Foreign Exchange Intervention In Inflation Targeters In Latin America

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Foreign Exchange Intervention in Inflation Targeters in Latin America

Author : Mr.Marcos d Chamon,Mr.David J Hofman,Mr.Nicolas E Magud,Alejandro M. Werner
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 320 pages
File Size : 50,8 Mb
Release : 2019-03-01
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781484393024

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Foreign Exchange Intervention in Inflation Targeters in Latin America by Mr.Marcos d Chamon,Mr.David J Hofman,Mr.Nicolas E Magud,Alejandro M. Werner Pdf

Foreign exchange intervention is widely used as a policy tool, particularly in emerging markets, but many facets of this tool remain limited, especially in the context of flexible exchange rate regimes. The Latin American experience can be informative because some of its largest countries adopted floating exchange rate regimes and inflation targeting while continuing to intervene in foreign exchange markets. This edited volume reviews detailed accounts from several Latin American countries’ central banks, and it provides insight into how and with what aim many interventions were decided and implemented. This book documents the effectiveness of intervention and pays special attention to the role of foreign exchange intervention policy within inflation-targeting monetary frameworks. The main lesson from Latin America’s foreign exchange interventions, in the context of inflation targeting, is that the region has had a considerable degree of success. Transparency and a clear communication policy have been key. For economies that are not highly dollarized, rules-based intervention helped contain financial instability and build international reserves while preserving inflation targets. The Latin American experience can help other countries in the design and implementation of their policies.

Intervention Under Inflation Targeting--When Could It Make Sense?

Author : Mr.David J Hofman,Mr.Marcos d Chamon,Mr.Pragyan Deb,Mr.Thomas Harjes,Umang Rawat,Itaru Yamamoto
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 22 pages
File Size : 55,9 Mb
Release : 2020-01-17
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781513526027

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Intervention Under Inflation Targeting--When Could It Make Sense? by Mr.David J Hofman,Mr.Marcos d Chamon,Mr.Pragyan Deb,Mr.Thomas Harjes,Umang Rawat,Itaru Yamamoto Pdf

We investigate the motives inflation-targeting central banks in emerging markets may have for intervening in foreign exchange markets and evaluate the case for such interventions based on the existing literature. Our findings suggest that the rationale for interventions depends on initial conditions and country-specific circumstances. The case is strongest in the presence of large currency mismatches or underdeveloped markets. While interventions can have benefits in the short-term, sustained over time they could entrench unfavorable initial conditions, though more work is needed to establish this empirically. A first effort to measure the cost of interventions to the credibility of policy frameworks suggests that the negative impact may be smaller than often assumed—at least for the set of more sophisticated inflation-targeting emerging-market central banks considered here.

Central Banking in Latin America

Author : Mr.Yan Carriere-Swallow,Luis I. Jacome H.,Mr.Nicolas E Magud,Alejandro M. Werner
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 128 pages
File Size : 44,5 Mb
Release : 2016-09-30
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781475543360

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Central Banking in Latin America by Mr.Yan Carriere-Swallow,Luis I. Jacome H.,Mr.Nicolas E Magud,Alejandro M. Werner Pdf

Latin America’s central banks have made substantial progress towards delivering an environment of price stability that is supportive of sustainable economic growth. We review these achievements, and discuss remaining challenges facing central banking in the region. Where inflation remains high and volatile, achieving durable price stability will require making central banks more independent. Where inflation targeting regimes are well-established, remaining challenges surround assessments of economic slack, the communication of monetary policy, and clarifying the role of the exchange rate. Finally, macroprudential policies must be coordinated with existing objectives, and care taken to preserve the primacy of price stability.

