Probabilities

Author : Hossein Pishro-Nik
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 746 pages
File Size : 44,6 Mb
Release : 2014-08-15
Category : Probabilities
ISBN : 0990637204

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Introduction to Probability, Statistics, and Random Processes by Hossein Pishro-Nik Pdf

The book covers basic concepts such as random experiments, probability axioms, conditional probability, and counting methods, single and multiple random variables (discrete, continuous, and mixed), as well as moment-generating functions, characteristic functions, random vectors, and inequalities; limit theorems and convergence; introduction to Bayesian and classical statistics; random processes including processing of random signals, Poisson processes, discrete-time and continuous-time Markov chains, and Brownian motion; simulation using MATLAB and R.

Author : Jim Albert,Jingchen Hu
Publisher : CRC Press
Page : 553 pages
File Size : 40,8 Mb
Release : 2019-12-06
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9781351030137

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Probability and Bayesian Modeling by Jim Albert,Jingchen Hu Pdf

Probability and Bayesian Modeling is an introduction to probability and Bayesian thinking for undergraduate students with a calculus background. The first part of the book provides a broad view of probability including foundations, conditional probability, discrete and continuous distributions, and joint distributions. Statistical inference is presented completely from a Bayesian perspective. The text introduces inference and prediction for a single proportion and a single mean from Normal sampling. After fundamentals of Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms are introduced, Bayesian inference is described for hierarchical and regression models including logistic regression. The book presents several case studies motivated by some historical Bayesian studies and the authors’ research. This text reflects modern Bayesian statistical practice. Simulation is introduced in all the probability chapters and extensively used in the Bayesian material to simulate from the posterior and predictive distributions. One chapter describes the basic tenets of Metropolis and Gibbs sampling algorithms; however several chapters introduce the fundamentals of Bayesian inference for conjugate priors to deepen understanding. Strategies for constructing prior distributions are described in situations when one has substantial prior information and for cases where one has weak prior knowledge. One chapter introduces hierarchical Bayesian modeling as a practical way of combining data from different groups. There is an extensive discussion of Bayesian regression models including the construction of informative priors, inference about functions of the parameters of interest, prediction, and model selection. The text uses JAGS (Just Another Gibbs Sampler) as a general-purpose computational method for simulating from posterior distributions for a variety of Bayesian models. An R package ProbBayes is available containing all of the book datasets and special functions for illustrating concepts from the book. A complete solutions manual is available for instructors who adopt the book in the Additional Resources section.

Author : Joseph K. Blitzstein,Jessica Hwang
Publisher : CRC Press
Page : 599 pages
File Size : 45,8 Mb
Release : 2014-07-24
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9781466575578

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Introduction to Probability by Joseph K. Blitzstein,Jessica Hwang Pdf

Developed from celebrated Harvard statistics lectures, Introduction to Probability provides essential language and tools for understanding statistics, randomness, and uncertainty. The book explores a wide variety of applications and examples, ranging from coincidences and paradoxes to Google PageRank and Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). Additional application areas explored include genetics, medicine, computer science, and information theory. The print book version includes a code that provides free access to an eBook version. The authors present the material in an accessible style and motivate concepts using real-world examples. Throughout, they use stories to uncover connections between the fundamental distributions in statistics and conditioning to reduce complicated problems to manageable pieces. The book includes many intuitive explanations, diagrams, and practice problems. Each chapter ends with a section showing how to perform relevant simulations and calculations in R, a free statistical software environment.

Author : Michael J. Evans,Jeffrey S. Rosenthal
Publisher : WH Freeman
Page : 200 pages
File Size : 49,7 Mb
Release : 2010-03-01
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 1429224630

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Probability and Statistics by Michael J. Evans,Jeffrey S. Rosenthal Pdf

Unlike traditional introductory math/stat textbooks, Probability and Statistics: The Science of Uncertainty brings a modern flavor to the course, incorporating the computer and offering an integrated approach to inference that includes the frequency approach and the Bayesian inference. From the start the book integrates simulations into its theoretical coverage, and emphasizes the use of computer-powered computation throughout. Math and science majors with just one year of calculus can use this text and experience a refreshing blend of applications and theory that goes beyond merely mastering the technicalities. The new edition includes a number of features designed to make the material more accessible and level-appropriate to the students taking this course today.

