Working With The Future Ideas And Tools To Govern Uncertainty

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Working with the Future

Author : Roberto Poli
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 128 pages
File Size : 54,7 Mb
Release : 2019
Category : Electronic books
ISBN : 8885486916

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Working with the Future by Roberto Poli Pdf

Routledge Handbook for Creative Futures

Author : Gabrielle Donnelly,Alfonso Montuori
Publisher : Taylor & Francis
Page : 528 pages
File Size : 54,7 Mb
Release : 2022-12-30
Category : Nature
ISBN : 9781000809671

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Routledge Handbook for Creative Futures by Gabrielle Donnelly,Alfonso Montuori Pdf

As the uncertainty of global and local contexts continues to amplify, the Routledge Handbook for Creative Futures responds to the increasing urgency for reimagining futures beyond dystopias and utopias. It features essays that explore the challenges of how to think about compelling futures, what these better futures might be like, and what personal and collective practices are emerging that support the creation of more desirable futures. The handbook aims to find a sweet spot somewhere between despair and naïve optimism, neither shying away from the massive socio-environmental planetary challenges currently facing humanity nor offering simplistic feel-good solutions. Instead, it offers ways forward—whether entirely new perspectives or Indigenous and Traditional Knowledge perspectives that have been marginalized within modernity—and shares potential transformative practices. The volume contains contributions from established and emerging scholars, practitioners, and scholar-practitioners with diverse backgrounds and experiences: a mix of Indigenous, Black, Asian, and White/Caucasian contributors, including women, men, and trans people from around the world, in places such as Kenya, India, US, Canada, and Switzerland, among many others. Chapters explore critical concepts alongside personal and collective practices for creating desirable futures at the individual, community, organizational, and societal levels. This scholarly and accessible book will be a valuable resource for researchers and students of leadership studies, social innovation, community and organizational development, policy studies, futures studies, cultural studies, sociology, and management studies. It will also appeal to educators, practitioners, professionals, and policymakers oriented toward activating creative potential for life-affirming futures for all.

Knowledge For The Anthropocene

Author : Carrillo, Francisco J.,Koch, Gu_nter
Publisher : Edward Elgar Publishing
Page : 416 pages
File Size : 44,8 Mb
Release : 2021-11-09
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781800884298

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Knowledge For The Anthropocene by Carrillo, Francisco J.,Koch, Gu_nter Pdf

With human-induced environmental impacts disrupting human life in deeper ways and at a wider scale than anything previously experienced, this multidisciplinary book looks at the ways that current knowledge bases seem inadequate to help us deal with such realities. It offers a critical appraisal of the current knowledge infrastructure, including science, technology, innovation, education and informal knowledge systems.

Strategic Foresight

Author : Jan Oliver Schwarz
Publisher : Taylor & Francis
Page : 152 pages
File Size : 53,8 Mb
Release : 2023-07-03
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781000895582

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Strategic Foresight by Jan Oliver Schwarz Pdf

Organisations today are being challenged to make sense of changes in environments that, now more than ever, are described as VUCA (volatile, uncertain, complex, and ambiguous). They are also being driven to understand how the future will evolve and what impact it will have not only on the organisations themselves but also on industries and societies. In recent decades a field has emerged to support organisations in addressing these challenges: strategic foresight. This book is a comprehensive introduction to strategic foresight. It presents a history of the field and explains the main principles in thinking about the future. The book describes how organisations can apply strategic foresight and explains how it relates to other fields such as strategy, innovation, and leadership, highlighting the relevance of strategic foresight not only for organisations but also for individuals, particularly managers and leaders. Grounded in the theoretical foundations of strategic foresight, the book reflects the latest academic research and explores practical applications in different contexts. It draws on more than two decades of experience that the author has in the field as a researcher and as a consultant in the corporate context. This is essential reading for managers and leaders of public and private organisations who want to establish strategic foresight practices, as well as students of foresight and managers in the fields of innovation, research & development, and marketing.

