Common Mistakes In System Dynamics Manual To Create Simulation Models For Business Dynamics Environment And Social Sciences

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Common mistakes in System Dynamics

Author : Juan Martin Garcia
Publisher : Juan Martín García
Page : 66 pages
File Size : 45,6 Mb
Release : 2023-09-03
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781791578787

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Common mistakes in System Dynamics by Juan Martin Garcia Pdf

Creating a simulation model with System Dynamics is not easy, there is the risk of making serious mistakes that force the model to remain unfinished after having dedicated days of work. There are books and courses which show the steps to be taken in the process of creating a simulation model, but it is observed that some errors are repeated frequently. This book offers a different approach, instead of explaining how to create a simulation model, it shows the mistakes that are usually made. The book is designed for students who are looking for a quick manual to identify the most common mistakes made when creating simulation models by applying System Dynamics, to correct them before presenting their research or work. The experts will find in this book a list of points to check before making a presentation to their clients. The content of the book allows the reader to identify the errors described and take them into account before submitting or publishing a work. AN ESSENTIAL BOOK Content Causal Loop Diagram CLD 7 1. Guidelines 2. Definition of the elements 3. Loops and causal chains 4. Variable that depends on many other variables 5. Variables in a positive sense 6. Variables that do not influence anything 7. Variables with signs 8. Confusing diagrams Stocks and Flows Diagram SFD 25 9. Guidelines 10. One variable only once 11. Coherence of flows and their stocks 12. Flow concept 13. Stocks without flows, flows without stocks 14. Stocks only depend on flows 15. Arrows with signs 16. Uppercase for everything 17. Clouds that depend on variables 18. Two tables together 19. It depends, but it is constant 20. Obvious mistakes 21. Flows between two clouds 22. Impossible results Key points to review 55

Common Mistakes in System Dynamics: Manual to Create Simulation Models for Business Dynamics, Environment and Social Sciences.

Author : Juan Martin Garcia
Publisher : Vensim
Page : 78 pages
File Size : 40,6 Mb
Release : 2018-12-21
Category : Science
ISBN : 1792101163

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Common Mistakes in System Dynamics: Manual to Create Simulation Models for Business Dynamics, Environment and Social Sciences. by Juan Martin Garcia Pdf

Creating a simulation model with System Dynamics is not easy, there is the risk of making serious mistakes that force the model to remain unfinished after having dedicated days of work. There are books and courses which show the steps to be taken in the process of creating a simulation model, but it is observed that some errors are repeated frequently. This book offers a different approach, instead of explaining how to create a simulation model, it shows the mistakes that are usually made. The book is designed for students who are looking for a quick manual to identify the most common mistakes made when creating simulation models by applying System Dynamics, to correct them before presenting their research or work. The experts will find in this book a list of points to check before making a presentation to their clients.The content of the book allows the reader to identify the errors described and take them into account before submitting or publishing a work. The most essential book for beginners and experts Content Causal Loop Diagram CLD 1. Guidelines 2. Definition of the elements 3. Loops and causal chains 4. Variable that depends on many 5. Variables in a positive sense 6. Variables that do not influence anything 7. Variables with signs 8. Confusing diagrams Stocks and Flows Diagram SFD 9. Guidelines 10. One variable only once 11. Coherence of flows and their levels 12. Flow concept 13. Levels without flows, flows without levels 14. Levels only depend on flows 15. Arrows with signs 16. Uppercase for everything 17. Clouds that depend on variables 18. Variables that depend on two tables 19. It depends, but it is constant 20. Do not look up from the paper 21. Badly connected flows 22. Impossible values The author Juan Martín García is teacher, consultant, and a worldwide recognized expert in System Dynamics, with more than twenty years of experience in this field. Ph.D. Industrial Engineer (Spain) and Postgraduated Diploma in Business Dynamics at Massachusetts Institute of Technology MIT (USA). He teaches Vensim online courses in http://vensim.com/vensim-online-courses/ based on System Dynamics.

