Avoid A Fall Or Fly Again Turning Points Of State Fragility

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Avoid a Fall Or Fly Again: Turning Points of State Fragility

Olusegun Ayodele Akanbi,Nikolay Gueorguiev,Mr. Jiro Honda,Paulomi Mehta,Mr. Kenji Moriyama,Keyra Primus,Mouhamadou Sy
Avoid a Fall Or Fly Again Turning Points of State Fragility Book PDF

Author : Olusegun Ayodele Akanbi,Nikolay Gueorguiev,Mr. Jiro Honda,Paulomi Mehta,Mr. Kenji Moriyama,Keyra Primus,Mouhamadou Sy
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 48 pages
File Size : 55,5 Mb
Release : 2021-05-06
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781513573687

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Avoid a Fall Or Fly Again: Turning Points of State Fragility by Olusegun Ayodele Akanbi,Nikolay Gueorguiev,Mr. Jiro Honda,Paulomi Mehta,Mr. Kenji Moriyama,Keyra Primus,Mouhamadou Sy Pdf

High persistence of state fragility (a fragility trap) suggests the presence of substantial benefits from avoiding a fall into fragility and considerable hurdles to successful exit from fragility. This paper empirically examines the factors that affect the turning points of entering and exiting from state fragility by employing three different approaches: an event study, the synthetic control method, and a logit model. We find that avoiding economic contraction is critical to prevent a country on the brink of fragility from falling into fragility (e.g., among near fragile countries, the probability of entering fragility would rise by 40 percentage points should real GDP per capita growth decline from +2.5 percent to -2.5 percent). Also, strengthening government effectiveness together with increasing political inclusion and maintaining robust economic activity should help make exit from fragility more successful and sustainable. In the current environment (the COVID-19 crisis and its aftermath), the findings suggest the importance of providing well-directed fiscal stimulus with sufficient financing, (subject to appropriate governance safeguards and well-designed policies), and protecting critical socio-economic spending to keep vulnerable countries away from being caught in a fragility trap.

Handbook of Fragile States

David Carment,Yiagadeesen Samy
Handbook of Fragile States Book PDF

Author : David Carment,Yiagadeesen Samy
Publisher : Edward Elgar Publishing
Page : 431 pages
File Size : 48,7 Mb
Release : 2023-08-14
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781800883475

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Handbook of Fragile States by David Carment,Yiagadeesen Samy Pdf

This timely Handbook examines the causes, costs and consequences of state fragility, advancing key debates in the field. Demonstrating the multidimensionality of fragility by applying diverse theories and methodologies, it provides new insights on effective policy development and application in the context of fragile states.

Staff Guidance Note on the Implementation of the IMF Strategy for Fragile and Conflict-Affected States (FCS)

International Monetary
Staff Guidance Note on the Implementation of the IMF Strategy for Fragile and Conflict Affected States FCS Book PDF

Author : International Monetary
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 85 pages
File Size : 51,8 Mb
Release : 2023-03-22
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 9798400235337

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Staff Guidance Note on the Implementation of the IMF Strategy for Fragile and Conflict-Affected States (FCS) by International Monetary Pdf

This note provides operational advice and information to help staff implement the IMF Strategy for Fragile and Conflict-Affected States (FCS) approved by the Executive Board on March 9, 2022. Topics covered include (i) the new IMF FCS classification methodology, which is aligned with that of the World Bank; (ii) the preparation of Country Engagement Strategies (CES) that will be rolled out across FCS to ensure that Fund engagement is appropriately tailored to country-specific manifestations of fragility and/or conflict; (iii) advice on tailoring the thematic focus of Article IV consultations and Fund analytics to FCS, as well as on the prioritization, design, and implementation of capacity development (CD) projects in fragile contexts; (iv) guidance on making full use of the flexibilities of the lending toolkit; (v) guidance on engaging in specific FCS situations, including building accountable institutions to exit fragility, cases of rising fragility risks, active conflict, post-conflict, and addressing the impact of external shocks and spillovers; and (v) strengthening partnerships with humanitarian, development, and peace actors, in accordance with the Fund's mandate. Dedicated annexes provide additional information on the CES process, addressing good governance in FCS, program design, and country examples of Fund engagement in FCS.

