Extremes And Related Properties Of Random Sequences And Processes

Author : M. R. Leadbetter,G. Lindgren,H. Rootzen
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 344 pages
File Size : 40,9 Mb
Release : 2012-12-06
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9781461254492

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Extremes and Related Properties of Random Sequences and Processes by M. R. Leadbetter,G. Lindgren,H. Rootzen Pdf

Classical Extreme Value Theory-the asymptotic distributional theory for maxima of independent, identically distributed random variables-may be regarded as roughly half a century old, even though its roots reach further back into mathematical antiquity. During this period of time it has found significant application-exemplified best perhaps by the book Statistics of Extremes by E. J. Gumbel-as well as a rather complete theoretical development. More recently, beginning with the work of G. S. Watson, S. M. Berman, R. M. Loynes, and H. Cramer, there has been a developing interest in the extension of the theory to include, first, dependent sequences and then continuous parameter stationary processes. The early activity proceeded in two directions-the extension of general theory to certain dependent sequences (e.g., Watson and Loynes), and the beginning of a detailed theory for stationary sequences (Berman) and continuous parameter processes (Cramer) in the normal case. In recent years both lines of development have been actively pursued.

Author : M.R. Leadbetter,Georg Lindgren,Holger Rootzén
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 352 pages
File Size : 49,7 Mb
Release : 1983-03-02
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 1461254507

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Extremes and Related Properties of Random Sequences and Processes by M.R. Leadbetter,Georg Lindgren,Holger Rootzén Pdf

Author : Stuart Coles
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 226 pages
File Size : 44,8 Mb
Release : 2001-08-20
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9781852334598

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An Introduction to Statistical Modeling of Extreme Values by Stuart Coles Pdf

Directly oriented towards real practical application, this book develops both the basic theoretical framework of extreme value models and the statistical inferential techniques for using these models in practice. Intended for statisticians and non-statisticians alike, the theoretical treatment is elementary, with heuristics often replacing detailed mathematical proof. Most aspects of extreme modeling techniques are covered, including historical techniques (still widely used) and contemporary techniques based on point process models. A wide range of worked examples, using genuine datasets, illustrate the various modeling procedures and a concluding chapter provides a brief introduction to a number of more advanced topics, including Bayesian inference and spatial extremes. All the computations are carried out using S-PLUS, and the corresponding datasets and functions are available via the Internet for readers to recreate examples for themselves. An essential reference for students and researchers in statistics and disciplines such as engineering, finance and environmental science, this book will also appeal to practitioners looking for practical help in solving real problems. Stuart Coles is Reader in Statistics at the University of Bristol, UK, having previously lectured at the universities of Nottingham and Lancaster. In 1992 he was the first recipient of the Royal Statistical Society's research prize. He has published widely in the statistical literature, principally in the area of extreme value modeling.

Author : Pavle Mladenović
Publisher : Springer Nature
Page : 287 pages
File Size : 44,6 Mb
Release : 2024-06-14
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 9783031574122

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Extreme Values In Random Sequences by Pavle Mladenović Pdf

Author : PROF SATYA N.. SCHEHR MAJUMDAR (PROF GREGORY.),Satya N. Majumdar,Grégory Schehr
Publisher : Oxford University Press
Page : 257 pages
File Size : 47,6 Mb
Release : 2024-06-20
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9780198797333

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Statistics of Extremes and Records in Random Sequences by PROF SATYA N.. SCHEHR MAJUMDAR (PROF GREGORY.),Satya N. Majumdar,Grégory Schehr Pdf

Rare events such as earthquakes, tsunamis, and floods fortunately do not occur every day, but when they do, their effects are devastating. Such rare events are particularly important in understanding and characterizing global warming and climate changes. In addition to natural catastrophes, rare events such as big financial crashes also play a significant role in the economy. In the absence of predictive models, the best way forward is to analyse the statistics of these extreme events and draw conclusions about the probability of their occurrences.Extreme value statistics (EVS) and the statistics of records in a random sequence are examples of a truly interdisciplinary topic, spanning from statistics and mathematics on one side to physics of disordered systems on the other. They have tremendous importance and practical applications in a wide variety of fields, such as climate science, finance, spin-glasses, and random matrices.Statistics and mathematical literature have explored the subject of the classical theory of EVS. However, more recently, EVS started to play a very important role in statistical physics, in particular in disordered systems. This has led to a plethora of activities, both in the statistical physics and in the mathematics communities over the last few decades. This book develops the theory of rare events, both for the classical uncorrelated as well as for correlated sequences, in terms of simple models and examples. Statistics of Extremes and Records in Random Sequences is a pedagogical book with examples illustrating the basic tools and techniques that are essential to a student starting to work in this interesting and rapidly developing field.

