Climate Variability And Tropical Cyclone Activity

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Climate Variability and Tropical Cyclone Activity

Author : Pao-Shin Chu,Hiroyuki Murakami
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
Page : 321 pages
File Size : 41,5 Mb
Release : 2022-03-10
Category : Nature
ISBN : 9781108480215

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Climate Variability and Tropical Cyclone Activity by Pao-Shin Chu,Hiroyuki Murakami Pdf

A comprehensive summary of tropical cyclone variability at time scales from intraseasonal and interannual to interdecadal and centennial. Major climate oscillations (Madden-Julian, El Niño, Atlantic Meridional Mode and Pacific Decadal) are covered, and their impacts on tropical cyclone activity in the Pacific and Atlantic oceans are discussed.

Global Perspectives on Tropical Cyclones

Author : Johnny C. L. Chan,Jeffrey D. Kepert
Publisher : World Scientific
Page : 445 pages
File Size : 47,8 Mb
Release : 2010
Category : Science
ISBN : 9789814293488

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Global Perspectives on Tropical Cyclones by Johnny C. L. Chan,Jeffrey D. Kepert Pdf

Pt. I. Theory of tropical cyclones. ch. 1. Tropical cyclone structure and dynamics / Jeffrey D. Kepert. ch. 2. Tropical cyclone formation / Kevin J. Tory and William M. Frank. ch. 3. Air-sea interactions in tropical cyclones / Lynn K. Shay. ch. 4. Movement of tropical cyclones / Johnny C.L. Chan. ch. 5. The extratropical transition of tropical cyclones : structural characteristics, downstream impacts, and forecast challenges / Patrick A. Harr -- pt. II. Observations of tropical cyclones. ch. 6. Observing and analyzing the near-surface wind field in tropical cyclones / Mark D. Powell. ch. 7. Satellite observations of tropical cyclones / Christopher Velden and Jeffrey Hawkins. ch. 8. Aircraft observations of tropical cyclones / Sim D. Aberson [und weitere] -- pt. III. Climate variations of tropical cyclone activity. ch. 9. Tropical cyclones and climate change : a review / Thomas Knutson, Chris Landsea and Kerry Emanuel -- pt. IV. Forecasting of tropical cyclones. ch. 10. Track and structure forecasts of tropical cyclones / Julian Heming and Jim Goerss. ch. 11. The influence of natural climate variability on tropical cyclones, and seasonal forecasts of tropical cyclone activity / Suzana J. Camargo [und weitere] -- pt. V. Hydrological aspects of tropical cyclones. ch. 12. Storm surge modeling and applications in coastal areas / Shishir K. Dube [und weitere] -- pt. VI. Societal impacts of tropical cyclones. ch. 13. Disaster mitigation and societal impacts / David King, Jim Davidson and Linda Anderson-Berry

Indian Ocean Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change

Author : Yassine Charabi
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 373 pages
File Size : 53,7 Mb
Release : 2010-01-19
Category : Science
ISBN : 9789048131099

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Indian Ocean Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change by Yassine Charabi Pdf

Tropical cyclones are topic that is not appropriately known to the public at large, but climate change has been on the public’s mind since the last decade and a concern that has peaked in the new millennium. Like the television programs of Jean Yves Cousteau the ‘plight of the oceans’, have recent documentaries nurtured a conscio- ness that major climatological changes are in the offing, even have started to develop. The retreat of glaciers on mountain tops and in Polar Regions is ‘being seen’ on ‘the small screen’ and has favored an environmental awareness in all populations that are enjoying an average well-being on Planet Earth. The vivid images on screen of storms, floods, and tsunamis share the fear provoking landscapes of deforestation, desertification and the like. Watching such as this one is seen are voices warning of what over is ‘in store’ if the causative problems are not remedied. Talking and d- cussing are useful, but action must follow. Understanding the full ramifications of climate change on tropical cyclones is a task that will takes several decades. In Climate Change 2007, the Fourth Assessment Report of the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) a high probability of major changes in tropical cyclone activity across the various ocean basins is highlighted.

