Cybernetic Revolution And Global Aging

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Cybernetic Revolution and Global Aging

Author : Leonid Grinin
Publisher : Springer Nature
Page : 635 pages
File Size : 54,5 Mb
Release : 2024-06-27
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 9783031567643

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Cybernetic Revolution and Global Aging by Leonid Grinin Pdf

Cybernetic Revolution and Global Aging

Author : Leonid Grinin,Anton Grinin,Andrey Korotayev
Publisher : Springer
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 41,8 Mb
Release : 2024-06-18
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 3031567633

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Cybernetic Revolution and Global Aging by Leonid Grinin,Anton Grinin,Andrey Korotayev Pdf

This book explores the global technological transformations that have shaped development of society for eons, from the emergence of Homo sapiens to the modern day. Looking at a potential future for all of this century and the beginning of the next, the book explores how society is changing as a result of the two most powerful trends: technological advances and global aging. It studies the forthcoming technological wave – the Cybernetic Revolution, which will encompass AI, medical technology and biotechnology, robotics, cognitive, nanotechnology etc. In turn, it shows why and how global aging will become one of the most powerful factors, influencing the evolution of society and the World System as a whole. Lastly, the book demonstrates how technological innovations can change the way people live and the society of the future, assessing both the new opportunities and threats posed by uncontrolled technological progress. Accordingly, it will appeal to social scientists, political scientists, economists and historians who are interested in technological transformations and their social and economic impacts.

Reconsidering the Limits to Growth

Author : Viktor Sadovnichy,Askar Akaev,Ilya Ilyin,Sergey Malkov,Leonid Grinin,Andrey Korotayev
Publisher : Springer Nature
Page : 540 pages
File Size : 40,7 Mb
Release : 2023-09-25
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9783031349997

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Reconsidering the Limits to Growth by Viktor Sadovnichy,Askar Akaev,Ilya Ilyin,Sergey Malkov,Leonid Grinin,Andrey Korotayev Pdf

Echoing the famous "The Limits to Growth" report from 1972, this edited volume analyses the changes that the World System has undergone to the present, on the fiftieth anniversary of the original report. During the past fifty years, both the concept and understanding of these limits have significantly changed. This book highlights that the evolution of the World System has approached a new critical milestone, moving into a fundamentally new phase of historical development, when the old economic and social technologies no longer work as efficiently as before or even begin to function counterproductively, which leads the World System into a systemic crisis. The book discusses the transition of human society to a new phase state, the shape of which has not yet been determined. New approaches are needed for both, for the analysis of the global situation, and for forecasts. The book is based on an integrated approach including the world-systems, historical and evolutionary perspectives, as well as a systematic view of society, in which changes in one subsystem cause transformations in others. Through mathematical modeling, it defines the main vectors of transformations of the World System; makes a detailed forecast of the development of all the main subsystems of the society and the World System, while presenting horizons of changes from short-term to ultra-long-term; and presents different development scenarios as well as recommendations on how to achieve a transition to the most favorable scenario. The book will appeal to members and followers of the Club of Rome, policy-makers, as well as to scholars from various disciplines interested in a better understanding of the World System evolution, global futures, development studies, climate change, and future societies.

Globalistics and globalization studies

Author : Leonid E. Grinin,Ilya V. Ilyin,Peter Herrmann,Andrey V. Korotayev
Publisher : ООО "Издательство "Учитель"
Page : 400 pages
File Size : 45,8 Mb
Release : 2024-06-27
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 9785705753864

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Globalistics and globalization studies by Leonid E. Grinin,Ilya V. Ilyin,Peter Herrmann,Andrey V. Korotayev Pdf

The scope of human thought along with its ability to proceed from reconstruction of the most ancient periods to anticipation of the distant future, from small objects to galaxies and the Universe as well as, to embrace different trends and dimensions of reality never ceases to amaze us. You are reading a new issue of the Yearbook which contains some ‘grains’ of the description of the billion years' path. This Yearbook presents the global studies which cover different fields of research. The present volume is the sixth in the series of yearbooks with the title Globalistics and Globalization Studies. The subtitle of the volume is ‘Global Evolution, Historical Globalistics and Globalization Studies’ which reflects the contents. The present issue brings together a variety of contributions devoted to mega- and global evolution (Part I); historical globalistics (Part II); globalization and glocalization (Parts III–IV). Besides, Part IV comprises some issues on the view in the future. We become more and more accustomed to think globally and to see global processes. The yearbook will be interesting to a wide range of researchers, teachers, students and all those who are concerned about global issues.

