Africa S Population In Search Of A Demographic Dividend

Author : Hans Groth,John F. May
Publisher : Springer
Page : 526 pages
File Size : 41,5 Mb
Release : 2017-05-23
Category : Social Science
ISBN : 9783319468891

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Africa's Population: In Search of a Demographic Dividend by Hans Groth,John F. May Pdf

This book examines the promises as well as the challenges the demographic dividend brings to sub-Saharan Africa as fertility rates in the region fall and the labor force grows. It offers a detailed analysis of what conditions must be met in order for the region to take full economic advantage of ongoing population dynamics. As the book makes clear, the region will need to accelerate reforms to cope with its demographic transition, in particular the decline of fertility. The continent will need to foster human capital formation through renewed efforts in the areas of education, health and employment. This will entail a true vision and determination on the part of African leaders and their development partners. The book will help readers to gain solid knowledge of the demographic trends and provide insights into socioeconomic policies that eventually might lead sub-Saharan Africa into a successful future.

Author : David Canning,Sangeeta Raja,Abdo S. Yazbeck
Publisher : World Bank Publications
Page : 214 pages
File Size : 48,7 Mb
Release : 2015-10-22
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781464804908

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Africa's Demographic Transition by David Canning,Sangeeta Raja,Abdo S. Yazbeck Pdf

Africa is poised on the edge of a potential takeoff to sustained economic growth. This takeoff can be abetted by a demographic dividend from the changes in population age structure. Declines in child mortality, followed by declines in fertility, produce a 'bulge' generation and a large number of working age people, giving a boost to the economy. In the short run lower fertility leads to lower youth dependency rates and greater female labor force participation outside the home. Smaller family sizes also mean more resources to invest in the health and education per child boosting worker productivity. In the long run increased life spans from health improvements mean that this large, high-earning cohort will also want to save for retirement, creating higher savings and investments, leading to further productivity gains. Two things are required for the demographic dividend to generate an African economic takeoff. The first is to speed up the fertility decline that is currently slow or stalled in many countries. The second is economic policies that take advantage of the opportunity offered by demography. While demographic change can produce more, and high quality, workers, this potential workforce needs to be productively employed if Africa is to reap the dividend. However, once underway, the relationship between demographic change and human development works in both directions, creating a virtuous cycle that can accelerate fertility decline, social development, and economic growth. Empirical evidence points to three key factors for speeding the fertility transition: child health, female education, and women's empowerment, particularly through access to family planning. Harnessing the dividend requires job creation for the large youth cohorts entering working age, and encouraging foreign investment until domestic savings and investment increase. The appropriate mix of policies in each country depends on their stage of the demographic transition.

Author : Charles Teller,Assefa Hailemariam
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 367 pages
File Size : 43,5 Mb
Release : 2011-03-04
Category : Social Science
ISBN : 9789048189182

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The Demographic Transition and Development in Africa by Charles Teller,Assefa Hailemariam Pdf

"The heated Malthusian-Bosrupian debates still rage over consequences of high population growth, rapid urbanization, dense rural populations and young age structures in the face of drought, poverty, food insecurity, environmental degradation, climate change, instability and the global economic crisis. However, while facile generalizations about the lack of demographic change and lack of progress in meeting the MDGs in sub-Saharan Africa are commonplace, they are often misleading and belie the socio-cultural change that is occurring among a vanguard of more educated youth. Even within Ethiopia, the second largest country at the Crossroads of Africa and the Middle East, different narratives emerge from analysis of longitudinal, micro-level analysis as to how demographic change and responses are occurring, some more rapidly than others. The book compares Ethiopia with other Africa countries, and demonstrates the uniqueness of an African-type demographic transition: a combination of poverty-related negative factors (unemployment, disease, food insecurity) along with positive education, health and higher age-of-marriage trends that are pushing this ruggedly rural and land-locked population to accelerate the demographic transition and stay on track to meet most of the MDGs. This book takes great care with the challenges of inadequate data and weak analytical capacity to research this incipient transition, trying to unravel some of the complexities in this vulnerable Horn of Africa country: A slowly declining population growth rates with rapidly declining child mortality, very high chronic under-nutrition, already low urban fertility but still very high rural fertility; and high population-resource pressure along with rapidly growing small urban places”

