Managing Currency Crises In Emerging Markets

Author : Michael P. Dooley,Jeffrey A. Frankel
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
Page : 456 pages
File Size : 46,5 Mb
Release : 2007-11-01
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780226155425

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Managing Currency Crises in Emerging Markets by Michael P. Dooley,Jeffrey A. Frankel Pdf

The management of financial crises in emerging markets is a vital and high-stakes challenge in an increasingly global economy. For this reason, it's also a highly contentious issue in today's public policy circles. In this book, leading economists-many of whom have also participated in policy debates on these issues-consider how best to reduce the frequency and cost of such crises. The contributions here explore the management process from the beginning of a crisis to the long-term effects of the techniques used to minimize it. The first three chapters focus on the earliest responses and the immediate defense of a currency under attack, exploring whether unnecessary damage to economies can be avoided by adopting the right response within the first few days of a financial crisis. Next, contributors examine the adjustment programs that follow, considering how to design these programs so that they shorten the recovery phase, encourage economic growth, and minimize the probability of future difficulties. Finally, the last four papers analyze the actual effects of adjustment programs, asking whether they accomplish what they are designed to do-and whether, as many critics assert, they impose disproportionate costs on the poorest members of society. Recent high-profile currency crises have proven not only how harmful they can be to neighboring economies and trading partners, but also how important policy responses can be in determining their duration and severity. Economists and policymakers will welcome the insightful evaluations in this important volume, and those of its companion, Sebastian Edwards and Jeffrey A. Frankel's Preventing Currency Crises in Emerging Markets.

Author : Sebastian Edwards,Jeffrey A. Frankel
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
Page : 783 pages
File Size : 51,8 Mb
Release : 2009-02-15
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780226185057

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Preventing Currency Crises in Emerging Markets by Sebastian Edwards,Jeffrey A. Frankel Pdf

Economists and policymakers are still trying to understand the lessons recent financial crises in Asia and other emerging market countries hold for the future of the global financial system. In this timely and important volume, distinguished academics, officials in multilateral organizations, and public and private sector economists explore the causes of and effective policy responses to international currency crises. Topics covered include exchange rate regimes, contagion (transmission of currency crises across countries), the current account of the balance of payments, the role of private sector investors and of speculators, the reaction of the official sector (including the multilaterals), capital controls, bank supervision and weaknesses, and the roles of cronyism, corruption, and large players (including hedge funds). Ably balancing detailed case studies, cross-country comparisons, and theoretical concerns, this book will make a major contribution to ongoing efforts to understand and prevent international currency crises.

Author : Marek Dabrowski
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 309 pages
File Size : 53,6 Mb
Release : 2012-12-06
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781461503439

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Currency Crises in Emerging Markets by Marek Dabrowski Pdf

Currency Crises in Emerging Markets, prepared by Warsaw-based Center for Social and Economic Research (CASE), discusses various aspects of currency crises in emerging-market economies: The definitions and theoretical models of currency crises, the causes, management and propagation (contagion effect) of crises, their economic, social and policy consequences, the role of international financial institutions, and crisis prevention. In addition, five case studies of currency crises in Central and Eastern Europe are presented.

Author : Martin Feldstein
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
Page : 540 pages
File Size : 44,8 Mb
Release : 2007-11-01
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780226241104

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Economic and Financial Crises in Emerging Market Economies by Martin Feldstein Pdf