EVOLUTION

Author : Leonid E. Grinin,Andrey V. Korotayev,Ken Baskin,Stephen I. Ternyik,Olga A. Sorokina,Rendt Gorter,Ken Gilbert,Craig Benjamin,Antonio Gelis-Filho,Anton L. Grinin,David Hookes,Antony Harper,Peter J. Richerson,Joe Brewer
Publisher : ООО "Издательство "Учитель"
Page : 224 pages
File Size : 45,5 Mb
Release : 2024-06-27
Category : Science
ISBN : 9785705751464

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EVOLUTION by Leonid E. Grinin,Andrey V. Korotayev,Ken Baskin,Stephen I. Ternyik,Olga A. Sorokina,Rendt Gorter,Ken Gilbert,Craig Benjamin,Antonio Gelis-Filho,Anton L. Grinin,David Hookes,Antony Harper,Peter J. Richerson,Joe Brewer Pdf

The present volume is the fifth issue of the ‘Evolution’ Yearbook series. Our Yearbooks are designed to present to its readers the widest possible spectrum of subjects and issues: from universal evolutionism to the analysis of particular evolutionary regularities in the development of biological, abiotic, and social systems, culture, cognition, language, etc. The main objective of our Yearbook is the creation of a unified interdisciplinary field of research, within which scientists specializing in different disciplines could work within the framework of unified or similar paradigms, using common terminology and searching for common rules, tendencies and regularities. Global evolution (in connection with the Big History) becomes the main subject of our Yearbook. We strive to arrange each issue in such a way that the line from cosmic evolution to the human future is evident. What is the subject of the present issue of the Yearbook? Similar to the previous issues, it shows some aspects of the evolutionary advance from the earlier phases to the anticipated future of human society. But on the whole, this volume is devoted to different aspects and facts of megaevolution and some universal theories in an attempt to find common ground in the diversity of manifestation of evolution and its forms at different stages of development. So the title of this issue, ‘Evolution and Big History: Dimensions, Trends, and Forecasts’, is fully justified (besides, several papers contribute to the field of Big History). The volume consists of four sections: Dimensions, Trends, and Aspects; Big History's Manifestations; Trends and Forecasts; and Reviews and Information. This Yearbook will be useful both for those who study interdisciplinary macroproblems and for specialists working in focused directions, as well as for those who are interested in evolutionary issues of Cosmology, Biology, History, Anthropology, Economics and other areas of study. More than that, this edition will challenge and excite your vision of your own life and the new discoveries going on around us.

Innovation Economics, Engineering and Management Handbook 2

Author : Dimitri Uzunidis,Fedoua Kasmi,Laurent Adatto
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 338 pages
File Size : 50,7 Mb
Release : 2021-06-08
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781119832515

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Innovation Economics, Engineering and Management Handbook 2 by Dimitri Uzunidis,Fedoua Kasmi,Laurent Adatto Pdf

Innovation, in economic activity, in managerial concepts and in engineering design, results from creative activities, entrepreneurial strategies and the business climate. Innovation leads to technological, organizational and commercial changes, due to the relationships between enterprises, public institutions and civil society organizations. These innovation networks create new knowledge and contribute to the dissemination of new socio-economic and technological models, through new production and marketing methods. Innovation Economics, Engineering and Management Handbook 2 is the second of the two volumes that comprise this book. The main objectives across both volumes are to study the innovation processes in todays information and knowledge society; to analyze how links between research and business have intensified; and to discuss the methods by which innovation emerges and is managed by firms, not only from a local perspective but also a global one. The studies presented in these two volumes contribute toward an understanding of the systemic nature of innovations and enable reflection on their potential applications, in order to think about the meaning of growth and prosperity

History & Mathematics

Author : Jack A. Goldstone,Leonid E. Grinin,Andrey V. Korotayev
Publisher : ООО "Издательство "Учитель"
Page : 176 pages
File Size : 51,9 Mb
Release : 2015-01-01
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 9785705746705

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History & Mathematics by Jack A. Goldstone,Leonid E. Grinin,Andrey V. Korotayev Pdf

Among different important issues, which are discussed in Political Demography the issue of global ageing becomes more and more pressing every year. It is sufficient to take into account the point that within two forthcoming decades a rapid global increase in the number of retirement-age persons will lead to its doubling within this fairly small historical period. The concerns about population ageing apply to both developed and many developing countries and it has turned into a global issue. In forthcoming decades the population ageing is likely to become one of the most important processes determining the future society characteristics and the direction of technological development. The present volume of the Yearbook (which is the fifth in the series) is subtitled ‘Political Demography & Global Ageing’. It brings together a number of interesting articles by scholars from Europe, Asia, and America. They examine global ageing from a variety of perspectives. This issue of the Yearbook consists of two main sections: (I) Aspects of Political Demography; (II) Facing Population Ageing. We hope that this issue will be interesting and useful both for historians and mathematicians, as well as for all those dealing with various social and natural sciences.

