Implications Of Modern Decision Science For Military Decision Support Systems

Author : Paul K. Davis,Jonathan Kulick,Michael Egner
Publisher : Rand Corporation
Page : 181 pages
File Size : 50,7 Mb
Release : 2005-09-14
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN : 9780833040886

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Implications of Modern Decision Science for Military Decision-Support Systems by Paul K. Davis,Jonathan Kulick,Michael Egner Pdf

A selective review of modern decision science and implications for decision-support systems. The study suggests ways to synthesize lessons from research on heuristics and biases with those from "naturalistic research." It also discusses modern tools, such as increasingly realistic simulations, multiresolution modeling, and exploratory analysis, which can assist decisionmakers in choosing strategies that are flexible, adaptive, and robust.

Author : Paul K. Davis,Jonathan Kulick,Michael Egner
Publisher : Rand Corporation
Page : 181 pages
File Size : 45,6 Mb
Release : 2005
Category : Computers
ISBN : 9780833038081

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Implications of Modern Decision Science for Military Decision-support Systems by Paul K. Davis,Jonathan Kulick,Michael Egner Pdf

A selective review of modern decision science and implications for decision-support systems. The study suggests ways to synthesize lessons from research on heuristics and biases with those from "naturalistic research." It also discusses modern tools, such as increasingly realistic simulations, multiresolution modeling, and exploratory analysis, which can assist decisionmakers in choosing strategies that are flexible, adaptive, and robust.

Author : William P. Fox,Robert Burks
Publisher : Springer Nature
Page : 498 pages
File Size : 43,7 Mb
Release : 2019-08-28
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9783030205690

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Applications of Operations Research and Management Science for Military Decision Making by William P. Fox,Robert Burks Pdf

Based on many years of applied research, modeling and educating future decision makers, the authors have selected the critical set of mathematical modeling skills for decision analysis to include in this book. The book focuses on the model formulation and modeling building skills, as well as the technology to support decision analysis. The authors cover many of the main techniques that have been incorporated into their three-course sequence in mathematical modeling for decision making in the Department of Defense Analysis at the Naval Postgraduate School. The primary objective of this book is illustrative in nature. It begins with an introduction to mathematical modeling and a process for formally thinking about difficult problems, illustrating many scenarios and illustrative examples. The book incorporates the necessary mathematical foundations for solving these problems with military applications and related military processes to reinforce the applied nature of the mathematical modeling process.

Author : Paul K. Davis,James P. Kahan
Publisher : Rand Corporation
Page : 106 pages
File Size : 48,5 Mb
Release : 2007
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780833040398

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Theory and Methods for Supporting High Level Military Decisionmaking by Paul K. Davis,James P. Kahan Pdf

This report describes an approach to high-level decision support for a Joint Forces Air Component Commander in combat operations or a Chief of Staff in defense planning. Its central theme is the fundamental importance of dealing effectively with uncertainty, whether in effects-based operations, building the Air Force's Commander's Predictive Environment, or planning future forces with the methods of capabilities-based planning. Because many features of the future cannot be predicted with reasonable confidence, it is better to proceed with the expectation of surprise developments and to have skill in recognizing adaptations and making them than it is to treat uncertainty merely as an annoyance. This report sketches the framework of a high-level decision-support environment that is top-down, expresses concepts in simple and intuitive language, deals explicitly with risk and uncertainty, and provides the capability for decisionmakers to readily discover and question the bases for key assumptions and assessments. It can accommodate both "rational-analytic" and "naturalistic" decisionmakers, allowing them to produce strategies that are flexible, adaptive, and robust (FAR). Two explicit methods and their related tools are described. The first involves portfolio-style thinking and analysis, a good mechanism for balancing risks and other considerations in choosing a course of action. The second is a novel modification of foresight exercises that addresses the need to include humans effectively in dealing with uncertainty. A more extensive discussion of available methods and enabling technologies is also presented, along with some recommendations about investment priorities.

Author : Paul K. Davis,Amy E. Henninger
Publisher : Rand Corporation
Page : 89 pages
File Size : 48,8 Mb
Release : 2007
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN : 9780833041265

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Analysis, Analysis Practices, and Implications for Modeling and Simulation by Paul K. Davis,Amy E. Henninger Pdf

An examination of analysis and analysis practices for defense planning, the paper1s purpose is to delineate priorities for the way ahead, i.e., for investments and other actions to ensure that future models and simulations will serve the needs of decisionmakers. The analysis in question is accomplished for Quadrennial Reviews and for continuing work on capability assessments, requirements analysis, and program analysis.

