High Risk Scenarios And Extremes

Author : A. A. Balkema,Paul Embrechts
Publisher : European Mathematical Society
Page : 398 pages
File Size : 45,6 Mb
Release : 2007
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 3037190353

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High Risk Scenarios and Extremes by A. A. Balkema,Paul Embrechts Pdf

"Quantitative Risk Management (QRM) has become a field of research of considerable importance to numerous areas of application, including insurance, banking, energy, medicine, reliability. Mainly motivated by examples from insurance and finance, the authors develop a theory for handling multivariate extremes. The approach borrows ideas from portfolio theory and aims at an intuitive approach in the spirit of the Peaks over Thresholds method. The point of view is geometric. It leads to a probabilistic description of what in QRM language may be referred to as a high risk scenario: the conditional behaviour of risk factors given that a large move on a linear combination [portfolio, say] has been observed. The theoretical models which describe such conditional extremal behaviour are characterized and their relation to the limit theory for coordinatewise maxima is explained." "The book is based on a graduate course on point processes and extremes. It could form the basis for an advanced course on multivariate extreme value theory or a course on mathematical issues underlying risk. Students in statistics and finance with a mathematical, quantitative background are the prime audience. Actuaries and risk managers involved in data based risk analysis will find the models discussed in the book stimulating. The text contains many indications for further research."--BOOK JACKET.

Author : GUUS BALKEMA; PAUL EMBRECHTS.
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 128 pages
File Size : 45,6 Mb
Release : 2024-06-29
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 3037195355

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HIGH RISK SCENARIOS AND EXTREMES;A GEOMETRIC APPROACH. by GUUS BALKEMA; PAUL EMBRECHTS. Pdf

Author : Neil Leary,Cecilia Conde,Jyoti Kulkarni,Anthony Nyong,James Adejuwon,Vicente Barros,Ian Burton,Rodel Lasco,Juan Pulhin
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 924 pages
File Size : 51,8 Mb
Release : 2013-11-05
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781134072897

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Climate Change and Vulnerability and Adaptation by Neil Leary,Cecilia Conde,Jyoti Kulkarni,Anthony Nyong,James Adejuwon,Vicente Barros,Ian Burton,Rodel Lasco,Juan Pulhin Pdf

'Sound and solid case studies on vulnerability and adaptation have been woefully lacking in the international discourse on climate change. This set of books begins to bridge the gap.' Achim Steiner, UN Under-Secretary General and Executive Director of United Nations Environment Programme 'Important reading for students and practitioners alike.' Martin Parry, Co-Chair, Working Group II (Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability), Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) 'Fills an important gap in our understanding ... It is policy-relevant and deserves to be widely read.' Richard Klein, Senior Research Fellow, Stockholm Environment Institute (SEI), Sweden The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) concluded in its 2001 report that much of the developing world is highly vulnerable to adverse impacts from climate change. But the IPCC also concluded that the vulnerabilities of developing countries are too little studied and too poorly understood to enable determination of adaptation strategies that would be effective at reducing risks. These authoritative volumes, resulting from the work of the Assessments of Impacts and Adaptations to Climate Change (AIACC) project launched by the IPCC in 2002, are the first to provide a comprehensive investigation of the issues at stake. Climate Change and Vulnerability discusses who is vulnerable to climate change, the nature of their vulnerability and the causes of their vulnerability for parts of the world that have been poorly researched until now. Climate Change and Adaptation covers current practices for managing climate risks to food security, water resources, livelihoods, human health and infrastructure, needs for effective management of climate risks, the changing nature of the risks, strategies for adaptation, and the need to integrate these strategies into development planning and resource management.

Author : Jana Sillmann,Sebastian Sippel,Simone Russo
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 378 pages
File Size : 40,7 Mb
Release : 2019-11
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 9780128148952

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Climate Extremes and Their Implications for Impact and Risk Assessment by Jana Sillmann,Sebastian Sippel,Simone Russo Pdf