Global Citizenship for Adult Education

Author : Petra A. Robinson,Kamala V. Williams,Maja Stojanović
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 333 pages
File Size : 47,7 Mb
Release : 2021-07-19
Category : Education
ISBN : 9781000403404

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Global Citizenship for Adult Education by Petra A. Robinson,Kamala V. Williams,Maja Stojanović Pdf

This book promotes the development of nontraditional literacies in adult education, especially as these critical literacies relate to global citizenship, equity, and social justice. As this edited collection argues, a rapidly changing global environment and proliferation of new media technologies have greatly expanded the kinds of literacies that one requires in order to be an engaged global citizen. It is imperative for adult educators and learners to understand systems, organizations, and relationships that influence our lives as citizens of the world. By compiling a comprehensive list of foundational, sociocultural, technological and informational, psychosocial and environmental, and social justice literacies, this volume offers readers theoretical foundations, practical strategies, and additional resources.

The Next Age of Uncertainty

Author : Stephen Poloz
Publisher : Penguin
Page : 305 pages
File Size : 40,6 Mb
Release : 2022-02-22
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780735243910

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The Next Age of Uncertainty by Stephen Poloz Pdf

*WINNER OF THE 2023 NATIONAL BUSINESS BOOK AWARD* *FINALIST FOR THE 2023 OTTAWA BOOK AWARD* *SHORTLISTED FOR THE SHAUGHNESSY COHEN PRIZE FOR POLITICAL WRITING* *SHORTLISTED FOR THE 2022 DONNER PRIZE* NATIONAL BESTSELLER From the former Governor of the Bank of Canada, a far-seeing guide to the powerful economic forces that will shape the decades ahead. The economic ground is shifting beneath our feet. The world is becoming more volatile, and people are understandably worried about their financial futures. In this urgent and accessible guide to the crises and opportunities that lie ahead, economist and former Governor of the Bank of Canada Stephen Poloz maps out the powerful tectonic forces that are shaping our future, and the ideas that will allow us to master them. These forces include an aging workforce, mounting debt, and rising income inequality. Technological advances, too, are adding to the pressure, putting people out of work, and climate change is forcing a transition to a lower-carbon economy. It is no surprise that people are feeling uncertain. The implications of these tectonic tensions will cascade throughout every dimension of our lives—the job market, the housing market, the investment climate, as well as government and central bank policy, and the role of the corporation within society. The pandemic has added momentum to many of them. Poloz skillfully argues that past crises, from the Victorian Depression in the late 1800s to the more recent downturn in 2008, give a hint of what is in store for us in the decades ahead. Unlike the purely destructive power of earthquakes, the upheaval that is sure to come in the decades ahead will offer unexpected opportunities for renewal and growth. Filled with takeaways for employers, investors, and policymakers, as well as families discussing jobs and mortgage renewals around the kitchen table, The Next Age of Uncertainty is an indispensable guide for those navigating the fault lines of the risky world ahead.

Uncertainty by Design

Author : Limor Samimian-Darash
Publisher : Cornell University Press
Page : 188 pages
File Size : 52,6 Mb
Release : 2022-04-15
Category : Social Science
ISBN : 9781501762475

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Uncertainty by Design by Limor Samimian-Darash Pdf

In Uncertainty by Design Limor Samimian-Darash presents cases of the use of scenario technology in the fields of security and emergency preparedness, energy, and health by analyzing scenario narratives and practices at the National Emergency Management Authority in Israel, the World Health Organization's Regional Office for Europe, and the World Energy Council. Humankind has long struggled with the uncertainty of the future, with how to foresee the future, imagine alternatives, or prepare for and guard against undesirable eventualities. Scenario—or scenario planning—emerged in recent decades to become a widespread means through which states, large corporations, and local organizations imagine and prepare for the future. The scenario technology cases examined in Uncertainty by Design provide a useful lens through which to view contemporary efforts to engage in an overall journey of discovering the future, along with the modality of governing involved in these endeavors to face future uncertainties. Collectively, they enable us to understand in depth how scenarios express a new governing modality.

