Complexity Theory And Uncertainties

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Complexity Theory and Uncertainties

Wei-Bin Zhang
Complexity Theory and Uncertainties Book PDF

Author : Wei-Bin Zhang
Publisher : Springer Nature
Page : 132 pages
File Size : 54,5 Mb
Release : 2023-11-13
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9783031423949

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Complexity Theory and Uncertainties by Wei-Bin Zhang Pdf

This book provides an overview of recent developments of complexity theory within the realm of social sciences. At a time when global and local social, political, cultural, and economic affairs are engulfed in chaos, this book sheds light on the mechanisms of uncertainties, offering new visions and frameworks for analyzing the nonlinear interactions between individuals, societies, and the environment. From exploring the foundational elements that shape our understanding of humanity, such as worldviews, justice, and trust, to applying complexity theory in the realms of politics, economics, management, strategies, and wars, this monograph provides a comprehensive examination of its far-reaching implications. By examining historical bifurcations and structural changes in American history and China's modern development, it emphasizes how complexity theory can serve as a bridge for intellectual and cultural communication between Western (Newtonian) and East Asian (yin-yang-based) civilizations. Moreover, the book elucidates that nonlinear phenomena, including bifurcations, catastrophes, structural changes, emergence of structures, and chaos, are integral aspects of human evolution. It unveils the positive potential within chaos, demonstrating that a comprehensive understanding of catastrophic mechanisms enables humanity to prevent global disasters by leading systems to chaotic attractors without destructive consequences. Through an exploration of the intricate interdependencies among individuals, societies, and the environment, this book offers a unique and comprehensive introduction to the application of complexity theory to the realm of humanity.

Uncertainty and Surprise in Complex Systems

Reuben R. McDaniel,Dean Driebe
Uncertainty and Surprise in Complex Systems Book PDF

Author : Reuben R. McDaniel,Dean Driebe
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 220 pages
File Size : 53,7 Mb
Release : 2005-03-11
Category : Science
ISBN : 3540237739

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Uncertainty and Surprise in Complex Systems by Reuben R. McDaniel,Dean Driebe Pdf

Complexity science has been a source of new insight in physical and social systems and has demonstrated that unpredictability and surprise are fundamental aspects of the world around us. This book is the outcome of a discussion meeting of leading scholars and critical thinkers with expertise in complex systems sciences and leaders from a variety of organizations, sponsored by the Prigogine Center at The University of Texas at Austin and the Plexus Institute, to explore strategies for understanding uncertainty and surprise. Besides contributions to the conference, it includes a key digest by the editors as well as a commentary by the late nobel laureate Ilya Prigogine, "Surprises in half of a century". The book is intended for researchers and scientists in complexity science, as well as for a broad interdisciplinary audience of both practitioners and scholars. It will well serve those interested in the research issues and in the application of complexity science to physical and social systems.

A Complexity Theory for Public Policy

Göktuğ Morçöl
A Complexity Theory for Public Policy Book PDF

Author : Göktuğ Morçöl
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 314 pages
File Size : 49,8 Mb
Release : 2013-05-02
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781136283468

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A Complexity Theory for Public Policy by Göktuğ Morçöl Pdf

Complexity theory has become popular in the natural and social sciences over the last few decades as a result of the advancements in our understanding of the complexities in natural and social phenomena. Concepts and methods of complexity theory have been applied by scholars of public affairs in North America and Europe, but a comprehensive framework for these applications is lacking. A Complexity Theory for Public Policy proposes a conceptual synthesis and sets a foundation for future developments and applications. In this book, Göktuğ Morçöl convincingly makes the case that complexity theory can help us understand better the self-organizational, emergent, and co-evolutionary characteristics of complex policy systems. In doing so, he discuss the epistemological implications of complexity theory and the methods complexity researchers use, and those methods they could use. As the complexity studies spread more around the world in the coming decades, the contents of this book will become appealing to larger audiences, particularly to scholars and graduate students in public affairs. The unique combination of synthesis and explanation of concepts and methods found in this book will serve as reference frames for future works.