Climate extremes often imply significant impacts on human and natural systems, and these extreme events are anticipated to be among the potentially most harmful consequences of a changing climate. However, while extreme event impacts are increasingly recognized, methodologies to address such impacts and the degree of our understanding and prediction capabilities vary widely among different sectors and disciplines. Moreover, traditional climate extreme indices and large-scale multi-model intercomparisons that are used for future projections of extreme events and associated impacts often fall short in capturing the full complexity of impact systems. Climate Extremes and Their Implications for Impact and Risk Assessment describes challenges, opportunities and methodologies for the analysis of the impacts of climate extremes across various sectors to support their impact and risk assessment. It thereby also facilitates cross-sectoral and cross-disciplinary discussions and exchange among climate and impact scientists. The sectors covered include agriculture, terrestrial ecosystems, human health, transport, conflict, and more broadly covering the human-environment nexus. The book concludes with an outlook on the need for more transdisciplinary work and international collaboration between scientists and practitioners to address emergent risks and extreme events towards risk reduction and strengthened societal resilience. Provides an overview about past, present and future changes in climate and weather extremes and how to connect that knowledge to impact and risk assessment under global warming Presents different approaches to assess societal-relevant impacts and risk of climate and weather extremes, including compound events, and the complexity of risk cascades and the interconnectedness of societal risk Features applications across a diversity of sectors, including agriculture, health, ecosystem services and urban transport

Author : Piotr Jaworski,Fabrizio Durante,Wolfgang Karl Härdle
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 299 pages
File Size : 44,6 Mb
Release : 2013-06-18
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9783642354076

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Copulae in Mathematical and Quantitative Finance by Piotr Jaworski,Fabrizio Durante,Wolfgang Karl Härdle Pdf

Copulas are mathematical objects that fully capture the dependence structure among random variables and hence offer great flexibility in building multivariate stochastic models. Since their introduction in the early 1950s, copulas have gained considerable popularity in several fields of applied mathematics, especially finance and insurance. Today, copulas represent a well-recognized tool for market and credit models, aggregation of risks, and portfolio selection. Historically, the Gaussian copula model has been one of the most common models in credit risk. However, the recent financial crisis has underlined its limitations and drawbacks. In fact, despite their simplicity, Gaussian copula models severely underestimate the risk of the occurrence of joint extreme events. Recent theoretical investigations have put new tools for detecting and estimating dependence and risk (like tail dependence, time-varying models, etc) in the spotlight. All such investigations need to be further developed and promoted, a goal this book pursues. The book includes surveys that provide an up-to-date account of essential aspects of copula models in quantitative finance, as well as the extended versions of talks selected from papers presented at the workshop in Cracow.

Author : Cecilia Conde,Jyoti Kulkarni,Neil Leary,Anthony Nyong,Juan Pulhin
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 440 pages
File Size : 41,6 Mb
Release : 2012-05-04
Category : Nature
ISBN : 9781136569456

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Climate Change and Vulnerability by Cecilia Conde,Jyoti Kulkarni,Neil Leary,Anthony Nyong,Juan Pulhin Pdf

Sound and solid case studies on vulnerability and adaptation have been woefully lacking in the international discourse on climate change. This set of books begins to bridge the gap. Achim Steiner, UN Under-Secretary General and Executive Director of United Nations Environment Programme Important reading for students and practitioners alike. Martin Parry, Co-Chair, Working Group II (Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability), Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) This book fills an important gap in our understanding ... It is policy-relevant and deserves to be widely read. Richard Klein, Senior Research Fellow, Stockholm Environment Institute (SEI), Sweden The award of the Nobel Peace Prize for 2007 to the IPCC brings needed attention to the threats from climate change for highly vulnerable regions of the developing world. This authoritative volume (along with its companion covering adaptation) resulting from the work of the Assessments of Impacts and Adaptations to Climate Change (AIACC) project launched with the IPCC in 2002, is the first to provide an in-depth investigation of the stakes in developing countries. It discusses who is vulnerable and the nature and causes of their vulnerability for parts of the world that have been poorly researched till now. It also provides researchers with new examples of applications of vulnerability assessment methods, an approach that is of growing interest in the climate change area but for which there are relatively few applications in the literature. Published with TWAS and START

Author : Bob Swarup
Publisher : Bloomsbury Publishing
Page : 224 pages
File Size : 54,9 Mb
Release : 2012-05-24
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781849300582

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Asset–Liability Management for Financial Institutions by Bob Swarup Pdf

