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Regional Projections of Climate Change Effects on Ontario Lake Trout (Salvelinus Namaycush) Populations by Charles Kenneth Minns,Brian J. Shuter,Jenni L. McDermid Pdf
Acknowledgements -- Introduction -- Methods -- Future Ontario Climates -- Morphometry of Ontario Lakes and Presence/Absence of Lake Trout -- Estimating Lake Stratification Patterns -- Thermal Specialization of Lake Trout -- Assessment of Impacts of Climate Change -- Results -- Conclusions -- References.
Climate Change and Ontario's Provincial Parks by Anonim Pdf
Resume -- Introduction -- Goals and Objectives -- OMNR's Strategic Plan for Responding to Climate Change -- Methods -- Step 1: Literature Review -- Step 2: Historical Climate Analysis and Climate Change Projections for Ontario's Provincial Parks -- Step 3: Terrestrial Vegetation Change Modelling Analysis -- Step 4: Fire Severity Change Modelling Analysis -- Step 5: Implications for Protected Areas Planning, Policy and Management in Ontario -- Results -- Step 1: Literature Review -- Step 2: Historical Climate Analysis and Climate Change Projections for Ontario Provincial Parks -- Step 3: Biome Type Representation Change in Ontario's Provincial Parks -- Step 4: Climate Change and Fire Severity in Ontario's Provincial Parks -- Step 5: Implications for Ontario Parks' Planning, Policy and Management Frameworks -- Implications of Climate Change for Ontario Parks' System Planning, Policy and Management Frameworks -- References -- Appendix 1: Historical Climate Variability and Trends in Ontario Provincial Parks -- Appendix 2: Summary of SRES (Special Report on Emission Scenarios) -- Appendix 3: Special Report on Emission Scenario (SRES) Global Circulation Model (GCM) Scatterplots for Each Provincial Park Analyzed.
The Impacts of Climate Change on Ontario's Forests by Stephen J. Colombo,Ontario Forest Research Institute Pdf
Reviews literature concerning the effects of global climate change on forest plants and communities, and provides opinions on the potential impacts that climate change may have on Ontario forests. Sections of the review discuss the following: the climate of Ontario in the 21st century as predicted by climate models; forest hydrology in relation to climate change; insects and climate change; impacts on fungi in the forest ecosystem; impacts on forest fires and their management; plant physiological responses; genetic implications of climate change; forest vegetation dynamics; the use of models in global climate change studies; and forest management responses to climate change.
Canada’s Top Climate Change Risks by The Expert Panel on Climate Change Risks and Adaptation Potential Pdf
Canada’s Top Climate Change Risks identifies the top risk areas based on the extent and likelihood of the potential damage, and rates the risk areas according to society’s ability to adapt and reduce negative outcomes. These 12 major areas of risk are: agriculture and food, coastal communities, ecosystems, fisheries, forestry, geopolitical dynamics, governance and capacity, human health and wellness, Indigenous ways of life, northern communities, physical infrastructure, and water. The report describes an approach to inform federal risk prioritization and adaptation responses. The Panel outlines a multi-layered method of prioritizing adaptation measures based on an understanding of the risk, adaptation potential, and federal roles and responsibilities.
Mike Wotton,R. S. McAlpine,Kim Logan,Ontario. Ministry of Natural Resources. Applied Research and Development
Author : Mike Wotton,R. S. McAlpine,Kim Logan,Ontario. Ministry of Natural Resources. Applied Research and Development Publisher : Sault Ste Marie : Ontario Ministry of Natural Resources, Applied Research and Development Page : 32 pages File Size : 44,6 Mb Release : 2005 Category : Climatic changes ISBN : MINN:31951D023630928
Climate Change and the Future Fire Environment in Ontario by Mike Wotton,R. S. McAlpine,Kim Logan,Ontario. Ministry of Natural Resources. Applied Research and Development Pdf
The increased fi re load is expected to increase the cost of fi re management in the province 16% by the year 2040 and 54% by the year 2090 over year 2000 costs, exclusive of infl ation or other factors. [...] In addition to increases in seasonal fi re severity indices, a number of these studies also predict increases in the frequency of occurrence of extreme fi re danger in some areas of the country (e.g., Stocks et al. [...] This study uses lightning- and people-caused fi re occurrence models developed specifi cally for Ontario with GCM projections of future climate and Ontario's level of protection analysis software, LEOPARDS (see McAlpine and Hirsch 1999) to estimate the impacts of climate change on the fi re management organization both in terms of numbers of escaped fi res and with respect to changes in operationa [...] The sites of the GCM grid cell centres and OMNR weather stations used are shown in Figure 1. Fire Weather and Fire Danger To create the fi re climate of a future decade, the monthly anomalies were applied to the daily data from the OMNR fi re weather station archive from the years 1992-2001 (corresponding to the period over which lightning records were available). [...] The Fire Behaviour Prediction (FBP) System (Forestry Canada Fire Danger Group 1992) was used in conjunction with the Initial Spread Index (ISI), the Build-up Index (BUI) (calculated on the detection date of the fi re using the FWI System), and the fuel type associated with the fi re to estimate an initial rate of spread for each fi re.
