Deterrence In The 21st Century

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NL ARMS Netherlands Annual Review of Military Studies 2020

Frans Osinga,Tim Sweijs
NL ARMS Netherlands Annual Review of Military Studies 2020 Book PDF

Author : Frans Osinga,Tim Sweijs
Publisher : Springer Nature
Page : 538 pages
File Size : 41,8 Mb
Release : 2020-12-03
Category : Law
ISBN : 9789462654198

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NL ARMS Netherlands Annual Review of Military Studies 2020 by Frans Osinga,Tim Sweijs Pdf

This open access volume surveys the state of the field to examine whether a fifth wave of deterrence theory is emerging. Bringing together insights from world-leading experts from three continents, the volume identifies the most pressing strategic challenges, frames theoretical concepts, and describes new strategies. The use and utility of deterrence in today’s strategic environment is a topic of paramount concern to scholars, strategists and policymakers. Ours is a period of considerable strategic turbulence, which in recent years has featured a renewed emphasis on nuclear weapons used in defence postures across different theatres; a dramatic growth in the scale of military cyber capabilities and the frequency with which these are used; and rapid technological progress including the proliferation of long-range strike and unmanned systems. These military-strategic developments occur in a polarized international system, where cooperation between leading powers on arms control regimes is breaking down, states widely make use of hybrid conflict strategies, and the number of internationalized intrastate proxy conflicts has quintupled over the past two decades. Contemporary conflict actors exploit a wider gamut of coercive instruments, which they apply across a wider range of domains. The prevalence of multi-domain coercion across but also beyond traditional dimensions of armed conflict raises an important question: what does effective deterrence look like in the 21st century? Answering that question requires a re-appraisal of key theoretical concepts and dominant strategies of Western and non-Western actors in order to assess how they hold up in today’s world. Air Commodore Professor Dr. Frans Osinga is the Chair of the War Studies Department of the Netherlands Defence Academy and the Special Chair in War Studies at the University Leiden. Dr. Tim Sweijs is the Director of Research at The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies and a Research Fellow at the Faculty of Military Sciences of the Netherlands Defence Academy in Breda.

Nuclear Deterrence in the 21st Century

Thérèse Delpech
Nuclear Deterrence in the 21st Century Book PDF

Author : Thérèse Delpech
Publisher : Rand Corporation
Page : 197 pages
File Size : 52,5 Mb
Release : 2012-03-28
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9780833059444

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Nuclear Deterrence in the 21st Century by Thérèse Delpech Pdf

Deterrence remains a primary doctrine for dealing with the threat of nuclear weapons in the 21st century. The author reviews the history of nuclear deterrence and calls for a renewed intellectual effort to address the relevance of concepts such as first strike, escalation, extended deterrence, and other Cold War-era strategies in today's complex world of additional superpowers, smaller nuclear powers, and nonstate actors.

Deterrence in the 21st Century

Max G. Manwaring
Deterrence in the 21st Century Book PDF

Author : Max G. Manwaring
Publisher : Psychology Press
Page : 160 pages
File Size : 44,8 Mb
Release : 2001
Category : History
ISBN : 0714651338

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Deterrence in the 21st Century by Max G. Manwaring Pdf

This anthology argues that facing the diverse threats in the 'new world disorder' requires a new look and new approaches. The requirement is to establish that contemporary deterrence demands replacing the old 'nuclear theology' with new policy and strategy to deal with the myriad state, non-state, and trans-national nuclear and non-nuclear menaces that have heretofore been ignored or wished away.

The Case for U.S. Nuclear Weapons in the 21st Century

Brad Roberts
The Case for U S Nuclear Weapons in the 21st Century Book PDF

Author : Brad Roberts
Publisher : Stanford University Press
Page : 351 pages
File Size : 44,6 Mb
Release : 2015-12-09
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9780804797153

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The Case for U.S. Nuclear Weapons in the 21st Century by Brad Roberts Pdf

“An excellent contribution to the debate on the future role of nuclear weapons and nuclear deterrence in American foreign policy.” ―Contemporary Security Policy This book is a counter to the conventional wisdom that the United States can and should do more to reduce both the role of nuclear weapons in its security strategies and the number of weapons in its arsenal. The case against nuclear weapons has been made on many grounds—including historical, political, and moral. But, Brad Roberts argues, it has not so far been informed by the experience of the United States since the Cold War in trying to adapt deterrence to a changed world, and to create the conditions that would allow further significant changes to U.S. nuclear policy and posture. Drawing on the author’s experience in the making and implementation of U.S. policy in the Obama administration, this book examines that real-world experience and finds important lessons for the disarmament enterprise. Central conclusions of the work are that other nuclear-armed states are not prepared to join the United States in making reductions, and that unilateral steps by the United States to disarm further would be harmful to its interests and those of its allies. The book ultimately argues in favor of patience and persistence in the implementation of a balanced approach to nuclear strategy that encompasses political efforts to reduce nuclear dangers along with military efforts to deter them. “Well-researched and carefully argued.” ―Foreign Affairs