Effective asset-liability management (ALM) of a financial institution requires making informed strategic and operational decisions. Ever more important in the wake of the corporate bailouts and collapses of the financial crisis, ALM encompasses the formulation, implementation, monitoring, and revision of strategies, often on a daily basis due to the fast-moving nature of the related risks and constraints. This approachable book features up-to-date practitioner and academic perspectives to provide you with the knowledge you need. Key foundation information is backed up by the latest research and thought leadership to form a comprehensive guide to ALM for today and into the future, with case studies and worked examples. Detailed coverage includes: * Successful risk management frameworks * Coherent stress-testing * Modeling market risk * Derivatives and ALM * Contingency funding to manage liquidity risks * Basel III capital adequacy standard * Investment management for insurers * Property and casualty portfolio management * Funds transfer pricing * Problem loan modeling

Author : A. Surjalal Sharma,Armin Bunde,Vijay P. Dimri,Daniel N. Baker
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 693 pages
File Size : 41,7 Mb
Release : 2013-05-08
Category : Science
ISBN : 9781118671849

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Extreme Events and Natural Hazards by A. Surjalal Sharma,Armin Bunde,Vijay P. Dimri,Daniel N. Baker Pdf

Published by the American Geophysical Union as part of the Geophysical Monograph Series, Volume 196. Extreme Events and Natural Hazards: The Complexity Perspective examines recent developments in complexity science that provide a new approach to understanding extreme events. This understanding is critical to the development of strategies for the prediction of natural hazards and mitigation of their adverse consequences. The volume is a comprehensive collection of current developments in the understanding of extreme events. The following critical areas are highlighted: understanding extreme events, natural hazard prediction and development of mitigation strategies, recent developments in complexity science, global change and how it relates to extreme events, and policy sciences and perspective. With its overarching theme, Extreme Events and Natural Hazards will be of interest and relevance to scientists interested in nonlinear geophysics, natural hazards, atmospheric science, hydrology, oceanography, tectonics, and space weather.

Author : Chuanfu Zang,Zhenzhong Zeng,Fei Tian,Patrick Laux,Ganquan Mao
Publisher : Frontiers Media SA
Page : 201 pages
File Size : 43,8 Mb
Release : 2023-03-29
Category : Science
ISBN : 9782832518816

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Hydroclimatic Extremes: Human-Natural System Adaptation and Impacts by Chuanfu Zang,Zhenzhong Zeng,Fei Tian,Patrick Laux,Ganquan Mao Pdf

Author : Bill Gutman
Publisher : Open Road Media
Page : 129 pages
File Size : 54,9 Mb
Release : 2014-04-01
Category : Sports & Recreation
ISBN : 9781497612495

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Being Extreme by Bill Gutman Pdf

As fast-paced as a freefall from a roaring airplane, as thrilling as a towering jump off a ski slope, Being Extreme is a fascinating examination of the adrenaline rush of extreme sports. Here is a world where living life on the edge is the only option, where you are only as good as your last jump . . . and where one false move can take you out of the game permanently. From mountain climbing and freestyle motocross to skydiving and snowboarding and beyond, in the past decade, the world of extreme sports has exploded onto the scene, with daredevils attempting acts of athleticism that leave spectators awed . . . and fearful. Being Extreme explores the motivations and societal impulses behind these high-risk lifestyles through interviews with professional athletes and recreational enthusiasts, as well as with psychiatrists who seek to understand the motivation behind these “Big T” personalities. Authors Gutman and Frederick also explore what heart-stopping sports are around the next curve, because in a world where the “rush” is everything, everyone is always upping their game.

Author : W. J. Wouter Botzen
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
Page : 453 pages
File Size : 41,6 Mb
Release : 2013-03-28
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781107355491

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Managing Extreme Climate Change Risks through Insurance by W. J. Wouter Botzen Pdf

In recent years, the damage caused by natural disasters has increased worldwide; this trend will only continue with the impact of climate change. Despite this, the role for the most common mechanism for managing risk - insurance - has received little attention. This book considers the contribution that insurance arrangements can make to society's management of the risks of natural hazards in a changing climate. It also looks at the potential impacts of climate change on the insurance sector, and insurers' responses to climate change. The author combines theory with evidence from the rich experiences of the Netherlands together with examples from around the world. He recognises the role of the individual in preparing for disasters, as well as the difficulties individuals have in understanding and dealing with infrequent risks. Written in plain language, this book will appeal to researchers and policy-makers alike.