Dynamic Simulation and Virtual Reality in Hydrology and Water Resources Management

Author : Ramesh S.V. Teegavarapu,Chandramouli V. Chandramouli
Publisher : CRC Press
Page : 199 pages
File Size : 52,7 Mb
Release : 2021-07-27
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN : 9781000414271

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Dynamic Simulation and Virtual Reality in Hydrology and Water Resources Management by Ramesh S.V. Teegavarapu,Chandramouli V. Chandramouli Pdf

Dynamic Simulation and Virtual Reality in Hydrology and Water Resources Management focuses on the understanding, use, and application of system dynamics simulation and virtual reality approaches for modeling the spatial and temporal behavior of natural and managed hydro-environmental systems. The book discusses concepts of systems thinking and system dynamics approach, and it furthers understanding of the dynamic behavior of natural and engineering systems using feedbacks and dynamic simulation. Numerous examples of models built using different system dynamics simulation modeling environments are provided. It also introduces concepts related to computer animation and virtual reality–based immersive modeling. Applications of systems dynamics, simulation with animation, and virtual reality approaches for modeling and management of hydro-environmental systems are illustrated through case studies. This text is ideal for water resources professionals, graduate students, hydrologic modelers, and engineers who are interested in systems thinking, dynamic simulation, and virtual reality modeling approaches. It will serve as a valuable reference for engineering professionals who model, manage, and operate hydrosystems. Engineering educators will find the book immensely useful to enhance the learning experiences of students. Dr. Ramesh S. V. Teegavarapu is a professor at Florida Atlantic University with expertise in modeling water resources and environmental systems, hydroinformatics, and climate change. Dr. Chandramouli V. Chandramouli is a professor at Purdue University Northwest. His expertise is in water resources and environmental modeling integrating artificial intelligence techniques.

System Dynamics Fast Guide: A Basic Tutorial with Examples for Modeling, Analysis and Simulate the Complexity of Business and Environmental System

Author : Anonim
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 278 pages
File Size : 52,9 Mb
Release : 2018-09-28
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1724126539

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System Dynamics Fast Guide: A Basic Tutorial with Examples for Modeling, Analysis and Simulate the Complexity of Business and Environmental System by Anonim Pdf

System Dynamics finds its main applications in the complex and ill-defined environments. System Dynamics is radically different from other techniques applied to the construction of models of socioeconomic systems, such as econometrics based on a behavioral approach. The basic objective of System Dynamics is to understand the structure that causes the behavior of the system. System Dynamics allows the construction of models after a careful analysis of the elements of the system. This book provides a clear and orderly vision of how to build a simulation model with System Dynamics.The System Dynamics finds its main applications in the complex and ill-defined environments, where the decisions of the human being intervene. The point of view of the System Dynamics is radically different from that of other techniques applied to the construction of models of socioeconomic systems, such as econometrics based on a behavioral approach. The basic objective of System Dynamics is to understand the structural causes that cause the behavior of the system.The System Dynamics allows the construction of models after a careful analysis of the elements of the system. This analysis allows to extract the internal logic of the model, and with it to try an understanding of the long-term evolution of the system.There is an extensive bibliography on System Dynamics, this book provides a clear and orderly vision of how to build a simulation model with this technique. It includes detailed modeling of environmental systems, business, social and physical systems.System DynamicsEnvironmental System Dynamics4.1. Population Growth 4.2. Modeling the Ecology of a Natural Reserve 4.3. Effects of the Intensive Farming 4.4. The Fishery of Shrimp 4.5. Rabbits and Foxes 4.6. A Study of Hogs 4.7. Ingestion of Toxins 4.8. The Barays of Angkor Business Dynamics4.9. Production and Inventory 4.10. CO2 Emissions 4.11. How to work more and better 4.12. Faults 4.13. Project Dynamics 4.14. Innovatory Companies 4.15. Quality Control 4.16. The impact of a Business Plan Social System Dynamics4.17. Filling a Glass 4.18. Dynamics of a Segmented Population 4.19. The Young Ambitious Worker 4.20. Development of an Epidemic 4.21. The Dynamics of Two Clocks Dynamics of Physical Systems4.22. The Tank 4.23. Study of the Oscillatory Movements 4.24. Design of a Chemical Reactor The diverse range of examples provided in this book, will allow readers to:- Build models without deep mathematical knowledge.- Simulate system behaviors and optimize complex systems.- Define strategies avoiding unintended consequences.- Evaluate the effectiveness of its policies.About the authorJuan Martín García is a worldwide recognized expert in System Dynamics, with more than twenty years of experience in this field. Ph.D. Industrial Engineer (Spain) and Postgraduated Diploma in Business Dynamics at Massachusetts Institute of Technology MIT (USA). It teaches Vensim online courses in http://vensim.com/vensim-online-courses/ based on System Dynamics.