Hurricanes and Climate Change

Author : Jennifer M. Collins,Kevin Walsh
Publisher : Springer
Page : 255 pages
File Size : 55,7 Mb
Release : 2017-02-20
Category : Science
ISBN : 9783319475943

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Hurricanes and Climate Change by Jennifer M. Collins,Kevin Walsh Pdf

This book provides research that shows tropical cyclones are more powerful than in the past with the most dramatic increases occurring over the North Atlantic and with the strongest hurricanes. Although such increases are correlated with warming oceans and are consistent with the thermodynamic theory of hurricane intensity, there remains doubt about the interpretation, integrity, and meaning of these results. Arising from the 5th International Summit on Hurricanes and Climate Change, this book contains new research on topics related to hurricanes and climate change. Bringing together international leading academics and researchers on various sides of the debate, the book discusses new research and expresses opinions about what is happening and what might happen in the future with regard to regional and global hurricane (tropical cyclone) activity.

Hurricanes and Climate Change

Author : James B. Elsner,Thomas H. Jagger
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 425 pages
File Size : 45,7 Mb
Release : 2010-01-23
Category : Science
ISBN : 9780387094106

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Hurricanes and Climate Change by James B. Elsner,Thomas H. Jagger Pdf

Recent studies suggest that tropical cyclones are more powerful than in the past with the most dramatic increase in the North Atlantic. The increase is correlated with an increase in ocean temperature. A debate concerns the nature of these increases with some scientists attributing them to a natural climate fluctuation and others suggesting climate change related to anthropogenic increases in forcing from greenhouse gases. A Summit on Hurricanes and Climate Change was held during the spring of 2007 on the island of Crete that brought together leading academics and researchers on both sides of the scientific debate to discuss new research and express opinions about what will happen in the future with regard to hurricane activity. This proceedings volume highlights the state-of-the-science research into various aspects of the hurricane-climate connection. It is likely that the science presented here will lead to new research that will help answer crucial questions about our sustainable future.

Marine Climate and Climate Change

Author : Ralf Weisse
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 247 pages
File Size : 49,7 Mb
Release : 2010-01-08
Category : Science
ISBN : 9783540684916

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Marine Climate and Climate Change by Ralf Weisse Pdf

Marine environmental conditions such as storms, storm surges and wave heights are directly experienced by, for example, off-shore operations or coastal populations. The authors review and bring together the state-of-the-art and present day knowledge about historical changes, recent trends and concepts on how marine environmental conditions may change in the future as well as discuss models and data problems.

Hurricanes and Typhoons

Author : Richard J. Murnane,Kam-biu Liu
Publisher : Columbia University Press
Page : 494 pages
File Size : 51,7 Mb
Release : 2004-12-01
Category : Science
ISBN : 0231509286

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Hurricanes and Typhoons by Richard J. Murnane,Kam-biu Liu Pdf

This book surveys the past, present, and potential future variability of hurricanes and typhoons on a variety of timescales using newly developed approaches based on geological and archival records, in addition to more traditional approaches based on the analysis of the historical record of tropical cyclone tracks. A unique aspect of the book is that it provides an overview of the developing field of paleotempestology, which uses geological, biological, and documentary evidence to reconstruct prehistoric changes in hurricane landfall. The book also presents a particularly wide sampling of ongoing efforts to extend the best track data sets using historical material from many sources, including Chinese archives, British naval logbooks, Spanish colonial records, and early diaries from South Carolina. The book will be of particular interest to tropical meteorologists, geologists, and climatologists as well as to the catastrophe reinsurance industry, graduate students in meteorology, and public employees active in planning and emergency management.