Author : Alexander Lipton,Andrew Rennie
Publisher : OUP Oxford
Page : 704 pages
File Size : 55,5 Mb
Release : 2013-01-17
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780191648250

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The Oxford Handbook of Credit Derivatives by Alexander Lipton,Andrew Rennie Pdf

From the late 1990s, the spectacular growth of a secondary market for credit through derivatives has been matched by the emergence of mathematical modelling analysing the credit risk embedded in these contracts. This book aims to provide a broad and deep overview of this modelling, covering statistical analysis and techniques, modelling of default of both single and multiple entities, counterparty risk, Gaussian and non-Gaussian modelling, and securitisation. Both reduced-form and firm-value models for the default of single entities are considered in detail, with extensive discussion of both their theoretical underpinnings and practical usage in pricing and risk. For multiple entity modelling, the now notorious Gaussian copula is discussed with analysis of its shortcomings, as well as a wide range of alternative approaches including multivariate extensions to both firm-value and reduced form models, and continuous-time Markov chains. One important case of multiple entities modelling - counterparty risk in credit derivatives - is further explored in two dedicated chapters. Alternative non-Gaussian approaches to modelling are also discussed, including extreme-value theory and saddle-point approximations to deal with tail risk. Finally, the recent growth in securitisation is covered, including house price modelling and pricing models for asset-backed CDOs. The current credit crisis has brought modelling of the previously arcane credit markets into the public arena. Lipton and Rennie with their excellent team of contributors, provide a timely discussion of the mathematical modelling that underpins both credit derivatives and securitisation. Though technical in nature, the pros and cons of various approaches attempt to provide a balanced view of the role that mathematical modelling plays in the modern credit markets. This book will appeal to students and researchers in statistics, economics, and finance, as well as practitioners, credit traders, and quantitative analysts

Author : John E. Hay
Publisher : Elsevier
Page : 398 pages
File Size : 42,9 Mb
Release : 2022-11-27
Category : Science
ISBN : 9780323900775

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Science of Weather, Climate and Ocean Extremes by John E. Hay Pdf

Science of Weather, Climate and Ocean Extremes presents an evidence-based view of the most important ways in which the build-up of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere is affecting both our atmosphere and the oceans. The book provides compelling reasons why concerted action is required to slow the rate at which the atmosphere and oceans are changing. It not only covers longer-term changes in extremes and their causes, but also considers the drivers and attribution of extreme events, including relevant methods and techniques. Members of the Royal Meteorological Society are eligible for a 35% discount on all Developments in Weather and Climate Science series titles. See the RMetS member dashboard for the discount code. Provides an evidence-based understanding of a significant risk to the future performance of human and natural systems Includes assessments, advice and recommendations of extreme weather and climate events Features case studies from around the globe to provide further context to the research

Author : Stefan Radl,Jiří Jaromír Klemeš,Petar Sabev Varbanov,Thomas Wallek
Publisher : Elsevier
Page : 1766 pages
File Size : 44,5 Mb
Release : 2018-06-26
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN : 9780444642363

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28th European Symposium on Computer Aided Process Engineering by Stefan Radl,Jiří Jaromír Klemeš,Petar Sabev Varbanov,Thomas Wallek Pdf

28th European Symposium on Computer Aided Process Engineering, Volume 43 contains the papers presented at the 28th European Society of Computer-Aided Process Engineering (ESCAPE) event held in Graz, Austria June 10-13 , 2018. It is a valuable resource for chemical engineers, chemical process engineers, researchers in industry and academia, students, and consultants for chemical industries. Presents findings and discussions from the 28th European Society of Computer-Aided Process Engineering (ESCAPE) event

Author : Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
Page : 3070 pages
File Size : 44,6 Mb
Release : 2023-06-22
Category : Science
ISBN : 9781009445382

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Climate Change 2022 – Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Pdf

The Working Group II contribution to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) provides a comprehensive assessment of the scientific literature relevant to climate change impacts, adaptation and vulnerability. The report recognizes the interactions of climate, ecosystems and biodiversity, and human societies, and integrates across the natural, ecological, social and economic sciences. It emphasizes how efforts in adaptation and in reducing greenhouse gas emissions can come together in a process called climate resilient development, which enables a liveable future for biodiversity and humankind. The IPCC is the leading body for assessing climate change science. IPCC reports are produced in comprehensive, objective and transparent ways, ensuring they reflect the full range of views in the scientific literature. Novel elements include focused topical assessments, and an atlas presenting observed climate change impacts and future risks from global to regional scales. Available as Open Access on Cambridge Core.