Author : Roman Vershynin
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
Page : 299 pages
File Size : 50,9 Mb
Release : 2018-09-27
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781108415194

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High-Dimensional Probability by Roman Vershynin Pdf

An integrated package of powerful probabilistic tools and key applications in modern mathematical data science.

Author : James J. Buckley
Publisher : Physica
Page : 168 pages
File Size : 46,8 Mb
Release : 2012-12-06
Category : Computers
ISBN : 9783642867866

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Fuzzy Probabilities by James J. Buckley Pdf

In probability and statistics we often have to estimate probabilities and parameters in probability distributions using a random sample. Instead of using a point estimate calculated from the data we propose using fuzzy numbers which are constructed from a set of confidence intervals. In probability calculations we apply constrained fuzzy arithmetic because probabilities must add to one. Fuzzy random variables have fuzzy distributions. A fuzzy normal random variable has the normal distribution with fuzzy number mean and variance. Applications are to queuing theory, Markov chains, inventory control, decision theory and reliability theory.

Author : John D. McGervey
Publisher : Ivy Books
Page : 260 pages
File Size : 42,5 Mb
Release : 1989-08-29
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 0804105324

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Probabilities in Everyday Life by John D. McGervey Pdf

Life can be unpredictable. And the more you can predict, the more control you will have over your own life. From calculating the health risks of smoking a pack of cigarettes a day to deciding on the best investments for your money, probabilities play a part in nearly all aspects of everyday life. Now, physics professor John D. McGervey puts all the facts and figures at your fingertips to help you make savvy, informed choices at home, at work, and at play. You will learn how the author believes you can: * Increase your chances of winning blackjack, contract bridge, horse racing, sports betting, and more * Get the most for your dollar when investing or buying insurance * Judge the risks of such common activities as smoking, using drugs, owning a handgun, and driving without a seat belt * Avoid faulty gambling systems and identify misleading statistics that can be used to draw you into poor investments * And much more. Inside you'll find a lively, entertaining, enlightening approach to minimizing your risks and maximizing your results -- simple strategies designed to give you the edge in life.

Author : John E. Freund
Publisher : Courier Corporation
Page : 247 pages
File Size : 43,6 Mb
Release : 2012-05-11
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9780486158433

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Introduction to Probability by John E. Freund Pdf

Featured topics include permutations and factorials, probabilities and odds, frequency interpretation, mathematical expectation, decision making, postulates of probability, rule of elimination, much more. Exercises with some solutions. Summary. 1973 edition.

Author : Cain Mckay
Publisher : Scientific e-Resources
Page : 332 pages
File Size : 50,9 Mb
Release : 2019-01-30
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 9781839473302

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Probability and Statistics by Cain Mckay Pdf

Author : Carol Ash
Publisher : Wiley-IEEE Press
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 47,7 Mb
Release : 1996-11-14
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 0780310519

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The Probability Tutoring Book by Carol Ash Pdf

A self-study guide for practicing engineers, scientists, and students, this book offers practical, worked-out examples on continuous and discrete probability for problem-solving courses. It is filled with handy diagrams, examples, and solutions that greatly aid in the comprehension of a variety of probability problems.

Author : Jeffrey S. Rosenthal
Publisher : Granta Books
Page : 128 pages
File Size : 43,8 Mb
Release : 2014-03-06
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9781783780617

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Struck By Lightning by Jeffrey S. Rosenthal Pdf

Human beings have long been both fascinated and appalled by randomness. On the one hand, we love the thrill of a surprise party or the freedom of not knowing what tomorrow will bring. We are inexplicably delighted by strange coincidences and striking similarities. But we also hate uncertainty's dark side. From cancer to bird flu, diseases may strike with no apparent pattern. Terrorists attack, airplanes crash, bridges collapse, and we never know if we'll be that one-in-a-million statistic. In this entertaining look at the world of probabilities, Jeffrey Rosenthal, maths professor and improvisational comedian, explains the mechanics of randomness in fields as diverse as poker hands, email spam, crime statistics, opinion polls and lottery jackpots. Read Struck by Lightning and, chances are, you will never look at the world the same way again.

