Machine Learning For Financial Risk Management With Python
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Machine Learning for Financial Risk Management with Python by Abdullah Karasan Pdf
Financial risk management is quickly evolving with the help of artificial intelligence. With this practical book, developers, programmers, engineers, financial analysts, and risk analysts will explore Python-based machine learning and deep learning models for assessing financial risk. You'll learn how to compare results from ML models with results obtained by traditional financial risk models. Author Abdullah Karasan helps you explore the theory behind financial risk assessment before diving into the differences between traditional and ML models. Review classical time series applications and compare them with deep learning models Explore volatility modeling to measure degrees of risk, using support vector regression, neural networks, and deep learning Revisit and improve market risk models (VaR and expected shortfall) using machine learning techniques Develop a credit risk based on a clustering technique for risk bucketing, then apply Bayesian estimation, Markov chain, and other ML models Capture different aspects of liquidity with a Gaussian mixture model Use machine learning models for fraud detection Identify corporate risk using the stock price crash metric Explore a synthetic data generation process to employ in financial risk.
Machine Learning for Financial Risk Management with Python by Abdullah Karasan Pdf
Financial risk management is quickly evolving with the help of artificial intelligence. With this practical book, developers, programmers, engineers, financial analysts, and risk analysts will explore Python-based machine learning and deep learning models for assessing financial risk. You'll learn how to compare results from ML models with results obtained by traditional financial risk models. Author Abdullah Karasan helps you explore the theory behind financial risk assessment before diving into the differences between traditional and ML models. Review classical time series applications and compare them with deep learning models Explore volatility modeling to measure degrees of risk, using support vector regression, neural networks, and deep learning Revisit and improve market risk models (VaR and expected shortfall) using machine learning techniques Develop a credit risk based on a clustering technique for risk bucketing, then apply Bayesian estimation, Markov chain, and other ML models Capture different aspects of liquidity with a Gaussian mixture model Use machine learning models for fraud detection Identify corporate risk using the stock price crash metric Explore a synthetic data generation process to employ in financial risk
Risk Modeling by Terisa Roberts,Stephen J. Tonna Pdf
A wide-ranging overview of the use of machine learning and AI techniques in financial risk management, including practical advice for implementation Risk Modeling: Practical Applications of Artificial Intelligence, Machine Learning, and Deep Learning introduces readers to the use of innovative AI technologies for forecasting and evaluating financial risks. Providing up-to-date coverage of the practical application of current modelling techniques in risk management, this real-world guide also explores new opportunities and challenges associated with implementing machine learning and artificial intelligence (AI) into the risk management process. Authors Terisa Roberts and Stephen Tonna provide readers with a clear understanding about the strengths and weaknesses of machine learning and AI while explaining how they can be applied to both everyday risk management problems and to evaluate the financial impact of extreme events such as global pandemics and changes in climate. Throughout the text, the authors clarify misconceptions about the use of machine learning and AI techniques using clear explanations while offering step-by-step advice for implementing the technologies into an organization's risk management model governance framework. This authoritative volume: Highlights the use of machine learning and AI in identifying procedures for avoiding or minimizing financial risk Discusses practical tools for assessing bias and interpretability of resultant models developed with machine learning algorithms and techniques Covers the basic principles and nuances of feature engineering and common machine learning algorithms Illustrates how risk modeling is incorporating machine learning and AI techniques to rapidly consume complex data and address current gaps in the end-to-end modelling lifecycle Explains how proprietary software and open-source languages can be combined to deliver the best of both worlds: for risk models and risk practitioners Risk Modeling: Practical Applications of Artificial Intelligence, Machine Learning, and Deep Learning is an invaluable guide for CEOs, CROs, CFOs, risk managers, business managers, and other professionals working in risk management.
Machine Learning and Data Science Blueprints for Finance by Hariom Tatsat,Sahil Puri,Brad Lookabaugh Pdf
Over the next few decades, machine learning and data science will transform the finance industry. With this practical book, analysts, traders, researchers, and developers will learn how to build machine learning algorithms crucial to the industry. You’ll examine ML concepts and over 20 case studies in supervised, unsupervised, and reinforcement learning, along with natural language processing (NLP). Ideal for professionals working at hedge funds, investment and retail banks, and fintech firms, this book also delves deep into portfolio management, algorithmic trading, derivative pricing, fraud detection, asset price prediction, sentiment analysis, and chatbot development. You’ll explore real-life problems faced by practitioners and learn scientifically sound solutions supported by code and examples. This book covers: Supervised learning regression-based models for trading strategies, derivative pricing, and portfolio management Supervised learning classification-based models for credit default risk prediction, fraud detection, and trading strategies Dimensionality reduction techniques with case studies in portfolio management, trading strategy, and yield curve construction Algorithms and clustering techniques for finding similar objects, with case studies in trading strategies and portfolio management Reinforcement learning models and techniques used for building trading strategies, derivatives hedging, and portfolio management NLP techniques using Python libraries such as NLTK and scikit-learn for transforming text into meaningful representations
Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence for Credit Risk Analytics by Tiziano Bellini Pdf
Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence for Credit Risk Analytics provides a comprehensive, practical toolkit for applying ML and AI to day-to-day credit risk management challenges. Beginning with coverage of data management in banking, the book goes on to discuss individual and multiple classifier approaches, reinforcement learning and AI in credit portfolio modelling, lifetime PD modelling, LGD modelling and EAD modelling. Fully worked examples in Python and R appear throughout the book, with source code provided on the companion website. Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence for Credit Risk Analytics fully covers the key concepts required to understand, challenge and validate credit risk models, whilst also looking to the future development of AI applications in credit risk management, demonstrating the need to embed economics and statistics to inform short, medium and long-term decision-making.