Mali

International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
Mali Book PDF

Author : International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 32 pages
File Size : 48,5 Mb
Release : 2023-06-14
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9798400246081

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Mali by International Monetary Fund. African Dept. Pdf

Mali: Selected Issues

Zimbabwe: 2022 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Zimbabwe

International Monetary,International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
Zimbabwe 2022 Article IV Consultation Press Release Staff Report and Statement by the Executive Director for Zimbabwe Book PDF

Author : International Monetary,International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 120 pages
File Size : 44,7 Mb
Release : 2022-04-08
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9798400209086

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Zimbabwe: 2022 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Zimbabwe by International Monetary,International Monetary Fund. African Dept. Pdf

Zimbabwe experienced severe exogenous shocks (cyclone Idai, protracted drought, and the COVID-19 pandemic) during 2019-20, which along with policy missteps in 2019, led to a deep recession and high inflation. Real GDP contracted cumulatively by 11.7 percent during 2019-20 and inflation reached 837 percent (y/y) by July 2020. Reflecting good rainfall and relaxation of containment measures, real GDP rose by 6.3 percent in 2021. A tighter policy stance since mid-2020 (relative to 2019) has contributed to reducing inflation to 60.7 percent (y/y) at end-2021. However, high double-digit inflation and wide parallel foreign exchange (FX) market premia persist. The economic downturn and high inflation increased the financial system vulnerabilities. Extreme poverty has risen and about a third of the population is at risk of food insecurity. The international community seeks improvements in domestic political conditions and economic policies to initiate reengagement with Zimbabwe. The authorities have started token payments to external creditors in a bid to revive international reengagement.

Lord of the Flies

William Golding
Lord of the Flies Book PDF

Author : William Golding
Publisher : Faber & Faber
Page : 301 pages
File Size : 45,8 Mb
Release : 2012-09-20
Category : Fiction
ISBN : 9780571290581

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Lord of the Flies by William Golding Pdf

A plane crashes on a desert island and the only survivors, a group of schoolboys, assemble on the beach and wait to be rescued. By day they inhabit a land of bright fantastic birds and dark blue seas, but at night their dreams are haunted by the image of a terrifying beast. As the boys' delicate sense of order fades, so their childish dreams are transformed into something more primitive, and their behaviour starts to take on a murderous, savage significance. First published in 1954, Lord of the Flies is one of the most celebrated and widely read of modern classics. Now fully revised and updated, this educational edition includes chapter summaries, comprehension questions, discussion points, classroom activities, a biographical profile of Golding, historical context relevant to the novel and an essay on Lord of the Flies by William Golding entitled 'Fable'. Aimed at Key Stage 3 and 4 students, it also includes a section on literary theory for advanced or A-level students. The educational edition encourages original and independent thinking while guiding the student through the text - ideal for use in the classroom and at home.

Global Trends 2040

National Intelligence Council
Global Trends 2040 Book PDF

Author : National Intelligence Council
Publisher : Cosimo Reports
Page : 158 pages
File Size : 47,7 Mb
Release : 2021-03
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 1646794974

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Global Trends 2040 by National Intelligence Council Pdf

"The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic marks the most significant, singular global disruption since World War II, with health, economic, political, and security implications that will ripple for years to come." -Global Trends 2040 (2021) Global Trends 2040-A More Contested World (2021), released by the US National Intelligence Council, is the latest report in its series of reports starting in 1997 about megatrends and the world's future. This report, strongly influenced by the COVID-19 pandemic, paints a bleak picture of the future and describes a contested, fragmented and turbulent world. It specifically discusses the four main trends that will shape tomorrow's world: - Demographics-by 2040, 1.4 billion people will be added mostly in Africa and South Asia. - Economics-increased government debt and concentrated economic power will escalate problems for the poor and middleclass. - Climate-a hotter world will increase water, food, and health insecurity. - Technology-the emergence of new technologies could both solve and cause problems for human life. Students of trends, policymakers, entrepreneurs, academics, journalists and anyone eager for a glimpse into the next decades, will find this report, with colored graphs, essential reading.

