakash Loungani
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 31 pages
File Size : 51,9 Mb
Release : 2019-03-05
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781513510651

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How Well Do Economists Forecast Recessions? by Zidong An,João Tovar Jalles,Mr.Prakash Loungani Pdf

We describe the evolution of forecasts in the run-up to recessions. The GDP forecasts cover 63 countries for the years 1992 to 2014. The main finding is that, while forecasters are generally aware that recession years will be different from other years, they miss the magnitude of the recession by a wide margin until the year is almost over. Forecasts during non-recession years are revised slowly; in recession years, the pace of revision picks up but not sufficiently to avoid large forecast errors. Our second finding is that forecasts of the private sector and the official sector are virtually identical; thus, both are equally good at missing recessions. Strong booms are also missed, providing suggestive evidence for Nordhaus’ (1987) view that behavioral factors—the reluctance to absorb either good or bad news—play a role in the evolution of forecasts.

Author : Ian T. Jolliffe,David B. Stephenson
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 316 pages
File Size : 41,7 Mb
Release : 2012-01-25
Category : Science
ISBN : 9781119961079

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Forecast Verification by Ian T. Jolliffe,David B. Stephenson Pdf

Forecast Verification: A Practioner's Guide in Atmospheric Science, 2nd Edition provides an indispensible guide to this area of active research by combining depth of information with a range of topics to appeal both to professional practitioners and researchers and postgraduates. The editors have succeeded in presenting chapters by a variety of the leading experts in the field while still retaining a cohesive and highly accessible style. The book balances explanations of concepts with clear and useful discussion of the main application areas. Reviews of first edition: "This book will provide a good reference, and I recommend it especially for developers and evaluators of statistical forecast systems." (Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society; April 2004) "...a good mixture of theory and practical applications...well organized and clearly written..." (Royal Statistical Society, Vol.168, No.1, January 2005) NEW to the second edition: Completely updated chapter on the Verification of Spatial Forecasts taking account of the wealth of new research in the area New separate chapters on Probability Forecasts and Ensemble Forecasts Includes new chapter on Forecasts of Extreme Events and Warnings Includes new chapter on Seasonal and Climate Forecasts Includes new Appendix on Verification Software Cover image credit: The triangle of barplots shows a novel use of colour for visualizing probability forecasts of ternary categories – see Fig 6b of Jupp et al. 2011, On the visualisation, verification and recalibration of ternary probabilistic forecasts, Phil. Trans. Roy. Soc. (in press).

Author : Robert D. Ebel,John E. Petersen
Publisher : OUP USA
Page : 1057 pages
File Size : 49,6 Mb
Release : 2012-03-21
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 0199765367

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The Oxford Handbook of State and Local Government Finance by Robert D. Ebel,John E. Petersen Pdf

This handbook evaluates the persistent problems in the fiscal systems of state and local governments and what can be done to solve them. Each chapter provides a description of the discipline area, examines major developments in policy practices and research, and opines on future prospects.