Author : James G. March,Roger Weissinger-Baylon
Publisher : Addison-Wesley Longman
Page : 364 pages
File Size : 46,7 Mb
Release : 1986
Category : Education
ISBN : UOM:39015015449732

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Ambiguity and Command by James G. March,Roger Weissinger-Baylon Pdf

Author : James H. Centric
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 30 pages
File Size : 45,7 Mb
Release : 1999
Category : Computer-assisted instruction
ISBN : UIUC:30112041290625

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The Division Level Military Decision-making Process (MDMP) by James H. Centric Pdf

"This report documents the analysis, design, and development of the Division Level Military Decision-Making Process (MDMP) training product. The division level MDMP product is a computer-based, stand alone training support package envisioned to be used by the U.S. Army Command and General Staff College (CGSC) to augment existing CGSC instruction on the MDMP. The product, a computer disk, provides a self-paced, detailed discussion of the steps of the MDMP, focusing on the battle staff at the division-level. Field Manual 101-5 Staff Organization and Operations served as the doctrinal source reference. The course also contains selected tactics, techniques, and procedures (TTP) that aid the CGSC student in conducting staff integration and coordination during mission planning. This project was coordinated with the CGSC."--Stinet.

Author : Us Army
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 116 pages
File Size : 54,7 Mb
Release : 2019-11-19
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 1709516410

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Military Decision Making Process by Us Army Pdf

Author : Dawn A. Trevisani
Publisher : SPIE-International Society for Optical Engineering
Page : 236 pages
File Size : 47,9 Mb
Release : 2006
Category : Computers
ISBN : 0819462837

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Enabling Technologies for Simulation Science X by Dawn A. Trevisani Pdf

Proceedings of SPIE present the original research papers presented at SPIE conferences and other high-quality conferences in the broad-ranging fields of optics and photonics. These books provide prompt access to the latest innovations in research and technology in their respective fields. Proceedings of SPIE are among the most cited references in patent literature.

Author : Frank A. Camm
Publisher : RAND Corporation
Page : 260 pages
File Size : 40,5 Mb
Release : 2009
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : UOM:39015075657398

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Managing Risk in USAF Force Planning by Frank A. Camm Pdf

Presents a risk-management process would help senior Air Force leaders to (1) focus planning on the most salient threats, (2) gain greater clarity on the risks associated with alternative courses of action across multiple futures, (3) maintain a sense of the persistent uncertainties associated with any policy choice, and (4) effectively communicate their judgments about risk to key audiences.

Author : Paul K. Davis
Publisher : Rand Corporation
Page : 52 pages
File Size : 50,5 Mb
Release : 2010
Category : History
ISBN : NWU:35556039880711

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Simple Models to Explore Deterrence and More General Influence in the War with Al-Qaeda by Paul K. Davis Pdf

Deterring terrorism is best approached as part of a broad effort to influence all elements of a terrorist system, and simple, conceptual models of decisionmaking can help in understanding how to affect others' behavior. The paper lays out a theory of how to use influence to affect elements of a terrorist system, touching on root causes, individual motivation, public support, and likely factors in the decisionmaking of terrorist organizations.

Author : National Research Council,Division on Engineering and Physical Sciences,Board on Mathematical Sciences and Their Applications,Committee on Modeling and Simulation for Defense Transformation
Publisher : National Academies Press
Page : 96 pages
File Size : 41,7 Mb
Release : 2006-09-22
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN : 9780309180733

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Defense Modeling, Simulation, and Analysis by National Research Council,Division on Engineering and Physical Sciences,Board on Mathematical Sciences and Their Applications,Committee on Modeling and Simulation for Defense Transformation Pdf

Modeling, simulation, and analysis (MS&A) is a crucial tool for military affairs. MS&A is one of the announced pillars of a strategy for transforming the U.S. military. Yet changes in the enterprise of MS&A have not kept pace with the new demands arising from rapid changes in DOD processes and missions or with the rapid changes in the technology available to meet those demands. To help address those concerns, DOD asked the NRC to identify shortcomings in current practice of MS&A and suggest where and how they should be resolved. This report provides an assessment of the changing mission of DOD and environment in which it must operate, an identification of high-level opportunities for MS&A research to address the expanded mission, approaches for improving the interface between MS&A practitioners and decision makers, a discussion of training and continuing education of MS&A practitioners, and an examination of the need for coordinated military science research to support MS&A.