Chaos and Complexity Theory in World Politics

Erçetin, ?efika ?ule
Chaos and Complexity Theory in World Politics Book PDF

Author : Erçetin, ?efika ?ule
Publisher : IGI Global
Page : 374 pages
File Size : 43,8 Mb
Release : 2014-05-31
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781466660717

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Chaos and Complexity Theory in World Politics by Erçetin, ?efika ?ule Pdf

As an important research field in mathematics, chaos theory impacts many different disciplines such as physics, engineering, economics, and biology. Most recently, however, chaos theory has also been applied to the social sciences, helping to explain the complex and interdependent nature of international politics. Chaos and Complexity Theory in World Politics aims to bring attention to new developments in global politics within the last few years. Demonstrating various issues in international relations and the application of chaos theory within this field, this publication serves as an essential reference for researchers and professionals, as well as useful educational material for academicians and students.

Complexity

Nam P. Suh
Complexity Book PDF

Author : Nam P. Suh
Publisher : Oxford University Press
Page : 128 pages
File Size : 48,7 Mb
Release : 2005-02-24
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN : 9780199799077

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Complexity by Nam P. Suh Pdf

Nam P. Suh focussed his axiomatic design theories on methods to understand and deal with complexity. Suh is a well-respected designer and researcher in the fields of manufacturing and composite materials. He is best known for his systems that aim to speed up and simplify the process of design for manufacturing. The 'axioms' in axiomatic design refer to a process to help engineers reduce design specifications down to their simplest components, so that the engineers can produce the simplest possible solution to a problem. Complexity, besides being a key area of burgeoning research in disciplines interested in complex systems and chaos theory (like computer science and physics), is a complicating factor in engineering design that many engineers find difficult to overcome. Suh's multidisciplinary exploration of complex systems is meant to eliminate much of the confusion and allow engineers to accommodate complexity within simple, elegant design solutions.

Shakespeare and Complexity Theory

Claire Hansen
Shakespeare and Complexity Theory Book PDF

Author : Claire Hansen
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 222 pages
File Size : 54,8 Mb
Release : 2017-06-27
Category : Literary Criticism
ISBN : 9781351967426

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Shakespeare and Complexity Theory by Claire Hansen Pdf

In this new monograph, Claire Hansen demonstrates how Shakespeare can be understood as a complex system, and how complexity theory can provide compelling and original readings of Shakespeare’s plays. The book utilises complexity theory to illuminate early modern theatrical practice, Shakespeare pedagogy, and the phenomenon of the Shakespeare ‘myth’. The monograph re-evaluates Shakespeare, his plays, early modern theatre, and modern classrooms as complex systems, illustrating how the lens of complexity offers an enlightening new perspective on diverse areas of Shakespeare scholarship. The book’s interdisciplinary approach enriches our understanding of Shakespeare and lays the foundation for complexity theory in Shakespeare studies and the humanities more broadly.

Handbook of Research on Leveraging Risk and Uncertainties for Effective Project Management

Raydugin, Yuri
Handbook of Research on Leveraging Risk and Uncertainties for Effective Project Management Book PDF

Author : Raydugin, Yuri
Publisher : IGI Global
Page : 504 pages
File Size : 51,5 Mb
Release : 2016-11-29
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781522517917

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Handbook of Research on Leveraging Risk and Uncertainties for Effective Project Management by Raydugin, Yuri Pdf

The proper understanding and managing of project risks and uncertainties is crucial to any organization. It is of paramount importance at all phases of project development and execution to avoid poor project results from meager economics, overspending, reputation and environmental damage, and even loss of life. The Handbook of Research on Leveraging Risk and Uncertainties for Effective Project Management is a comprehensive reference source for emerging perspectives of managing risks associated with the execution and development of projects. Highlighting innovative coverage written by top industry specialists, such as complexity theory, psychological bias and risk management fallacies, probabilistic risk analysis, and various aspects of project decision making, this book is ideally designed for project and risk managers, project engineers, cost estimators, schedulers, safety and environmental protection specialists, corporate planners, financial and insurance specialists, corporate decision makers, as well as academics and lecturers working in the area of project management and students pursing PMP, PMI-RMP, ISO 31000, etc. certification.

Uncertainty and Its Discontents

Peter J. Katzenstein
Uncertainty and Its Discontents Book PDF

Author : Peter J. Katzenstein
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
Page : 393 pages
File Size : 45,5 Mb
Release : 2022-07-07
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781009080286

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Uncertainty and Its Discontents by Peter J. Katzenstein Pdf

Worldviews are the unexamined, pre-theoretical foundations of the approaches with which we understand and navigate the world, and this volume provides the first major study of worldviews in international relations. Advances in twentieth century physics and cosmology questioning anthropocentrism have fostered the articulation of alternative worldviews, rivalling conventional Newtonian humanism and its assumption that the world is constituted by controllable risks. This matters for accepting uncertainties that are an indelible part of many spheres of life including public health, the environment, finance, security and politics – uncertainties that are concealed by the conventional presumption that the world is governed only by risk. The confluence of risk and uncertainty requires an awareness of alternative worldviews, alerts us to possible intersections between humanist Newtonianism and hyper-humanist Post-Newtonianism, and reminds us of the relevance of science, religion and moral values in world politics. This title is also available as Open Access on Cambridge Core.