Deterrence and Security in the 21st Century

Avery Goldstein
Deterrence and Security in the 21st Century Book PDF

Author : Avery Goldstein
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 356 pages
File Size : 49,5 Mb
Release : 2000
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 0804746869

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Deterrence and Security in the 21st Century by Avery Goldstein Pdf

Despite the collapse of the Soviet Union and the end of the Cold War, this book argues that nuclear deterrence will characterize international strategic affairs well into the new century. Case studies assessing the nuclear deterrent policies of China, Britain, and France show why their experience, rather than that of Cold War superpowers, better reflects the future of nuclear deterrence.

Deterrence and Security in the 21st Century

Avery Goldstein
Deterrence and Security in the 21st Century Book PDF

Author : Avery Goldstein
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 356 pages
File Size : 55,5 Mb
Release : 2000
Category : History
ISBN : 0804737363

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Deterrence and Security in the 21st Century by Avery Goldstein Pdf

Much recent writing about international politics understandably highlights the many changes that have followed from the collapse of the Soviet Union and the end of the Cold War. This book, by contrast, analyzes an important continuity that, the author argues, will characterize international strategic affairs well into the new century: nuclear deterrence will remain at the core of the security policies of the world's great powers and will continue to be an attractive option for many less powerful states worried about adversaries whose capabilities they cannot match. The central role of nuclear deterrence persists despite the advent of a new international system in which serious military threats are no longer obvious, the use of force is judged irrelevant to resolving most international disputes, and states' interests are increasingly defined in economic rather than military terms. Indeed, the author suggests why these changes may increase the appeal of nuclear deterrence in the coming decades. Beginning with a reconsideration of nuclear deterrence theory, the book takes issue with the usual emphasis on the need for invulnerable retaliatory forces and threats that leaders can rationally choose to carry out. The author explains why states, including badly outgunned states, can rely on nuclear deterrent strategies despite the difficulty they may face in deploying invulnerable forces and despite the implausibility of rationally carrying out their threats of retaliation. In the subsequent empirical analysis that examines the security policies of China, Britain, and France and taps recently declassified documents, the author suggests that the misleading standard view of what is oftentermed rational deterrence theory may well reflect the experience, or at least aspirations, of the Cold War superpowers more than the logic of deterrence itself. Case studies assessing the nuclear deterrent policies of China, B

Alliances, Nuclear Weapons and Escalation

Stephan Frühling,Andrew O’Neil
Alliances Nuclear Weapons and Escalation Book PDF

Author : Stephan Frühling,Andrew O’Neil
Publisher : ANU Press
Page : 234 pages
File Size : 51,5 Mb
Release : 2021-12-14
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781760464912

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Alliances, Nuclear Weapons and Escalation by Stephan Frühling,Andrew O’Neil Pdf

In an era of great power competition, the role of alliances in managing escalation of conflict has acquired renewed importance. Nuclear weapons remain the ultimate means for deterrence and controlling escalation, and are central to US alliances in Europe and the Indo-Pacific. However, allies themselves need to better prepare for managing escalation in an increasingly challenging geostrategic and technological environment for the US and its allies. While the challenge of great power competition is acute at both ends of Eurasia, adversary threats, geography and the institutional context of US alliances differ. This book brings together leading experts from Europe, Northeast Asia, the United States and Australia to focus on these challenges, identify commonalities and differences across regions, and pinpoint ways to collectively manage nuclear deterrence and potential escalation pathways in America’s 21st century alliances. ‘Nuclear weapons play an important role in deterrence and preventing military conflict between great powers, while also posing an existential threat to humanity. It is vital that we have a nuanced understanding of this important challenge, so that such weapons are never used. This book offers many important perspectives and makes a significant contribution to the overall debate about these powerful weapons.’ — The Hon Julie Bishop, Chancellor, The Australian National University, Former Foreign Minister of Australia ‘This timely book identifies a wide range of challenges US alliances both in the Indo-Pacific and Euro-Atlantic face as they seek to ensure the value of US extended deterrence, particular the US nuclear umbrella, against China and Russia. This unique collection of chapters written by experts in US allies in both regions presents widely varying security perceptions and priorities. To understand such differences is the key to globally strengthen the US alliance systems, which are a significant advantage Washington enjoys over the two competitors.’ — Yukio Satoh, former President of The Japan Institute of International Affairs (JIIA) ‘This is a timely and thoughtful collection of essays that should serve to jumpstart public discussion and debate—the absence of which is widely noted and much bemoaned. Each contributor examines an aspect of the complicated, multifaceted nuclear debate by discussing the range of dilemmas from deterrence to disarmament. The various views set out here are more relevant than ever as Russia, China and the United States flex their nuclear muscles in new and sometimes dangerous ways. This book should be read by anyone interested in the preventing the use of nuclear weapons and understanding complexities of alliances in an increasingly dangerous world.’ — Madelyn Creedon, former Principal Deputy Administrator of the US National Nuclear Security Administration and Assistant Secretary of Defense for Global Strategic Affairs

