Balance Sheet Recession

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The Escape from Balance Sheet Recession and the QE Trap

Richard C. Koo
The Escape from Balance Sheet Recession and the QE Trap Book PDF

Author : Richard C. Koo
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 353 pages
File Size : 50,5 Mb
Release : 2014-10-27
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781119028123

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The Escape from Balance Sheet Recession and the QE Trap by Richard C. Koo Pdf

Compare global experiences during the balance sheet recession and find out what is needed for a full recovery The Escape from Balance Sheet Recession and the QE Trap details the many hidden dangers remaining as the world slowly recovers from the balance sheet recession of 2008. Author and leading economist Richard Koo explains the unique political and economic pitfalls that stand in the way of recovery from this rare type of recession that was largely overlooked by economists. Koo anticipated the current predicament in the West long before others and issued warnings in his previous books: Balance Sheet Recession and The Holy Grail of Macroeconomics. This new book illustrates how history is repeating itself in Europe while the United States, which learnt from the Japanese experience, is doing better by avoiding the fiscal cliff. However, because of the liberal dosage of quantitative easing already implemented, the United States, the United Kingdom, and Japan may face a treacherous path to normalcy in what Koo calls the QE Trap. He argues that it is necessary to understand balance sheet recession in order to resolve the Eurozone crisis, particularly the competitiveness problems. Koo issues warnings against those who are too ready to argue for structural reforms when the problems are actually with balance sheets. He re-examines Japan's two decades of experiences with this rare recession and offers an insider view on the Abenomics. On China, readers will gain a very different historical perspective as Koo argues that western commentators have forgotten their own history when they talk about the re-balancing of the Chinese economy. Learn from Japan which experienced the same predicament afflicting the West fifteen years earlier Discover how unwinding of quantitative easing will affect the United States, the United Kingdom, Japan, as well as the emerging world Examine solutions to the Eurozone problems caused by two balance sheet recessions eight years apart Gain insight into China's problems from the West's own experiences with urbanisation Koo, who developed the concept of balance sheet recession based on Japan's experience, took the revolution in macroeconomics started by John Maynard Keynes in 1936 to a new height. The Escape from Balance Sheet Recession and the QE Trap offers the world cure for balance sheet recession.

The Holy Grail of Macroeconomics

Richard C. Koo
The Holy Grail of Macroeconomics Book PDF

Author : Richard C. Koo
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 373 pages
File Size : 43,9 Mb
Release : 2011-11-21
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781118179185

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The Holy Grail of Macroeconomics by Richard C. Koo Pdf

The revised edition of this highly acclaimed work presents crucial lessons from Japan's recession that could aid the US and other economies as they struggle to recover from the current financial crisis. This book is about Japan's 15-year long recession and how it affected current theoretical thinking about its causes and cures. It has a detailed explanation on what happened to Japan, but the discoveries made are so far-reaching that a large portion of economics literature will have to be modified to accommodate another half to the macroeconomic spectrum of possibilities that conventional theorists have overlooked. The author developed the idea of yin and yang business cycles where the conventional world of profit maximization is the yang and the world of balance sheet recession, where companies are minimizing debt, is the yin. Once so divided, many varied theories developed in macro economics since the 1930s can be nicely categorized into a single comprehensive theory- The Holy Grail of Macro Economics

Balance Sheet Recession

Richard Koo
Balance Sheet Recession Book PDF

Author : Richard Koo
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 308 pages
File Size : 41,7 Mb
Release : 2003-10-24
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : UCSC:32106017156719

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Balance Sheet Recession by Richard Koo Pdf

