Danger Zone The Coming Conflict With China

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Danger Zone: The Coming Conflict with China

Michael Beckley,Hal Brands
Danger Zone The Coming Conflict with China Book PDF

Author : Michael Beckley,Hal Brands
Publisher : W. W. Norton & Company
Page : 211 pages
File Size : 44,6 Mb
Release : 2022-08-16
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781324021315

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Danger Zone: The Coming Conflict with China by Michael Beckley,Hal Brands Pdf

A provocative and urgent analysis of the U.S.–China rivalry. It has become conventional wisdom that America and China are running a “superpower marathon” that may last a century. Yet Hal Brands and Michael Beckley pose a counterintuitive question: What if the sharpest phase of that competition is more like a decade-long sprint? The Sino-American contest is driven by clashing geopolitical interests and a stark ideological dispute over whether authoritarianism or democracy will dominate the 21st century. But both history and China’s current trajectory suggest that this rivalry will reach its moment of maximum danger in the 2020s. China is at a perilous moment: strong enough to violently challenge the existing order, yet losing confidence that time is on its side. Numerous examples from antiquity to the present show that rising powers become most aggressive when their fortunes fade, their difficulties multiply, and they realize they must achieve their ambitions now or miss the chance to do so forever. China has already started down this path. Witness its aggression toward Taiwan, its record-breaking military buildup, and its efforts to dominate the critical technologies that will shape the world’s future. Over the long run, the Chinese challenge will most likely prove more manageable than many pessimists currently believe—but during the 2020s, the pace of Sino-American conflict will accelerate, and the prospect of war will be frighteningly real. America, Brands and Beckley argue, will still need a sustainable approach to winning a protracted global competition. But first, it needs a near-term strategy for navigating the danger zone ahead.

Synopsis and Outline of Danger Zone

Ronald L Jenkins
Synopsis and Outline of Danger Zone Book PDF

Author : Ronald L Jenkins
Publisher : Independently Published
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 52,6 Mb
Release : 2022-08-19
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 9798847403054

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Synopsis and Outline of Danger Zone by Ronald L Jenkins Pdf

This is not a book by Dinesh D'Souza nor is it affiliated with them. It is an independent publication by Ronald L. Jenkins that summarize their book in details About the original book It has become conventional wisdom that America and China are running a "superpower marathon" that may last a century. Yet Hal Brands and Michael Beckley pose a counterintuitive question: What if the sharpest phase of that competition is more like a decade-long sprint?

America's Coming War with China

Ted Galen Carpenter
America s Coming War with China Book PDF

Author : Ted Galen Carpenter
Publisher : St. Martin's Press
Page : 224 pages
File Size : 45,5 Mb
Release : 2015-03-31
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781466893016

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America's Coming War with China by Ted Galen Carpenter Pdf

One issue could lead to a disastrous war between the United States and China: Taiwan. A growing number of Taiwanese want independence for their island and regard mainland China as an alien nation. Mainland Chinese consider Taiwan a province that was stolen from China more than a century ago, and their patience about getting it back is wearing thin. Washington officially endorses a "one China" policy but also sells arms to Taiwan and maintains an implicit pledge to defend it from attack. That vague, muddled policy invites miscalculation by Taiwan or China or both. The three parties are on a collision course, and unless something dramatic changes, an armed conflict is virtually inevitable within a decade. Although there is still time to avert a calamity, time is running out. In this book, Carpenter tells the reader what the U.S. must do quickly to avoid being dragged into war.

Unrivaled

Michael Beckley
Unrivaled Book PDF

Author : Michael Beckley
Publisher : Cornell University Press
Page : 246 pages
File Size : 48,9 Mb
Release : 2018-09-15
Category : History
ISBN : 9781501724794

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Unrivaled by Michael Beckley Pdf

The United States has been the world's dominant power for more than a century. Now many analysts believe that other countries are rising and the United States is in decline. Is the unipolar moment over? Is America finished as a superpower? In this book, Michael Beckley argues that the United States has unique advantages over other nations that, if used wisely, will allow it to remain the world's sole superpower throughout this century. We are not living in a transitional, post-Cold War era. Instead, we are in the midst of what he calls the unipolar era—a period as singular and important as any epoch in modern history. This era, Beckley contends, will endure because the US has a much larger economic and military lead over its closest rival, China, than most people think and the best prospects of any nation to amass wealth and power in the decades ahead. Deeply researched and brilliantly argued, this book covers hundreds of years of great power politics and develops new methods for measuring power and predicting the rise and fall of nations. By documenting long-term trends in the global balance of power and explaining their implications for world politics, the book provides guidance for policymakers, businesspeople, and scholars alike.