NATO and Collective Defence in the 21st Century

Karsten Friis
NATO and Collective Defence in the 21st Century Book PDF

Author : Karsten Friis
Publisher : Taylor & Francis
Page : 119 pages
File Size : 46,7 Mb
Release : 2017-02-17
Category : History
ISBN : 9781351854382

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NATO and Collective Defence in the 21st Century by Karsten Friis Pdf

This book presents a cutting-edge assessment of NATO's collective defence strategies in the immediate aftermath of the July 2016 NATO Warsaw Summit. Collective defence and deterrence came back on the agenda at the 2014 Wales Summit following the Russian annexation of Crimea, and was in many respects a game changer for NATO. The Warsaw Summit was a follow-up and operationalization of the Wales Summit, as well as adding further initiatives to the agenda. But is NATO delivering? This book provides a thorough assessment of the on-going debates and discussions taking place within and outside of NATO in Europe and North America. In its return to deterrence, NATO is confronted with challenges relating to strategic thinking, capability development, and the role of nuclear weapons. It has also raised questions about the future prospects for NATO membership for countries such as Sweden and Finland, with broader implications for the security situation in the Baltic region. Central to all this is of course NATO’s relationship with Russia and questions of a new security dilemma, in turning bringing to the fore the challenge of maintaining an appropriate balance between deterrence and dialogue. The chapters in this volume address these questions and provide a much-needed analysis of the results of the NATO Warsaw Summit. This book will be of interest to policymakers and students of NATO, international security, European Politics, security studies and IR in general.

Deterrence by Denial

Alex S. Wilner,Andreas Wenger
Deterrence by Denial Book PDF

Author : Alex S. Wilner,Andreas Wenger
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 128 pages
File Size : 54,9 Mb
Release : 2020-11
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 1621965503

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Deterrence by Denial by Alex S. Wilner,Andreas Wenger Pdf

"Deterrence by Denial: Theory and Practice is the first study to focus exclusively on contemporary denial, bridging the theoretical gap that persists between classical deterrence theory and contemporary insecurity. The book significantly advances the scholarship on deterrence by denial with empirically driven and policy-relevant contributions written by leading international scholars of conventional military aggression, missile defense, terrorism and militancy, crime, and cybersecurity. Deterrence by Denial: Theory and Practice is an important and unique book, of interest to scholars of international relations, political science, terrorism and intelligence studies, and cybersecurity, as well as to policy analysts, practitioners, and members of the armed forces and intelligence community"--

Asia, the US and Extended Nuclear Deterrence

Andrew O'Neil
Asia the US and Extended Nuclear Deterrence Book PDF

Author : Andrew O'Neil
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 209 pages
File Size : 42,8 Mb
Release : 2013-09-02
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781136693670

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Asia, the US and Extended Nuclear Deterrence by Andrew O'Neil Pdf

Since the end of the Cold War, significant attention has focussed on the issue of nuclear deterrence and in particular whether formal nuclear security guarantees from nuclear weapons states to non-nuclear weapons states involving the possible use of nuclear weapons have a place in the twenty-first century global strategic landscape. Growing support for nuclear disarmament in the US and elsewhere has seen serious doubts being raised about the ongoing utility of extended nuclear deterrence. This book provides the first detailed analysis of the way in which extended nuclear deterrence operates in contemporary Asia. It addresses the following key questions: What does the role of extended nuclear deterrence in Asia tell us about the broader role of extended nuclear deterrence in the contemporary international system? Is this role likely to change significantly in the years ahead? O’Neil uses a theoretical and historical framework to analyse the contemporary and future dynamics of extended nuclear deterrence in Asia and challenges many of the existing orthodox perspectives on the topic. Providing a new perspective on debates surrounding extended nuclear deterrence, this book will be of interest not only to students and scholars of Asian politics, international relations and security studies, but also to policy makers and professionals.