Agent-Based Modeling and Simulation I

Author : Juan Martín García
Publisher : Juan Martín García
Page : 270 pages
File Size : 55,8 Mb
Release : 2021-02-08
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 8210379456XXX

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Agent-Based Modeling and Simulation I by Juan Martín García Pdf

An Agent Based Model (ABM) allows simulating the actions and interactions of many agents or entities in order to evaluate their impact on the system as a whole. These models are used in areas such as industry, business, biology, ecology, and the social sciences. CONTRIBUTIONS - IMMEDIATE RESULTS. From the first pages the reader is already able to create a model. - FREE SOFTWARE. The use of specific and free software for personal and educational use. - WITHOUT PRIOR TRAINING. Knowing how to program in Java, C ++, Pyton, Anylogic, etc. is not required. - GUIDE. A neat guide that explains each step in detail, for quick learning. - MODELS. The explanation of 40 didactic models, created to learn progressively. - FIGURES. The support of more than 1000 figures to advance clearly in each stage. - VIDEOS. The models described, together with various help videos, can be downloaded. - PRACTICAL. A practical approach allows the reader to see the possible applications to their environment. - EXPERIENCE. The teaching experience of the author and the reviewers has allowed the text to be refined to the maximum. AUTHOR AND REVIEWERS Juan Martín García is a Doctor of Industrial Engineering in Business Organization from the UPC (Spain) and a Diploma from the Sloan School of Management at MIT (USA). He has more than 30 years of experience as a consultant for companies and public organizations using simulation models based on System Dynamics. Professor at several Spanish and Latin American universities, he teaches online courses at Vensim https://vensim.com/vensim-online-courses/ (in English) and System Dynamics at ATC-Innova http://atc-innova. com/ (Spanish). He is the author of books and lectures on business, social and environmental applications of simulation models. - Dr. Francisco Campuzano Bolarín, Professor of Business Organization at the Polytechnic University of Cartagena (UPCT). - Lening Mora, M.S Environmental & Occupational Health (San Diego, California) and Postgraduate Diploma in Healthcare Modeling and Simulation at Naval Postgraduate School (Monterey, California USA). - Professor Gavin Melles, PhD, MSc Swinburne University (Victoria, Australia). INDEX Presentation software Installation Working screen A model in 1 minute Concepts Functions and tables Variables Model: Traffic light Model: Paris Rome Attributes Model: Rio Bravo 2 Model: Truck Fleet Collections and aggregates Model: Dragons and Castles Model: Parents and children Model: The Four Pirates References Model: White and Black Model: White and Black 2 Model: White and Black 3 Comments Tools Entities initial parameters Model: Horse Racing Temporal parameters Model: Satellite Launch External data entities Import initial data Import time series data Model: My three rabbits Exercises Model: Rabbit Population Model: Rabbit Population 2 Model: Rabbit Population 3 Model: Rabbit population 4 Model: Rabbit population 5 Model: Sweet candies Model: Cheese shop Model: Cheese Shop 2 Model: Formula 1 drivers Model: Patients and hospitals Model: Horse breeding Model: Horse breeding 2 Model: Horse breeding 3 Model: Horse breeding 4 Model: Horse breeding 5 Model: Horse breeding 6 Model: Horse breeding 7 Model: Fighter aircraft Model: Fighter Aircraft 2 Model: Fishing in three seas Model: Fishing in three seas 2 Model: Fishing in three seas 3 Model: Fishing in three seas 4 Model: Fishing in three seas 5 Model: Fishing in three seas 6 Model: Gold Market Model: Gold Market 2 Model: Gold Market 3 Model: Gold Market 4 Model: Eco Restaurant Model: Beer Game

System Dynamics

Author : Juan Martín García
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 333 pages
File Size : 52,6 Mb
Release : 2020-05-28
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 9798649370226

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System Dynamics by Juan Martín García Pdf