The Twilight Struggle

Hal Brands
The Twilight Struggle Book PDF

Author : Hal Brands
Publisher : Yale University Press
Page : 329 pages
File Size : 45,7 Mb
Release : 2022
Category : History
ISBN : 9780300250787

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The Twilight Struggle by Hal Brands Pdf

A leading historian's guide to great-power competition, as told through America's successes and failures in the Cold War The United States is entering an era of long-term great-power competition with China and Russia. Such global struggles happen at a geopolitical twilight, between the sunshine of peace and the darkness of war. In this innovative and illuminating book, Hal Brands, a leading historian and former Pentagon adviser, argues that America should look to the history of the Cold War for lessons in how to succeed in great-power rivalry today. Although dangerous authoritarian powers are challenging U.S. influence, America's muscle memory for dealing with powerful foes has atrophied in the thirty years since the Cold War ended. In long-term competitions where the diplomatic jockeying is intense and the threat of violence is omnipresent, the United States will need all the historical insight it can get. Exploring how America won a previous twilight struggle is the starting point for determining how America can master another persistent high-stakes rivalry today.

The Coming Conflict with China

Richard Bernstein,Ross H. Munro
The Coming Conflict with China Book PDF

Author : Richard Bernstein,Ross H. Munro
Publisher : Vintage
Page : 274 pages
File Size : 52,6 Mb
Release : 1998-02-03
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 0679776621

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The Coming Conflict with China by Richard Bernstein,Ross H. Munro Pdf

From two former Beijing bureau chiefs with long experience in Asian affairs comes a clear-eyed and uncompromising look at the potentially disastrous collision course now taking shape in U.S.-China relations. Aggressively anti-American, China has nuclear weapons deliberately targeted at the United States. Recent confrontations between Chinese and American military forces indicate that China may try to take Taiwan by force. While our trade deficit rises to unprecedented heights, the powerful new china lobby shapes U.S. policy with the support of American businesses eager for a share of its booming markets. The Coming Conflict with China is required reading for those who wish to understand the tense global rivalry that is already shaping the course of the 21st century. "Plunges harpoons into the tenderest interstices of the Chinese-American relationship."--New York Times "Disturbing and provocative...There is plenty to worry about."--Wall Street Journal

The Long Game

Rush Doshi
The Long Game Book PDF

Author : Rush Doshi
Publisher : Oxford University Press
Page : 433 pages
File Size : 47,8 Mb
Release : 2021-06-11
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9780197527870

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The Long Game by Rush Doshi Pdf

For more than a century, no US adversary or coalition of adversaries - not Nazi Germany, Imperial Japan, or the Soviet Union - has ever reached sixty percent of US GDP. China is the sole exception, and it is fast emerging into a global superpower that could rival, if not eclipse, the United States. What does China want, does it have a grand strategy to achieve it, and what should the United States do about it? In The Long Game, Rush Doshi draws from a rich base of Chinese primary sources, including decades worth of party documents, leaked materials, memoirs by party leaders, and a careful analysis of China's conduct to provide a history of China's grand strategy since the end of the Cold War. Taking readers behind the Party's closed doors, he uncovers Beijing's long, methodical game to displace America from its hegemonic position in both the East Asia regional and global orders through three sequential "strategies of displacement." Beginning in the 1980s, China focused for two decades on "hiding capabilities and biding time." After the 2008 Global Financial Crisis, it became more assertive regionally, following a policy of "actively accomplishing something." Finally, in the aftermath populist elections of 2016, China shifted to an even more aggressive strategy for undermining US hegemony, adopting the phrase "great changes unseen in century." After charting how China's long game has evolved, Doshi offers a comprehensive yet asymmetric plan for an effective US response. Ironically, his proposed approach takes a page from Beijing's own strategic playbook to undermine China's ambitions and strengthen American order without competing dollar-for-dollar, ship-for-ship, or loan-for-loan.

Facing China

Jean-Pierre Cabestan
Facing China Book PDF

Author : Jean-Pierre Cabestan
Publisher : Rowman & Littlefield
Page : 248 pages
File Size : 45,7 Mb
Release : 2023
Category : China
ISBN : 9781538169902

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Facing China by Jean-Pierre Cabestan Pdf

Under Xi Jinping, China has embarked into more aggressive gray zone tactics and operations, especially in the South China Sea and the Taiwan Strait. While this new assertiveness has intensified the likelihood of military crises, especially with the United States, Xi has been keen to remain under the threshold of war. Can this strategy succeed?

