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Forecasting the Telephone by Ithiel de Sola Pool Pdf
This book applies the approach of technology assessment to the telephone. The author's analysis forecasts the effect of the telephone on society and compares it with the reality. This book not only examines the social consequences of the telephone, but provides a model for future efficient assessments of new technologies. It documents a largely unknown piece of the history of American technology and anlayzes the requirements for success in technological forecasting.
Modern Budget Forecasting in the American States by Michael J. Brogan Pdf
Michael J. Brogan’s Modern Budget Forecasting in the American States: Precision, Uncertainty, and Politics examines government budgeting through the analysis of budget forecast errors. This book is innovative in its ability to connect the technical aspects of budgeting with the politics of the budget process and offers an understanding of the budgeting process in light of the impact of the Great Recession on states’ finances.
Analysis of Telephone Data by George C. Tiao,Howard Elliott Thompson Pdf
Forecasting models are constructed for the monthly inward and outward station movements of the Wisconsin Telephone Company using an iterative procedure developed by Box and Jenkins. Data covering the period January 1951 through October 1966 were used to develop the model. Forecasts with 95% probability limits were calculated for three years from November 1966 and compared with the actual observations. The properties of the models are discussed in detail. Alternative models for forecasting are also entertained and compared with those chosen. (Author).
Ebook: Business Forecasting and Modelling by J. Holton Wilson,Barry Keating,John Solutions Inc. Pdf
The Sixth Edition of Business Forecasting is the most practical forecasting book on the market with the most powerful software—Forecast X. This edition presents a broad-based survey of business forecasting methods including subjective and objective approaches. As always, the author team of Wilson and Keating deliver practical how-to forecasting techniques, along with dozens of real world data sets while theory and math are held to a minimum. This Sixth Edition includes Forecast X software updated for Excel 2007 and Vista. Forecast X is the most comprehensive software tool available in this market and the new version is also backwards compatible for XP Excel 2003 systems. This Excel-based tool effectively uses wizards and many tools to make forecasting easy and understandable.
In the past two decades several activities in the field of water resources management have been enhanced and intensified. This . rise had at least two independent reasons. The first and main one was the constantly increasing water demand for agriculture and industry on one side and the concern about the deteriorating environment on the other. While this last concern was lately overshadowed by deterioration of national economies, the quantity of available water resources has certainly not increased with the growing scarcity of funds for its development and protection. Furthermore, the standard of living, which raised across the world, even in India and China, countries which concentrate more than a third of the world population, has made people and their governments more aware of natural disasters caused by weather. Since a large percentage of losses in human life and material damage from weather-related disasters are caused by water, either by its excess or scarcity, the concern about water has been increasingly associated with these disasters. The second reason for intensified water resources management is man's spectacular technological advance in electronics, computers and use of satellites. The Koran says that two things cannot be predicted: the sex of the child in its mother's womb and the quantity of water that falls from the sky and flows in rivers. Technological progress has disproved both of these caveats.
Principles of Forecasting: A Handbook for Researchers and Practitioners summarizes knowledge from experts and from empirical studies. It provides guidelines that can be applied in fields such as economics, sociology, and psychology. It applies to problems such as those in finance (How much is this company worth?), marketing (Will a new product be successful?), personnel (How can we identify the best job candidates?), and production (What level of inventories should be kept?). The book is edited by Professor J. Scott Armstrong of the Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania. Contributions were written by 40 leading experts in forecasting, and the 30 chapters cover all types of forecasting methods. There are judgmental methods such as Delphi, role-playing, and intentions studies. Quantitative methods include econometric methods, expert systems, and extrapolation. Some methods, such as conjoint analysis, analogies, and rule-based forecasting, integrate quantitative and judgmental procedures. In each area, the authors identify what is known in the form of `if-then principles', and they summarize evidence on these principles. The project, developed over a four-year period, represents the first book to summarize all that is known about forecasting and to present it so that it can be used by researchers and practitioners. To ensure that the principles are correct, the authors reviewed one another's papers. In addition, external reviews were provided by more than 120 experts, some of whom reviewed many of the papers. The book includes the first comprehensive forecasting dictionary.
National Research Council,Division on Engineering and Physical Sciences,Commission on Engineering and Technical Systems,Marine Board,Committee on Opportunities to Improve Marine Observations and Forecasting
Author : National Research Council,Division on Engineering and Physical Sciences,Commission on Engineering and Technical Systems,Marine Board,Committee on Opportunities to Improve Marine Observations and Forecasting Publisher : National Academies Press Page : 146 pages File Size : 41,8 Mb Release : 1989-02-01 Category : Science ISBN : 9780309040907
Opportunities to Improve Marine Forecasting by National Research Council,Division on Engineering and Physical Sciences,Commission on Engineering and Technical Systems,Marine Board,Committee on Opportunities to Improve Marine Observations and Forecasting Pdf
Commerce and the general publicâ€"especially those living in increasingly crowded, highly developed low-lying coastal communitiesâ€"rely heavily on accurate forecasts of marine conditions and weather over the oceans to ensure the safe and productive use of the sea and coastal zone. This book examines the opportunities to improve our ocean forecasting systems made possible by new observational techniques and high-speed computers. Significant benefits from these potential improvements are possible for transportation, ocean energy and resources development, fisheries and recreation, and coastal management.
United States. General Services Administration. Office of Small and Disadvantaged Business Utilization
Author : United States. General Services Administration. Office of Small and Disadvantaged Business Utilization Publisher : Unknown Page : 108 pages File Size : 44,8 Mb Release : 1990 Category : Government purchasing ISBN : UIUC:30112105085937
Forecast of GSA Contracting Opportunities by United States. General Services Administration. Office of Small and Disadvantaged Business Utilization Pdf
Author : Jamie L. Pietruska Publisher : University of Chicago Press Page : 295 pages File Size : 48,9 Mb Release : 2017-12-08 Category : History ISBN : 9780226475004
Introduction: crisis of certainty -- Cotton guesses -- The daily "probabilities"--Weather prophecies -- Economies of the future -- Promises of love and money -- Epilogue: specters of uncertainty
Author : Chaman L. Jain & Jack Malehorn Publisher : Institute of Business Forec Page : 516 pages File Size : 42,8 Mb Release : 2005 Category : Business forecasting ISBN : 0932126758