In this groundbreaking book, leading international economist, Richard Koo argues that far from being the sick man of Asia, Japan is suffering from a temporary but highly unusual economic aberration. Economists and business commentators have always assumed that the majority of companies in any economy are forward looking and are trying to maximize profits. They never considered the possibility that a vast majority of companies may be placing their highest priorities on minimizing debt in order to repair their balance sheets. But that remote possibility has been the reality in Japan for the past decade, and more recently in many other countries including at least a part of the US. Balance Sheet Recession argues that contrary to popular belief, it is this massive shift in corporate behavior, instead of structural problems, that is the root cause of both the deflation and the non-performing loan problems that have troubled Japan for so long. It argues that when the causality runs from the corporate balance sheet problems to deflation and banking problems, a highly unconventional policy response is needed to stabilize the economy. After all, the last time anything similar has happened was the 1930s in the US. Richard Koo's experience in dealing with both the US banking crisis of the early 1980s and the Japanese balance sheet and banking problems of the last ten years makes him unique qualified to comment on this situation. He clearly explains how such a recession can happen in any economy following an asset price bubble, and how best to deal with it.

The Other Half of Macroeconomics and the Fate of Globalization

Richard C. Koo
The Other Half of Macroeconomics and the Fate of Globalization Book PDF

Author : Richard C. Koo
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 392 pages
File Size : 41,9 Mb
Release : 2018-02-12
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781119482161

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The Other Half of Macroeconomics and the Fate of Globalization by Richard C. Koo Pdf

Get a new perspective from the ‘other half’ of macroeconomics The failure of the vast majority of economists in government, academia and the private sector to predict either the post-2008 Great Recession or the degree of its severity has raised serious credibility issues for the profession. The repeated failures of central banks and other policymakers in all advanced countries to meet their inflation or growth targets in spite of astronomical monetary easing, have left the public rightfully suspicious of the establishment and its economists. The Other Half of Macroeconomics and the Fate of Globalization elucidates what was missing in economics all along and what changes are needed to make the profession relevant to the economic challenges of today. Once the other half of macroeconomics is understood both as a post-bubble phenomenon and as a phase of post-industrial economies, it should be possible for policy makers to devise appropriate measures to overcome difficulties advanced countries are facing today such as stagnation and income inequality. • Shows how it’s possible to devise appropriate policy response to slow wage and productivity growth in these economies • Demonstrates that the effectiveness of monetary and fiscal policy changes as an economy undergoes different stages of development • Argues that tax rules, regulations and even educational system must be revised to match the need of pursued (by emerging nations) countries • Explains the 200-year process of economic development and where that process is taking all of us Inside, Richard C. Koo offers a completely new way of looking at the economic predicament of advanced countries today.

House of Debt

Atif Mian,Amir Sufi
House of Debt Book PDF

Author : Atif Mian,Amir Sufi
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
Page : 238 pages
File Size : 45,9 Mb
Release : 2015-05-20
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780226277509

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House of Debt by Atif Mian,Amir Sufi Pdf

“A concise and powerful account of how the great recession happened and what should be done to avoid another one . . . well-argued and consistently informative.” —Wall Street Journal The Great American Recession of 2007-2009 resulted in the loss of eight million jobs and the loss of four million homes to foreclosures. Is it a coincidence that the United States witnessed a dramatic rise in household debt in the years before the recession—that the total amount of debt for American households doubled between 2000 and 2007 to $14 trillion? Definitely not. Armed with clear and powerful evidence, Atif Mian and Amir Sufi reveal in House of Debt how the Great Recession and Great Depression, as well as less dramatic periods of economic malaise, were caused by a large run-up in household debt followed by a significantly large drop in household spending. Though the banking crisis captured the public’s attention, Mian and Sufi argue strongly with actual data that current policy is too heavily biased toward protecting banks and creditors. Increasing the flow of credit, they show, is disastrously counterproductive when the fundamental problem is too much debt. As their research shows, excessive household debt leads to foreclosures, causing individuals to spend less and save more. Less spending means less demand for goods, followed by declines in production and huge job losses. How do we end such a cycle? With a direct attack on debt, say Mian and Sufi. We can be rid of painful bubble-and-bust episodes only if the financial system moves away from its reliance on inflexible debt contracts. As an example, they propose new mortgage contracts that are built on the principle of risk-sharing, a concept that would have prevented the housing bubble from emerging in the first place. Thoroughly grounded in compelling economic evidence, House of Debt offers convincing answers to some of the most important questions facing today’s economy: Why do severe recessions happen? Could we have prevented the Great Recession and its consequences? And what actions are needed to prevent such crises going forward?