This book allows the reader to acquire step-by-step in a time-efficient and uncomplicated the knowledge in the formation and construction of dynamic models using Vensim. Many times, the models are performed with minimal current data and very few historical data, the simulation models that the student will design in this course accommodate these analyses, with the construction of realistic hypotheses and elaborate behavior models. That's done with the help of software Vensim that helps the construction of the models as well as performing model simulations. At the end of the book, the reader is able to: - Describe the components of a complex system. - Diagnose the natural evolution of the system under analysis. - Create a model of the system and present it using the simulation software. - Carry out simulations with the model, in order to predict the behavior of the system. Content Environmental Area 1. Population Growth 2. Ecology of a Natural Reserve 3. Effects of the Intensive Farming 4. The Fishery of Shrimp 5. Rabbits and Foxes 6. A Study of Hogs 7. Ingestion of Toxins 8. The Barays of Angkor 9. The Golden Number Management Area 10. Production and Inventory 11. CO2 Emissions 12. How to Work More and Better 13. Faults 14. Project Dynamics 15. Innovatory Companies 16. Quality Control 17. The impact of a Business Plan Social Area 18. Filling a Glass 19. A Catastrophe Study 20. The Young Ambitious Worker 21. Development of an Epidemic 22. The Dynamics of Two Clocks Mechanical Area 23. The Tank 24. Study of the Oscillatory Movements 25. Design of a Chemical Reactor 26. The Butterfly Effect 27. The Mysterious Lamp Advanced Exercises (Vensim PLE PLUS) 28. Import data from an Excel file 29. Building Games and Learning Labs 30. Interactive models 31. Input Output Controls 32. Sensitivity Analysis Annex I. Guide to creating a model II. Functions, Tables and Delays III. Frequently Asked Questions FAQs IV. Download the models of this book The author Juan Martín García is teacher and a worldwide recognized expert in System Dynamics, with more than twenty years of experience in this field. Ph.D. Industrial Engineer (Spain) and Postgraduated Diploma in Business Dynamics at Massachusetts Institute of Technology MIT (USA). He teaches Vensim online courses in http://vensim.com/vensim-online-courses/ based on System Dynamics.

System Dynamics

Author : Bilash Kanti Bala,Fatimah Mohamed Arshad,Kusairi Mohd Noh
Publisher : Springer
Page : 278 pages
File Size : 50,7 Mb
Release : 2016-10-28
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9789811020452

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System Dynamics by Bilash Kanti Bala,Fatimah Mohamed Arshad,Kusairi Mohd Noh Pdf

This book covers the broad spectrum of system dynamics methodologies for the modelling and simulation of complex systems: systems thinking, causal diagrams, systems structure of stock and flow diagrams, parameter estimation and tests for confidence building in system dynamics models. It includes a comprehensive review of model validation and policy design and provides a practical presentation of system dynamics modelling. It also offers numerous worked-out examples and case studies in diverse fields using STELLA and VENSIM. The system dynamics methodologies presented here can be applied to nearly all areas of research and planning, and the simulations provided make the complicated issues more easily understandable. System Dynamics: Modelling and Simulation is an essential system dynamics and systems engineering textbook for undergraduate and graduate courses. It also offers an excellent reference guide for managers in industry and policy planners who wish to use modelling and simulation to manage complex systems more effectively, as well as researchers in the fields of modelling and simulation-based systems thinking.

Theory and Practical Exercises of System Dynamics

Author : Juan Martín García
Publisher : Juan Martín García
Page : 291 pages
File Size : 41,5 Mb
Release : 2023-09-03
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9788460998044

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Theory and Practical Exercises of System Dynamics by Juan Martín García Pdf

This book is a guide that shows step by step the process of building simulation models using System Dynamics. It is written in a clear and comprehensible style that illustrates the model construction process. This book will be a useful resource to students, scholars, researchers, and teachers.

Theory and Practical Exercises of System Dynamics

Author : Juan Martín García
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 286 pages
File Size : 40,9 Mb
Release : 2020-06-20
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 9798655660458

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Theory and Practical Exercises of System Dynamics by Juan Martín García Pdf