In the late 1990s, economic and financial crises raged through East Asia, devastating economies that had previously been considered among the strongest in the developing world. The crises eventually spread to Russia, Turkey, and Latin America, and impacted the economies of many industrialized nations as well. In today's increasingly interdependent world, finding ways to reduce the risk of future crises—and to improve the management of crises when they occur—has become an international policy challenge of paramount importance. This book rises to that challenge, presenting accessible papers and commentaries on the topic not only from leading academic economists, but also from high-ranking government officials (in both industrial and developing nations), senior policymakers at international institutions, and major financial investors. Six non-technical papers, each written by a specialist in the topic, provide essential economic background, introducing sections on exchange rate regimes, financial policies, industrial country policies, IMF stabilization policies, IMF structural programs, and creditor relations. Next, personal statements from the major players give firsthand accounts of what really went on behind the scenes during the crises, giving us a rare glimpse into how international economic policy decisions are actually made. Finally, wide-ranging discussions and debates sparked by these papers and statements are summarized at the end of each section. The result is an indispensable overview of the key issues at work in these crises, written by the people who move markets and reshape economies, and accessible to not just economists and policymakers, but also to educated general readers. Contributors: Montek S. Ahluwalia, Domingo F. Cavallo, William R. Cline, Andrew Crockett, Michael P. Dooley, Sebastian Edwards, Stanley Fischer, Arminio Fraga, Jeffrey Frankel, Jacob Frenkel, Timothy F. Geithner, Morris Goldstein, Paul Keating, Mervyn King, Anne O. Krueger, Roberto Mendoza, Frederic S. Mishkin, Guillermo Ortiz, Yung Chul Park, Nouriel Roubini, Robert Rubin, Jeffrey Sachs, Ammar Siamwalla, George Soros

Author : Morris Goldstein,Philip Turner
Publisher : Columbia University Press
Page : 192 pages
File Size : 43,5 Mb
Release : 2004-04-25
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780881324570

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Controlling Currency Mismatches in Emerging Markets by Morris Goldstein,Philip Turner Pdf

In most of the currency crises of the 1990s, the largest output falls have occurred in those emerging economies with large currency mismatches, a phenomenon that occurs when assets and liabilities are denominated in different currencies such that net worth is sensitive to changes in the exchange rate. Currency mismatching makes crisis management much more difficult since it constrains the willingness of the monetary authority to reduce interest rates in a recession (for fear of initiating a large fall in the currency that would bring with it large-scale insolvencies). The mismatching also produces a "fear of floating" on the part of emerging economies, sometimes inducing them to make currency-regime choices that are not in their own long-term interest. Authors Morris Goldstein and Philip Turner summarize what is known about the origins of currency mismatching in emerging economies, discuss how best to define and measure currency mismatching, and review policy options for reducing the size of the problem.

Author : John Williamson
Publisher : Peterson Institute
Page : 110 pages
File Size : 41,6 Mb
Release : 2000
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 0881322938

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Exchange Rate Regimes for Emerging Markets by John Williamson Pdf

In the aftermath of the Asian/global financial crises of 1997-98, how should emerging markets now structure their exchange rate systems to prevent new crises from occurring? This study challenges current orthodoxy by advocating the revival of intermediate exchange rate regimes. In so doing, Williamson presents a reasoned challenge to the new prevailing attitude which claims that all countries involved in the international capital markets need to polarize to one of the extreme regimes (to a fixed rate with either a currency board or dollarization, or to a lightly-managed float). He concludes that although there is some truth in the allegation that intermediate regimes are vulnerable to speculative crises, they still offer offsetting advantages. He also contends that it would be possible to redesign them to be more flexible so as to reduce their vulnerability to crises.

Author : Jan Joost Teunissen
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 126 pages
File Size : 42,7 Mb
Release : 1996
Category : Capital movements
ISBN : IND:30000057546404

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Can Currency Crises be Prevented Or Better Managed? by Jan Joost Teunissen Pdf

Author : Mr.Ricardo J. Caballero,Arvind Krishnamurthy
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 54 pages
File Size : 41,7 Mb
Release : 1999-09-01
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781451855098

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Emerging Markets Crisis by Mr.Ricardo J. Caballero,Arvind Krishnamurthy Pdf

The entire difference between a mild downturn and a devastating crisis is the occurrence of sharp fire sales of domestic assets and possibly foreign exchange and the ensuing collapse in the balance sheets of both the financial and nonfinancial sector. Why and how do such crises materialize? And why doesn’t the private sector take appropriate precautions to avoid the consequences of crises? In this paper we argue that the combination of weak international financial links and underdeveloped domestic financial markets offers a parsimonious account of these and related phenomena present in emerging markets.

