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Author : Ken Ring
Publisher : Createspace Independent Publishing Platform
Page : 264 pages
File Size : 45,5 Mb
Release : 2017-12
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 1981293671
Predicting earthquakes, method, weighting system, the moon
Author : Ragnar Stefánsson
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 265 pages
File Size : 44,9 Mb
Release : 2011-06-06
Category : Science
ISBN : 9783540475712
The special natural conditions in Iceland as well as high level technology, were the basis for multidisciplinary and multinational cooperation for studying crustal processes, especially processes ahead of large earthquakes. This work leads to new innovative results and real time warnings which are described in the book. The results obtained in Iceland are of significance for earthquake prediction research worldwide.
Author : Susan Elizabeth Hough
Publisher : Princeton University Press
Page : 276 pages
File Size : 40,6 Mb
Release : 2016-11-08
Category : Science
ISBN : 9780691173306
An earthquake can strike without warning and wreak horrific destruction and death, whether it's the catastrophic 2010 quake that took a devastating toll on the island nation of Haiti or a future great earthquake on the San Andreas Fault in California, which scientists know is inevitable. Yet despite rapid advances in earthquake science, seismologists still can’t predict when the Big One will hit. Predicting the Unpredictable explains why, exploring the fact and fiction behind the science—and pseudoscience—of earthquake prediction. Susan Hough traces the continuing quest by seismologists to forecast the time, location, and magnitude of future quakes. She brings readers into the laboratory and out into the field—describing attempts that have raised hopes only to collapse under scrutiny, as well as approaches that seem to hold future promise. She also ventures to the fringes of pseudoscience to consider ideas outside the scientific mainstream. An entertaining and accessible foray into the world of earthquake prediction, Predicting the Unpredictable illuminates the unique challenges of predicting earthquakes.
Author : Susan Elizabeth Hough
Publisher : Princeton University Press
Page : 280 pages
File Size : 44,8 Mb
Release : 2016-10-25
Category : Science
ISBN : 9781400883547
Why seismologists still can't predict earthquakes An earthquake can strike without warning and wreak horrific destruction and death, whether it's the catastrophic 2010 quake that took a devastating toll on the island nation of Haiti or a future great earthquake on the San Andreas Fault in California, which scientists know is inevitable. Yet despite rapid advances in earthquake science, seismologists still can’t predict when the Big One will hit. Predicting the Unpredictable explains why, exploring the fact and fiction behind the science—and pseudoscience—of earthquake prediction. Susan Hough traces the continuing quest by seismologists to forecast the time, location, and magnitude of future quakes. She brings readers into the laboratory and out into the field—describing attempts that have raised hopes only to collapse under scrutiny, as well as approaches that seem to hold future promise. She also ventures to the fringes of pseudoscience to consider ideas outside the scientific mainstream. An entertaining and accessible foray into the world of earthquake prediction, Predicting the Unpredictable illuminates the unique challenges of predicting earthquakes.
Author : Dimitar Ouzounov,Sergey Pulinets,Katsumi Hattori,Patrick Taylor
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 384 pages
File Size : 45,8 Mb
Release : 2018-05-30
Category : Science
ISBN : 9781119156956
Pre-Earthquake signals are advanced warnings of a larger seismic event. A better understanding of these processes can help to predict the characteristics of the subsequent mainshock. Pre-Earthquake Processes: A Multidisciplinary Approach to Earthquake Prediction Studies presents the latest research on earthquake forecasting and prediction based on observations and physical modeling in China, Greece, Italy, France, Japan, Russia, Taiwan, and the United States. Volume highlights include: Describes the earthquake processes and the observed physical signals that precede them Explores the relationship between pre-earthquake activity and the characteristics of subsequent seismic events Encompasses physical, atmospheric, geochemical, and historical characteristics of pre-earthquakes Illustrates thermal infrared, seismo–ionospheric, and other satellite and ground-based pre-earthquake anomalies Applies these multidisciplinary data to earthquake forecasting and prediction Written for seismologists, geophysicists, geochemists, physical scientists, students and others, Pre-Earthquake Processes: A Multidisciplinary Approach to Earthquake Prediction Studies offers an essential resource for understanding the dynamics of pre-earthquake phenomena from an international and multidisciplinary perspective.