As the complexity of our world increases systems thinking is emerging as a critical factor for success, and even survival. How then can people become skilled systems thinkers? The most effective learning experiences combine experience with reflection, theory with practice. Traditionally, theory was taught in school and university, and experience was gained in life outside those walls. But in the world of complex dynamic systems such as a business, society, or ecosystem, everyday experience fails because the time horizon and scope of the systems is so vast-we never experience the majority of the effects of our decisions. And without relevant experience, theory is uninteresting to students. The old ways of learning fail. When experiments in the real world are impossible, simulation becomes the main way we can learn effectively about the dynamics of complex systems. For this reason I'm pleased to introduce Juan Martin Garcia's book 'Theory and Practical Exercises of System Dynamics'. Juan combines theory and practice, experience and opportunities for reflection, so that newcomers to the field can learn for themselves how complex dynamic systems work. The examples span a range of important economic and social issues, from the aging of the population in developed economies to the course of contagious diseases to the accumulation of pollutants in the environment; everyone will find some examples here of direct personal interest. The modeling exercises guide the learner through the process of building a working simulation; students will not only learn about the issues addressed, and in the use of state of the art simulation software, but will develop skill in the modeling process. Juan has written a delightful first introduction to the field of system dynamics and complexity, and provides a much-needed addition to the literature available. John D. Sterman Index System Dynamics - Identifying the Problem - Defining the System - The Boundaries of a System - The Causal Diagram - Feedback - The Limiting Factor - The Key Factors - Classification of Systems - Generic Structures - World Models Building a Model - Flow Diagrams - Computer Simulation - Behaviour of the Model - Analysis of the System - Weaknesses of Models Guide to Creating a Model - Creating a Causal Diagram - Creating a Flow Diagram - Writing the conclusions Environmental System Dynamics - Population Growth - Modeling the Ecology of a Natural Reserve - Effects of the Intensive Farming - The Fishery of Shrimp - Rabbits and Foxes - A Study of Hogs - Ingestion of Toxins - The Barays of Angkor Management System Dynamics - Production and Inventory - Global CO2 Emissions - How to work more and better - Managing of Faults - Project Dynamics - Innovatory Companies - Quality Control - The impact of a Business Plan Social System Dynamics - Filling a Glass - Dynamics of a Segmented Population - The Young Ambitious Worker - Development of an Epidemic - The Dynamics of Two Clocks Mechanical System Dynamics - Dynamics of a Tank - Study of the Oscillatory Movements - Design of a Chemical Reactor The author Juan Martín García is a teacher and worldwide recognized expert in System Dynamics, with more than twenty years of experience in this field. Ph.D. Industrial Engineer (Spain) and Postgraduated Diploma in Business Dynamics at Massachusetts Institute of Technology MIT (USA). He teaches Vensim online courses in http://vensim.com/vensim-online-courses/ based on System Dynamics.

Systems Science and Population Health

Author : Abdulrahman M. El-Sayed,Sandro Galea
Publisher : Oxford University Press
Page : 304 pages
File Size : 48,5 Mb
Release : 2017-02-01
Category : Medical
ISBN : 9780190492410

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Systems Science and Population Health by Abdulrahman M. El-Sayed,Sandro Galea Pdf

Population health is complex and multileveled, encompassing dynamic interactions between cells, societies, and everything in between. Our typical approach to studying population health, however, remains oriented around a reductionist approach to conceptualizing, empirically analyzing, and intervening to improve population health. The trouble is that interventions founded on simplifying a complex world often do not work, sometimes yielding failure or, even worse, harm. The difficult truth is that "silver bullet" health science often fails, and understanding these failures can help us improve our approach to health science, and, ultimately, population health. SYSTEMS SCIENCE AND POPULATION HEALTH employs principles from across a range of sciences to refine the way we understand population health. By augmenting traditional analytic approaches with new tools like machine learning, microsimulation, and social network analysis, population health can be studied as a dynamic and complex system. This allows us to understand population health as a complex whole, offering new insights and perspectives that stand to improve the health of the public. This text offers the first educational and practical guide to this forward-thinking approach. Comprising 17 chapters from the vanguard of population health, epidemiology, computer science, and medicine, this book offers a three-part introduction to the subject: · An intellectual and conceptual history of systems science as it intersects with population health · Concise, introductory overviews of important and emerging methodological tools in systems science, including systems dynamics, agent-based modeling, microsimulation, social network analysis, and machine-learning-all with relevant examples drawn from population health literature · An exploration of future implications for systems science and its applications to our understanding of population health issues For researchers, students, and practitioners, SYSTEMS SCIENCE AND POPULATION HEALTH redefines many of the foundational elements of how we understand population health. It should not be missed.