The Responsibility to Protect

International Commission on Intervention and State Sovereignty,International Development Research Centre (Canada)
The Responsibility to Protect Book PDF

Author : International Commission on Intervention and State Sovereignty,International Development Research Centre (Canada)
Publisher : IDRC
Page : 432 pages
File Size : 52,9 Mb
Release : 2001
Category : Law
ISBN : 0889369631

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The Responsibility to Protect by International Commission on Intervention and State Sovereignty,International Development Research Centre (Canada) Pdf

Responsibility to Protect: Research, bibliography, background. Supplementary volume to the Report of the International Commission on Intervention and State Sovereignty

How Democracies Die

Steven Levitsky,Daniel Ziblatt
How Democracies Die Book PDF

Author : Steven Levitsky,Daniel Ziblatt
Publisher : Crown
Page : 321 pages
File Size : 46,9 Mb
Release : 2019-01-08
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781524762940

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How Democracies Die by Steven Levitsky,Daniel Ziblatt Pdf

NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER • “Comprehensive, enlightening, and terrifyingly timely.”—The New York Times Book Review (Editors' Choice) WINNER OF THE GOLDSMITH BOOK PRIZE • SHORTLISTED FOR THE LIONEL GELBER PRIZE • NAMED ONE OF THE BEST BOOKS OF THE YEAR BY The Washington Post • Time • Foreign Affairs • WBUR • Paste Donald Trump’s presidency has raised a question that many of us never thought we’d be asking: Is our democracy in danger? Harvard professors Steven Levitsky and Daniel Ziblatt have spent more than twenty years studying the breakdown of democracies in Europe and Latin America, and they believe the answer is yes. Democracy no longer ends with a bang—in a revolution or military coup—but with a whimper: the slow, steady weakening of critical institutions, such as the judiciary and the press, and the gradual erosion of long-standing political norms. The good news is that there are several exit ramps on the road to authoritarianism. The bad news is that, by electing Trump, we have already passed the first one. Drawing on decades of research and a wide range of historical and global examples, from 1930s Europe to contemporary Hungary, Turkey, and Venezuela, to the American South during Jim Crow, Levitsky and Ziblatt show how democracies die—and how ours can be saved. Praise for How Democracies Die “What we desperately need is a sober, dispassionate look at the current state of affairs. Steven Levitsky and Daniel Ziblatt, two of the most respected scholars in the field of democracy studies, offer just that.”—The Washington Post “Where Levitsky and Ziblatt make their mark is in weaving together political science and historical analysis of both domestic and international democratic crises; in doing so, they expand the conversation beyond Trump and before him, to other countries and to the deep structure of American democracy and politics.”—Ezra Klein, Vox “If you only read one book for the rest of the year, read How Democracies Die. . . .This is not a book for just Democrats or Republicans. It is a book for all Americans. It is nonpartisan. It is fact based. It is deeply rooted in history. . . . The best commentary on our politics, no contest.”—Michael Morrell, former Acting Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (via Twitter) “A smart and deeply informed book about the ways in which democracy is being undermined in dozens of countries around the world, and in ways that are perfectly legal.”—Fareed Zakaria, CNN

Conflict and Fragility Do No Harm International Support for Statebuilding

OECD
Conflict and Fragility Do No Harm International Support for Statebuilding Book PDF

Author : OECD
Publisher : OECD Publishing
Page : 200 pages
File Size : 53,9 Mb
Release : 2009-12-24
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 9789264046245

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Conflict and Fragility Do No Harm International Support for Statebuilding by OECD Pdf

Based on comparative case studies of Afghanistan, Bolivia, Democratic Republic of Congo, Nepal, Rwanda, and Sierra Leone, this book addresses how the interventions of OECD countries may risk undermining positive statebuilding processes, and makes recommendations as to how this may be avoided.

Reimagining our futures together

International Commission on the Futures of Education
Reimagining our futures together Book PDF

Author : International Commission on the Futures of Education
Publisher : UNESCO Publishing
Page : 185 pages
File Size : 44,8 Mb
Release : 2021-11-06
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9789231004780

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Reimagining our futures together by International Commission on the Futures of Education Pdf

The interwoven futures of humanity and our planet are under threat. Urgent action, taken together, is needed to change course and reimagine our futures.