Chaos, Complexity and Leadership 2016

Şefika Şule Erçetin
Chaos Complexity and Leadership 2016 Book PDF

Author : Şefika Şule Erçetin
Publisher : Springer
Page : 770 pages
File Size : 40,6 Mb
Release : 2018-03-21
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9783319645544

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Chaos, Complexity and Leadership 2016 by Şefika Şule Erçetin Pdf

This book covers the proceedings from the 2016 International Symposium on Chaos, Complexity and Leadership, and reflects current research results of chaos and complexity studies and their applications in various fields. Included are research papers in the fields of applied nonlinear methods, modeling of data and simulations, as well as theoretical achievements of chaos and complex systems. Also discussed are leadership and management applications of chaos and complexity theory.

Chaos, Complexity and Leadership 2012

Santo Banerjee,Şefika Şule Erçetin
Chaos Complexity and Leadership 2012 Book PDF

Author : Santo Banerjee,Şefika Şule Erçetin
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 568 pages
File Size : 42,6 Mb
Release : 2013-11-09
Category : Science
ISBN : 9789400773622

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Chaos, Complexity and Leadership 2012 by Santo Banerjee,Şefika Şule Erçetin Pdf

These proceedings from the 2012 symposium on "Chaos, complexity and leadership" reflect current research results from all branches of Chaos, Complex Systems and their applications in Management. Included are the diverse results in the fields of applied nonlinear methods, modeling of data and simulations, as well as theoretical achievements of Chaos and Complex Systems. Also highlighted are Leadership and Management applications of Chaos and Complexity Theory.

Uncertainty in Global Politics

Anastasia Shesterinina,Miriam Matejova
Uncertainty in Global Politics Book PDF

Author : Anastasia Shesterinina,Miriam Matejova
Publisher : Taylor & Francis
Page : 305 pages
File Size : 51,9 Mb
Release : 2023-11-16
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781003823834

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Uncertainty in Global Politics by Anastasia Shesterinina,Miriam Matejova Pdf

This book engages in a constructive, practical debate on the nature and effects of uncertainty in global politics. International contributors explore the processes associated with different forms of uncertainty in the context of environmental issues, diplomacy and international negotiations, and conflict and security. From the collapse of the Soviet Union to the 1997 and 2008 financial crises to the Arab Uprisings and the European migrant crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic, assessments of many events with lasting consequences on the global order have begun with: “why didn’t we see this coming?” There is much to learn from how phenomena that affect the global order generate uncertainty and what effects such uncertainty has on actors and issues. Presenting perspectives from all corners of the discipline and emerging and established scholars the book provides an up-to-date overview of the state of the literature; a concise yet conceptually rich theoretical framework; a mix of regional and global contemporary issues; process-oriented empirical evidence and methodological tools to assess different forms of uncertainty and propose practical solutions to addressing uncertainty in diverse contexts. The book will be of interest to scholars of global politics, international security, global environmental politics, international organizations and institutions, social movements, and conflict studies.

Complexity Theories of Cities Have Come of Age

Juval Portugali,Han Meyer,Egbert Stolk,Ekim Tan
Complexity Theories of Cities Have Come of Age Book PDF

Author : Juval Portugali,Han Meyer,Egbert Stolk,Ekim Tan
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 439 pages
File Size : 48,6 Mb
Release : 2012-02-04
Category : Architecture
ISBN : 9783642245435

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Complexity Theories of Cities Have Come of Age by Juval Portugali,Han Meyer,Egbert Stolk,Ekim Tan Pdf

Today, our cities are an embodiment of the complex, historical evolution of knowledge, desires and technology. Our planned and designed activities co-evolve with our aspirations, mediated by the existing technologies and social structures. The city represents the accretion and accumulation of successive layers of collective activity, structuring and being structured by other, increasingly distant cities, reaching now right around the globe. This historical and structural development cannot therefore be understood or captured by any set of fixed quantitative relations. Structural changes imply that the patterns of growth, and their underlying reasons change over time, and therefore that any attempt to control the morphology of cities and their patterns of flow by means of planning and design, must be dynamical, based on the mechanisms that drive the changes occurring at a given moment. This carefully edited post-proceedings volume gathers a snapshot view by leading researchers in field, of current complexity theories of cities. In it, the achievements, criticisms and potentials yet to be realized are reviewed and the implications to planning and urban design are assessed.