Author : Massimo Buscema,Marina Ruggieri
Publisher : River Publishers
Page : 284 pages
File Size : 45,9 Mb
Release : 2011-03
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN : 9788792329578
Imagination depicts earthquakes as a mysterious and magic matter. However, as scientists and technical experts, we do have to consider them also from a different perspective: they are naturalphenomena that evolve with time and depend on a number of variables. Their modeling can help us to reply to the simplest and - at the same time - the most complex question: are earthquakes predictable? In case the answer is affirmative, what could be the role of the extremely mature Information and Communication Technology (ICT) in setting up an effective prediction process? How Artificial Intelligence Algorithms can contribute to the picture? The book presents our vision about the above matter. The book is organized in three parts. Part 1 frames the possible use of ICT and Artificial Intelligence in dealing with earthquake-related Disaster Ahead Management (DAM). Part 2 presents modeling tools for the earthquake issue and proposes possible ICT tools for supporting the earthquake DAM. Part 3 presents an experimental network for earthquake DAM based on communications and navigation (GNSS) tools.
Author : David Nabhan
Publisher : Simon and Schuster
Page : 248 pages
File Size : 53,7 Mb
Release : 2017-06-20
Category : Science
ISBN : 9781510720985
Each year the world faces thousands of earthquakes of magnitude 5.0 or greater, resulting in devastating property destruction and tragic loss of life. To help avert these catastrophes, scientists have long searched for ways to predict when and where earthquakes will happen. The earth science establishment in the US says that earthquake prediction still lies outside the realm of possibility. But recent scientific developments across the globe suggest that seismic forecasting is on the horizon. Earthquake Prediction: Dawn of the New Seismology examines the latest scientific clues in hopes of discovering seismic precursors which may shed light on real earthquake prediction in the future. It is destined to be nothing less than an epoch-changing work, addressing this ancient enigma by joining the parts of a scientific detective story that ranges from the steppes of Russia to the coast of Chile, bringing to light astounding breakthroughs by researchers in Italy, India and elsewhere. Governments in countries such as China and Japan provide support for seismic forecasting, and it is time for our country to do the same. Earthquake Prediction makes the case, with an important message for the tens of millions of Americans on the US West Coast, the Mississippi River Valley, and other seismically active zones.
Author : Mary S. Lazaridou-Varotsos
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 259 pages
File Size : 50,5 Mb
Release : 2012-07-26
Category : Science
ISBN : 9783642244063
As evidenced dramatically and tragically in 2011 alone,earthquakes cause devastation and their consequences in terms of human suffering and economic disaster can last for years or even decades. The VAN method of earthquake prediction, based on the detection and measurement of low frequency electric signals called Seismic Electric Signals (SES), has been researched and evaluated over 30 years, and now constitutes the only earthquake prediction effort that has led to concrete successful results. This book recounts the history of the VAN method, detailing how it has developed and been tested under international scrutiny. Earthquake Prediction by Seismic Electric Signals • describes, step by step, the development of the VAN method since 1981; • explains both the theoretical model underpinning the research and the physical properties of SES; • analyzes the SES recordings and the prediction for each major earthquake in Greece over the last 25 years; • introduces a new time domain, natural time, which plays a key role in predicting impending catastrophic events.
