Managing The Continuum Certainty Uncertainty Unpredictability In Large Engineering Projects

Author : Franco Caron
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 88 pages
File Size : 50,7 Mb
Release : 2013-05-24
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN : 9788847052444

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Managing the Continuum: Certainty, Uncertainty, Unpredictability in Large Engineering Projects by Franco Caron Pdf

The brief will describe how to develop a risk analysis applied to a project , through a sequence of steps: risk management planning, risk identification, risk classification, risk assessment, risk quantification, risk response planning, risk monitoring and control, process close out and lessons learning. The project risk analysis and management process will be applied to large engineering projects, in particular related to the oil and gas industry. The brief will address the overall range of possible events affecting the project moving from certainty (project issues) through uncertainty (project risks) to unpredictability (unforeseeable events), considering both negative and positive events. Some quantitative techniques (simulation, event tree, Bayesian inference, etc.) will be used to develop risk quantification. The brief addresses a typical subject in the area of project management, with reference to large engineering projects concerning the realization of large plants and infrastructures. These projects are characterized by a high level of change, uncertainty, complexity and ambiguity. The brief represents an extension of the material developed for the course Project Risk Analysis and Management of the Master in Strategic Project Management (Erasmus Mundus) developed jointly by Politecnico di Milano, Heriot Watt University (Edimburgh) and Umea (Sweden). The brief may be used both in courses addressing project management subjects and by practitioners as a guide for developing an effective project risk management plan.

Author : Management Association, Information Resources
Publisher : IGI Global
Page : 2410 pages
File Size : 53,6 Mb
Release : 2016-06-09
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781522501978

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Project Management: Concepts, Methodologies, Tools, and Applications by Management Association, Information Resources Pdf

Organizations of all types are consistently working on new initiatives, product lines, or implementation of new workflows as a way to remain competitive in the modern business environment. No matter the type of project at hand, employing the best methods for effective execution and timely completion of the task at hand is essential to project success. Project Management: Concepts, Methodologies, Tools, and Applications presents the latest research and practical solutions for managing every stage of the project lifecycle. Emphasizing emerging concepts, real-world examples, and authoritative research on managing project workflows and measuring project success in both private and public sectors, this multi-volume reference work is a critical addition to academic, government, and corporate libraries. It is designed for use by project coordinators and managers, business executives, researchers, and graduate-level students interested in putting research-based solutions into practice for effective project management.

Author : Jakóbczak, Dariusz Jacek
Publisher : IGI Global
Page : 442 pages
File Size : 40,9 Mb
Release : 2015-11-03
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781466694590

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Analyzing Risk through Probabilistic Modeling in Operations Research by Jakóbczak, Dariusz Jacek Pdf

Probabilistic modeling represents a subject spanning many branches of mathematics, economics, and computer science to connect pure mathematics with applied sciences. Operational research also relies on this connection to enable the improvement of business functions and decision making. Analyzing Risk through Probabilistic Modeling in Operations Research is an authoritative reference publication discussing the various challenges in management and decision science. Featuring exhaustive coverage on a range of topics within operational research including, but not limited to, decision analysis, data mining, process modeling, probabilistic interpolation and extrapolation, and optimization methods, this book is an essential reference source for decision makers, academicians, researchers, advanced-level students, technology developers, and government officials interested in the implementation of probabilistic modeling in various business applications.

Author : Jakóbczak, Dariusz Jacek
Publisher : IGI Global
Page : 331 pages
File Size : 48,7 Mb
Release : 2021-02-19
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9781799847076

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Analyzing Data Through Probabilistic Modeling in Statistics by Jakóbczak, Dariusz Jacek Pdf

Probabilistic modeling represents a subject arising in many branches of mathematics, economics, and computer science. Such modeling connects pure mathematics with applied sciences. Similarly, data analyzing and statistics are situated on the border between pure mathematics and applied sciences. Therefore, when probabilistic modeling meets statistics, it is a very interesting occasion that has gained much research recently. With the increase of these technologies in life and work, it has become somewhat essential in the workplace to have planning, timetabling, scheduling, decision making, optimization, simulation, data analysis, and risk analysis and process modeling. However, there are still many difficulties and challenges that arrive in these sectors during the process of planning or decision making. There continues to be the need for more research on the impact of such probabilistic modeling with other approaches. Analyzing Data Through Probabilistic Modeling in Statistics is an essential reference source that builds on the available literature in the field of probabilistic modeling, statistics, operational research, planning and scheduling, data extrapolation in decision making, probabilistic interpolation and extrapolation in simulation, stochastic processes, and decision analysis. This text will provide the resources necessary for economics and management sciences and for mathematics and computer sciences. This book is ideal for interested technology developers, decision makers, mathematicians, statisticians and practitioners, stakeholders, researchers, academicians, and students looking to further their research exposure to pertinent topics in operations research and probabilistic modeling.