The Science and Management of Uncertainty

Bruce G. Marcot
The Science and Management of Uncertainty Book PDF

Author : Bruce G. Marcot
Publisher : CRC Press
Page : 360 pages
File Size : 47,6 Mb
Release : 2020-11-26
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781000244571

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The Science and Management of Uncertainty by Bruce G. Marcot Pdf

Uncertainty can take many forms, can be represented in many ways, and can have important implications in decision-making and policy development. This book provides a rigorous scientific framework for dealing with uncertainty in real-world situations, and provides a comprehensive study of concepts, measurements, and applications of uncertainty in ecological modeling and natural resource management. The focus of this book is on the kinds and implications of uncertainty in environmental modeling and management, with practical guidelines and examples for successful modeling and risk analysis in the face of uncertain conditions and incomplete information. Provided is a clear classification of uncertainty; methods for measuring, modeling, and communicating uncertainty; practical guidelines for capturing and representing expert knowledge and judgment; explanations of the role of uncertainty in decision-making; a guideline to avoiding logical fallacies when dealing with uncertainty; and several example cases of real-world ecological modeling and risk analysis to illustrate the concepts and approaches. Case topics provide examples of structured decision-making, statistical modeling, and related topics. A summary provides practical next steps that the reader can take in analyzing and interpreting uncertainty in real-world situations. Also provided is a glossary and a suite of references.

Professional Uncertainty, Knowledge and Relationship in the Classroom

Joseph Mintz
Professional Uncertainty Knowledge and Relationship in the Classroom Book PDF

Author : Joseph Mintz
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 196 pages
File Size : 52,7 Mb
Release : 2014-06-27
Category : Education
ISBN : 9781135905927

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Professional Uncertainty, Knowledge and Relationship in the Classroom by Joseph Mintz Pdf

The extent to which teachers should make use of theoretical and expert knowledge as opposed to tacit experiential knowledge, and how these might be combined, is a perennial issue in discussions on pedagogy. This book addresses these debates through a creative development of the concept of productive uncertainty. Using case studies focusing on teachers working with children with autism, a particularly fertile crucible for considering uncertainty, the book explores how the radical 20th century psychoanalyst Wilfred Bion's epistemological approach to uncertainty can be used to re-frame Donald Schön's concept of reflection in action, offering a new perspective on the practice of teachers and other caring professionals. Several areas of potential uncertainty are identified, including uncertainty relating to areas of practice including diagnosis, the relationship between expert knowledge and practice, the implications of autism for autonomy and agency, and uncertainties in relation to the understanding of and use of new technologies. A strong argument is made, based on both theoretical and empirical grounds, that in juggling between theoretical and tacit knowledge in the classroom there is more to be gained by staying with the struggle with uncertainty than by fleeing from it too early, into the promise of expert solutions. Consideration is also given to the relative importance of specific theoretical training for teachers, both in general and in relation to working with children with special educational needs, in the context of international and UK policy developments in this area. This book will be of key value to researchers and postgraduates in the fields of education studies, teacher thinking and research, psychoanalytically informed psychosocial studies, as well as to practitioners working in special educational needs/autism education.

Understanding Organizations in Complex, Emergent and Uncertain Environments

Anabella Davila,Marta Elvira,Jacobo Ramirez,Laura Zapata-Cantu
Understanding Organizations in Complex Emergent and Uncertain Environments Book PDF

Author : Anabella Davila,Marta Elvira,Jacobo Ramirez,Laura Zapata-Cantu
Publisher : Springer
Page : 220 pages
File Size : 46,8 Mb
Release : 2012-06-07
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781137026088

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Understanding Organizations in Complex, Emergent and Uncertain Environments by Anabella Davila,Marta Elvira,Jacobo Ramirez,Laura Zapata-Cantu Pdf

Explores the concept of complexity and analyses how organizational governance can contribute to environmental sustainability. A common theme in these chapters is that organizations actively engage with their environments. Consequently, organizational responses are partly the result of iterative processes with the environment.