Author : Mr.Paulo Drummond,Vimal Thakoor,Shu Yu
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 22 pages
File Size : 50,5 Mb
Release : 2014-08-05
Category : Social Science
ISBN : 9781498379878

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Africa Rising by Mr.Paulo Drummond,Vimal Thakoor,Shu Yu Pdf

Africa will account for 80 percent of the projected 4 billion increase in the global population by 2100. The accompanying increase in its working age population creates a window of opportunity, which if properly harnessed, can translate into higher growth and yield a demographic dividend. We quantify the potential demographic dividend based on the experience of other regions. The dividend will vary across countries, depending on such factors as the initial working age population as well as the speed and magnitude of demographic transition. It will be critical to ensure that the right supportive policies, including those fostering human capital accumulation and job creation, are in place to translate this opportunity into concrete economic growth.

Author : David Bloom,David Canning,Jaypee Sevilla
Publisher : Rand Corporation
Page : 127 pages
File Size : 43,7 Mb
Release : 2003-02-13
Category : Social Science
ISBN : 9780833033734

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The Demographic Dividend by David Bloom,David Canning,Jaypee Sevilla Pdf

There is long-standing debate on how population growth affects national economies. A new report from Population Matters examines the history of this debate and synthesizes current research on the topic. The authors, led by Harvard economist David Bloom, conclude that population age structure, more than size or growth per se, affects economic development, and that reducing high fertility can create opportunities for economic growth if the right kinds of educational, health, and labor-market policies are in place. The report also examines specific regions of the world and how their differing policy environments have affected the relationship between population change and economic development.

Author : Edward Paice
Publisher : Bloomsbury Publishing
Page : 334 pages
File Size : 50,9 Mb
Release : 2021-12-09
Category : Social Science
ISBN : 9781800241619

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Youthquake by Edward Paice Pdf

A riveting study of Africa's demographics – its youth and growth – and what they mean for the continent, today and into the future. 'Essential reading' Guardian 'Intensely researched – and very important!' The Week 'The research in Youthquake is meticulous' Tim Marshall, Reaction 'Attempts to end the hysteria and ignorance surrounding demographic trends' New Statesman 'Meticulously researched, nuanced and brilliant' Mary Harper Africa's population growth in the last 50 years has been unprecedented. By mid-century, the continent will make up a quarter of the global population, compared to one-tenth in 1980. Africa's youth is the most striking aspect of its demography. As the rest of the world ages, almost 60 per cent of Africa's population is younger than 25 years old. This 'youthquake' will have immense consequences for the social, economic and political reality in Africa. Edward Paice presents a detailed, nuanced analysis of the varied demography of Africa. He rejects the fanciful over-optimism of some commentators and doom-laden prophecies of others, while scrutinising received wisdom, and carefully considering the ramifications of the youthquake for Africa and the world.

Author : Clifford O. Odimegwu,Yemi Adewoyin
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 1085 pages
File Size : 41,6 Mb
Release : 2022-02-07
Category : Social Science
ISBN : 9781000518726

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The Routledge Handbook of African Demography by Clifford O. Odimegwu,Yemi Adewoyin Pdf

This handbook provides an authoritative and comprehensive overview of African population dynamics, variations, causes and consequences, demonstrating the real-world applications of research in policies and programmes. African demography has come of age. Over 50 years, the discipline has grown exponentially in the number of training and research institutions, specialist experts and academic output, all with an aim of addressing the enormous demographic challenges faced by the continent. The book draws on old and emerging analytical tools to explore the relationships between population dynamics and social, economic, cultural and political environments from African perspectives. Key topics include fertility, sexual behaviours, healthcare, ageing, mortality, migration, displacement, the causes and consequences of demographic changes and teaching and research developments in African demography. The Routledge Handbook of African Demography will be an essential resource for students and researchers of African demography, sociology, development and cultural studies.