Modeling and Simulating Business Dynamics

Author : Juan García
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 294 pages
File Size : 47,7 Mb
Release : 2019-10-12
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 1686997558

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Modeling and Simulating Business Dynamics by Juan García Pdf

INDEX OF PAPERS Paper 1. New Technologies and Employment Paper 2. Dynamic Balanced Scorecard Paper 3. The Procurement Process Paper 4. Scenario Planning Workshop Paper 5. Risk Analysis Methods Paper 6. Behavioural Stereotypes in Socio-Economic Systems Paper 7. Enterprise Resource Planning Paper 8. Marketing Research Paper 9. Group Model Building Paper 10. Business Dynamics Simulator Paper 11. Strategic Decision Support Paper 12. Rare Earth Elements Paper 13. Building a Learning Lab Paper 14. Human Resource Planning INDEX OF MODELS FOR BEGINNERS 1. Population Growth 2. Production and Inventory 3. How to Work More and Better 4. Project Dynamics 5. Innovatory Companies 6. Quality Control 7. Building Games and Learning Labs 8. Input Output Controls COLLECTION OF BOOKS Selected papers on System Dynamics 1.Agriculture and food production ISBN: 9781686984570 2.Business ISBN: 9781686997556 3.Ecology and the environment ISBN: 9781687000323 4.Economy: money and finances ISBN: 9781687003133 5.Energy ISBN: 9781687004932 6.Healthcare ISBN: 9781687006745 7.Housing and urban dynamics ISBN: 9781687008367 8.Supply chain and industrial dynamics ISBN: 9781687009975 9.Labor, human resources and social ISBN: 9781687015389 10.Sustainable development ISBN: 9781700341600 Detailed content in http://atc-innova.com/papers.htm ABOUT THE AUTHOR Juan Martin Garcia, expert in System Dynamics and System Thinking, Ph. D. Industrial Engineer UPC (Spain) and Postgraduate Diploma in Business Dynamics at the Sloan School of Management of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (USA). He has been teacher of building simulation models during twenty years in several universities and now he teaches the online courses of Vensim in http://vensim.com/vensim-online-courses/

Agent-Based Modeling and Simulation I

Author : Juan Martin Garcia
Publisher : Independently Published
Page : 260 pages
File Size : 52,8 Mb
Release : 2021-01-26
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 9798599111306

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Agent-Based Modeling and Simulation I by Juan Martin Garcia Pdf

An Agent Based Model (ABM) allows simulating the actions and interactions of many agents or entities in order to evaluate their impact on the system as a whole. These models are used in areas such as industry, business, biology, ecology, and the social sciences. CONTRIBUTIONS - IMMEDIATE RESULTS. From the first pages the reader is already able to create a model. - FREE SOFTWARE. The use of specific and free software for personal and educational use. - WITHOUT PRIOR TRAINING. Knowing how to program in Java, C ++, Pyton, Anylogic, etc. is not required. - GUIDE. A neat guide that explains each step in detail, for quick learning. - MODELS. The explanation of 40 didactic models, created to learn progressively. - FIGURES. The support of more than 1000 figures to advance clearly in each stage. - VIDEOS. The models described, together with various help videos, can be downloaded. - PRACTICAL. A practical approach allows the reader to see the possible applications to their environment. - EXPERIENCE. The teaching experience of the author and the reviewers has allowed the text to be refined to the maximum. AUTHOR AND REVIEWERS Juan Martín García is a Doctor of Industrial Engineering in Business Organization from the UPC (Spain) and a Diploma from the Sloan School of Management at MIT (USA). He has more than 30 years of experience as a consultant for companies and public organizations using simulation models based on System Dynamics. Professor at several Spanish and Latin American universities, he teaches online courses at Vensim https://vensim.com/vensim-online-courses/ (in English) and System Dynamics at ATC-Innova http://atc-innova. com/ (Spanish). He is the author of books and lectures on business, social and environmental applications of simulation models. - Dr. Francisco Campuzano Bolarín, Professor of Business Organization at the Polytechnic University of Cartagena (UPCT).- Lening Mora, M.S Environmental & Occupational Health (San Diego, California) and Postgraduate Diploma in Healthcare Modeling and Simulation at Naval Postgraduate School (Monterey, California USA).- Professor Gavin Melles, PhD, MSc Swinburne University (Victoria, Australia). INDEX Presentation Software Installation Working screen A model in 1 minute Concepts Functions and tables Variables Model: Traffic light Model: Paris Rome Attributes Model: Rio Bravo 2 Model: Truck Fleet Collections and aggregates Model: Dragons and Castles Model: Parents and Children Model: The Four Pirates References Model: White and Black Model: White and Black 2 Model: White and Black 3 Comments Tools Entities initial parameters Model: Horse Racing Temporal parameters Model: Satellite Launch External data entities Import initial data Import time series data Model: My three rabbits Exercises Model: Rabbit Population Model: Rabbit Population 2 Model: Rabbit Population 3 Model: Rabbit population 4 Model: Rabbit population 5 Model: Sweet candies Model: Cheese shop Model: Cheese Shop 2 Model: Formula 1 drivers Model: Patients and hospitals Model: Horse breeding Model: Horse breeding 2 Model: Horse breeding 3 Model: Horse breeding 4 Model: Horse breeding 5 Model: Fighter aircraft Model: Fighter Aircraft 2 Model: Fishing in three seas Model: Fishing in three seas 2 Model: Fishing in three seas 3 Model: Fishing in three seas 4 Model: Fishing in three seas 5 Model: Gold Market Model: Gold Market 2 Model: Gold Market 3 Model: Gold Market 4 Model: Eco Restaurant Model: Beer Game