Disrupting Finance by Theo Lynn,John G. Mooney,Pierangelo Rosati,Mark Cummins Pdf
This open access Pivot demonstrates how a variety of technologies act as innovation catalysts within the banking and financial services sector. Traditional banks and financial services are under increasing competition from global IT companies such as Google, Apple, Amazon and PayPal whilst facing pressure from investors to reduce costs, increase agility and improve customer retention. Technologies such as blockchain, cloud computing, mobile technologies, big data analytics and social media therefore have perhaps more potential in this industry and area of business than any other. This book defines a fintech ecosystem for the 21st century, providing a state-of-the art review of current literature, suggesting avenues for new research and offering perspectives from business, technology and industry.
Learn and implement quantitative finance using popular Python libraries like NumPy, pandas, and Keras Key Features Understand Python data structure fundamentals and work with time series data Use popular Python libraries including TensorFlow, Keras, and SciPy to deploy key concepts in quantitative finance Explore various Python programs and learn finance paradigms Book Description Python is one of the most popular languages used for quantitative finance. With this book, you'll explore the key characteristics of Python for finance, solve problems in finance, and understand risk management. The book starts with major concepts and techniques related to quantitative finance, and an introduction to some key Python libraries. Next, you'll implement time series analysis using pandas and DataFrames. The following chapters will help you gain an understanding of how to measure the diversifiable and non-diversifiable security risk of a portfolio and optimize your portfolio by implementing Markowitz Portfolio Optimization. Sections on regression analysis methodology will help you to value assets and understand the relationship between commodity prices and business stocks. In addition to this, you'll be able to forecast stock prices using Monte Carlo simulation. The book will also highlight forecast models that will show you how to determine the price of a call option by analyzing price variation. You'll also use deep learning for financial data analysis and forecasting. In the concluding chapters, you will create neural networks with TensorFlow and Keras for forecasting and prediction. By the end of this book, you will be equipped with the skills you need to perform different financial analysis tasks using Python What you will learn Clean financial data with data preprocessing Visualize financial data using histograms, color plots, and graphs Perform time series analysis with pandas for forecasting Estimate covariance and the correlation between securities and stocks Optimize your portfolio to understand risks when there is a possibility of higher returns Calculate expected returns of a stock to measure the performance of a portfolio manager Create a prediction model using recurrent neural networks (RNN) with Keras and TensorFlow Who this book is for This book is ideal for aspiring data scientists, Python developers and anyone who wants to start performing quantitative finance using Python. You can also make this beginner-level guide your first choice if you're looking to pursue a career as a financial analyst or a data analyst. Working knowledge of Python programming language is necessary.
Advances in Financial Machine Learning by Marcos Lopez de Prado Pdf
Machine learning (ML) is changing virtually every aspect of our lives. Today ML algorithms accomplish tasks that until recently only expert humans could perform. As it relates to finance, this is the most exciting time to adopt a disruptive technology that will transform how everyone invests for generations. Readers will learn how to structure Big data in a way that is amenable to ML algorithms; how to conduct research with ML algorithms on that data; how to use supercomputing methods; how to backtest your discoveries while avoiding false positives. The book addresses real-life problems faced by practitioners on a daily basis, and explains scientifically sound solutions using math, supported by code and examples. Readers become active users who can test the proposed solutions in their particular setting. Written by a recognized expert and portfolio manager, this book will equip investment professionals with the groundbreaking tools needed to succeed in modern finance.