Author : Roy Weatherford
Publisher : Taylor & Francis
Page : 297 pages
File Size : 51,6 Mb
Release : 2022-06-01
Category : Philosophy
ISBN : 9781000626032

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Philosophical Foundations of Probability Theory by Roy Weatherford Pdf

First published in 1982, Philosophical Foundations of Probability Theory starts with the uses we make of the concept in everyday life and then examines the rival theories that seek to account for these applications. It offers a critical exposition of the major philosophical theories of probability, with special attention given to the metaphysical and epistemological assumptions and implications of each. The Classical Theory suggests probability is simply the ratio of favorable cases to all equi-possible cases: it is this theory that is relied on by gamblers and by most non-specialists. The A Priori Theory, on the other hand, describes probability as a logical relation between statements based on evidence. The Relative Frequency theories locate it not in logic but among empirical rates of occurrence in the real world, while the Subjectivist Theory identifies probability with the degree of a person’s belief in a proposition. Each of these types of theory is examined in turn, and the treatment is unified by the use of running examples and parallel analyses of each theory. The final chapter includes a summary and the author’s conclusions. This book is an essential read for scholars and researchers of Philosophy.

Author : Andrew I. Dale
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 691 pages
File Size : 55,9 Mb
Release : 2012-09-08
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9781441986528

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A History of Inverse Probability by Andrew I. Dale Pdf

This is a history of the use of Bayes theoremfrom its discovery by Thomas Bayes to the rise of the statistical competitors in the first part of the twentieth century. The book focuses particularly on the development of one of the fundamental aspects of Bayesian statistics, and in this new edition readers will find new sections on contributors to the theory. In addition, this edition includes amplified discussion of relevant work.

Author : Charles Miller Grinstead,James Laurie Snell
Publisher : American Mathematical Soc.
Page : 536 pages
File Size : 50,9 Mb
Release : 1997
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 0821807498

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Introduction to Probability by Charles Miller Grinstead,James Laurie Snell Pdf

This text is designed for an introductory probability course at the university level for undergraduates in mathematics, the physical and social sciences, engineering, and computer science. It presents a thorough treatment of probability ideas and techniques necessary for a firm understanding of the subject.

Author : Franz Huber
Publisher : Oxford University Press
Page : 256 pages
File Size : 43,6 Mb
Release : 2018-11-21
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9780190845407

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A Logical Introduction to Probability and Induction by Franz Huber Pdf

A Logical Introduction to Probability and Induction is a textbook on the mathematics of the probability calculus and its applications in philosophy. On the mathematical side, the textbook introduces these parts of logic and set theory that are needed for a precise formulation of the probability calculus. On the philosophical side, the main focus is on the problem of induction and its reception in epistemology and the philosophy of science. Particular emphasis is placed on the means-end approach to the justification of inductive inference rules. In addition, the book discusses the major interpretations of probability. These are philosophical accounts of the nature of probability that interpret the mathematical structure of the probability calculus. Besides the classical and logical interpretation, they include the interpretation of probability as chance, degree of belief, and relative frequency. The Bayesian interpretation of probability as degree of belief locates probability in a subject's mind. It raises the question why her degrees of belief ought to obey the probability calculus. In contrast to this, chance and relative frequency belong to the external world. While chance is postulated by theory, relative frequencies can be observed empirically. A Logical Introduction to Probability and Induction aims to equip students with the ability to successfully carry out arguments. It begins with elementary deductive logic and uses it as basis for the material on probability and induction. Throughout the textbook results are carefully proved using the inference rules introduced at the beginning, and students are asked to solve problems in the form of 50 exercises. An instructor's manual contains the solutions to these exercises as well as suggested exam questions. The book does not presuppose any background in mathematics, although sections 10.3-10.9 on statistics are technically sophisticated and optional. The textbook is suitable for lower level undergraduate courses in philosophy and logic.