Monetary Policy Strategies for Latin America

Author : Frederic S. Mishkin,Miguel A. Savastano
Publisher : World Bank Publications
Page : 38 pages
File Size : 41,8 Mb
Release : 2000
Category : Anti-inflationary policies
ISBN : 8210379456XXX

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Monetary Policy Strategies for Latin America by Frederic S. Mishkin,Miguel A. Savastano Pdf

Instead of focusing the debate about the conduct of monetary policy on whether the nominal exchange rate should be fixed or flexible, the focus should be on whether the monetary policy regime appropriately constrains discretion in monetary policymaking. Three frameworks deserve serious discussion as possible long-run strategies for monetary policy in Latin America. A hard exchange-rate peg, monetary targeting, and inflation targeting.

Foreign Exchange Intervention

Author : Gustavo Adler,Mr.Camilo Ernesto Tovar Mora
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 30 pages
File Size : 48,8 Mb
Release : 2011-07-01
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781462301218

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Foreign Exchange Intervention by Gustavo Adler,Mr.Camilo Ernesto Tovar Mora Pdf

This paper examines foreign exchange intervention practices and their effectiveness using a new qualitative and quantitative database for a panel of 15 economies covering 2004 - 10, with special focus on Latin America. Qualitatively, it examines institutional aspects such as declared motives, instruments employed, the use of rules versus discretion, and the degree of transparency. Quantitatively, it assesses the effectiveness of sterilized interventions in influencing the exchange rate using a two-stage IV-panel data approach to overcome endogeneity bias. Results suggest that interventions slow the pace of appreciation, but the effects decrease rapidly with the degree of capital account openness. At the same time, interventions are more effective in the context of already ?overvalued' exchange rates.

Foreign Exchange Intervention as a Monetary Policy Instrument

Author : Felix Hüfner
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 194 pages
File Size : 46,9 Mb
Release : 2004
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 3790801283

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Foreign Exchange Intervention as a Monetary Policy Instrument by Felix Hüfner Pdf

Foreign exchange intervention is frequently being used by central banks in countries which have a floating exchange rate. Most theoretical monetary policy models, however, do not take this phenomenon into account. This book contributes to closing this gap between theory and practice by interpreting foreign exchange intervention as an additional monetary policy instrument for inflation targeting central banks. In-depth empirical analyses of the foreign exchange operations and interest rate policy of five inflation targeting countries (Australia, Canada, New Zealand, Sweden and the United Kingdom) demonstrate how foreign exchange intervention is used in practice.

Central Banking in Latin America: From the Gold Standard to the Golden Years

Author : Mr. Luis Ignacio Jácome
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 57 pages
File Size : 47,9 Mb
Release : 2015-03-17
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781498350662

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Central Banking in Latin America: From the Gold Standard to the Golden Years by Mr. Luis Ignacio Jácome Pdf

This paper provides a brief historical journey of central banking in Latin America to shed light on the debate about monetary policy in the post-global financial crisis period. The paper distinguishes three periods in Latin America’s central bank history: the early years, when central banks endorsed the gold standard and coped with the collapse of this monetary system; a second period, in which central banks turned into development banks under the aegis of governments at the expense of increasing inflation; and the “golden years,” when central banks succeeded in preserving price stability in an environment of political independence. The paper concludes by cautioning against overburdening central banks in Latin America with multiple mandates as this could end up undermining their hard-won monetary policy credibility.

Patterns of Foreign Exchange Intervention under Inflation Targeting

Author : Gustavo Adler,Kyun Suk Chang,Zijiao Wang
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 29 pages
File Size : 50,6 Mb
Release : 2020-05-29
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781513536453

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Patterns of Foreign Exchange Intervention under Inflation Targeting by Gustavo Adler,Kyun Suk Chang,Zijiao Wang Pdf

The paper documents the use of foreign exchange intervention (FXI) across countries and monetary regimes, with special attention to its use under inflation targeting (IT). We find significant differences between advanced and emerging market economies, with the former group conducting FXI limitedly and broadly symmetrically, while the use of this policy instrument in emerging market countries is pervasive and mostly asymmetric (biased towards purchasing foreign currency, even after taking into account precautionary motives). Within emerging markets, the use of FXI is common both under IT and non-IT regimes. We find no evidence of FXI being used in response to inflation developments, while there is strong evidence that FXI responds to exchange rates, indicating that IT central banks in EMDEs have dual inflation/exchange rate objectives. We also find a higher propensity to overshoot inflation targets in emerging market economies where FXI is more pervasive.