Author : Evan Tanner
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 54 pages
File Size : 52,9 Mb
Release : 2006
Category : Electronic
ISBN : OCLC:1291216950

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Exchange Market Pressure, Currency Crises, and Monetary Policy by Evan Tanner Pdf

This paper extends my previous work by examining the relationship between monetary policy and exchange market pressure (EMP) in 32 emerging market countries. EMP is a gauge of the severity of crises, and part of this paper specifically analyzes crisis periods. Two variables gauge the stance of monetary policy: the growth of central bank domestic credit and the interest differential (domestic versus U.S. dollar). Evidence suggests that monetary policy plays an important role in currency crises. And, in most countries the shocks to monetary policy affect EMP in the direction predicted by traditional approaches: tighter money reduces EMP.

Author : Thomas Meyer
Publisher : diplom.de
Page : 87 pages
File Size : 44,9 Mb
Release : 2000-06-15
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9783832424305

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The 90s' Currency Crises by Thomas Meyer Pdf

Inhaltsangabe:Abstract: When on June 2nd 1997 Thailand devalued its currency, the stage was set was the most severe and virulent currency crisis of that decade. The sudden reversal of capital flows depleted economic wealth and social cohesion in many East Asian countries, hitherto perveived to belong to the Asian Miracle. Shockwaves of the crisis were felt in most emerging markets, even those outside the region, and reached mature markets when, for instance, the hedge fund Long-Term Capital Management nearly collapsed. In face of these enormous costs, this paper analyses the possibilities and boundaries of attempts to either reduce the likeliness of respective financial shocks or, when unavoidable, lower the costs of managing these crises. On the ground of the state-of-the-art models of currency crises it is examined which domestic or international factors contributed most to the observed outcome. The guiding question is if either moral hazard considerations, in the form of governmental guarantees and alike, or approaches of multiple equilibria are more suited to serve as an explanation. Moreover, this paper illuminates the significance of the original sin hypothesis which states that emerging markets are constrained when trying to borrow abroad in domestic currency or, even when trying at home, to borrow long-term. Although it is acknowledged that all these factors are valid simultaniously, superior importance in the following parts is given on the multiple equilibria approach. The main part of the paper discusses the most influencial reform proposals of academics and institutions such as the IMF or the Group of 22. Approaches for a new financial architecture are divided into issues of the exchange-rate regime, public and private liquidity, and the institutional framework. These recommandations include questions of dollarization; an international lender of last resort; insurance agencies and credit facilities; capital controls; improved regulation and transparency; as well as the addidition of collective action clauses and alike to international bond contracts. They are assessed according to the criteria developed before, especially with regard to the approaches of moral hazard, multiple equilibria, and original sin. Taking into account that any grand scheme is rather unlikely to be realized on short notice, the conclusions concentrate on moderest reform proposals which can be pursued by emerging countries indiviually or with the assistance [...]

Author : M. Ayhan Kose,Peter Nagle,Franziska Ohnsorge,Naotaka Sugawara
Publisher : World Bank Publications
Page : 403 pages
File Size : 49,6 Mb
Release : 2021-03-03
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781464815454

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Global Waves of Debt by M. Ayhan Kose,Peter Nagle,Franziska Ohnsorge,Naotaka Sugawara Pdf

The global economy has experienced four waves of rapid debt accumulation over the past 50 years. The first three debt waves ended with financial crises in many emerging market and developing economies. During the current wave, which started in 2010, the increase in debt in these economies has already been larger, faster, and broader-based than in the previous three waves. Current low interest rates mitigate some of the risks associated with high debt. However, emerging market and developing economies are also confronted by weak growth prospects, mounting vulnerabilities, and elevated global risks. A menu of policy options is available to reduce the likelihood that the current debt wave will end in crisis and, if crises do take place, will alleviate their impact.