Author : Pavle Mladenović
Publisher : Springer
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 46,6 Mb
Release : 2024-06-04
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 3031574117

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Extreme Values In Random Sequences by Pavle Mladenović Pdf

The main subject is the probabilistic extreme value theory. The purpose is to present recent results related to limiting distributions of maxima in incomplete samples from stationary sequences, and results related to extremal properties of different combinatorial configurations. The necessary contents related to regularly varying functions and basic results of extreme value theory are included in the first two chapters with examples, exercises and supplements. The motivation for consideration maxima in incomplete samples arises from the fact that real data are often incomplete. A sequence of observed random variables from a stationary sequence is also stationary only in very special cases. Hence, the results provided in the third chapter are also related to non-stationary sequences. The proof of theorems related to joint limiting distribution of maxima in complete and incomplete samples requires a non-trivial combination of combinatorics and point process theory. Chapter four provides results on the asymptotic behavior of the extremal characteristics of random permutations, the coupon collector's problem, the polynomial scheme, random trees and random forests, random partitions of finite sets, and the geometric properties of samples of random vectors. The topics presented here provide insight into the natural connections between probability theory and algebra, combinatorics, graph theory and combinatorial geometry. The contents of the book may be useful for graduate students and researchers who are interested in probabilistic extreme value theory and its applications.

Author : Serguei Y. Novak
Publisher : CRC Press
Page : 399 pages
File Size : 54,6 Mb
Release : 2011-12-20
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9781439835753

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Extreme Value Methods with Applications to Finance by Serguei Y. Novak Pdf

Extreme value theory (EVT) deals with extreme (rare) events, which are sometimes reported as outliers. Certain textbooks encourage readers to remove outliers—in other words, to correct reality if it does not fit the model. Recognizing that any model is only an approximation of reality, statisticians are eager to extract information about unknown distribution making as few assumptions as possible. Extreme Value Methods with Applications to Finance concentrates on modern topics in EVT, such as processes of exceedances, compound Poisson approximation, Poisson cluster approximation, and nonparametric estimation methods. These topics have not been fully focused on in other books on extremes. In addition, the book covers: Extremes in samples of random size Methods of estimating extreme quantiles and tail probabilities Self-normalized sums of random variables Measures of market risk Along with examples from finance and insurance to illustrate the methods, Extreme Value Methods with Applications to Finance includes over 200 exercises, making it useful as a reference book, self-study tool, or comprehensive course text. A systematic background to a rapidly growing branch of modern Probability and Statistics: extreme value theory for stationary sequences of random variables.

Author : Jürg Hüsler,Rolf-Dieter Reiss
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 290 pages
File Size : 49,6 Mb
Release : 2012-12-06
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9781461236344

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Extreme Value Theory by Jürg Hüsler,Rolf-Dieter Reiss Pdf

The urgent need to describe and to solve certain problems connected to extreme phenomena in various areas of applications has been of decisive influence on the vital development of extreme value theory. After the pioneering work of M. Frechet (1927) and of R.A. Fisher and L.R.C. Tippett (1928), who discovered the limiting distributions of extremes, the importance of mathematical concepts of extreme behavior in applications was impressively demonstrated by statisticians like E.J. Gumbel and W. Weibull. The predominant role of applied aspects in that early period may be highlighted by the fact that two of the "Fisher-Tippett asymptotes" also carry the names of Gumbel and Weibull. In the last years, the complexity of problems and their tractability by mathematical methods stimulated a rapid development of mathematical theory that substantially helped to improve our understanding of extreme behavior. Due to the depth and richness of mathematical ideas, extreme value theory has become more and more of interest for mathematically oriented research workers. This was one of the reasons to organize a conference on extreme value theory which was held at the Mathematische Forschungsinstitut at Oberwolfach (FRG) in December 1987.