Uncertainties and Limitations in Simulating Tropical Cyclones

Author : Asuka Suzuki-Parker
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 89 pages
File Size : 40,7 Mb
Release : 2012-01-05
Category : Science
ISBN : 9783642250286

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Uncertainties and Limitations in Simulating Tropical Cyclones by Asuka Suzuki-Parker Pdf

The thesis work was in two major parts: development and testing of a new approach to detecting and tracking tropical cyclones in climate models; and application of an extreme value statistical approach to enable assessment of changes in weather extremes from climate models. The tracking algorithm applied a creative phase-space approach to differentiate between modeled tropical cyclones and their mid-latitude cousins. A feature here was the careful attention to sensitivity to choice of selection parameters, which is considerable. The major finding was that the changes over time were relatively insensitive to these details. This new approach will improve and add confidence to future assessments of climate impacts on hurricanes. The extremes approach utilized the Generalized Pareto Distribution (one of the standard approaches to statistics of extremes) applied to present and future hurricane distributions as modeled by a regional climate model, then applied the changes to current observations to extract the changes in the extremes. Since climate models cannot resolve these extremes directly, this provides an excellent method of determining weather extremes in general. This is of considerable societal importance as we are most vulnerable to such extremes and knowledge of their changes enables improved planning and adaptation strategies.

Tropical Cyclones

Author : James P. Terry
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 219 pages
File Size : 50,5 Mb
Release : 2007-09-20
Category : Science
ISBN : 9780387715438

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Tropical Cyclones by James P. Terry Pdf

This original book describes the behavior of tropical cyclones in the South Pacific. It investigates the broad range of disturbance effects these violent storms have on the physical environments of the islands that lie in their path and the people who live on them. It is the first book to link these two themes – the characteristics of cyclones and their landscape impacts. Examples and illustrations are drawn widely from across the region, resulting in a highly readable volume.

Tropical Cyclones

Author : James P. Terry
Publisher : Springer
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 41,5 Mb
Release : 2007-10-29
Category : Science
ISBN : 0387715428

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Tropical Cyclones by James P. Terry Pdf

This original book describes the behavior of tropical cyclones in the South Pacific. It investigates the broad range of disturbance effects these violent storms have on the physical environments of the islands that lie in their path and the people who live on them. It is the first book to link these two themes – the characteristics of cyclones and their landscape impacts. Examples and illustrations are drawn widely from across the region, resulting in a highly readable volume.

Climate Change: Multidecadal and Beyond

Author : Chih-Pei Chang,Michael Ghil,Mojib Latif,John M Wallace
Publisher : World Scientific
Page : 388 pages
File Size : 44,8 Mb
Release : 2015-08-06
Category : Science
ISBN : 9789814579940

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Climate Change: Multidecadal and Beyond by Chih-Pei Chang,Michael Ghil,Mojib Latif,John M Wallace Pdf