Nuclear Deterrence in the 21st Century

Thérèse Delpech
Nuclear Deterrence in the 21st Century Book PDF

Author : Thérèse Delpech
Publisher : Rand Corporation
Page : 331 pages
File Size : 42,8 Mb
Release : 2012-03-28
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9780833059390

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Nuclear Deterrence in the 21st Century by Thérèse Delpech Pdf

Deterrence remains a primary doctrine for dealing with the threat of nuclear weapons in the 21st century. The author reviews the history of nuclear deterrence and calls for a renewed intellectual effort to address the relevance of concepts such as first strike, escalation, extended deterrence, and other Cold War-era strategies in today's complex world of additional superpowers, smaller nuclear powers, and nonstate actors.

Psychology and Deterrence

Robert Jervis,Richard Ned Lebow,Janice Gross Stein
Psychology and Deterrence Book PDF

Author : Robert Jervis,Richard Ned Lebow,Janice Gross Stein
Publisher : JHU Press
Page : 401 pages
File Size : 52,5 Mb
Release : 1989-04-01
Category : Psychology
ISBN : 9781421401331

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Psychology and Deterrence by Robert Jervis,Richard Ned Lebow,Janice Gross Stein Pdf

Detterence is the most basic concept in American foreign policy today. But past practice indicates it often fails to work - and may increase the risk of war. Psychology and Deterrence reveals this stratgy's hidden and generally simplistic assumptions about the nature of power and aggression, threat and response, and calculation and behavior in the international arena. Most current analysis, the authors, note, ignore decisionmakers' emotions, preceptions, and domestic political needs, assuming instead that people repond to crisis in highly rational ways. Examining the historical evidence from a psychological perspective, Psychology and Deterrence offers case studies on the origins of World War I, the 1973 Arab-Israeli conflict, and the Falklands Wars as seen by the most important participants. These case studies reveal national leaders to be both more cautious and more reckless than theory would predict. They also show how deterrence strategies often backfire by aggravating a nation's sense of insequrity, thereby calling forth the very behavior they seek to prevent. The authors' conclusions offer important insights for superpower bargaining and nuclear deterrence.

Arms and Influence

Thomas C. Schelling
Arms and Influence Book PDF

Author : Thomas C. Schelling
Publisher : Yale University Press
Page : 337 pages
File Size : 54,8 Mb
Release : 2020-03-17
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9780300253481

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Arms and Influence by Thomas C. Schelling Pdf

“This is a brilliant and hardheaded book. It will frighten those who prefer not to dwell on the unthinkable and infuriate those who have taken refuge in stereotypes and moral attitudinizing.”—Gordon A. Craig, New York Times Book Review Originally published more than fifty years ago, this landmark book explores the ways in which military capabilities—real or imagined—are used, skillfully or clumsily, as bargaining power. Anne-Marie Slaughter’s new introduction to the work shows how Schelling’s framework—conceived of in a time of superpowers and mutually assured destruction—still applies to our multipolar world, where wars are fought as much online as on the ground.

Space Warfare in the 21st Century

Joan Johnson-Freese
Space Warfare in the 21st Century Book PDF

Author : Joan Johnson-Freese
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 202 pages
File Size : 51,5 Mb
Release : 2016-11-08
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781315529158

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Space Warfare in the 21st Century by Joan Johnson-Freese Pdf

This book examines the recent shift in US space policy and the forces that continually draw the US back into a space-technology security dilemma. The dual-use nature of the vast majority of space technology, meaning of value to both civilian and military communities and being unable to differentiate offensive from defensive intent of military hardware, makes space an area particularly ripe for a security dilemma. In contrast to previous administrations, the Obama Administration has pursued a less militaristic space policy, instead employing a strategic restraint approach that stressed multilateral diplomacy to space challenges. The latter required international solutions and the United States, subsequently, even voiced support for an International Code of Conduct for Space. That policy held until the Chinese anti-satellite (ASAT) test in 2013, which demonstrated expanded Chinese capabilities. This volume explores the issues arising from evolving space capabilities across the world and the security challenges this poses. It subsequently discusses the complexity of the space environment and argues that all tools of national power must be used, with some degree of balance, toward addressing space challenges and achieving space goals. This book will be of much interest to students of space policy, defence studies, foreign policy, security studies and IR.

The Long Shadow

Muthiah Alagappa
The Long Shadow Book PDF

Author : Muthiah Alagappa
Publisher : Stanford University Press
Page : 592 pages
File Size : 48,5 Mb
Release : 2008
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9780804760867

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The Long Shadow by Muthiah Alagappa Pdf

The Long Shadow investigates the purposes and roles of nuclear weapons in the new security environment, the nature and content of the national nuclear strategies of relevant states, and their implications for international security and stability in the Asian security region