Author : J. Galambos,James Lechner,Emil Simiu
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 526 pages
File Size : 47,6 Mb
Release : 2013-12-01
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9781461336389

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Extreme Value Theory and Applications by J. Galambos,James Lechner,Emil Simiu Pdf

It appears that we live in an age of disasters: the mighty Missis sippi and Missouri flood millions of acres, earthquakes hit Tokyo and California, airplanes crash due to mechanical failure and the seemingly ever increasing wind speeds make the storms more and more frightening. While all these may seem to be unexpected phenomena to the man on the street, they are actually happening according to well defined rules of science known as extreme value theory. We know that records must be broken in the future, so if a flood design is based on the worst case of the past then we are not really prepared against floods. Materials will fail due to fatigue, so if the body of an aircraft looks fine to the naked eye, it might still suddenly fail if the aircraft has been in operation over an extended period of time. Our theory has by now penetrated the so cial sciences, the medical profession, economics and even astronomy. We believe that our field has come of age. In or~er to fully utilize the great progress in the theory of extremes and its ever increasing acceptance in practice, an international conference was organized in which equal weight was given to theory and practice. This book is Volume I of the Proceedings of this conference. In selecting the papers for Volume lour guide was to have authoritative works with a large variety of coverage of both theory and practice.

Author : Simeon Berman
Publisher : CRC Press
Page : 315 pages
File Size : 42,5 Mb
Release : 2017-07-12
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9781351415644

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Sojourns And Extremes of Stochastic Processes by Simeon Berman Pdf

Sojourns and Extremes of Stochastic Processes is a research monograph in the area of probability theory. During the past thirty years Berman has made many contributions to the theory of the extreme values and sojourn times of the sample functions of broad classes of stochastic processes. These processes arise in theoretical and applied models, and are presented here in a unified exposition.

Author : J. Tiago de Oliveira
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 690 pages
File Size : 46,9 Mb
Release : 2013-04-17
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9789401730693

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Statistical Extremes and Applications by J. Tiago de Oliveira Pdf

The first references to statistical extremes may perhaps be found in the Genesis (The Bible, vol. I): the largest age of Methu'selah and the concrete applications faced by Noah-- the long rain, the large flood, the structural safety of the ark --. But as the pre-history of the area can be considered to last to the first quarter of our century, we can say that Statistical Extremes emer ged in the last half-century. It began with the paper by Dodd in 1923, followed quickly by the papers of Fre-chet in 1927 and Fisher and Tippett in 1928, after by the papers by de Finetti in 1932, by Gumbel in 1935 and by von Mises in 1936, to cite the more relevant; the first complete frame in what regards probabilistic problems is due to Gnedenko in 1943. And by that time Extremes begin to explode not only in what regards applications (floods, breaking strength of materials, gusts of wind, etc. ) but also in areas going from Proba bility to Stochastic Processes, from Multivariate Structures to Statistical Decision. The history, after the first essential steps, can't be written in few pages: the narrow and shallow stream gained momentum and is now a huge river, enlarging at every moment and flooding the margins. Statistical Extremes is, thus, a clear-cut field of Probability and Statistics and a new exploding area for research.

Author : Michael Falk,Jürg Hüsler,Rolf-Dieter Reiss
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 509 pages
File Size : 53,6 Mb
Release : 2010-10-07
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9783034800099

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Laws of Small Numbers: Extremes and Rare Events by Michael Falk,Jürg Hüsler,Rolf-Dieter Reiss Pdf