Author : Khosrow-Pour, D.B.A., Mehdi
Publisher : IGI Global
Page : 1482 pages
File Size : 49,6 Mb
Release : 2018-09-14
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781522573630

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Advanced Methodologies and Technologies in Business Operations and Management by Khosrow-Pour, D.B.A., Mehdi Pdf

Businesses consistently work on new projects, products, and workflows to remain competitive and successful in the modern business environment. To remain zealous, businesses must employ the most effective methods and tools in human resources, project management, and overall business plan execution as competitors work to succeed as well. Advanced Methodologies and Technologies in Business Operations and Management provides emerging research on business tools such as employee engagement, payout policies, and financial investing to promote operational success. While highlighting the challenges facing modern organizations, readers will learn how corporate social responsibility and utilizing artificial intelligence improve a company’s culture and management. This book is an ideal resource for executives and managers, researchers, accountants, and financial investors seeking current research on business operations and management.

Author : Joshua Yindenaba Abor,Amin Karimu
Publisher : Taylor & Francis
Page : 352 pages
File Size : 55,6 Mb
Release : 2023-06-07
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781000890419

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Sustainability Management in the Oil and Gas Industry by Joshua Yindenaba Abor,Amin Karimu Pdf

The oil and gas industry is a complex sector with significant reach in terms of providing the energy needs of the global economy and the security, environmental and development consequences thereof. In particular, the sector is extremely important for the economic growth of emerging markets and developing countries. Furthermore, the life span of oil and gas resources is finite, with high health and safety risks and substantial environmental costs that require careful management and sustainability practices to ensure optimal extraction and utilisation of these resources. This book examines the challenges and opportunities in the oil and gas industry, in the context of emerging markets and developing economies. It provides comprehensive coverage of the management and sustainability practices of the sector, the environmental impact and sustainability of resources as well as the businesses that operate in the sector across the entire value chain. It addresses the current discourse on topics such as the Sustainable Development Goals, the Green Economy, the Paris Agreement and Glasgow Climate Pact and concludes with a chapter on the future of the oil and gas industry. The discussions around energy and energy transitions in particular continue to gain momentum and the book provides a wide-reaching and up-to-date overview of the industry. The book introduces readers to the concepts and formal models of analysis in the oil and gas sector and will serve as a useful resource for students, scholars and researchers in operations, marketing, procurement and supply chain management, project management, health and safety management, environmental economics, natural resource economics, development finance, and development studies. Researchers and practitioners working in these areas will also find the book a useful reference material.

Author : Franco Caron
Publisher : Springer
Page : 130 pages
File Size : 48,6 Mb
Release : 2013-03-22
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 8847028965

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Management of Uncertainty in large Engineering Projects by Franco Caron Pdf

The brief will describe how to develop a risk analysis applied to a project , through a sequence of steps: risk management planning, risk identification, risk classification, risk assessment, risk quantification, risk response planning, risk monitoring and control, process close out and lessons learning. The project risk analysis and management process will be applied to large engineering projects, in particular related to the oil and gas industry. The brief will address the overall range of possible events affecting the project moving from certainty (project issues) through uncertainty (project risks) to unpredictability (unforeseeable events), considering both negative and positive events. Some quantitative techniques (simulation, event tree, Bayesian inference, etc.) will be used to develop risk quantification. The brief addresses a typical subject in the area of project management, with reference to large engineering projects concerning the realization of large plants and infrastructures. These projects are characterized by a high level of change, uncertainty, complexity and ambiguity. The brief represents an extension of the material developed for the course Project Risk Analysis and Management of the Master in Strategic Project Management (Erasmus Mundus) developed jointly by Politecnico di Milano, Heriot Watt University (Edimburgh) and Umea (Sweden). The brief may be used both in courses addressing project management subjects and by practitioners as a guide for developing an effective project risk management plan.