Author : Vladimir Keilis-Borok,Alexandre A. Soloviev
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 348 pages
File Size : 49,5 Mb
Release : 2013-03-14
Category : Science
ISBN : 9783662052983
The vulnerability of our civilization to earthquakes is rapidly growing, rais ing earthquakes to the ranks of major threats faced by humankind. Earth quake prediction is necessary to reduce that threat by undertaking disaster preparedness measures. This is one of the critically urgent problems whose solution requires fundamental research. At the same time, prediction is a ma jor tool of basic science, a source of heuristic constraints and the final test of theories. This volume summarizes the state-of-the-art in earthquake prediction. Its following aspects are considered: - Existing prediction algorithms and the quality of predictions they pro vide. - Application of such predictions for damage reduction, given their current accuracy, so far limited. - Fundamental understanding of the lithosphere gained in earthquake prediction research. - Emerging possibilities for major improvements of earthquake prediction methods. - Potential implications for predicting other disasters, besides earthquakes. Methodologies. At the heart of the research described here is the inte gration of three methodologies: phenomenological analysis of observations; "universal" models of complex systems such as those considered in statistical physics and nonlinear dynamics; and Earth-specific models of tectonic fault networks. In addition, the theory of optimal control is used to link earthquake prediction with earthquake preparedness.
Author : Sir M. J. Lighthill
Publisher : World Scientific
Page : 396 pages
File Size : 42,8 Mb
Release : 1996
Category : Science
ISBN : 9810225423
The acronym VAN refers to Drs Varotsos, Alexopoulos and Nomicos, members of a group based in the University of Athens and led by Professor Varotsos (head of the Physics Department) which for over a decade has sought to use electric-field measurements between electrodes buried in the earth to predict earthquakes in Greece over periods of order one month or less. But is such ?short-term? prediction achievable by the VAN approach (or by any other)? This book is an objective collection of the arguments for ? and the counterarguments against ? that approach, intended to help scientific readers arrive at their own answers to this important question, as well as to others (including that of VAN's ?export? potential).
Author : National Research Council (U.S.). Panel on the Public Policy Implications of Earthquake Prediction
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 164 pages
File Size : 54,6 Mb
Release : 1975
Category : Nature
ISBN : NAP:12985
Author : Anonim
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 343 pages
File Size : 50,7 Mb
Release : 2018-05
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 1642240834
One of the keystones of science is the ability to precisely and consistently forecast natural phenomena. Unfortunately, earthquake prediction research has been plagued by controversy, and it remains an outstanding problem; for a review of some of the historical challenges. Today's scientists understand earthquakes a lot better than we did even 50 years ago, but they still can't match the quake-predicting expertise of the common toad, which can detect seismic activity days in advance of a quake. As a result, most earthquake predictions are vague at best. Scientists have had more success predicting aftershocks, additional quakes following an early earthquake. These predictions are based on extensive research of aftershock patterns. Earthquake forecasting and prediction is an active topic of geological research. Geoscientists are able to identify particular areas of risk and, if there is sufficient information, to make probabilistic forecasts about the likelihood of earthquakes happening in a specified area over a specified period.This volume is packed with state-of -art information covering various methods and techniques for evaluating earthquake predictions and earthquake forecasts. This book brings a combination of basic earthquake science techniques that will make the book understandable to the non-specialist, a good assortment of data and research conclusions, and a bare-knuckles appraisal of current philosophy and strategy for prediction of earthquakes. The book includes field, laboratory, and theoretical investigations of earthquake mechanisms and fault zones. Progress in long- and intermediate-term earthquake prediction is reviewed emphasizing results from various sites.
Author : Ralph H. Turner,Joanne M. Nigg,Denise Heller Paz
Publisher : Univ of California Press
Page : 456 pages
File Size : 44,7 Mb
Release : 1986-01-01
Category : Social Science
ISBN : 0520055500
Examines how the media reported a bulge on the San Andreas Fault in 1976, describes the impact on public opinion, and suggests ways to encourage earthquake preparedness
Author : William Hung Kan Lee,S. W. Stewart
Publisher : Academic Press
Page : 310 pages
File Size : 48,7 Mb
Release : 1981
Category : Nature
ISBN : 9780120188628
Author : Dennis Mileti,Colleen Fitzpatrick
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 133 pages
File Size : 44,6 Mb
Release : 2019-07-11
Category : Social Science
ISBN : 9781000301977
This book portrays the history, causes and future of large earthquakes in the US and traces the evolution of government policy to deal with it. It reviews the range of human actions that can be taken to manage or lessen quake losses and presents a review of the current technology to predict quakes.