Surfing Uncertainty

Author : Andy Clark
Publisher : Oxford University Press, USA
Page : 425 pages
File Size : 49,5 Mb
Release : 2016
Category : Medical
ISBN : 9780190217013

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Surfing Uncertainty by Andy Clark Pdf

This title brings together work on embodiment, action, and the predictive mind. At the core is the vision of human minds as prediction machines - devices that constantly try to stay one step ahead of the breaking waves of sensory stimulation, by actively predicting the incoming flow. In every situation we encounter, that complex prediction machinery is already buzzing, proactively trying to anticipate the sensory barrage. The book shows in detail how this strange but potent strategy of self-anticipation ushers perception, understanding, and imagination simultaneously onto the cognitive stage.

Risk, Uncertainty and Government

Author : Pat O'Malley
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 292 pages
File Size : 47,5 Mb
Release : 2012-09-10
Category : Law
ISBN : 9781135311797

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Risk, Uncertainty and Government by Pat O'Malley Pdf

Both risk and uncertainty are neo-liberal concepts, which can be viewed as complementary techniques for governing diverse aspects of life, rather than natural states of things. This new book examines the way these constructs govern the production of wealth through 'uncertain' speculation and 'calculable' investment formulae. The way in which risk and uncertainty govern the minimisation of harms through insurance and through the uncertain practices of 'reasonable foresight' is discussed, and O Malley looks at the way these same techniques were historically forged out of moral and social beliefs about how to govern properly. In addition, the book analyzes is how, during this process, ideas such as 'contract' and distinctions between insurance and gambling were invented to order to 'properly' govern the risky and uncertain future.

Looking Forward

Author : Jamie L. Pietruska
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
Page : 295 pages
File Size : 45,6 Mb
Release : 2017-12-08
Category : History
ISBN : 9780226475004

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Looking Forward by Jamie L. Pietruska Pdf

Introduction: crisis of certainty -- Cotton guesses -- The daily "probabilities"--Weather prophecies -- Economies of the future -- Promises of love and money -- Epilogue: specters of uncertainty

Uncertain Futures

Author : Jens Beckert,Richard Bronk
Publisher : Oxford University Press
Page : 368 pages
File Size : 49,5 Mb
Release : 2018-07-12
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780192552754

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Uncertain Futures by Jens Beckert,Richard Bronk Pdf

Uncertain Futures considers how economic actors visualize the future and decide how to act in conditions of radical uncertainty. It starts from the premise that dynamic capitalist economies are characterized by relentless innovation and novelty and hence exhibit an indeterminacy that cannot be reduced to measurable risk. The organizing question then becomes how economic actors form expectations and make decisions despite the uncertainty they face. This edited volume lays the foundations for a new model of economic reasoning by showing how, in conditions of uncertainty, economic actors combine calculation with imaginaries and narratives to form fictional expectations that coordinate action and provide the confidence to act. It draws on groundbreaking research in economic sociology, economics, anthropology, and psychology to present theoretically grounded empirical case studies. These demonstrate how grand narratives, central bank forward guidance, economic forecasts, finance models, business plans, visions of technological futures, and new era stories influence behaviour and become instruments of power in markets and societies. The market impact of shared calculative devices, social narratives, and contingent imaginaries underlines the rationale for a new form of narrative economics.

FutureNEXT

Author : Iraj Abedian,John Sanei
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 194 pages
File Size : 44,9 Mb
Release : 2020-10
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 9798692623935

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FutureNEXT by Iraj Abedian,John Sanei Pdf

The future has arrived early. And it is challenging each of us to ask, and answer, the defining questions of our time: How will our post-pandemic society move forward?Will we ever return to the world we once knew?Are we witnessing the development of a new socio-economic system? Shaped by the dynamic approach of futures-strategist John Sanei and the profound economic thinking of Dr Iraj Abedian, FutureNEXT equips readers with the mindset and tools needed to forge a new way forward - a way of confidence and peace of mind. The book explores our evolving responsibilities as consumers, employees, employers, entrepreneurs and executives tasked with re-imagining our world. In so doing, it provides a path to create prosperous societies that are more harmonious, systematically fair and sustainable than anything we've known