Author : National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine,Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Committee on Population
Publisher : National Academies Press
Page : 89 pages
File Size : 51,9 Mb
Release : 2016-03-18
Category : Social Science
ISBN : 9780309381192

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Recent Fertility Trends in Sub-Saharan Africa by National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine,Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Committee on Population Pdf

Fertility rates and population growth influence economic development. The marked declines in fertility seen in some developing nations have been accompanied by slowing population growth, which in turn provided a window of opportunity for rapid economic growth. For many sub-Saharan African nations, this window has not yet opened because fertility rates have not declined as rapidly there as elsewhere. Fertility rates in many sub-Saharan African countries are high: the total rate for the region is estimated to be 5.1 births per woman, and rates that had begun to decline in many countries in the region have stalled. High rates of fertility in these countries are likely to contribute to continued rapid population growth: the United Nations projects that the region's population will increase by 1.2 billion by 2050, the highest growth among the regions for which there are projections. In June 2015, the Committee on Population organized a workshop to explore fertility trends and the factors that have influenced them. The workshop committee was asked to explore history and trends related to fertility, proximate determinants and other influences, the status and impact of family planning programs, and prospects for further reducing fertility rates. This study will help donors, researchers, and policy makers better understand the factors that may explain the slow pace of fertility decline in this region, and develop methods to improve family planning in sub-Saharan Africa.

Author : Clifford O. Odimegwu,John Kekovole
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 369 pages
File Size : 48,9 Mb
Release : 2014-07-11
Category : Social Science
ISBN : 9781317999713

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Continuity and Change in Sub-Saharan African Demography by Clifford O. Odimegwu,John Kekovole Pdf

This book offers an in-depth African perspective to the major issues in demographic discourse in sub-Saharan Africa. It provides comprehensive analysis of sub-Saharan African censuses, profiling demographic changes, trends, patterns and consequences in the region. Interdisciplinary, comprehensive, accessible, simple and topical, this volume is perfectly suited to researchers, students and lecturers who are interested in understanding sub-Saharan African population dynamics and issues.

Author : John May,Jean-Pierre Guengant
Publisher : Académie royale de Belgique
Page : 78 pages
File Size : 48,7 Mb
Release : 2020-11-23
Category : Social Science
ISBN : 9782803107551

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Demography and economic emergence of sub-saharan Africa by John May,Jean-Pierre Guengant Pdf

About 35 years later than in the other less developed countries, high mortality and fertility levels have started to decline in the 48 countries of sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). The late completion of the demographic transition in the region, its slow pace, and its population growth rates over 2.5% per year for more than 50 years, render the SSA demographic trajectories very different from the transitions experienced elsewhere in the world. With the onset of the fertility decline and better economic performance in SSA between 2000 and 2014, most SSA countries thought that they would be able to capture a first demographic dividend and become emerging economies – a process that many East and Southeast Asian countries achieved between 1970 and 2000. However, available data indicates that since the 1960s the rapid population growth in SSA has had negative effects on the growth of its GDP per capita. Moreover, so far there are only fourteen SSA countries, representing 20% of the SSA population, that meet the initial conditions needed to benefit from a first demographic dividend. This volume analyzes the challenges that the SSA countries will need to address in order to replicate the East and Southeast Asian economic miracle. The majority of the SSA countries are at a critical stage in their development. Indeed, the next decades will determine whether or not the SSA countries will be able to accelerate their demographic transition, capture a first demographic dividend, and become emerging economies. John F. May is a Research Professor at the Schar School of Policy and Government, George Mason University, Arlington, VA, USA. He earned his Doctorate in Demography from the University of Paris-V (Sorbonne). He is a specialist of population policies and the demography of sub-Saharan Africa and has worked on population and development projects around the world for most international organizations. Jean-Pierre Guengant is Emeritus Director of Research at the Research Institute for Development (IRD), presently attached to the University of Paris-I (Panthéon-Sorbonne). He holds a Doctorate in Development Economics from the University of Clermont-Ferrand, France. His recent work focusses on the demographic dividend and the emergence of sub-Saharan Africa.