This book focuses on two major challenges in the climate sciences: 1) to describe the decadal-to-centennial variations in instrumental and proxy records; and 2) to distinguish between anthropogenic variations and natural variability. The National Taiwan University invited some of the world's leading experts across the areas of observational analysis, mathematical theory, and modeling to discuss these two issues. The outcome of the meeting is the 23 chapters in this book that review the state of the art in theoretical, observational and modeling research on internal, unforced and externally forced climate variability. The main conclusion of this research is that internal climate variability on decadal and longer time scales is so large that sidestepping it may lead to false estimates of the climate's sensitivity to anthropogenic forcing. Contents:Attribution of Climate Change in the Presence of Internal Variability (John M Wallace, Clara Deser, Brian V Smoliak, and Adam S Phillips)A Mathematical Theory of Climate Sensitivity or, How to Deal With Both Anthropogenic Forcing and Natural Variability? (Michael Ghil)Fluctuation-dissipation Theorem with Application to Climate Change Studies with Seasonal Impact (Xiaoming Wang)Parametrization of Cross-scale Interaction in Multiscale Systems (Jeroen Wouters and Valerio Lucarini)Dynamics of Nonlinear Error Growth and the "Spring Predictability Barrier" for El Niño Predictions (Wansuo Duan and Mu Mu)An Adaptive Approach for Nonlinear and Nonstationary Data Analysis (Norden E Huang)Internal Southern Ocean Centennial Variability: Dynamics, Impacts and Implications for Global Warming (Mojib Latif, Torge Martin, Wonsun Park, and Mohammad H Bordbar)Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation and Climate (Rong Zhang)North Atlantic Multi-Decadal Variability — Mechanisms and Predictability (Noel S Keenlyside, Jin Ba, Jennifer Mecking, Nour-Eddine Omrani, Mojib Latif, Rong Zhang, and Rym Msadek)A Review of the Dynamics of Pacific Interdecadal Climate Variability (Zhengyu Liu)Global-Scale Decadal Hyper Modes (Dietmar Dommenget)Evidence for a Recurrent Multi-Decadal Oscillation in Global Temperature and Possible Impacts on 21st Century Climate Projections (Ka-Kit Tung and Jiansong Zhou)Variability of Sea Ice Extent Over Decadal and Longer Timescales (John E Walsh and William L Chapman)Multi-year Prediction and Predictability (Timothy DelSole, Michael K Tippett, and Liwei Jia)Decadal Hydroclimate Variability Across the Americas (Richard Seager)The Interhemispheric Pattern and Long-Term Variations in the Tropical Climate over the 20th and 21st Centuries (John C H Chiang)Climate of China in the Holocene (Wang Shaowu, Wen Xinyu, and Huang Jianbin)North Atlantic Hurricane Activity: Past, Present and Future (Rym Msadek, Gabriel A Vecchi, and Thomas R Knutson)Observed Variations of Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclone Activity on Decadal Time Scales and Longer (Johnny C L Chan)Record-Breaking Increase of Tropical Cyclone Heavy Rainfall in Taiwan in the First Decade of 21st Century (Chih-Pei Chang, Hung-Chi Kuo, and Chung-Hsiung Sui)Multi-Decadal Variability in Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall Using Proxy Data (Bhupendra N Goswami, Ramesh H Kripalani, Hemant P Borgaonkar, and Bhaskar Preethi)The South-Flood North-Drought Pattern Over Eastern China and the Drying of the Gangetic Plain (Sumant Nigam, Yongjing Zhao, Alfredo Ruiz-Barradas, and Tianjun Zhou)Impacts of Aerosols on the Asian Monsoon — An Interim Assessment (William K M Lau and Kyu-Myong Kim) Readership: Graduate students, academics and researchers in atmospheric sciences, oceanography, mathematics, and climate change. Keywords:Climate Change;Multidecadal Variability;Climate Variability Asia-Pacific Weather

Tropical Cyclones and Climate Variability

Author : Risk Prediction Initiative
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 45 pages
File Size : 40,9 Mb
Release : 1997
Category : Climatic changes
ISBN : 0966127706

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Tropical Cyclones and Climate Variability by Risk Prediction Initiative Pdf

Water-related Disasters, Climate Variability and Change

Author : Tomonori Matsuura
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 184 pages
File Size : 47,7 Mb
Release : 2007
Category : Climatic changes
ISBN : CORNELL:31924107195509

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Water-related Disasters, Climate Variability and Change by Tomonori Matsuura Pdf