Author : Michel Syrett,Marion Devine,The Economist
Publisher : The Economist
Page : 170 pages
File Size : 53,5 Mb
Release : 2014-02-25
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781610395137

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Managing Uncertainty by Michel Syrett,Marion Devine,The Economist Pdf

Managing uncertainty has become a new business imperative. Technological discontinuities, regulatory upheavals, geopolitical shocks, abrupt shifts in consumer tastes or behavior, and many other factors have emerged or intensified in recent years and together conspire to undermine even the most carefully constructed business strategies. Managing Uncertainty: Strategies for Surviving and Thriving in Turbulent Times addresses these new challenges, assessing the sources of business turbulence, how to classify uncertainty, and the different ways in which uncertainty can be embraced to allow greater innovation and growth. Drawing on examples from around the world, the book presents the most recent ideas on what it means to manage uncertainty, from practitioners, academics, and consultants. • Addresses the challenges of managing uncertainty in business • Presents a step-by-step guide to managing business uncertainty • Draws examples from major international companies, including Intel, Procter & Gamble, Siemens, Boeing, Quinetiq, Philips, China Telecom, Ford, Apple, Shell, Glaxo SmithKline and many more Written for business leaders and managers looking for new ways to ensure that their businesses continue to thrive in a world of increasing complexity, Managing Uncertainty presents new and innovative ideas about reducing risk by understanding difficult-to-predict shifts.

Author : Jim W. Hall,Michael Beer,Siu-Kui Au
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 43,5 Mb
Release : 2024-06-10
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 0784413606

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Vulnerability, Uncertainty, and Risk: Quantification, Mitigation, and Management by Jim W. Hall,Michael Beer,Siu-Kui Au Pdf

Proceedings of the Second International Conference on Vulnerability and Risk Analysis and Management (ICVRAM) and the Sixth International Symposium on Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis (ISUMA), held in Liverpool, UK, July 13-16, 2014. Sponsored by the Institute for Risk and Uncertainty and the Virtual Engineering Centre of the University of Liverpool, the Environmental Change Institute of the University of Oxford, and the Council on Disaster Risk Management of ASCE. Vulnerability, Uncertainty, and Risk: Quantification, Mitigation, and Management, CDRM 9, contains 290 peer-reviewed papers that build upon recent significant advances in the quantification, mitigation, and management of risk and uncertainty. These papers focus on decision making and multi-disciplinary developments to address the demands and challenges evolving from the rapidly growing complexity of real-world problems. Topics include: risk assessment and management of critical infrastructure projects; performance-based and reliability-based structural optimization under uncertainty; verified and stochastic approaches to modeling and simulation under uncertainty; risk management for floods, tsunamis, earthquakes, and other natural hazards; risk and uncertainty modeling in transportation and logistics; and geotechnical risk, uncertainty, and decision making. These papers will be valuable to experts, decision-makers, and others involved in assessing, planning responses to, and managing vulnerability and risk.

Author : Brian Hobbs,Yvan Petit, PMP
Publisher : Project Management Institute
Page : 238 pages
File Size : 43,5 Mb
Release : 2012-05-01
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781628250121

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Project Portfolios in Dynamic Environments by Brian Hobbs,Yvan Petit, PMP Pdf

Project Portfolios in Dynamic Environments: Organizing for Uncertainty is a comprehensive report of research that addresses this important, rising issue. Authors Yvan Petit and Brian Hobbs present the results of their investigation in a report that significantly advances the theory and also offers tips for practice. Currently, those applying project portfolio management tend to focus on the selection, prioritization, and strategic alignment of projects. Little attention is afforded the potential disturbances to project portfolios such as new projects, terminated projects, delayed projects, incorrect planning due to high uncertainty, and changes in the external environment. Yet, these factors can have highly disruptive, even show-stopping influence. This research seeks to answer: How is uncertainty affecting project portfolios managed in dynamic environments?

Author : Peter F. Pelz,Peter Groche,Marc E. Pfetsch,Maximilian Schaeffner
Publisher : Springer Nature
Page : 483 pages
File Size : 45,7 Mb
Release : 2021-10-11
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN : 9783030783549

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Mastering Uncertainty in Mechanical Engineering by Peter F. Pelz,Peter Groche,Marc E. Pfetsch,Maximilian Schaeffner Pdf

This open access book reports on innovative methods, technologies and strategies for mastering uncertainty in technical systems. Despite the fact that current research on uncertainty is mainly focusing on uncertainty quantification and analysis, this book gives emphasis to innovative ways to master uncertainty in engineering design, production and product usage alike. It gathers authoritative contributions by more than 30 scientists reporting on years of research in the areas of engineering, applied mathematics and law, thus offering a timely, comprehensive and multidisciplinary account of theories and methods for quantifying data, model and structural uncertainty, and of fundamental strategies for mastering uncertainty. It covers key concepts such as robustness, flexibility and resilience in detail. All the described methods, technologies and strategies have been validated with the help of three technical systems, i.e. the Modular Active Spring-Damper System, the Active Air Spring and the 3D Servo Press, which have been in turn developed and tested during more than ten years of cooperative research. Overall, this book offers a timely, practice-oriented reference guide to graduate students, researchers and professionals dealing with uncertainty in the broad field of mechanical engineering.

