Limits To Growth The 30 Year Update

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The Limits to Growth

Author : Anonim
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 207 pages
File Size : 41,8 Mb
Release : 1975
Category : Electronic
ISBN : OCLC:760418132

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Limits to Growth

Author : Donella Meadows,Jorgen Randers,Dennis Meadows
Publisher : Chelsea Green Publishing
Page : 370 pages
File Size : 48,7 Mb
Release : 2004-06-01
Category : Science
ISBN : 9781603581554

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Limits to Growth by Donella Meadows,Jorgen Randers,Dennis Meadows Pdf

"A pioneering work of science."—Business Insider "[This book] helped launch modern environmental computer modeling and began our current globally focused environmental debate . . . . a scientifically rigorous and credible warning."—The Nation In 1972, three scientists from MIT created a computer model that analyzed global resource consumption and production. Their results shocked the world and created stirring conversation about global 'overshoot,' or resource use beyond the carrying capacity of the planet. Now, preeminent environmental scientists Donnella Meadows, Jorgen Randers, and Dennis Meadows have teamed up again to update and expand their original findings in The Limits to Growth: The 30 Year Global Update. Meadows, Randers, and Meadows are international environmental leaders recognized for their groundbreaking research into early signs of wear on the planet. Citing climate change as the most tangible example of our current overshoot, the scientists now provide us with an updated scenario and a plan to reduce our needs to meet the carrying capacity of the planet. Over the past three decades, population growth and global warming have forged on with a striking semblance to the scenarios laid out by the World3 computer model in the original Limits to Growth. While Meadows, Randers, and Meadows do not make a practice of predicting future environmental degradation, they offer an analysis of present and future trends in resource use, and assess a variety of possible outcomes. In many ways, the message contained in Limits to Growth: The 30-Year Update is a warning. Overshoot cannot be sustained without collapse. But, as the authors are careful to point out, there is reason to believe that humanity can still reverse some of its damage to Earth if it takes appropriate measures to reduce inefficiency and waste. Written in refreshingly accessible prose, Limits to Growth: The 30-Year Update is a long anticipated revival of some of the original voices in the growing chorus of sustainability. Limits to Growth: The 30 Year Update is a work of stunning intelligence that will expose for humanity the hazy but critical line between human growth and human development.

Beyond the Limits

Author : Donella Hager Meadows
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 41,7 Mb
Release : 1993
Category : Economic development
ISBN : 0930031628

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The Limits to Growth Revisited

Author : Ugo Bardi
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 119 pages
File Size : 50,6 Mb
Release : 2011-05-27
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN : 9781441994165

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The Limits to Growth Revisited by Ugo Bardi Pdf

“The Limits to Growth” (Meadows, 1972) generated unprecedented controversy with its predictions of the eventual collapse of the world's economies. First hailed as a great advance in science, “The Limits to Growth” was subsequently rejected and demonized. However, with many national economies now at risk and global peak oil apparently a reality, the methods, scenarios, and predictions of “The Limits to Growth” are in great need of reappraisal. In The Limits to Growth Revisited, Ugo Bardi examines both the science and the polemics surrounding this work, and in particular the reactions of economists that marginalized its methods and conclusions for more than 30 years. “The Limits to Growth” was a milestone in attempts to model the future of our society, and it is vital today for both scientists and policy makers to understand its scientific basis, current relevance, and the social and political mechanisms that led to its rejection. Bardi also addresses the all-important question of whether the methods and approaches of “The Limits to Growth” can contribute to an understanding of what happened to the global economy in the Great Recession and where we are headed from there.