The Interest of Time

Alejandro Reyes
The Interest of Time Book PDF

Author : Alejandro Reyes
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 328 pages
File Size : 41,9 Mb
Release : 2018-12-10
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 057842715X

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The Interest of Time by Alejandro Reyes Pdf

The Interest of Time is a book about your Money. As we approach the 10-year anniversary of the events that led to the Global Financial Crisis, the economies around the world have yet to regain pre-crisis growth levels. After unprecedented levels of stimulus, the US has embarked on a process of normalization of interest rates. Will the central banks of the world raise rates before the private sector has repaired their balance sheets? Or will another recession put us on a collision course with 0% interest rates and the Zero Lower Bound? There are two ways to build wealth. Make more money. Or spend less. Traditional economic theory relies on households and corporations who are always trying to "maximize profits" (make more money). However, once every 50-100 years, a special type of debt-driven recession damages balance sheets so drastically it changes people's thinking. They go into balance sheet repair mode. They spend less, instead of trying to make more. The Great Depression was a Balance Sheet Recession that lasted over 12 years and caused a global depression that fueled the start of World War II. Japan's Lost Decade is a Balance Sheet Recession and has been raging for almost 2 decades now. And finally, the Global Financial Crisis, or The Great Recession, is a Balance Sheet Recession. And it is not over. Everybody knows that there was a financial crisis that occurred in 2008. This is the true story about how the 30 million families that found themselves in underwater balance sheets recovered from the greatest financial crisis since The Great Depression. Many more are still struggling under the weight of backbreaking debt and stagnant wages in the US, and around the world. This book is about the Great Balance Sheet Recession, why it happened, how the governments, households and corporations of the world can deal with it, and steps you can take to strengthen your family's balance sheet for the future.

Monetary Policy After the Great Recession

Arkadiusz (University of Wroclaw) Sieron
Monetary Policy After the Great Recession Book PDF

Author : Arkadiusz (University of Wroclaw) Sieron
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 55,8 Mb
Release : 2022-05
Category : Global Financial Crisis, 2008-2009
ISBN : 0367621886

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Monetary Policy After the Great Recession by Arkadiusz (University of Wroclaw) Sieron Pdf

The author provides a thorough analysis of the issues related to the interest rates in the conduct of monetary policy, such as the risk-taking channel of monetary policy, zombie firms in the economy and the difference between the neutral and natural interest rate and the negative interest rate policy.

The Great Stagnation

Tyler Cowen
The Great Stagnation Book PDF

Author : Tyler Cowen
Publisher : Penguin
Page : 71 pages
File Size : 44,5 Mb
Release : 2011-01-25
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781101502259

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The Great Stagnation by Tyler Cowen Pdf

Tyler Cowen’s controversial New York Times bestseller—the book heard round the world that ignited a firestorm of debate and redefined the nature of America’s economic malaise. America has been through the biggest financial crisis since the great Depression, unemployment numbers are frightening, media wages have been flat since the 1970s, and it is common to expect that things will get worse before they get better. Certainly, the multidecade stagnation is not yet over. How will we get out of this mess? One political party tries to increase government spending even when we have no good plan for paying for ballooning programs like Medicare and Social Security. The other party seems to think tax cuts will raise revenue and has a record of creating bigger fiscal disasters that the first. Where does this madness come from? As Cowen argues, our economy has enjoyed low-hanging fruit since the seventeenth century: free land, immigrant labor, and powerful new technologies. But during the last forty years, the low-hanging fruit started disappearing, and we started pretending it was still there. We have failed to recognize that we are at a technological plateau. The fruit trees are barer than we want to believe. That's it. That is what has gone wrong and that is why our politics is crazy. In The Great Stagnation, Cowen reveals the underlying causes of our past prosperity and how we will generate it again. This is a passionate call for a new respect of scientific innovations that benefit not only the powerful elites, but humanity as a whole.

