An Application Of Bayes Theorem As A Hypothesis Selection Aid In A Complex Information Processing System

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An Application of Bayes Theorem as a Hypothesis-selection Aid in a Complex Information-processing System

Author : Jack F. Southard,David A. Schum,George Edward Briggs
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 72 pages
File Size : 53,6 Mb
Release : 1964
Category : Aviation medicine
ISBN : IND:30000090360797

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An Application of Bayes Theorem as a Hypothesis-selection Aid in a Complex Information-processing System by Jack F. Southard,David A. Schum,George Edward Briggs Pdf

A DDC Bibliography on Computer-aided Logical Processes

Author : Defense Documentation Center (U.S.)
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 288 pages
File Size : 52,7 Mb
Release : 1968
Category : Bionics
ISBN : STANFORD:36105033324638

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A DDC Bibliography on Computer-aided Logical Processes by Defense Documentation Center (U.S.) Pdf

Some Principles for the Design of Decision Systems

Author : William Carl Howell
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 26 pages
File Size : 42,5 Mb
Release : 1967
Category : Command and control systems
ISBN : IND:30000090169404

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Some Principles for the Design of Decision Systems by William Carl Howell Pdf

A Bibliography of Reports Issued by the Behavioral Sciences Laboratory

Author : United States. 6570th Aerospace Medical Research Laboratories. Behavioral Sciences Laboratories
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 152 pages
File Size : 45,7 Mb
Release : 1966
Category : Aviation medicine
ISBN : IND:30000099360418

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A Bibliography of Reports Issued by the Behavioral Sciences Laboratory by United States. 6570th Aerospace Medical Research Laboratories. Behavioral Sciences Laboratories Pdf

The Influence of Experience and Input Information Fidelity Upon Posterior Probability Estimation in a Simulated Threat-diagnosis System

Author : David A. Schum,Irwin L. Goldstein,Jack F. Southard
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 84 pages
File Size : 53,8 Mb
Release : 1965
Category : Electronic
ISBN : IND:30000090360805

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The Influence of Experience and Input Information Fidelity Upon Posterior Probability Estimation in a Simulated Threat-diagnosis System by David A. Schum,Irwin L. Goldstein,Jack F. Southard Pdf

Advances in Computers

Author : Anonim
Publisher : Academic Press
Page : 404 pages
File Size : 50,9 Mb
Release : 1971-06-26
Category : Computers
ISBN : 008056643X

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Advances in Computers by Anonim Pdf

Advances in Computers

Subject Control Over a Bayesian Hypothesis-selection Aid in a Complex Information-processing System

Author : Jack F. Southard,David A. Schum,George Edward Briggs
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 56 pages
File Size : 52,7 Mb
Release : 1964
Category : Decision making
ISBN : IND:30000090360789

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Subject Control Over a Bayesian Hypothesis-selection Aid in a Complex Information-processing System by Jack F. Southard,David A. Schum,George Edward Briggs Pdf

"This report describes the second experiment in a series devoted to estimating the effectiveness of automated hypothesis selection in man-machine systems in which threat evaluations or threat diagnoses are being performed. In the experiment an eight-man team produced evaluations of various threats posed by a hypothetical aggressor. These evaluations were made on the basis of intelligence information gathered on simulated reconnaissance overflights of the homeland area of the aggressor. IBM 1401 and 7090 computer facilities provided the means for generating the complex stimulus environment or data base. The primary output from this threat evaluation team was a series of a posteriori probabilities estimations produced by the team's commanding officer (CO). These estimations represented the CO's judgments as to the most likely of the four response alternatives available to the aggressor in deploying his forces along a border of contention. In three of the four experimental conditions the CO was provided with a hypothesis-selection aid based upon a modification of Bayes' theorem (MBT). In these three conditions the CO was permitted to exert an increasing amount of control over the MBT-aid mechanism. He exerted control either by adjustment of certain parameters in the MBT model or by direct insertion of conditional probabilities into the model. The purpose of the experiment was to observe whether increasing control over the MBT-aid mechanism would increase the user's acceptance of the aid and improve his threat-diagnosis performance. The CO's threat-evaluation performance did improve during the course of the experiment but independently of the MBT-aid configuration. Throughout the experiment, solutions of a posteriori probabilities based upon the MBT were calculated by the experimenter for comparison with the human estimates. These two sets of estimates were strikingly similar. The CO's estimates, although quite conservative in early trials, became noticeably less conservative as the experiment progressed. The overall difference between the accuracy of the CO and MBT estimations was negligible."--Abstract

U.S. Government Research Reports

Author : Anonim
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 1306 pages
File Size : 46,7 Mb
Release : 1964
Category : Science
ISBN : OSU:32435022153431

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U.S. Government Research Reports by Anonim Pdf

A Bibliography of Reports Issued by the Behavioral Sciences Laboratory

Author : Aerospace Medical Research Laboratories (U.S.). Behavioral Sciences Laboratory
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 20 pages
File Size : 47,9 Mb
Release : 1964
Category : Aviation medicine
ISBN : OSU:32435019832724

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A Bibliography of Reports Issued by the Behavioral Sciences Laboratory by Aerospace Medical Research Laboratories (U.S.). Behavioral Sciences Laboratory Pdf

Information System Science and Technology

Author : Congress on Information System Science and Technology
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 432 pages
File Size : 42,8 Mb
Release : 1967
Category : Decision making
ISBN : STANFORD:36105126751937

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Information System Science and Technology by Congress on Information System Science and Technology Pdf

Behavioral Foundations of System Development

Author : David Meister
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 400 pages
File Size : 40,7 Mb
Release : 1976
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN : WISC:89034011270

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Behavioral Foundations of System Development by David Meister Pdf

Introduction to the man-machine concept; Input effects on system performance; Task characteristics; Decision making; Team functions; Feedback; Concluding comments.

Engineering Psychology

Author : Irwin L. Goldstein
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 800 pages
File Size : 53,7 Mb
Release : 1971
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN : UCAL:B4129241

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Engineering Psychology by Irwin L. Goldstein Pdf