2052

Author : Jorgen Randers
Publisher : Chelsea Green Publishing
Page : 419 pages
File Size : 43,8 Mb
Release : 2012-06-13
Category : Social Science
ISBN : 9781603584227

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2052 by Jorgen Randers Pdf

With clarity, conscience, and courage, global-systems pioneer Jorgen Randers and his distinguished contributors map the forces that will shape the next four decades. Forty years ago, The Limits to Growth study addressed the grand question of how humans would adapt to the physical limitations of planet Earth. It predicted that during the first half of the 21st century the ongoing growth in the human ecological footprint would stop-either through catastrophic "overshoot and collapse"-or through well-managed "peak and decline." So, where are we now? And what does our future look like? In the book 2052, Jorgen Randers, one of the coauthors of Limits to Growth, issues a progress report and makes a forecast for the next forty years. To do this, he asked dozens of experts to weigh in with their best predictions on how our economies, energy supplies, natural resources, climate, food, fisheries, militaries, political divisions, cities, psyches, and more will take shape in the coming decades. He then synthesized those scenarios into a global forecast of life as we will most likely know it in the years ahead. The good news: we will see impressive advances in resource efficiency, and an increasing focus on human well-being rather than on per capita income growth. But this change might not come as we expect. Future growth in population and GDP, for instance, will be constrained in surprising ways-by rapid fertility decline as result of increased urbanization, productivity decline as a result of social unrest, and continuing poverty among the poorest 2 billion world citizens. Runaway global warming, too, is likely. So, how do we prepare for the years ahead? With heart, fact, and wisdom, Randers guides us along a realistic path into the future and discusses what readers can do to ensure a better life for themselves and their children during the increasing turmoil of the next forty years.

Thinking in Systems

Author : Donella Meadows
Publisher : Chelsea Green Publishing
Page : 242 pages
File Size : 43,7 Mb
Release : 2008-12-03
Category : Science
ISBN : 9781603581486

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Thinking in Systems by Donella Meadows Pdf

The classic book on systems thinking—with more than half a million copies sold worldwide! "This is a fabulous book... This book opened my mind and reshaped the way I think about investing."—Forbes "Thinking in Systems is required reading for anyone hoping to run a successful company, community, or country. Learning how to think in systems is now part of change-agent literacy. And this is the best book of its kind."—Hunter Lovins In the years following her role as the lead author of the international bestseller, Limits to Growth—the first book to show the consequences of unchecked growth on a finite planet—Donella Meadows remained a pioneer of environmental and social analysis until her untimely death in 2001. Thinking in Systems is a concise and crucial book offering insight for problem solving on scales ranging from the personal to the global. Edited by the Sustainability Institute’s Diana Wright, this essential primer brings systems thinking out of the realm of computers and equations and into the tangible world, showing readers how to develop the systems-thinking skills that thought leaders across the globe consider critical for 21st-century life. Some of the biggest problems facing the world—war, hunger, poverty, and environmental degradation—are essentially system failures. They cannot be solved by fixing one piece in isolation from the others, because even seemingly minor details have enormous power to undermine the best efforts of too-narrow thinking. While readers will learn the conceptual tools and methods of systems thinking, the heart of the book is grander than methodology. Donella Meadows was known as much for nurturing positive outcomes as she was for delving into the science behind global dilemmas. She reminds readers to pay attention to what is important, not just what is quantifiable, to stay humble, and to stay a learner. In a world growing ever more complicated, crowded, and interdependent, Thinking in Systems helps readers avoid confusion and helplessness, the first step toward finding proactive and effective solutions.

Overshoot

Author : William R. Catton
Publisher : University of Illinois Press
Page : 320 pages
File Size : 44,7 Mb
Release : 1980-10-01
Category : Social Science
ISBN : 9780252098000

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Overshoot by William R. Catton Pdf

Our day-to-day experiences over the past decade have taught us that there must be limits to our tremendous appetite for energy, natural resources, and consumer goods. Even utility and oil companies now promote conservation in the face of demands for dwindling energy reserves. And for years some biologists have warned us of the direct correlation between scarcity and population growth. These scientists see an appalling future riding the tidal wave of a worldwide growth of population and technology. A calm but unflinching realist, Catton suggests that we cannot stop this wave - for we have already overshot the Earth's capacity to support so huge a load. He contradicts those scientists, engineers, and technocrats who continue to write optimistically about energy alternatives. Catton asserts that the technological panaceas proposed by those who would harvest from the seas, harness the winds, and farm the deserts are ignoring the fundamental premise that "the principals of ecology apply to all living things." These principles tell us that, within a finite system, economic expansion is not irreversible and population growth cannot continue indefinitely. If we disregard these facts, our sagging American Dream will soon shatter completely.