The Sense of an Ending

Julian Barnes
The Sense of an Ending Book PDF

Author : Julian Barnes
Publisher : Vintage
Page : 158 pages
File Size : 40,5 Mb
Release : 2011-10-05
Category : Fiction
ISBN : 9780307957337

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The Sense of an Ending by Julian Barnes Pdf

BOOKER PRIZE WINNER • NATIONAL BESTSELLER • A novel that follows a middle-aged man as he contends with a past he never much thought about—until his closest childhood friends return with a vengeance: one of them from the grave, another maddeningly present. A novel so compelling that it begs to be read in a single setting, The Sense of an Ending has the psychological and emotional depth and sophistication of Henry James at his best, and is a stunning achievement in Julian Barnes's oeuvre. Tony Webster thought he left his past behind as he built a life for himself, and his career has provided him with a secure retirement and an amicable relationship with his ex-wife and daughter, who now has a family of her own. But when he is presented with a mysterious legacy, he is forced to revise his estimation of his own nature and place in the world.

World Social Report 2020

Department of Economic and Social Affairs
World Social Report 2020 Book PDF

Author : Department of Economic and Social Affairs
Publisher : United Nations
Page : 216 pages
File Size : 53,6 Mb
Release : 2020-02-14
Category : Social Science
ISBN : 9789210043670

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World Social Report 2020 by Department of Economic and Social Affairs Pdf

This report examines the links between inequality and other major global trends (or megatrends), with a focus on technological change, climate change, urbanization and international migration. The analysis pays particular attention to poverty and labour market trends, as they mediate the distributional impacts of the major trends selected. It also provides policy recommendations to manage these megatrends in an equitable manner and considers the policy implications, so as to reduce inequalities and support their implementation.

Democracy and Education

John Dewey
Democracy and Education Book PDF

Author : John Dewey
Publisher : Read Books Ltd
Page : 562 pages
File Size : 44,8 Mb
Release : 2013-05-31
Category : Education
ISBN : 9781473382800

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Democracy and Education by John Dewey Pdf

This antiquarian volume contains a comprehensive treatise on democracy and education, being an introduction to the 'philosophy of education'. Written in clear, concise language and full of interesting expositions and thought-provoking assertions, this volume will appeal to those with an interest in the role of education in society, and it would make for a great addition to collections of allied literature. The chapters of this book include: 'Education as a Necessity of Life'; 'Education as a Social Function'; 'Education as Direction'; 'Education as Growth'; 'Preparation, Unfolding, and Formal Discipline'; 'Education as Conservative and Progressive'; 'The Democratic Conception in Education'; 'Aims in Education', etcetera. We are republishing this vintage book now complete with a new prefatory biography of the author.

Poems of Healing

Karl Kirchwey
Poems of Healing Book PDF

Author : Karl Kirchwey
Publisher : Everyman's Library
Page : 242 pages
File Size : 42,6 Mb
Release : 2021-03-30
Category : Poetry
ISBN : 9781101908259

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Poems of Healing by Karl Kirchwey Pdf

A remarkable Pocket Poets anthology of poems from around the world and across the centuries about illness and healing, both physical and spiritual. From ancient Greece and Rome up to the present moment, poets have responded with sensitivity and insight to the troubles of the human body and mind. Poems of Healing gathers a treasury of such poems, tracing the many possible journeys of physical and spiritual illness, injury, and recovery, from John Donne’s “Hymne to God My God, In My Sicknesse” and Emily Dickinson’s “The Soul has Bandaged moments” to Eavan Boland’s “Anorexic,” from W.H. Auden’s “Miss Gee” to Lucille Clifton’s “Cancer,” and from D.H. Lawrence’s “The Ship of Death” to Rafael Campo’s “Antidote” and Seamus Heaney’s “Miracle.” Here are poems from around the world, by Sappho, Milton, Baudelaire, Longfellow, Cavafy, and Omar Khayyam; by Stevens, Lowell, and Plath; by Zbigniew Herbert, Louise Bogan, Yehuda Amichai, Mark Strand, and Natalia Toledo. Messages of hope in the midst of pain—in such moving poems as Adam Zagajewski’s “Try to Praise the Mutilated World,” George Herbert’s “The Flower,” Wisława Szymborska’s “The End and the Beginning,” Gwendolyn Brooks’ “when you have forgotten Sunday: the love story” and Stevie Smith’s “Away, Melancholy”—make this the perfect gift to accompany anyone on a journey of healing. Everyman's Library pursues the highest production standards, printing on acid-free cream-colored paper, with full-cloth cases with two-color foil stamping, decorative endpapers, silk ribbon markers, European-style half-round spines, and a full-color illustrated jacket.