Strategic Modelling and Business Dynamics

Author : John D. W. Morecroft
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 500 pages
File Size : 40,6 Mb
Release : 2015-05-27
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781118994818

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Strategic Modelling and Business Dynamics by John D. W. Morecroft Pdf

Insightful modelling of dynamic systems for better business strategy The business environment is constantly changing and organisations need the ability to rehearse alternative futures. By mimicking the interlocking operations of firms and industries, modelling serves as a ‘dry run’ for testing ideas, anticipating consequences, avoiding strategic pitfalls and improving future performance. Strategic Modelling and Business Dynamics is an essential guide to credible models; helping you to understand modelling as a creative process for distilling and communicating those factors that drive business success and sustainability. Written by an internationally regarded authority, the book covers all stages of model building, from conceptual to analytical. The book demonstrates a range of in-depth practical examples that vividly illustrate important or puzzling dynamics in firm operations, strategy, public policy, and everyday life. This updated new edition also offers a rich Learners' website with models, articles and videos, as well as a separate Instructors' website resource, with lecture slides and other course materials (see Related Websites/Extra section below). Together the book and websites deliver a powerful package of blended learning materials that: Introduce the system dynamics approach of modelling strategic problems in business and society Include industry examples and public sector applications with interactive simulators and contemporary visual modelling software Provide the latest state-of-the-art thinking, concepts and techniques for systems modelling The comprehensive Learners' website features models, microworlds, journal articles and videos. Easy-to-use simulators enable readers to experience dynamic complexity in business and society. Like would-be CEOs, readers can re-design operations and then re-simulate in the quest for well-coordinated strategy and better performance. The simulators include a baffling hotel shower, a start-up low-cost airline, an international radio broadcaster, a diversifying tyre maker, commercial fisheries and the global oil industry. "Much more than an introduction, John Morecroft’s Strategic Modelling and Business Dynamics uses interactive ‘mini-simulators and microworlds’ to create an engaging and effective learning environment in which readers, whatever their background, can develop their intuition about complex dynamic systems." John Sterman, Jay W. Forrester Professor of Management, MIT Sloan School of Management "Illustrated by examples from everyday life, business and policy, John Morecroft expertly demonstrates how systems thinking aided by system dynamics can improve our understanding of the world around us." Stewart Robinson, Associate Dean Research, President of the Operational Research Society, Professor of Management Science, School of Business and Economics, Loughborough University

System Dynamics Modelling with Vensim

Author : Mart
Publisher : Vensim
Page : 316 pages
File Size : 53,8 Mb
Release : 2018-08-07
Category : Education
ISBN : 1718077025

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System Dynamics Modelling with Vensim by Mart Pdf

