Improving The Currency Composition Of External Debt
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The Optimal Currency Composition of External Debt by Stijn Claessens Pdf
By choosing the appropriate currency composition of their external debts, developing countries can reduce the exposures associated with exchange rate, interest rate, and commodity price uncertainties.
Other People's Money by Barry Eichengreen,Ricardo Hausmann Pdf
Recent crises in emerging markets have been heavily driven by balance-sheet or net-worth effects. Episodes in countries as far-flung as Indonesia and Argentina have shown that exchange rate adjustments that would normally help to restore balance can be destabilizing, even catastrophic, for countries whose debts are denominated in foreign currencies. Many economists instinctually assume that developing countries allow their foreign debts to be denominated in dollars, yen, or euros because they simply don't know better. Presenting evidence that even emerging markets with strong policies and institutions experience this problem, Other People's Money recognizes that the situation must be attributed to more than ignorance. Instead, the contributors suggest that the problem is linked to the operation of international financial markets, which prevent countries from borrowing in their own currencies. A comprehensive analysis of the sources of this problem and its consequences, Other People's Money takes the study one step further, proposing a solution that would involve having the World Bank and regional development banks themselves borrow and lend in emerging market currencies.
Determinants of Currency Composition of Reserves: a Portfolio Theory Approach with an Application to RMB by MissYinqiu Lu,Yilin Wang Pdf
The way central banks manage their foreign reserve assets has evolved over the past decades. One major trend is managing reserves in two or more tranches—liquidity tranche and investment tranche—especially for those with adequate reserves. Incorporating reserve tranching, we have developed in this paper a central bank’s reserve portfolio choice model to analyze the determinants of the currency composition of reserves. In particular, we adopt the classical mean-variance framework for the investment tranche and the asset-liability framework for the liquidity tranche. Building on these frameworks, the roles of currency compositions in imports invoicing and short-term external debt, and risk and returns of reserve currencies can be quantified by our structural model—a key contribution of our paper given the absence of structural models in the literature. Finally, we estimate the potential paths of the share of RMB in reserves under different scenarios to shed light on its status as an international currency.
The Impact of Exchange Rate Changes Between Key Currencies on the Debt Structure and Debt Service Burden of Developing Countries by Helmut W. Mayer Pdf
Author : Dan Galai,Zvi Wiener Publisher : International Monetary Fund Page : 22 pages File Size : 49,8 Mb Release : 2009-05-01 Category : Business & Economics ISBN : 9781451872576
Credit Risk Spreads in Local and Foreign Currencies by Dan Galai,Zvi Wiener Pdf
The paper shows how-in a Merton-type model with bankruptcy-the currency composition of debt changes the risk profile of a company raising a given amount of financing, and thus affects the cost of debt. Foreign currency borrowing is cheaper when the exchange rate is positively correlated with the return on the company's assets, even if the company is not an exporter. Prudential regulations should therefore differentiate among loans depending on the extent to which borrowers have "natural hedges" of their foreign currency exposures.
Author : International Monetary Fund Publisher : International Monetary Fund Page : 327 pages File Size : 52,6 Mb Release : 2003-06-25 Category : Business & Economics ISBN : 9781589060609
External Debt Statistics by International Monetary Fund Pdf
This Guide provides clear, up-to-date guidance on the concepts, definitions, and classifications of the gross external debt of the public and private sectors, and on the sources, compilation techniques, and analytical uses of these data. The Guide supersedes the previous international guidance on external debt statistics available in External Debt: Definition, Statistical Coverage, and Methodology (known as the Gray Book), 1988. The Guides conceptual framework derives from the System of National Accounts 1993 and the fifth edition of the IMFs Balance of Payments Manual(1993). Preparation of the Guide was undertaken by an Inter-Agency Task Force on Finance Statistics, chaired by the IMF and involving representatives from the BIS, the Commonwealth Secretariat, the European Central Bank, Eurostat, the OECD, the Paris Club Secretariat, UNCTAD, and the World Bank.