There Are No Limits To Growth

Author : Lyndon H. LaRouche, Jr.,Helga Zepp-LaRouche
Publisher : Executive Intelligence Review
Page : 225 pages
File Size : 48,8 Mb
Release : 2015-09-03
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 8210379456XXX

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There Are No Limits To Growth by Lyndon H. LaRouche, Jr.,Helga Zepp-LaRouche Pdf

It is not necessary to let millions of babies die or to murder your own aunt in order to save the trees! Lyndon LaRouche refutes the Club of Rome's Limits to Growth hoax and shows that human creativity expressed as continuous scientific and technological progress is the single prerequisite to both secure the future of humanity and to spread the principle of life through more and more of the Universe.

Prosperity without Growth

Author : Tim Jackson
Publisher : Taylor & Francis
Page : 310 pages
File Size : 41,7 Mb
Release : 2016-12-08
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781317388227

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Prosperity without Growth by Tim Jackson Pdf

What can prosperity possibly mean in a world of environmental and social limits? The publication of Prosperity without Growth was a landmark in the sustainability debate. Tim Jackson’s piercing challenge to conventional economics openly questioned the most highly prized goal of politicians and economists alike: the continued pursuit of exponential economic growth. Its findings provoked controversy, inspired debate and led to a new wave of research building on its arguments and conclusions. This substantially revised and re-written edition updates those arguments and considerably expands upon them. Jackson demonstrates that building a ‘post-growth’ economy is a precise, definable and meaningful task. Starting from clear first principles, he sets out the dimensions of that task: the nature of enterprise; the quality of our working lives; the structure of investment; and the role of the money supply. He shows how the economy of tomorrow may be transformed in ways that protect employment, facilitate social investment, reduce inequality and deliver both ecological and financial stability. Seven years after it was first published, Prosperity without Growth is no longer a radical narrative whispered by a marginal fringe, but an essential vision of social progress in a post-crisis world. Fulfilling that vision is simply the most urgent task of our times.

Flourishing Within Limits to Growth

Author : Sven Erik Jørgensen,Brian D. Fath,Søren Nors Nielsen,Federico M. Pulselli,Daniel A. Fiscus,Simone Bastianoni
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 222 pages
File Size : 45,7 Mb
Release : 2015-07-03
Category : Nature
ISBN : 9781317552000

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Flourishing Within Limits to Growth by Sven Erik Jørgensen,Brian D. Fath,Søren Nors Nielsen,Federico M. Pulselli,Daniel A. Fiscus,Simone Bastianoni Pdf

Decades of research and discussion have shown that the human population growth and our increased consumption of natural resources cannot continue – there are limits to growth. This volume demonstrates how we might modify and revise our economic systems using nature as a model. The book describes how nature uses three growth forms: biomass, information, and networks, resulting in improved overall ecosystem functioning and co-development. As biomass growth is limited by available resources, nature uses the two other growth forms to achieve higher resource use efficiency. Through a universal application of the three ‘R’s: reduce, reuse, and recycle, nature thus shows us a way forward towards better solutions. However, our current approach, dominated by short-term economic thinking, inhibits full utilization of the three ‘R’s and other successful approaches from nature. Building on ecological principles, the authors present a global model and futures scenario analyses which show that implementation of the proposed changes will lead to a win-win situation. In other words, we can learn from nature how to develop a society that can flourish within the limits to growth with better conditions for prosperity and well-being.