Futures - Open to Variety

Author : Stefan Bergheim
Publisher : Zgf Publishers
Page : 188 pages
File Size : 41,5 Mb
Release : 2021-06-14
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 3000690530

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Futures - Open to Variety by Stefan Bergheim Pdf

"Futures - Open to Variety" is the easy-to-read manual for the wise use of the later-than-now. It will boost your appetite for futures work and provides many concrete suggestions for what you can do in your context. Selected futures methods are presented for practical use. The author shares personal encounters and deep insights from the many futures processes he conducted or advised. Meaningful illustrations facilitate your journey towards higher futures literacy. Contents 1. Talking to Each Other - Dialogue 2. Ask Powerful Questions 3. Dealing with Complexity 4. Involve Many Different People 5. Consider Different Systems 6. The Trend May Be Your Friend 7. Scenarios Open the Mind 8. Visions: Images of Desirable Futures 9. Where We Are: Indicators 10. Searching for a Common Future 11. Looking at Several Levels 12. News from the Futures Literacy Laboratory 13. Inquire Appreciatively 14. Discover the Future in a Playful Way 15. Digital Tools for Futures 16. Futures Dialogue of the German Chancellor 17. Futures of Cities 18. Government Strategy Wellbeing in Germany 19. Shaping Digitalization: #gutlebendigital This book was written for all those who are concerned with the future. Which is basically everyone. Because even when you cross the street, you are dealing with the future. Will the cyclist from the right arrive at a certain point at the same time as you will? Then you should adjust your plan for crossing the road accordingly. You do not need this book for this adjustment. However, future developments are often not so easy to predict, and it is often not possible to make reliable plans. While we might wish for this certainty and predictability, all too often it is unrealistic. The book offers some signposts, backgrounds, experiences, and ideas for action for the confident handling of uncertainty. These ideas should enable the readers to make the various images and assumptions about futures visible and usable in the present. There are many approaches and methods for this. The competency to use these methods for different purposes is called futures literacy. It could be one of the most important competencies of humankind in the 21st century.

Climate Vulnerability

Author : Anonim
Publisher : Elsevier
Page : 1086 pages
File Size : 47,9 Mb
Release : 2013-03-15
Category : Science
ISBN : 9780123847041

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Climate Vulnerability by Anonim Pdf

Climate change has been the subject of thousands of books and magazines, scientific journals, and newspaper articles daily. It’s a subject that can be very political and emotional, often blurring the lines between fact and fiction. The vast majority of research, studies, projections and recommendations tend to focus on the human influence on climate change and global warming as the result of CO2 emissions, often to the exclusion of other threats that include population growth and the stress placed on energy sources due to emerging global affluence. Climate Vulnerability, Five Volume Set seeks to strip away the politics and emotion that surround climate change and will assess the broad range of threats using the bottom up approach—including CO2 emissions, population growth, emerging affluence, and many others—to our five most critical resources: water, food, ecosystems, energy, and human health. Inclusively determining what these threats are while seeking preventive measures and adaptations is at the heart of this unique reference work. Takes a Bottom-Up approach, addressing climate change and the threat to our key resources at the local level first and globally second, providing a more accurate and inclusive approach. Includes extensive cross-referencing, which is key to readers as new connections between factors can be discovered. Cuts across a number of disciplines and will appeal to Biological Science, Earth & Environmental Science, Ecology, and Social Science, comprehensively addressing climate change and other threats to our key resources from multiple perspectives

Climate Vulnerability, Volume 4

Author : Anonim
Publisher : Newnes
Page : 982 pages
File Size : 55,9 Mb
Release : 2013-06-14
Category : Science
ISBN : 9780123919014

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Climate Vulnerability, Volume 4 by Anonim Pdf

Climate Vulnerability, Volume 4