The New Babel

Rafael M. Juvida
The New Babel Book PDF

Author : Rafael M. Juvida
Publisher : Ukiyoto Publishing
Page : 198 pages
File Size : 45,9 Mb
Release : 2023-05-09
Category : Fiction
ISBN : 9789357878746

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The New Babel by Rafael M. Juvida Pdf

“You almost feel like you are flying when you are already falling.” - RJM. Why are we building a tower? The answer comes from the depths of human curiosity and our thirst for new discoveries. More than ever before in human history, the development of technology has skyrocketed and continues to do so today. The 21st century will witness the return of the human race to the Moon, as well as the first steps humans will take on Mars. This fast-paced development and innovation in the technological sense must be met with caution. In The New Babel, we will have the chance to deeply reflect and rethink what we need to do in the future. We must understand our limitations, so we can not just survive, but also thrive. Modern thinking that there are no boundaries or ends to the world runs the risk of colliding with this obstinate truth. Humanity has the task of learning how to create a sustainable future in the face of challenges to its long-term survival and reconnect to the divine purpose it once had. Is it true that “humans have that potential to destroy themselves?” Or is there a way for us to avoid it from happening? This book will be a guide to the present and even for those future humans on how they could live their life to the fullest without affecting the complex and intricate life on Earth, and enable them to preserve it for their descendants.

Navigating the Polycrisis

Michael J. Albert
Navigating the Polycrisis Book PDF

Author : Michael J. Albert
Publisher : MIT Press
Page : 311 pages
File Size : 44,7 Mb
Release : 2024-04-23
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9780262547758

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Navigating the Polycrisis by Michael J. Albert Pdf

An innovative work of realism and utopianism that analyzes the possible futures of the world-system and helps us imagine how we might transition beyond capitalism. The world-system of which we are all a part faces multiple calamities: climate change and mass extinction, the economic and existential threat of AI, the chilling rise of far-right populism, and the invasion of Ukraine, to name only a few. In Navigating the Polycrisis, Michael Albert seeks to illuminate how the “planetary polycrisis” will disrupt the global community in the coming decades and how we can best meet these challenges. Albert argues that we must devote more attention to the study of possible futures and adopt transdisciplinary approaches to do so. To provide a new form of critical futures analysis, he offers a theoretical framework—planetary systems thinking—that is informed by complexity theory, world-systems theory, and ecological Marxism. Navigating the Polycrisis builds on existing work on climate futures and the futures of capitalism and makes three main contributions. First, the book brings together modeling projections with critical social theory in a more systematic way than has been done so far. Second, the book shows that in order to grasp the complexity of the planetary polycrisis, we must analyze the convergence of crises encompassing the climate emergency, the structural crisis of global capitalism, net energy decline, food system disruption, pandemic risk, far-right populism, and emerging technological risks (e.g. in the domains of artificial intelligence, biotechnology, and nuclear weapons). And third, the book contributes to existing work on postcapitalist futures by analyzing the processes and mechanisms through which egalitarian transitions beyond capitalism might occur. A much-needed work of global futures studies, Navigating the Polycrisis brings together the rigor of the natural and social sciences and speculative imagination informed by science fiction to forge pathways to our possible global future.

China's Galaxy Empire

John Keane
China s Galaxy Empire Book PDF

Author : John Keane
Publisher : Oxford University Press
Page : 225 pages
File Size : 41,8 Mb
Release : 2023-11
Category : History
ISBN : 9780197629116

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China's Galaxy Empire by John Keane Pdf

In China's Galaxy Empire, John Keane and Baogang He target a development of enormous significance: China's return, after two centuries of decline and subjugation, to a position of prominence in world affairs. The daring thesis is that China is a newly rising empire of a kind never before witnessed: a galaxy empire. The galaxy empire interpretation rejects clichéd misdescriptions of China as a "big power", and it explains why China defies older definitions of land, sea, and air-based empires. The book warns against the perils of simple-minded, friend-versus-enemy thinking and "Big China, Bad China" politics, but it also proffers a forewarning to China's rulers: no empire lasts forever, and some are stillborn, because they indulge illusions of greatness and reckless power adventures.