Author : Anonim
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 128 pages
File Size : 50,8 Mb
Release : 2012-06-05
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 0615974422

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MITRE Systems Engineering Guide by Anonim Pdf

Author : Anonim
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 716 pages
File Size : 46,5 Mb
Release : 1998
Category : Dissertations, Academic
ISBN : STANFORD:36105021170100

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Dissertation Abstracts International by Anonim Pdf

Author : John M. Nicholas,Herman Steyn
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 755 pages
File Size : 52,8 Mb
Release : 2020-08-02
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN : 9781000092462

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Project Management for Engineering, Business and Technology by John M. Nicholas,Herman Steyn Pdf

Project Management for Engineering, Business and Technology is a highly regarded textbook that addresses project management across all industries. First covering the essential background, from origins and philosophy to methodology, the bulk of the book is dedicated to concepts and techniques for practical application. Coverage includes project initiation and proposals, scope and task definition, scheduling, budgeting, risk analysis, control, project selection and portfolio management, program management, project organization, and all-important "people" aspects—project leadership, team building, conflict resolution, and stress management. The systems development cycle is used as a framework to discuss project management in a variety of situations, making this the go-to book for managing virtually any kind of project, program, or task force. The authors focus on the ultimate purpose of project management—to unify and integrate the interests, resources and work efforts of many stakeholders, as well as the planning, scheduling, and budgeting needed to accomplish overall project goals. This sixth edition features: updates throughout to cover the latest developments in project management methodologies; a new chapter on project procurement management and contracts; an expansion of case study coverage throughout, including those on the topic of sustainability and climate change, as well as cases and examples from across the globe, including India, Africa, Asia, and Australia; and extensive instructor support materials, including an instructor’s manual, PowerPoint slides, answers to chapter review questions and a test bank of questions. Taking a technical yet accessible approach, this book is an ideal resource and reference for all advanced undergraduate and graduate students in project management courses, as well as for practicing project managers across all industry sectors.

Author : Vincent A. W. J. Marchau,Warren E. Walker,Pieter J. T. M. Bloemen,Steven W. Popper
Publisher : Springer
Page : 408 pages
File Size : 45,6 Mb
Release : 2019-04-04
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9783030052522

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Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty by Vincent A. W. J. Marchau,Warren E. Walker,Pieter J. T. M. Bloemen,Steven W. Popper Pdf

This open access book focuses on both the theory and practice associated with the tools and approaches for decisionmaking in the face of deep uncertainty. It explores approaches and tools supporting the design of strategic plans under deep uncertainty, and their testing in the real world, including barriers and enablers for their use in practice. The book broadens traditional approaches and tools to include the analysis of actors and networks related to the problem at hand. It also shows how lessons learned in the application process can be used to improve the approaches and tools used in the design process. The book offers guidance in identifying and applying appropriate approaches and tools to design plans, as well as advice on implementing these plans in the real world. For decisionmakers and practitioners, the book includes realistic examples and practical guidelines that should help them understand what decisionmaking under deep uncertainty is and how it may be of assistance to them. Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty: From Theory to Practice is divided into four parts. Part I presents five approaches for designing strategic plans under deep uncertainty: Robust Decision Making, Dynamic Adaptive Planning, Dynamic Adaptive Policy Pathways, Info-Gap Decision Theory, and Engineering Options Analysis. Each approach is worked out in terms of its theoretical foundations, methodological steps to follow when using the approach, latest methodological insights, and challenges for improvement. In Part II, applications of each of these approaches are presented. Based on recent case studies, the practical implications of applying each approach are discussed in depth. Part III focuses on using the approaches and tools in real-world contexts, based on insights from real-world cases. Part IV contains conclusions and a synthesis of the lessons that can be drawn for designing, applying, and implementing strategic plans under deep uncertainty, as well as recommendations for future work. The publication of this book has been funded by the Radboud University, the RAND Corporation, Delft University of Technology, and Deltares.