The Financial Crisis Inquiry Report

Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission
The Financial Crisis Inquiry Report Book PDF

Author : Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission
Publisher : Cosimo, Inc.
Page : 692 pages
File Size : 46,5 Mb
Release : 2011-05-01
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781616405410

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The Financial Crisis Inquiry Report by Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission Pdf

The Financial Crisis Inquiry Report, published by the U.S. Government and the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission in early 2011, is the official government report on the United States financial collapse and the review of major financial institutions that bankrupted and failed, or would have without help from the government. The commission and the report were implemented after Congress passed an act in 2009 to review and prevent fraudulent activity. The report details, among other things, the periods before, during, and after the crisis, what led up to it, and analyses of subprime mortgage lending, credit expansion and banking policies, the collapse of companies like Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, and the federal bailouts of Lehman and AIG. It also discusses the aftermath of the fallout and our current state. This report should be of interest to anyone concerned about the financial situation in the U.S. and around the world.THE FINANCIAL CRISIS INQUIRY COMMISSION is an independent, bi-partisan, government-appointed panel of 10 people that was created to "examine the causes, domestic and global, of the current financial and economic crisis in the United States." It was established as part of the Fraud Enforcement and Recovery Act of 2009. The commission consisted of private citizens with expertise in economics and finance, banking, housing, market regulation, and consumer protection. They examined and reported on "the collapse of major financial institutions that failed or would have failed if not for exceptional assistance from the government."News Dissector DANNY SCHECHTER is a journalist, blogger and filmmaker. He has been reporting on economic crises since the 1980's when he was with ABC News. His film In Debt We Trust warned of the economic meltdown in 2006. He has since written three books on the subject including Plunder: Investigating Our Economic Calamity (Cosimo Books, 2008), and The Crime Of Our Time: Why Wall Street Is Not Too Big to Jail (Disinfo Books, 2011), a companion to his latest film Plunder The Crime Of Our Time. He can be reached online at www.newsdissector.com.

Floored!

George Selgin
Floored Book PDF

Author : George Selgin
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 230 pages
File Size : 54,7 Mb
Release : 2018-10-22
Category : Federal Reserve banks
ISBN : 1948647087

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Floored! by George Selgin Pdf

In October 2008, as the U.S. economy plunged, the Federal Reserve began paying interest on banks' reserve balances. The resulting switch to a "floor system" of monetary control, in which changes in the interest rate on reserves, rather than reserve creation or destruction, became the Fed's chief tool for influencing economic activity, was to have far-reaching consequences--almost all of them regrettable. Besides intensifying the downturn by causing banks to hoard reserves, the floor system all but destroyed the market for unsecured interbank loans that had been banks' ordinary "first resort" source of last-minute liquidity. By depriving the Fed's asset purchases of the ability to stimulate investment and spending, it also compelled the Fed to compensate by purchasing assets on an unprecedented scale. All of this resulted in a substantial increase in the Fed's role in allocating scarce credit. Finally, by severing the ordinary connection between the stance of monetary policy and the extent of the Fed's asset holdings, the floor system risks turning the Fed's balance sheet into a fiscal-policy playground. Floored! offers a matchless account of our post-crisis monetary system's history and shortcomings.