Severe tropical storms and typhoons hit East Asia mainly from summer to autumn every year, bringing abundant water resources to the inhabitants. However, typhoons are among the most devastating of all natural disasters, causing the loss of many lives and giving rise to large economic losses. In Japan, the number of fatalities as a result of typhoons has been reduced because of new observation techniques, such as rawinsonde, meteorological satellites, radar, numerical forecasts, information services through radio and television, and the service of structures including river improvement and erosion and torrent control works. We have found, however, that recent severe tropical storms, the cyclone in Bangladesh in 1998 and Hurricane Katrina in the United States in 2005, generated massive destruction. In regard to typhoons, several time-period variations appear in the genetic numbers during 1951-2005: interannual frequency, interdecadal frequency, and long-term trends. This suggests that typhoons and hurricanes have become activated and this should relate to the recent global warming over the past 30 years. Therefore it is necessary to confirm how tropical storm activity will change in the future as a result of climate variability and fluctuation. The third report of the IPCC (the United Nation s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) indicates that water-related disasters resulting from severe weather will change in quality in association with global warming. With the recent development of satellite remote sensing, ground and aircraft observations, numerical simulation techniques, and the investigations of global climate change, the relationship between global warming and tropical storms and, furthermore, their related disasters are making progress. Under these situations, our group planned to conduct a project, entitled Study on extreme weather events and water-related disasters as a result of climate variability and changes, to make use of projecting a long-term change of water-related disasters from 2002 to 2004. Based on our group s recent research and the related studies of other institute researchers in Japan, we prepared the results of tropical cyclones as recent reviews for publication as a book, Water-Related Disasters; Climate Variability and Change: Results of Severe Tropical Storms in East Asia. In this work, we introduce new numerical and data-analysis research concerning the relationship between East Asia s climate variability and changes and tropical storms, the storms by themselves, and the water-related disasters they cause. The first paper, Climate Changes and Tropical Storms in the Western North Pacific, reviews the general overview of typhoon classifications, developing mechanisms, structures, climatologies, and their disasters. The second paper, The Structure of Tropical Cyclones, addresses three stages: developing stage in general, mature stage, and developing stage in detail. The third paper, Extratropical Response to Typhoon-Induced Convective Heating over the Western North Pacific in Summer, is a new insight into how the typhoons are generated over the tropics and how they affect the midlatitude area through teleconnection. Paper number four, The Relationship Between ENSO and a Tropical Cyclone Simulated in a CGCM, deals with the characteristics of typhoon activity during the El Niño and La Niña periods. The fifth paper, Global Warming and Tropical Storms. Simulations Using General Circulation Models, presents the hot topic of tropical storm activity when global warming occurs. Paper number six, Potential Hydrologic Change Resulting from Greenhouse Warming, is a downscaling result of CGCM to a regional atmospheric model for global warming simulation. The seventh paper, The Influences of Climate Change in the Frequencies of Storm Rainfalls and Flood Disasters, addresses the particularly heavy rain caused by ENSO and typhoons in Japan. This paper also describes the impacts of global warming on heavy precipitation frequency and the flood risk of the Tama River Basin in Japan. The final paper in the book, Changes in Wave Climate in the Western North Pacific, presents a study of interannual variability and a future projection of summertime wave heights in the western North Pacific. We hope this book will be read and referred to not only by researchers of tropical cyclones and by climatologists, but also by the wider scientific community of researchers, science managers, and graduate students.

Monitoring and Prediction of Tropical Cyclones in the Indian Ocean and Climate Change

Author : U.C. Mohanty,M. Mohapatra,O.P. Singh,B.K. Bandyopadhyay,L.S. Rathore
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 428 pages
File Size : 45,6 Mb
Release : 2013-10-12
Category : Science
ISBN : 9789400777200

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Monitoring and Prediction of Tropical Cyclones in the Indian Ocean and Climate Change by U.C. Mohanty,M. Mohapatra,O.P. Singh,B.K. Bandyopadhyay,L.S. Rathore Pdf

This book deals with recent advances in our understanding and prediction of tropical cyclogenesis, intensification and movement as well as landfall processes like heavy rainfall, gale wind and storm surge based on the latest observational and numerical weather prediction (NWP) modeling platforms. It also includes tropical cyclone (TC) management issues like early warning systems, recent high impact TC events, disaster preparedness, assessment of risk and vulnerability including construction, archiving and retrieval of the best tracking and historical data sets, policy decision etc., in view of recent findings on climate change aspects and their impact on TC activity. The chapters are authored by leading experts, both from research and operational environments. This book is relevant to cyclone forecasters and researchers, managers, policy makers, graduate and undergraduate students. It intends to stimulate thinking and hence further research in the field of TCs and climate change, especially over the Indian Ocean region and provides high-quality reference materials for all the users mentioned above for the management of TCs over this region.