Author : Frederic S. Mishkin
Publisher : World Bank Publications
Page : 48 pages
File Size : 46,9 Mb
Release : 2001
Category : Crisis financiera - Paises en desarrollo
ISBN : 8210379456XXX

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Financial Policies and the Prevention of Financial Crises in Emerging Market Economics by Frederic S. Mishkin Pdf

In recent years we have seen a growing number of banking and financial crises in emerging market countries, with great costs to their economies. But we now have a much better understanding of why these crises occur and a better idea how they can be prevented.

Author : Fabrizio Saccomanni
Publisher : Edward Elgar Publishing
Page : 305 pages
File Size : 43,7 Mb
Release : 2010-01-01
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781848441521

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Managing International Financial Instability by Fabrizio Saccomanni Pdf

This book is a masterpiece. It combines a clear historical analysis of issues and causes of past international instability with a contemporary discussion of how to avoid future occurrences. It is a very informative book that caters to the need of the savvy and the uninformed. It reviews in a rigorous manner the core obstacles to achieving a durable global financial stability. The presentation is clear, simple and well organised. . . Saccomanni demonstrated a great understanding of monetary and financial matters. The book could not have been better timed given the deepening recession caused by the global financial meltdown. I am very delighted to recommend it. Chika B. Onwuekwe, Journal of International Banking Law and Regulation . . . the timing of this publication could not have been better, Fabrizio Saccomanni provides the reader with a well-written analytical and historical survey of the causes and consequences of international financial crisis and possible solutions. . . the book is enjoyable, compendious and concise. . . the book is worth reading by anyone who is interested in understanding the global financial system and is looking for a critical appraisal of its performance. In particular, students and academics of international economics can get a good overview on the issue of international financial stability, since the book bridges the gap between theoretical models and practical policy implications. . . Saccomanni s book is a well-written and valuable contribution to the debate as already said before the timing of its publication could hardly be better. Ralf Fendel, Journal of Economics and Statistics Recurrent instability has characterized the global financial system since the 1980s, eventually leading to the current global financial crisis. This instability and the resultant disruptions sovereign debt defaults, exchange rate misalignments, financial market illiquidity and asset price bubbles are linked, in this book, to the shortcomings of the global financial system which tends to generate cycles of boom and bust in credit flows. These cycles are set in motion by the monetary impulses of major industrial countries and are amplified and propagated through the operation of global financial markets. Fabrizio Saccomanni argues that to counter such systemic instability requires that national authorities give adequate weight to financial stability objectives when formulating their monetary and regulatory policies. He maintains that appropriate multilateral strategies to deal with unsustainable trends in credit aggregates and asset prices should be devised in the International Monetary Fund in the context of a strengthened framework to deal with global payments imbalances and exchange rate misalignments. Providing a comprehensive historical and analytical survey of the causes, consequences and possible cures of international financial instability, this book will be of great interest to students and academics of international economics and finance. It will also appeal to financial market participants and analysts, government officials and central bankers as a comprehensive survey of the relevant academic literature and of the state of the policy debate.

Author : Anonim
Publisher : Emerald Group Publishing
Page : 752 pages
File Size : 41,5 Mb
Release : 2016-10-04
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781786354518

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Risk Management in Emerging Markets by Anonim Pdf

This book addresses three main dimensions of risk management in emerging markets: 1) the effectiveness of risk management practices; 2) current issues and challenges in risk assessment and modelling in emerging market countries; 3) the responses of emerging markets to the recent financial crises and the design of risk management models.

Author : Thomson Fontaine
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 40,8 Mb
Release : 2005
Category : Electronic
ISBN : OCLC:1291217486

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Currency Crises in Developed and Emerging Market Economies by Thomson Fontaine Pdf

This paper takes a step in empirically testing the implications of a number of theoretical models that attempt to highlight the dynamics behind currency crises. By focusing on countries with broadly disparate economic and political arrangements, the study attempts to determine the extent to which these variables matter in affecting the probabilities of currency crises occurring. The empirical findings provide support for the view that, in general, a deterioration in economic fundamentals and the pursuit of lax monetary policy can contribute to currency crises. The experiences of several emerging market economies suggests that the sustainability of exchange rate policy depends both on adequate policy responses to the shocks to the economy and on the fragility of the economic, financial, and political system.