Survival: August 2023

The International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS)
Survival August 2023 Book PDF

Author : The International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS)
Publisher : Taylor & Francis
Page : 245 pages
File Size : 40,8 Mb
Release : 2023-08-07
Category : History
ISBN : 9781003835660

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Survival: August 2023 by The International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS) Pdf

Survival, the IISS’s bimonthly journal, challenges conventional wisdom and brings fresh, often controversial, perspectives on strategic issues of the moment. In this issue: François Heisbourg assesses that Ukraine might have to accept the de facto division of the country to secure a fast track into NATO Daniel Byman writes that state ties to terrorist groups are likely to feature in the western alliance’s long-term confrontation with Russia and in its rivalry with China Juan Pablo Medina Bickel and Irene Mia assess that global climate mitigation and the energy transition could reinforce South America’s geopolitical clout From the Survival archives, the late David P. Calleo predicted in 1999 that a successful euro would enhance the EU’s diplomatic and military capabilities, while the late James Dobbins considered in 2012 how the US could prevent a war with China Dana H. Allin and John L. Harper reflect on long-time Survival contributing editor David P. Calleo’s legacy And nine more thought-provoking pieces, as well as our regular Book Reviews and Noteworthy column. Editor: Dr Dana Allin Managing Editor: Jonathan Stevenson Associate Editor: Carolyn West

Defense Budgeting for a Safer World

Michael J. Boskin,John N. Rader,Kiran Sridhar
Defense Budgeting for a Safer World Book PDF

Author : Michael J. Boskin,John N. Rader,Kiran Sridhar
Publisher : Hoover Press
Page : 707 pages
File Size : 40,5 Mb
Release : 2023-11-01
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9780817925963

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Defense Budgeting for a Safer World by Michael J. Boskin,John N. Rader,Kiran Sridhar Pdf

America is facing the most dangerous and complex geopolitical environment since World War II. Ensuring the adequacy and flexibility of our defense budget is essential to keeping our nation secure and the world safe for global democracy. Defense Budgeting for a Safer World brings together the ideas, perspectives, and solutions of America's most renowned experts on national security and the defense budget. The volume originates from a conference held at the Hoover Institution in early 2023 and reflects the presentations, discussions, and debates among military and civilian leaders. Drawing on their remarkable experience leading the Pentagon, the services, Congress, and academe, these experts lay out the key priorities in reforming, realigning, and rightsizing the budget amid current challenges. Several topics converge: national security threats, strategy, technology and innovation, personnel, reform options, and the politics of the defense budget. This unique compilation covers each of the major areas of debate in forging and sustaining a defense budget capable of supporting the nation's security needs.

Hegemony with Chinese Characteristics

Asım Doğan
Hegemony with Chinese Characteristics Book PDF

Author : Asım Doğan
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 160 pages
File Size : 52,5 Mb
Release : 2021-05-20
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781000373530

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Hegemony with Chinese Characteristics by Asım Doğan Pdf

Hegemony with Chinese Characteristics compares the historical relationship of China with its neighbours to the developing trajectory of the Belt and Road Initiative, and asks what this tells us about the kind of hegemon China is likely to become. China is going to play a more active and decisive role in the international community and there is much uncertainty about how China will handle its responsibilities and interests. The ambiguous and assertive Belt and Road Initiative is a matter of special concern in this aspect. The Tributary System, which provides concrete evidence of how Chinese dynasties handled relations with foreigners, is a useful reference point in trying to understand its twenty-first century developments. This is particularly true, because after the turbulence of the "Century of Humiliation" and the Maoist Era, China seems to be explicitly re-embracing its history and its pre-revolutionary identity. Confucius, one of the biggest targets of the Cultural Revolution, is being rehabilitated alongside Confucianism, Taoism, Buddhism and other ideologies and philosophies suppressed in the Mao era. Doğan analyzes the extent to which China’s current approach to foreign relations resembles its earlier models. Grounded in "hegemony" as an analytic lens, this book provides an innovative study of the power generated by the global rise in China. It will be a valuable resource for scholars and students of Chinese foreign policy and international relations and serve as a benchmark for further studies.

Planning for Protraction

Iskander Rehman
Planning for Protraction Book PDF

Author : Iskander Rehman
Publisher : Taylor & Francis
Page : 201 pages
File Size : 54,8 Mb
Release : 2023-11-09
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781040017241

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Planning for Protraction by Iskander Rehman Pdf

As Sino-US relations have deteriorated, concerns have grown in Washington over its ability to defeat China in a major conflict. A conflict between such peer competitors would likely become a protracted war of attrition drawing on all dimensions of national power, but this reality has yet to receive a sufficient degree of analytical attention. In this Adelphi book, Iskander Rehman provides a historically informed and empirically grounded study of protracted great-power war, its core drivers and characteristics, and an examination of the elements that have most often determined a competitor’s long-term strategic performance. Final victory in a protracted conflict, this book argues, rests on a combination of three core factors: a state’s military effectiveness and adaptability, its socio-economic power and resiliency, and the soundness of its alliance management and grand strategy. A detailed analysis of the contemporary Sino-US rivalry assesses how both parties might fare in the event of a protracted war, while highlighting some of its key differentiating aspects – most notably its nuclear and cyber dimensions.