Since the publication of the first edition of this seminar book in 1994, the theory and applications of extremes and rare events have enjoyed an enormous and still increasing interest. The intention of the book is to give a mathematically oriented development of the theory of rare events underlying various applications. This characteristic of the book was strengthened in the second edition by incorporating various new results. In this third edition, the dramatic change of focus of extreme value theory has been taken into account: from concentrating on maxima of observations it has shifted to large observations, defined as exceedances over high thresholds. One emphasis of the present third edition lies on multivariate generalized Pareto distributions, their representations, properties such as their peaks-over-threshold stability, simulation, testing and estimation. Reviews of the 2nd edition: "In brief, it is clear that this will surely be a valuable resource for anyone involved in, or seeking to master, the more mathematical features of this field." David Stirzaker, Bulletin of the London Mathematical Society "Laws of Small Numbers can be highly recommended to everyone who is looking for a smooth introduction to Poisson approximations in EVT and other fields of probability theory and statistics. In particular, it offers an interesting view on multivariate EVT and on EVT for non-iid observations, which is not presented in a similar way in any other textbook." Holger Drees, Metrika

Author : Francois Longin
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 638 pages
File Size : 53,8 Mb
Release : 2016-10-17
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781118650196

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Extreme Events in Finance by Francois Longin Pdf

A guide to the growing importance of extreme value risk theory, methods, and applications in the financial sector Presenting a uniquely accessible guide, Extreme Events in Finance: A Handbook of Extreme Value Theory and Its Applications features a combination of the theory, methods, and applications of extreme value theory (EVT) in finance and a practical understanding of market behavior including both ordinary and extraordinary conditions. Beginning with a fascinating history of EVTs and financial modeling, the handbook introduces the historical implications that resulted in the applications and then clearly examines the fundamental results of EVT in finance. After dealing with these theoretical results, the handbook focuses on the EVT methods critical for data analysis. Finally, the handbook features the practical applications and techniques and how these can be implemented in financial markets. Extreme Events in Finance: A Handbook of Extreme Value Theory and Its Applications includes: Over 40 contributions from international experts in the areas of finance, statistics, economics, business, insurance, and risk management Topical discussions on univariate and multivariate case extremes as well as regulation in financial markets Extensive references in order to provide readers with resources for further study Discussions on using R packages to compute the value of risk and related quantities The book is a valuable reference for practitioners in financial markets such as financial institutions, investment funds, and corporate treasuries, financial engineers, quantitative analysts, regulators, risk managers, large-scale consultancy groups, and insurers. Extreme Events in Finance: A Handbook of Extreme Value Theory and Its Applications is also a useful textbook for postgraduate courses on the methodology of EVTs in finance.

Author : Henry W. Block,Allan R. Sampson,Thomas H. Savits
Publisher : IMS
Page : 558 pages
File Size : 41,9 Mb
Release : 1990
Category : Mathematical statistics
ISBN : 0940600234

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Topics in Statistical Dependence by Henry W. Block,Allan R. Sampson,Thomas H. Savits Pdf

Author : Jean-Marc Azais,Mario Wschebor
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 407 pages
File Size : 47,7 Mb
Release : 2009-02-17
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9780470434635

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Level Sets and Extrema of Random Processes and Fields by Jean-Marc Azais,Mario Wschebor Pdf

A timely and comprehensive treatment of random field theory with applications across diverse areas of study Level Sets and Extrema of Random Processes and Fields discusses how to understand the properties of the level sets of paths as well as how to compute the probability distribution of its extremal values, which are two general classes of problems that arise in the study of random processes and fields and in related applications. This book provides a unified and accessible approach to these two topics and their relationship to classical theory and Gaussian processes and fields, and the most modern research findings are also discussed. The authors begin with an introduction to the basic concepts of stochastic processes, including a modern review of Gaussian fields and their classical inequalities. Subsequent chapters are devoted to Rice formulas, regularity properties, and recent results on the tails of the distribution of the maximum. Finally, applications of random fields to various areas of mathematics are provided, specifically to systems of random equations and condition numbers of random matrices. Throughout the book, applications are illustrated from various areas of study such as statistics, genomics, and oceanography while other results are relevant to econometrics, engineering, and mathematical physics. The presented material is reinforced by end-of-chapter exercises that range in varying degrees of difficulty. Most fundamental topics are addressed in the book, and an extensive, up-to-date bibliography directs readers to existing literature for further study. Level Sets and Extrema of Random Processes and Fields is an excellent book for courses on probability theory, spatial statistics, Gaussian fields, and probabilistic methods in real computation at the upper-undergraduate and graduate levels. It is also a valuable reference for professionals in mathematics and applied fields such as statistics, engineering, econometrics, mathematical physics, and biology.