Ontario's Forests and Forestry in a Changing Climate by Stephen John Colombo Pdf
This report updates a review of literature about the effects of global climate change on forest plants and communities published in 1998. The focus is on changes in Ontario predicted for forest fires, insect outbreaks, disease, forest growth, species composition, harvest rates, wood supply, genetics and regeneration, and carbon-based forest management.--Includes text from document.
Regional Projections of Climate Change Effects on Ontario Lake Trout (Salvelinus Namaycush) Populations by Charles Kenneth Minns Pdf
Acknowledgements -- Introduction -- Methods -- Future Ontario Climates -- Morphometry of Ontario Lakes and Presence/Absence of Lake Trout -- Estimating Lake Stratification Patterns -- Thermal Specialization of Lake Trout -- Assessment of Impacts of Climate Change -- Results -- Conclusions -- References.
Current and Projected Future Climatic Conditions for Ecoregions and Selected Natural Heritage Areas in Ontario by Daniel William McKenney,Ontario. Applied Research and Development Branch Pdf
Finally, to introduce the concept of climate-related movement of flora and fauna, current and future climate envelopes are generated for 12 Ontario tree species that have a range of climate and site type preferences. [...] Between the monthly temperature and precipitation estimates and subsequently derived bioclimatic variables, a total of 55 climate variables were available to use in characterizing the climate of the ecoregions. [...] Given that the size and shape of maps of the climate envelope for each ecoregion will vary depending on the climate variables included in the analysis (Beaumont et al. [...] Finally, the current and future climate for each of the selected natural heritage areas was summarized for the 14 climate variables outlined above. [...] This map is a product of the Applied Research and Development Branch, Ontario Ministry of Natural Resources and the Toronto Canadian Forest Service.
An Assessment of the Vulnerability of Forest Vegetation of Ontario's Clay Belt (ecodistrict 3E-1) to Climage Change by William Charles Parker Pdf
"The vulnerability of the forest vegetation of Ontario's northern Clay Belt region to climate change was assessed using forest tree species composition and forest productivity as indicators. Changes in species composition were examined using the modelled bioclimatic niche of 15 tree species under current and future climate projected for three periods using four general circulation models and two emissions scenarios. Using climate projections from an ensemble model for these same scenarios and periods as inputs to climate-based site index and genecological models, changes in height growth were examined for several major tree species of the region as a measure of effects of climate on forest productivity. Major northward geographic shifts in species bioclimatic niche were projected, resulting in suitable climatic habitat decreasing for boreal forest species of the region, and becoming more favourable for species currently associated with more southern, i.e., Great Lakes-St. Lawrence, areas."--Document.
Adapting to Climate Change by Gregory R. A. Richardson,Canada. Natural Resources Canada Pdf
The impacts of changing climate are already evident in Canada and globally. Scientific understanding of climate change indicates that Canada will experience significant shifts in weather patterns over the period of a single generation, a trend that will likely continue for several centuries. Communities of all sizes will face many new risks and opportunities. Managing the impacts of a changing climate will require developing local strategies.
The Canada Country Study by Canada. Environment Canada Pdf
"Changes in climate are nothing new to our planet. From our own experiences here in Canada, we know that one summer is often warmer than another, or one winter is colder or snowier than another. Such differences are normal and related to changes in ocean currents or sea-surface temperatures, volcanic eruptions, alterations in the sun's heat, or other features of the climate system"--Introduction, page 3.