Foreign Exchange Intervention under Policy Uncertainty

Author : Gustavo Adler,Mr.Ruy Lama,Juan Pablo Medina Guzman
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 40 pages
File Size : 41,5 Mb
Release : 2016-03-17
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781475520415

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Foreign Exchange Intervention under Policy Uncertainty by Gustavo Adler,Mr.Ruy Lama,Juan Pablo Medina Guzman Pdf

We study the use of foreign exchange (FX) intervention as an additional policy instrument in an environment with learning, where agents infer the central bank policy rules from its policy actions. Under full information, a central bank focused on stabilizing output and inflation can achieve better outcomes by using FX intervention as an additional policy tool. Under policy uncertainty, where agents perceive that monetary policy may also have exchange rate stabilization goals, the use of FX intervention entails a trade-off, reducing output volatility while increasing inflation volatility. While having an additional policy tool is always beneficial, we find that the optimal magnitude of intervention is higher in monetary policy regimes with lower uncertainty. These results indicate that the benefits of using FX intervention as an additional stabilization tool are greater in regimes where monetary policy is credibly focused on output and inflation stabilization.

An Evaluation of Monetary Regime Options for Latin America

Author : Andrew Berg,Eduardo Borensztein,Paolo Mauro
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 114 pages
File Size : 41,9 Mb
Release : 2002-12
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : UCSD:31822030189203

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An Evaluation of Monetary Regime Options for Latin America by Andrew Berg,Eduardo Borensztein,Paolo Mauro Pdf

We assess monetary regime options for Latin American countries. The costs of a common currency are likely to outweigh its benefits, as those countries face diverse economic shocks, do not trade much with each other, and are affected by common international financial shocks only to the same extent as the average pair of emerging markets. Unilateral dollarization would be desirable only for those countries where there are strong links to the U.S. economy, the credibility of the monetary authorities is irreversibly lost, and there is keen demand for dollar-denominated financial assets. Finally, some countries in the region seem to be good candidates for meaningful and useful floating.

Inflation and Stabilisation in Latin America

Author : Rosemary Thorp,Laurence Whitehead
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 312 pages
File Size : 50,7 Mb
Release : 1979
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : UTEXAS:059173024016542

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Inflation and Stabilisation in Latin America by Rosemary Thorp,Laurence Whitehead Pdf

Inflation and Growth in Latin America

Author : Werner Baer,Isaac Kerstenetzky
Publisher : Homewood, Ill. : R.D. Irwin
Page : 572 pages
File Size : 46,7 Mb
Release : 1964
Category : Inflation (Finance)
ISBN : UOM:39015017660500

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Inflation and Growth in Latin America by Werner Baer,Isaac Kerstenetzky Pdf

Prepared papers and comments presented at the Conference on Inflation and Economic Growth held in Rio de Janeiro from Jan. 3-11, 1963. Summaries of discussions in panel sessions are also included.

Dollarization in Latin America

Author : Miguel A. Savastano
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 40 pages
File Size : 50,5 Mb
Release : 1996
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : UCSD:31822021344775

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Dollarization in Latin America by Miguel A. Savastano Pdf

This paper examines the pattern of dollarization in Latin America, focusing on the experience of five countries (Argentina, Bolivia, Mexico, Peru and Uruguay) during 1970-1993. It presents evidence on the relative size of dollarization, the allocation of foreign currency deposits, and the behavior of money velocity. The discussion stresses the role of institutional factors, macroeconomic conditions, and the dynamics of money demand In shaping the dollarization process; it also highlights the shortcomings of indicators frequently employed to analyze the phenomenon. The paper provides a brief critical assessment of the empirical literature on dollarization, and identifies areas where further research seems warranted.