Author : Daniel Power
Publisher : iUniverse
Page : 252 pages
File Size : 44,8 Mb
Release : 2004-12-21
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 0595787576

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Decision Support Systems by Daniel Power Pdf

Decision Support Systems: Frequently Asked Questions is the authoritative reference guide to computerized Decision Support Systems. Author Dan Power has spent almost 30 years building, studying and teaching others about computerized Decision Support Systems. Dr. Power is first and foremost a Decision Support evangelist and generalist. From his vantage point as editor of DSSResources.COM, he tracks a broad range of contemporary DSS topics. In this DSS FAQ, Dr. Power answers 83 frequently asked questions about computerized decision support systems. The FAQ covers a broad range of contemporary topics and the questions are organized into 8 chapters. DSS FAQ helps readers understand questions like: What is a DSS? What kind of DSS does Mr. X need? Does data modeling differ for a Data-Driven DSS? Is a Data Warehouse a DSS? Is tax preparation software an example of a DSS? What do I need to know about Data Warehousing/OLAP? What is a cost estimation DSS? What is a Spreadsheet-based DSS? Decision Support Systems: Frequently Asked Questions is a useful resource for IT specialists, students, professors and managers. It organizes important Ask Dan! questions (with answers) published in DSS News from 2000 through 2004.

Author : National Research Council,Division on Engineering and Physical Sciences,Board on Army Science and Technology,Committee on Force Multiplying Technologies for Logistics Support to Military Operations
Publisher : National Academies Press
Page : 230 pages
File Size : 49,9 Mb
Release : 2014-12-15
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN : 9780309307369

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Force Multiplying Technologies for Logistics Support to Military Operations by National Research Council,Division on Engineering and Physical Sciences,Board on Army Science and Technology,Committee on Force Multiplying Technologies for Logistics Support to Military Operations Pdf

The mission of the United States Army is to fight and win our nation's wars by providing prompt, sustained land dominance across the full range of military operations and spectrum of conflict in support of combatant commanders. Accomplishing this mission rests on the ability of the Army to equip and move its forces to the battle and sustain them while they are engaged. Logistics provides the backbone for Army combat operations. Without fuel, ammunition, rations, and other supplies, the Army would grind to a halt. The U.S. military must be prepared to fight anywhere on the globe and, in an era of coalition warfare, to logistically support its allies. While aircraft can move large amounts of supplies, the vast majority must be carried on ocean going vessels and unloaded at ports that may be at a great distance from the battlefield. As the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq have shown, the costs of convoying vast quantities of supplies is tallied not only in economic terms but also in terms of lives lost in the movement of the materiel. As the ability of potential enemies to interdict movement to the battlefield and interdict movements in the battlespace increases, the challenge of logistics grows even larger. No matter how the nature of battle develops, logistics will remain a key factor. Force Multiplying Technologies for Logistics Support to Military Operations explores Army logistics in a global, complex environment that includes the increasing use of antiaccess and area-denial tactics and technologies by potential adversaries. This report describes new technologies and systems that would reduce the demand for logistics and meet the demand at the point of need, make maintenance more efficient, improve inter- and intratheater mobility, and improve near-real-time, in-transit visibility. Force Multiplying Technologies also explores options for the Army to operate with the other services and improve its support of Special Operations Forces. This report provides a logistics-centric research and development investment strategy and illustrative examples of how improved logistics could look in the future.

Author : Marcelo Soares,Christianne Falcão,Tareq Z. Ahram
Publisher : Springer
Page : 671 pages
File Size : 51,6 Mb
Release : 2016-07-26
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN : 9783319416854

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Advances in Ergonomics Modeling, Usability & Special Populations by Marcelo Soares,Christianne Falcão,Tareq Z. Ahram Pdf

This book focuses on emerging issues in ergonomics, with a special emphasis on modeling, usability engineering, human computer interaction and innovative design concepts. It presents advanced theories in human factors, cutting-edge applications aimed at understanding and improving human interaction with products and systems, and discusses important usability issues. The book covers a wealth of topics, including devices and user interfaces, virtual reality and digital environments, user and product evaluation, and limits and capabilities of special populations, particularly the elderly population. It presents both new research methods and user-centered evaluation approaches. Based on the AHFE 2016 International Conference on Ergonomics Modeling, Usability and Special Populations, held on July 27-31, 2016, in Walt Disney World®, Florida, USA, the book addresses professionals, researchers, and students dealing with visual and haptic interfaces, user-centered design, and design for special populations, particularly the elderly.