Models of Doom

Author : H. S. D. Cole,Christopher Freeman,Marie Jahoda,K. L. R. Pavitt
Publisher : Universe Pub
Page : 244 pages
File Size : 51,5 Mb
Release : 1973
Category : Développement économique - Modèles mathématiques
ISBN : 0876639058

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Models of Doom by H. S. D. Cole,Christopher Freeman,Marie Jahoda,K. L. R. Pavitt Pdf

Scrutinizes the technical aspects and ideological background of the MIT world models on the future of mankind

Of Limits and Growth

Author : Stephen Macekura
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
Page : 349 pages
File Size : 54,9 Mb
Release : 2015-07-15
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781107072619

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Of Limits and Growth by Stephen Macekura Pdf

Of Limits and Growth offers new perspectives on environmentalism, post-1945 international history, and the origins of sustainability.

From Me to We

Author : Bob Doppelt
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 191 pages
File Size : 41,5 Mb
Release : 2017-09-08
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781351277822

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From Me to We by Bob Doppelt Pdf

In From Me to We: The Five Transformational Commitments Required to Rescue the Planet, Your Organization, and Your Life, systems change expert Bob Doppelt reveals that most people today live a dream world, controlled by false perceptions and beliefs. The most deeply held illusion is that all organisms on Earth, including each of us, exist as independent entities. At the most fundamental level, the change needed to overcome our misperceptions is a shift from focusing only on "me" – our personal needs and wants – to also prioritizing the broader "we": the many ecological and social relationships each of us are part of, those that make life possible and worthwhile. Research shows that by using the techniques described in this book this shift is possible – and not that difficult to achieve. From Me to We offers five transformational "commitments" that can help you change your perspective and engage in activities that will help resolve today's environmental and social problems. Not coincidentally, making these commitments can improve the quality of your life as well. Bob Doppelt's latest book is a wake-up call to the creed of individualism. He calls for recognition of the laws of interdependence, cause and effect, moral justice, trusteeship, and free will. The book will be essential to all of those interested in how we can create and stimulate a sea change in how to enable the necessary behavioral change we need to deal with the myriad environmental and social pressures consuming the planet.

Managing without Growth, Second Edition

Author : Peter A. Victor
Publisher : Edward Elgar Publishing
Page : 432 pages
File Size : 40,7 Mb
Release : 2018
Category : Economic development
ISBN : 9781785367380

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Managing without Growth, Second Edition by Peter A. Victor Pdf

Ten years after the publication of the first edition of this influential book, the evidence is even stronger that human economies are overwhelming the regenerative capacity of the planet. This book explains why long-term economic growth is infeasible, and why, especially in advanced economies, it is also undesirable. Simulations based on real data show that managing without growth is a better alternative

The Selfish Gene

Author : Richard Dawkins
Publisher : Oxford University Press
Page : 544 pages
File Size : 54,8 Mb
Release : 2016-05-26
Category : Science
ISBN : 9780191093067

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The Selfish Gene by Richard Dawkins Pdf

The million copy international bestseller, critically acclaimed and translated into over 25 languages. As influential today as when it was first published, The Selfish Gene has become a classic exposition of evolutionary thought. Professor Dawkins articulates a gene's eye view of evolution - a view giving centre stage to these persistent units of information, and in which organisms can be seen as vehicles for their replication. This imaginative, powerful, and stylistically brilliant work not only brought the insights of Neo-Darwinism to a wide audience, but galvanized the biology community, generating much debate and stimulating whole new areas of research. Forty years later, its insights remain as relevant today as on the day it was published. This 40th anniversary edition includes a new epilogue from the author discussing the continuing relevance of these ideas in evolutionary biology today, as well as the original prefaces and foreword, and extracts from early reviews. Oxford Landmark Science books are 'must-read' classics of modern science writing which have crystallized big ideas, and shaped the way we think.