Author : Jakkie Cilliers
Publisher : Springer Nature
Page : 429 pages
File Size : 42,5 Mb
Release : 2021-04-06
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9783030465902

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The Future of Africa by Jakkie Cilliers Pdf

This open access textbook offers a critical introduction to human and economic development prospects in Africa revolving around three questions: where is Africa today, what explains the current state, and, given historical trends and what we know about the world, where do we think the continent will be in 2040? And, a final question: what can we do to create a better tomorrow? It models ambitious progress in health, demographics, agriculture, education, industrialization, technological leapfrogging, increased trade, greater stability, better governance and external support. The book reviews the future of work/jobs, poverty and the impact of climate change. A combined Closing the Gap scenario presents a forecast of what could be possible by 2040. Each chapter suggests which policies might accelerate prospects for each sector. Written in an accessible style, and supported by a range of pedagogical features, this textbook introduces undergraduate and graduate students to the contemporary human and economic development prospects in Africa.

Author : National Research Council,Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Committee on Population,Panel on Policy Research and Data Needs to Meet the Challenge of Aging in Africa
Publisher : National Academies Press
Page : 368 pages
File Size : 43,8 Mb
Release : 2006-11-10
Category : Social Science
ISBN : 9780309180092

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Aging in Sub-Saharan Africa by National Research Council,Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Committee on Population,Panel on Policy Research and Data Needs to Meet the Challenge of Aging in Africa Pdf

In sub-Saharan Africa, older people make up a relatively small fraction of the total population and are supported primarily by family and other kinship networks. They have traditionally been viewed as repositories of information and wisdom, and are critical pillars of the community but as the HIV/AIDS pandemic destroys family systems, the elderly increasingly have to deal with the loss of their own support while absorbing the additional responsibilities of caring for their orphaned grandchildren. Aging in Sub-Saharan Africa explores ways to promote U.S. research interests and to augment the sub-Saharan governments' capacity to address the many challenges posed by population aging. Five major themes are explored in the book such as the need for a basic definition of "older person," the need for national governments to invest more in basic research and the coordination of data collection across countries, and the need for improved dialogue between local researchers and policy makers. This book makes three major recommendations: 1) the development of a research agenda 2) enhancing research opportunity and implementation and 3) the translation of research findings.

Author : Hans Groth,Alfonso Sousa-Poza
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 374 pages
File Size : 52,5 Mb
Release : 2012-03-28
Category : Social Science
ISBN : 9783642278808

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Population Dynamics in Muslim Countries by Hans Groth,Alfonso Sousa-Poza Pdf

The book discusses the demographic changes in Muslim countries. It thereby focuses on topics such as the demographic dividend and the demographic transition, labour market challenges, health care, universal education and gender issues. These challenges are addressed at a country level and include policy implications for the large majority of the Muslim countries covered in this book. Moreover, political consequences for Europe with respect to the integration of Muslims are presented to the reader.

Author : Dennis D. Cordell,Joel W. Gregory
Publisher : Univ of Wisconsin Press
Page : 308 pages
File Size : 47,8 Mb
Release : 1994
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 0299142744

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African Population and Capitalism by Dennis D. Cordell,Joel W. Gregory Pdf

A collection of 17 essays on the colonial era in Africa designed to demonstrate to demographers the importance of historical and social contexts in thinking about African populations, and to historians the importance and complex role played by population changes in social and economic changes. Two essays are in French. The 1987 edition sold out quickly and was rarely seen and little known; the wider distribution and lower price of the paper should prevent that fate overtaking the second. Paper edition (unseen), $17.95. No index. Annotation copyright by Book News, Inc., Portland, OR

Author : Henriette Engelhardt,Florian Schulz,Zafer Büyükkececi
Publisher : University of Bamberg Press
Page : 88 pages
File Size : 43,6 Mb
Release : 2018-03-01
Category : Africa, North
ISBN : 9783863095475

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Demographic and Human Development in the Middle East and North Africa by Henriette Engelhardt,Florian Schulz,Zafer Büyükkececi Pdf