Hidden Financial Risk

J. Edward Ketz
Hidden Financial Risk Book PDF

Author : J. Edward Ketz
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 314 pages
File Size : 44,9 Mb
Release : 2003-08-08
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780471468479

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Hidden Financial Risk by J. Edward Ketz Pdf

An insider's guide to understanding and eliminating accounting fraud How do these high-profile accounting scandals occur and what could have been done to prevent them. Hidden Financial Risk fills that void by examining methods for off balance sheet accounting, with a particular emphasis on special purpose entities (SPE), the accounting ruse of choice at Enron and other beleaguered companies. J. Edward Ketz identifies the incentives for managers to deceive investors and creditors about financial risk and also shows investors how to protect their investments in a world filled with accounting and auditing frauds. J. Edward Ketz, PhD (State College, PA) is MBA Faculty Director and Associate Professor of Accounting at Penn State's Smeal College of Business. He has been cited in the press nearly 300 times since Enron's bankruptcy, including The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, and The Washington Post.. He has a regular column in Accounting Today.

Money Matters

Syed F. Mahmud,Kaoru Yamaguchi,Murat  Yülek
Money Matters Book PDF

Author : Syed F. Mahmud,Kaoru Yamaguchi,Murat  Yülek
Publisher : Peter Lang Gmbh, Internationaler Verlag Der Wissenschaften
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 53,8 Mb
Release : 2017
Category : Macroeconomics
ISBN : 3631721455

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Money Matters by Syed F. Mahmud,Kaoru Yamaguchi,Murat  Yülek Pdf

This book discusses the shortcomings of the standard macroeconomic model (SMM). The SMM failed to explain the real world and anticipate the global financial crises. The main reason for these failures was the lack, in the SMM, of any role of money and the way the financial sector works.

Accounting discretion of banks during a financial crisis

Mr.Luc Laeven,Harry Huizinga
Accounting discretion of banks during a financial crisis Book PDF

Author : Mr.Luc Laeven,Harry Huizinga
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 43 pages
File Size : 43,7 Mb
Release : 2009-09-01
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781451873542

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Accounting discretion of banks during a financial crisis by Mr.Luc Laeven,Harry Huizinga Pdf

This paper shows that banks use accounting discretion to overstate the value of distressed assets. Banks' balance sheets overvalue real estate-related assets compared to the market value of these assets, especially during the U.S. mortgage crisis. Share prices of banks with large exposure to mortgage-backed securities also react favorably to recent changes in accounting rules that relax fair-value accounting, and these banks provision less for bad loans. Furthermore, distressed banks use discretion in the classification of mortgage-backed securities to inflate their books. Our results indicate that banks' balance sheets offer a distorted view of the financial health of the banks.

Rethinking Housing Bubbles

Steven D. Gjerstad,Vernon L. Smith
Rethinking Housing Bubbles Book PDF

Author : Steven D. Gjerstad,Vernon L. Smith
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
Page : 309 pages
File Size : 44,5 Mb
Release : 2014-05-12
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780521198097

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Rethinking Housing Bubbles by Steven D. Gjerstad,Vernon L. Smith Pdf

Steven D. Gjerstad and Nobel Laureate Vernon L. Smith demonstrate the critical role that household and bank balance sheets play in economic cycles.

How to Combat Recession

Laurence S. Seidman
How to Combat Recession Book PDF

Author : Laurence S. Seidman
Publisher : Oxford University Press
Page : 249 pages
File Size : 43,7 Mb
Release : 2018
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780190462178

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How to Combat Recession by Laurence S. Seidman Pdf

Introduction -- How would a benevolent ruler combat a recession? -- What is stimulus-without-debt? -- Do tax rebates work in a recession? -- What about other kinds of fiscal stimulus? -- Would stimulus-without-debt be inflationary? -- Would stimulus-without-debt weaken the Fed's balance sheet? -- Would stimulus-without-debt undermine Fed independence? -- Can't monetary stimulus overcome a severe recession? -- Can stimulus-without-debt be used by other countries? -- What have others written about stimulus-without-debt? -- Can stimulus-without-debt combat secular stagnation? -- Would stimulus-without-debt work in a plausible macro model? -- Are we ready for the next severe recession?