Deep Credit Risk by Harald Scheule,Daniel Rösch Pdf
Deep Credit Risk - Machine Learning in Python aims at starters and pros alike to enable you to: - Understand the role of liquidity, equity and many other key banking features- Engineer and select features- Predict defaults, payoffs, loss rates and exposures- Predict downturn and crisis outcomes using pre-crisis features- Understand the implications of COVID-19- Apply innovative sampling techniques for model training and validation- Deep-learn from Logit Classifiers to Random Forests and Neural Networks- Do unsupervised Clustering, Principal Components and Bayesian Techniques- Build multi-period models for CECL, IFRS 9 and CCAR- Build credit portfolio correlation models for VaR and Expected Shortfall- Run over 1,500 lines of pandas, statsmodels and scikit-learn Python code- Access real credit data and much more ...
Machine Learning in Finance by Matthew F. Dixon,Igor Halperin,Paul Bilokon Pdf
This book introduces machine learning methods in finance. It presents a unified treatment of machine learning and various statistical and computational disciplines in quantitative finance, such as financial econometrics and discrete time stochastic control, with an emphasis on how theory and hypothesis tests inform the choice of algorithm for financial data modeling and decision making. With the trend towards increasing computational resources and larger datasets, machine learning has grown into an important skillset for the finance industry. This book is written for advanced graduate students and academics in financial econometrics, mathematical finance and applied statistics, in addition to quants and data scientists in the field of quantitative finance. Machine Learning in Finance: From Theory to Practice is divided into three parts, each part covering theory and applications. The first presents supervised learning for cross-sectional data from both a Bayesian and frequentist perspective. The more advanced material places a firm emphasis on neural networks, including deep learning, as well as Gaussian processes, with examples in investment management and derivative modeling. The second part presents supervised learning for time series data, arguably the most common data type used in finance with examples in trading, stochastic volatility and fixed income modeling. Finally, the third part presents reinforcement learning and its applications in trading, investment and wealth management. Python code examples are provided to support the readers' understanding of the methodologies and applications. The book also includes more than 80 mathematical and programming exercises, with worked solutions available to instructors. As a bridge to research in this emergent field, the final chapter presents the frontiers of machine learning in finance from a researcher's perspective, highlighting how many well-known concepts in statistical physics are likely to emerge as important methodologies for machine learning in finance.
Machine Learning for Risk Calculations by Ignacio Ruiz,Mariano Zeron Pdf
State-of-the-art algorithmic deep learning and tensoring techniques for financial institutions The computational demand of risk calculations in financial institutions has ballooned and shows no sign of stopping. It is no longer viable to simply add more computing power to deal with this increased demand. The solution? Algorithmic solutions based on deep learning and Chebyshev tensors represent a practical way to reduce costs while simultaneously increasing risk calculation capabilities. Machine Learning for Risk Calculations: A Practitioner’s View provides an in-depth review of a number of algorithmic solutions and demonstrates how they can be used to overcome the massive computational burden of risk calculations in financial institutions. This book will get you started by reviewing fundamental techniques, including deep learning and Chebyshev tensors. You’ll then discover algorithmic tools that, in combination with the fundamentals, deliver actual solutions to the real problems financial institutions encounter on a regular basis. Numerical tests and examples demonstrate how these solutions can be applied to practical problems, including XVA and Counterparty Credit Risk, IMM capital, PFE, VaR, FRTB, Dynamic Initial Margin, pricing function calibration, volatility surface parametrisation, portfolio optimisation and others. Finally, you’ll uncover the benefits these techniques provide, the practicalities of implementing them, and the software which can be used. Review the fundamentals of deep learning and Chebyshev tensors Discover pioneering algorithmic techniques that can create new opportunities in complex risk calculation Learn how to apply the solutions to a wide range of real-life risk calculations. Download sample code used in the book, so you can follow along and experiment with your own calculations Realize improved risk management whilst overcoming the burden of limited computational power Quants, IT professionals, and financial risk managers will benefit from this practitioner-oriented approach to state-of-the-art risk calculation.