The 21st Century Singularity and Global Futures

Author : Andrey V. Korotayev,David J. LePoire
Publisher : Springer Nature
Page : 619 pages
File Size : 48,7 Mb
Release : 2020-01-02
Category : History
ISBN : 9783030337308

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The 21st Century Singularity and Global Futures by Andrey V. Korotayev,David J. LePoire Pdf

This book introduces a 'Big History' perspective to understand the acceleration of social, technological and economic trends towards a near-term singularity, marking a radical turning point in the evolution of our planet. It traces the emergence of accelerating innovation rates through global history and highlights major historical transformations throughout the evolution of life, humans, and civilization. The authors pursue an interdisciplinary approach, also drawing on concepts from physics and evolutionary biology, to offer potential models of the underlying mechanisms driving this acceleration, along with potential clues on how it might progress. The contributions gathered here are divided into five parts, the first of which studies historical mega-trends in relation to a variety of aspects including technology, population, energy, and information. The second part is dedicated to a variety of models that can help understand the potential mechanisms, and support extrapolation. In turn, the third part explores various potential future scenarios, along with the paths and decisions that are required. The fourth part presents philosophical perspectives on the potential deeper meaning and implications of the trend towards singularity, while the fifth and last part discusses the implications of the Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence (SETI). Given its scope, the book will appeal to scholars from various disciplines interested in historical trends, technological change and evolutionary processes.

KONDRATIEFF WAVES

Author : Leonid E. Grinin,Andrey V. Korotayev,Askar A. Akaev,Brian J. L. Berry,Valentina M. Bondarenko,Tessaleno C. Devezas,Claude Diebolt,Sergey Yu. Glazyev,Ruslan S. Grinberg,Bert de Groot,Masaaki Hirooka,Boris N. Kuzyk,Witold Kwasnicki,Francisco Louçã,Vladimir I. Mayevsky,Leo Nefiodow,Carlota Perez,Sanjay Prasad,Arno Tausch,William R. Thompson,Andrew B. Tylecote,Yuri V. Yakovets
Publisher : ООО "Издательство "Учитель"
Page : 232 pages
File Size : 50,8 Mb
Release : 2024-06-27
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9785705757404

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KONDRATIEFF WAVES by Leonid E. Grinin,Andrey V. Korotayev,Askar A. Akaev,Brian J. L. Berry,Valentina M. Bondarenko,Tessaleno C. Devezas,Claude Diebolt,Sergey Yu. Glazyev,Ruslan S. Grinberg,Bert de Groot,Masaaki Hirooka,Boris N. Kuzyk,Witold Kwasnicki,Francisco Louçã,Vladimir I. Mayevsky,Leo Nefiodow,Carlota Perez,Sanjay Prasad,Arno Tausch,William R. Thompson,Andrew B. Tylecote,Yuri V. Yakovets Pdf

This fourth issue of the Yearbook ‘Kondratieff Waves’ has the subtitle ‘The Spectrum of Opinions’, as its papers cover a whole range of problems. The Yearbook consists of three sections. The Introduction of this issue is dedicated to Nikolai Kondratieff's ideas which still are important to an analysis of the world economic situation. The first section (Long Waves in the Context of World Economy and Politics) includes five contributions devoted to the study of different spheres from economy to jihadism. The speeches of Kondratieff medal laureates are published in the second section (Kondratieff Medal: Winners' Speeches). It presents a very impressive collection of different views of well-known and young researchers. The last section (Reviews and Notes) includes Antony Harper's re view of Leonid Grinin, Andrey Korotayev and Arno Tausch's monograph ‘Economic Cycles, Crises, and the Global Periphery’ published by Springer International Publishing. This issue will be useful for economists, social scientists, as well as for a wide range of those interested in the problems of the past, present, and future of global economy and globalization.