Limits of Floating Exchange Rates by Mr.Sebastian Weber,Pascal Towbin Pdf
A traditional argument in favor of flexible exchange rates is that they insulate output better from real shocks, because the exchange rate can adjust and stabilize demand for domestic goods through expenditure switching. This argument is weakened in models with high foreign currency debt and low exchange rate pass-through to import prices. The present study evaluates the empirical relevance of these two factors. We analyze the transmission of real external shocks to the domestic economy under fixed and flexible exchange rate regimes for a broad sample of countries in a Panel VAR and let the responses vary with foreign currency indebtedness and import structure. We find that flexible exchange rates do not insulate output better from external shocks if the country imports mainly low pass-through goods and can even amplify the output response if foreign indebtedness is high.
Cross-Border Currency Exposures by Luciana Juvenal,Deepali Gautam,Agustin Benetrix,Martin Schmitz Pdf
This paper provides a dataset on the currency composition of the international investment position for a group of 50 countries for the period 1990-2017. It improves available data based on estimates by incorporating actual data reported by statistical authorities and refining estimation methods. The paper illustrates current and new uses of these data, with particular focus on the evolution of currency exposures of cross-border positions.
Global Waves of Debt by M. Ayhan Kose,Peter Nagle,Franziska Ohnsorge,Naotaka Sugawara Pdf
The global economy has experienced four waves of rapid debt accumulation over the past 50 years. The first three debt waves ended with financial crises in many emerging market and developing economies. During the current wave, which started in 2010, the increase in debt in these economies has already been larger, faster, and broader-based than in the previous three waves. Current low interest rates mitigate some of the risks associated with high debt. However, emerging market and developing economies are also confronted by weak growth prospects, mounting vulnerabilities, and elevated global risks. A menu of policy options is available to reduce the likelihood that the current debt wave will end in crisis and, if crises do take place, will alleviate their impact.
External Debt Servicing by Alvaro Cencini,Bernard Schmitt Pdf
The objective of this book is to show that the debt servicing problem is related to the actual structure of monetary payments and that its understanding requires a new approach to monetary analysis. After a critical appraisal of the International Monetary System from Bretton Woods onwards the authors propose an original accounting solution to the problem of external debt servicing. Their proposals are likely to create controversy in this politically sensitive area of world economics.
Sovereign Assets and Liabilities Management by Mr.D. F. I. Folkerts-Landau,Marcel Cassard Pdf
This volume, edited by David Folkerts-Landau and Marcel Cassard, consists of papers presented at a conference held in Hong Kong SAR that was hosted by the IMF and the Hong Kong Monetary Authority. It focuses on a wide range of issues confronting policymakers in managing their sovereign assets and liabilities in a world of mobile capital and integrated capital markets. Topics include public debt management strategy, central bank reserves management, technical and quantitive aspects of risk management, and credit costs and borrowing capacity in optimizing debt management. The papers draw on experiences of policymakers and private sector participants actively involved in formulating and implementing debt and reserves policy.
Government Bonds in Domestic and Foreign Currency by Stijn Claessens Pdf
The development of government bond markets and, in particular, their currency composition have recently received much interest, partly because of their relation with financial crises. The authors study the determinants of the size and currency composition of government bond markets for a panel of industrial and developing countries. They find that countries with larger economies, greater domestic investor bases, and more flexible exchange rate regimes have larger domestic currency bond markets, while smaller economies rely more on foreign currency bonds. Better institutional frameworks and macroeconomic fundamentals enhance both domestic currency bond markets and increase countries' ability to issue foreign currency bonds, while they raise the share of foreign exchange bonds.
Risk Management in Developing Countries by Stijn Claessens Pdf
Modern risk management techniques can help countries avoid the financial risks that affect future cash flows and long-term plans. They provide a hedge against profit fluctuations caused by changes in interest rates, exchange rates, and commodity prices. This easy-to-use guide examines the risk management tools developing countries have used successfully, including futures, options, forward contracts, commodity swaps, commodity bonds, commodity linked loans, currency rate swaps, and interest rate swaps. An action plan explains how to use the techniques wisely to avoid costly mistakes. It also describes the economic management and financial regulations countries must have in place before adopting any risk management techniques.