Artificial Intelligence in Finance by Yves Hilpisch Pdf
The widespread adoption of AI and machine learning is revolutionizing many industries today. Once these technologies are combined with the programmatic availability of historical and real-time financial data, the financial industry will also change fundamentally. With this practical book, you'll learn how to use AI and machine learning to discover statistical inefficiencies in financial markets and exploit them through algorithmic trading. Author Yves Hilpisch shows practitioners, students, and academics in both finance and data science practical ways to apply machine learning and deep learning algorithms to finance. Thanks to lots of self-contained Python examples, you'll be able to replicate all results and figures presented in the book. In five parts, this guide helps you: Learn central notions and algorithms from AI, including recent breakthroughs on the way to artificial general intelligence (AGI) and superintelligence (SI) Understand why data-driven finance, AI, and machine learning will have a lasting impact on financial theory and practice Apply neural networks and reinforcement learning to discover statistical inefficiencies in financial markets Identify and exploit economic inefficiencies through backtesting and algorithmic trading--the automated execution of trading strategies Understand how AI will influence the competitive dynamics in the financial industry and what the potential emergence of a financial singularity might bring about
Deep Credit Risk (Chinese) by Harald Scheule,Daniel Rösch Pdf
- 了解流动性，房屋净值和许多其他关键银行业特征变量的作用； - 选择并处理变量； - 预测违约、偿付、损失率和风险敞口； - 利用危机前特征预测经济衰退和危机后果； - 理解COVID-19对信用风险带来的影响； - 将创新的抽样技术应用于模型训练和验证； - 从Logit分类器到随机森林和神经网络的深入学习; - 进行无监督聚类、主成分和贝叶斯技术的应用； - 为CECL、IFRS 9和CCAR建立多周期模型； - 建立用于在险价值和期望损失的信贷组合相关模型； - 使用更多真实的信用风险数据并运行超过1500行的代码... - Understand the role of liquidity, equity and many other key banking features - Engineer and select features - Predict defaults, payoffs, loss rates and exposures - Predict downturn and crisis outcomes using pre-crisis features - Understand the implications of COVID-19 - Apply innovative sampling techniques for model training and validation - Deep-learn from Logit Classifiers to Random Forests and Neural Networks - Do unsupervised Clustering, Principal Components and Bayesian Techniques - Build multi-period models for CECL, IFRS 9 and CCAR - Build credit portfolio correlation models for VaR and Expected Shortfal - Run over 1,500 lines of pandas, statsmodels and scikit-learn Python code - Access real credit data and much more ...
Machine Learning for Asset Managers by Marcos M. López de Prado Pdf
Successful investment strategies are specific implementations of general theories. An investment strategy that lacks a theoretical justification is likely to be false. Hence, an asset manager should concentrate her efforts on developing a theory rather than on backtesting potential trading rules. The purpose of this Element is to introduce machine learning (ML) tools that can help asset managers discover economic and financial theories. ML is not a black box, and it does not necessarily overfit. ML tools complement rather than replace the classical statistical methods. Some of ML's strengths include (1) a focus on out-of-sample predictability over variance adjudication; (2) the use of computational methods to avoid relying on (potentially unrealistic) assumptions; (3) the ability to "learn" complex specifications, including nonlinear, hierarchical, and noncontinuous interaction effects in a high-dimensional space; and (4) the ability to disentangle the variable search from the specification search, robust to multicollinearity and other substitution effects.
Machine Learning for Algorithmic Trading by Stefan Jansen Pdf
Leverage machine learning to design and back-test automated trading strategies for real-world markets using pandas, TA-Lib, scikit-learn, LightGBM, SpaCy, Gensim, TensorFlow 2, Zipline, backtrader, Alphalens, and pyfolio. Purchase of the print or Kindle book includes a free eBook in the PDF format. Key FeaturesDesign, train, and evaluate machine learning algorithms that underpin automated trading strategiesCreate a research and strategy development process to apply predictive modeling to trading decisionsLeverage NLP and deep learning to extract tradeable signals from market and alternative dataBook Description The explosive growth of digital data has boosted the demand for expertise in trading strategies that use machine learning (ML). This revised and expanded second edition enables you to build and evaluate sophisticated supervised, unsupervised, and reinforcement learning models. This book introduces end-to-end machine learning for the trading workflow, from the idea and feature engineering to model optimization, strategy design, and backtesting. It illustrates this by using examples ranging from linear models and tree-based ensembles to deep-learning techniques from cutting edge research. This edition shows how to work with market, fundamental, and alternative data, such as tick data, minute and daily bars, SEC filings, earnings call transcripts, financial news, or satellite images to generate tradeable signals. It illustrates how to engineer financial features or alpha factors that enable an ML model to predict returns from price data for US and international stocks and ETFs. It also shows how to assess the signal content of new features using Alphalens and SHAP values and includes a new appendix with over one hundred alpha factor examples. By the end, you will be proficient in translating ML model predictions into a trading strategy that operates at daily or intraday horizons, and in evaluating its performance. What you will learnLeverage market, fundamental, and alternative text and image dataResearch and evaluate alpha factors using statistics, Alphalens, and SHAP valuesImplement machine learning techniques to solve investment and trading problemsBacktest and evaluate trading strategies based on machine learning using Zipline and BacktraderOptimize portfolio risk and performance analysis using pandas, NumPy, and pyfolioCreate a pairs trading strategy based on cointegration for US equities and ETFsTrain a gradient boosting model to predict intraday returns using AlgoSeek's high-quality trades and quotes dataWho this book is for If you are a data analyst, data scientist, Python developer, investment analyst, or portfolio manager interested in getting hands-on machine learning knowledge for trading, this book is for you. This book is for you if you want to learn how to extract value from a diverse set of data sources using machine learning to design your own systematic trading strategies. Some understanding of Python and machine learning techniques is required.