Preparing for the Next Cyber Revolution

Author : Joseph N. Pelton
Publisher : Springer
Page : 236 pages
File Size : 43,9 Mb
Release : 2018-12-10
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN : 9783030021375

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Preparing for the Next Cyber Revolution by Joseph N. Pelton Pdf

Prepare yourselves for the coming Cyber Revolution! Over time, humankind has transformed from hunter-gatherer to farmer, from farmer to industrial worker, and from industrial worker to service provider. Now, we are on the cusp of a fourth transformative wave, spurred by climate change, exponential population growth, and our ever-increasing reliance on technology. This Copernicus book follows the stream of changes we will likely experience over the next few decades. These will involve the design and planning of smart cities and vital new mega-cities, as well as the use of sophisticated artificial intelligence and knowledge systems in our professional and everyday lives. The book shows how the nature of work, economics, taxation, social intercourse, and a slew of other global human endeavors will almost certainly undergo fundamental shifts during this time. Despite the many crises the world is gearing up to face, this book is not all doom and gloom – it is a call to action, a guide to how we might harness novel technologies in space and cyberspace to address our most urgent needs.

HISTORY & MATHEMATICS

Author : Leonid Grinin,Andrey Korotayev
Publisher : ООО "Издательство "Учитель"
Page : 248 pages
File Size : 54,5 Mb
Release : 2024-06-27
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9785705759101

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HISTORY & MATHEMATICS by Leonid Grinin,Andrey Korotayev Pdf

The present Yearbook (which is the eighth in the series) is subtitled Investigating Past and Future. It is devoted to three problems: the analysis of the aspects of past and present in the light of formal methods; singularity, i.e. forthcoming abrupt shift in development, the approach (or even presence) of which we already feel; the aspects of the cosmic future of human race. This issue consists of four sections: (I) History, Technologies, Politics, and Mathematics includes five articles on different directions of factual or theoretical content: history, technology, politics, and studies covering past, present, and future; (II) Singularity includes two contributions and is devoted to a rather interesting phenomenon of singularity. They suggest that indeed the hyperbolic planetary evolutionary trend observed since the origins of life on the Earth cannot continue beyond the forthcoming singularity, whereas the post-singular evolutionary trend should be qualitatively different from what has been observed before; (III) Beyond the Earth also consists of two very different articles, but they are united by their interest in the future of human race in terms of their interaction with the space; (IV) Reviews and Notes. We hope that this issue will be interesting and useful both for historians and mathematicians, as well as for all those dealing with various social and natural sciences.

Handbook of Revolutions in the 21st Century

Author : Jack A. Goldstone,Leonid Grinin,Andrey Korotayev
Publisher : Springer Nature
Page : 1048 pages
File Size : 53,6 Mb
Release : 2022-05-19
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9783030864682

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Handbook of Revolutions in the 21st Century by Jack A. Goldstone,Leonid Grinin,Andrey Korotayev Pdf

The 21st century has witnessed a considerable and increasing number of political revolutions around the world. This contradicts the popular belief of many experts in the 1970s that revolutions occurred mainly in monarchies and empires. Instead, the revolutions of this century have several new characteristics, which call for a renewed analysis of the subject. This handbook offers a comparative perspective on the new wave of revolutions of the last decade. Presenting case studies on the color revolutions, the Arab revolutions of 2010–2011, and the global wave of revolutions in 2013–2018 that spanned regions ranging from Africa to the Caucasus, it offers a better understanding of the varied forms, features, and historical backgrounds of revolutions, as well as their causes. Accordingly, it highlights recent revolutions in their historical and world-systems contexts. The handbook is divided into seven parts, the first of which examines the history of views on revolution and important aspects of the theory of revolution. The second part analyzes revolutions within long-term historical trends and in their world-system contexts. In turn, the third part explores specific major revolutionary waves in history. The fourth part analyzes the first revolutionary wave of the 21st century (2000–2009), the so-called color revolutions, while the fifth discusses the second wave – the Arab Spring (2010–2013) – as an important turning point. The sixth part is dedicated to analyzing revolutions and revolutionary movements beyond the Arab Spring and some revolutionary events from the third wave that began in 2018. The seventh and final part offers forecasts on the future of revolutions. Given its scope, the book will appeal to scholars and students from various disciplines interested in historical trends, sociopolitical change, contentious politics, social movements, and revolutionary processes involving both nonviolent campaigns and political violence. ​"Once again, this volume demonstrates the kind of open-minded, systematic analysis that the field of revolutionary studies requires." (Prof. George Lawson, Department of International Relations, Australian National University Canberra)