This book is the fastest and cheapest way to learn the use of Vensim. The book allows the reader to acquire step-by-step in a time-efficient and uncomplicated the knowledge in the formation and construction of dynamic models using Vensim. Vensim is the most powerful software to create simulation models based on System Dynamics. It is a very friendly software and with the guide of this book it is possible to create the first simulation model in less than 10 minutes. All the exercises are designed to achieve a fast and complete learning. No previous knowledge in mathematics or computer science is necessary.Many times, the models are performed with minimal current data and very few historical data, the simulation models that the student will design in this course accommodate these analyses, with the construction of realistic hypotheses and elaborate behavior models. That's done with the help of software Vensim that helps the construction of the models as well as performing model simulations. At the end of the book, the reader is able to:1. Describe the components of a complex system. 2. Diagnose the natural evolution of the system under analysis. 3. Create a model of the system and present it using the simulation software. 4. Carry out simulations with the model, in order to predict the behavior of the system.The content of this book can be applied in many areas. In the business world, these topics are mainly used to address issues related to Strategic Planning, Business Planning, Leadership Development, Strategic Marketing and Sales, Organization Redesign, Process Improvement, Implementation of operational plans. In general to build and sustain high performance over the long term, and ensure successful implementation of changes. In the academic world, these topics may be used to develop Final Projects or Doctorate, theses on diverse subjects.Index of items Environmental Area3.1. Population Growth 3.2. Modeling the Ecology of a Natural Reserve 3.3. Effects of the Intensive Farming 3.4. The Fishery of Shrimp 3.5. Rabbits and Foxes 3.6. A Study of Hogs 3.7. Ingestion of Toxins 3.8. The Barays of Angkor 3.9. The Golden Number Management Area3.10. Production and Inventory 3.11. CO2 Emissions 3.12. How to Work More and Better 3.13. Managing Faults 3.14. Project Dynamics 3.15. Innovatory Companies 3.16. Quality Control 3.17. The impact of a Business Plan Social Area3.18. Filling a Glass 3.19. A Catastrophe Study 3.20. The Young Ambitious Worker 3.21. Development of an Epidemic 3.22. The Dynamics of Two Clocks Mechanical Area3.23. The Tank 3.24. Study of the Oscillatory Movements 3.25. Design of a Chemical Reactor 3.26. The Butterfly Effect 3.27. The Mysterious Lamp Advanced Exercises (using Vensim PLE PLUS)3.28. Import data from an Excel file 3.29. Building Games and Learning Labs 3.30. Interactive models 3.31. Input Output Controls 3.32. Sensitivity AnalysisIndex of itemsDefined FunctionsSTEPMIN-MAXPULSEIF THEN ELSERANDOMRAMPABSEXPXIDZANDDELAY-SMOOTHTables or LookupsInternal table External tableModel SettingsInitial time not 0Units CheckTime Step valuesStock and Flow DiagramDraw a bi-flowMerge modelsShadow variablesCounter of TimeMultiple viewsAdd commentsInitial value of a StockQualitative variablesCausal Loop DiagramImages on the SFDCurved flowsDelay markSimulationsCompare simulationsReference Mode Simulate SetupSyntheSimIntegration methodOutputsOutput graphsOutput tablesCauses-strip toolLine MarkersX-Y graph

System Dynamics Modelling

Author : R. G. Coyle
Publisher : Springer
Page : 413 pages
File Size : 45,6 Mb
Release : 2013-07-30
Category : Computers
ISBN : 1489929363

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System Dynamics Modelling by R. G. Coyle Pdf

More and more people are realizingthat socialand businesssystemsare too complexto be understood by intuition,compromise, and superficialdebate. But, the traditional social and managerial sciences are providing little help in designing policies for better behaviour of large dynamic systems. The rapidly growing field of system dynamics is increasingly seen as the best hope for dealing with multiple-feedback-loop, nonlinear systems that ex tend across many different intellectual disciplines. Conferences on the application of system dynamics to business are be cominglarger and more frequent. Many system dynamicsmodels deal with interactions between people and the environment. Use of system dy namics is under way in economics, government and the management of universities. The fieldneeds an expanding literature in each of the many areas where people are concerned with how things change through time. In this book, Professor Geoff Coyle has written a welcome addition to system dynamics. He brings to this book an extensive background as a leader in both the academic and operational sides of system dynamics. At the University of Bradford, Coyle founded one of the early academic programs in system dynamics.The extensive practical aspects of hiscareer are reflected here in experiences with systems in business and government. His professional background yields insights regarding both systems and the political and psychologicalaspects of working with clients.