History & Mathematics:

Author : Leonid E. Grinin,Andrey V. Korotayev,Yuri E. Berezkin,Svetlana A. Borinskaya,Albert I. Davletshin,Daria A. Khaltourina,Arno Tausch,Antony Harper,Alexander D. Panov
Publisher : ООО "Издательство "Учитель"
Page : 240 pages
File Size : 41,8 Mb
Release : 2024-06-27
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9785705752478

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History & Mathematics: by Leonid E. Grinin,Andrey V. Korotayev,Yuri E. Berezkin,Svetlana A. Borinskaya,Albert I. Davletshin,Daria A. Khaltourina,Arno Tausch,Antony Harper,Alexander D. Panov Pdf

The present Yearbook (which is the sixth in the series) is subtitled Economy, Demography, Culture, and Cosmic Civilizations. To some extent it reveals the extraordinary potential of scientific research. The common feature of all our Yearbooks, including the present volume, is the usage of formal methods and social studies methods in their synthesis to analyze different phenomena. In other words, if to borrow Alexander Pushkin's words, ‘to verify the algebra with harmony’. One should note that publishing in a single collection the articles that apply mathematical methods to the study of various epochs and scales – from deep historical reconstruction to the pressing problems of the modern world – reflects our approach to the selection of contributions for the Yearbook. History and Mathematics, Social Studies and formal methods, as previously noted, can bring nontrivial results in the studies of different spheres and epochs. This issue consists of three main sections: (I) Historical and Technological Dimensions includes two papers (the first is about the connection between genes, myths and waves of the peopling of Americas; the second one is devoted to quantitative analysis of innovative activity and competition in technological sphere in the Middle Ages and Modern Period); (II) Economic and Cultural Dimensions (the contributions are mostly focused on modern period); (III) Modeling and Theories includes two papers with interesting models (the first one concerns modeling punctuated equilibria apparent in the macropattern of urbanization over time; in the second one the author attempts to estimate the number of Communicative Civilizations). We hope that this issue will be interesting and useful both for historians and mathematicians, as well as for all those dealing with various social and natural sciences.

Economic Cycles, Crises, and the Global Periphery

Author : Leonid Grinin,Andrey Korotayev,Arno Tausch
Publisher : Springer
Page : 265 pages
File Size : 52,7 Mb
Release : 2016-10-25
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9783319412627

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Economic Cycles, Crises, and the Global Periphery by Leonid Grinin,Andrey Korotayev,Arno Tausch Pdf

This thought-provoking monograph analyzes long- medium- and short-term global cycles of prosperity, recession, and depression, plotting them against centuries of important world events. Major research on economic and political cycles is integrated to clarify evolving relationships between the global center and its periphery as well as current worldwide economic upheavals and potential future developments. Central to this survey are successive waves of industrial and, later, technological and cybernetic progress, leading to the current era of globalization and the changes of the roles of both Western powers and former minors players, however that will lead to the formation of the world order without a hegemon. Additionally, the authors predict what they term the Great Convergence, the lessening of inequities between the global core and the rest of the world, including the wealth gap between First and Third World nations. Among the topics in this ambitious volume: · Why politics is often omitted from economic analysis. · Why economic cycles are crucial to understanding the modern geopolitical landscape. · How the aging of the developed world will affect world technological and economic future.“/p> · The evolving technological forecast for Global North and South. · Where the U.S. is likely to stand on the future world stage. Economic Cycles, Crises, and the Global Periphery will inspire discussion and debate among sociologists, global economists, demographers, global historians, and futurologists. This expert knowledge is necessary for further research, proactive response, and preparedness for a new age of sociopolitical change.

Industry 4.0

Author : Tessaleno Devezas,João Leitão,Askar Sarygulov
Publisher : Springer
Page : 431 pages
File Size : 41,5 Mb
Release : 2017-02-28
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9783319496047

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Industry 4.0 by Tessaleno Devezas,João Leitão,Askar Sarygulov Pdf

This book presents the latest research perspectives on how the Industry 4.0 paradigm is challenging the process of technological and structural change and how the diversification of the economy affects structural transformation. It also explores the impact of fast-growing technologies on the transformation of socioeconomic and environmental systems, and asks whether structural and technological change can generate sustainable economic growth and employment. Further, the book presents the basic innovations (new technologies, materials, energy, etc) and industrial policies that can lead to such a structural change.