Model Thinker

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The Model Thinker

Scott E. Page
The Model Thinker Book PDF

Author : Scott E. Page
Publisher : Basic Books
Page : 585 pages
File Size : 42,9 Mb
Release : 2018-11-27
Category : Computers
ISBN : 9780465094639

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The Model Thinker by Scott E. Page Pdf

Work with data like a pro using this guide that breaks down how to organize, apply, and most importantly, understand what you are analyzing in order to become a true data ninja. From the stock market to genomics laboratories, census figures to marketing email blasts, we are awash with data. But as anyone who has ever opened up a spreadsheet packed with seemingly infinite lines of data knows, numbers aren't enough: we need to know how to make those numbers talk. In The Model Thinker, social scientist Scott E. Page shows us the mathematical, statistical, and computational models—from linear regression to random walks and far beyond—that can turn anyone into a genius. At the core of the book is Page's "many-model paradigm," which shows the reader how to apply multiple models to organize the data, leading to wiser choices, more accurate predictions, and more robust designs. The Model Thinker provides a toolkit for business people, students, scientists, pollsters, and bloggers to make them better, clearer thinkers, able to leverage data and information to their advantage.

The Model Thinker

Scott E. Page
The Model Thinker Book PDF

Author : Scott E. Page
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 480 pages
File Size : 51,8 Mb
Release : 2021-03-16
Category : Computers
ISBN : 1541675711

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The Model Thinker by Scott E. Page Pdf

How anyone can become a data whiz From the stock market to COVID-19 charts, census figures to marketing email blasts, we are awash with data. But as anyone who's ever opened up a spreadsheet packed with seemingly infinite lines of data knows, numbers aren't enough: we need to know how to make those numbers talk. In The Model Thinker, social scientist Scott E. Page shows us the mathematical and statistical models-from linear regression to random walks and beyond-that can turn anyone into a data genius. At the core of the book is Page's "many-model paradigm," which shows us how to organize data with multiple models, leading to wiser choices, more accurate predictions, and more robust designs. Whether you're a scientist, pollster, blogger, or business person, The Model Thinker offers a toolkit for becoming a better, clearer thinker, able to leverage data and information to your advantage.

The Model Thinker

Scott E. Page
The Model Thinker Book PDF

Author : Scott E. Page
Publisher : Hachette UK
Page : 585 pages
File Size : 40,6 Mb
Release : 2018-11-27
Category : Computers
ISBN : 9780465094639

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The Model Thinker by Scott E. Page Pdf

Work with data like a pro using this guide that breaks down how to organize, apply, and most importantly, understand what you are analyzing in order to become a true data ninja. From the stock market to genomics laboratories, census figures to marketing email blasts, we are awash with data. But as anyone who has ever opened up a spreadsheet packed with seemingly infinite lines of data knows, numbers aren't enough: we need to know how to make those numbers talk. In The Model Thinker, social scientist Scott E. Page shows us the mathematical, statistical, and computational models—from linear regression to random walks and far beyond—that can turn anyone into a genius. At the core of the book is Page's "many-model paradigm," which shows the reader how to apply multiple models to organize the data, leading to wiser choices, more accurate predictions, and more robust designs. The Model Thinker provides a toolkit for business people, students, scientists, pollsters, and bloggers to make them better, clearer thinkers, able to leverage data and information to their advantage.

The Great Mental Models: General Thinking Concepts

Farnam Street
The Great Mental Models General Thinking Concepts Book PDF

Author : Farnam Street
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 190 pages
File Size : 44,5 Mb
Release : 2019-12-16
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 1999449002

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The Great Mental Models: General Thinking Concepts by Farnam Street Pdf

The old saying goes, ''To the man with a hammer, everything looks like a nail.'' But anyone who has done any kind of project knows a hammer often isn't enough. The more tools you have at your disposal, the more likely you'll use the right tool for the job - and get it done right. The same is true when it comes to your thinking. The quality of your outcomes depends on the mental models in your head. And most people are going through life with little more than a hammer. Until now. The Great Mental Models: General Thinking Concepts is the first book in The Great Mental Models series designed to upgrade your thinking with the best, most useful and powerful tools so you always have the right one on hand. This volume details nine of the most versatile, all-purpose mental models you can use right away to improve your decision making, productivity, and how clearly you see the world. You will discover what forces govern the universe and how to focus your efforts so you can harness them to your advantage, rather than fight with them or worse yet- ignore them. Upgrade your mental toolbox and get the first volume today. AUTHOR BIOGRAPHY Farnam Street (FS) is one of the world's fastest growing websites, dedicated to helping our readers master the best of what other people have already figured out. We curate, examine and explore the timeless ideas and mental models that history's brightest minds have used to live lives of purpose. Our readers include students, teachers, CEOs, coaches, athletes, artists, leaders, followers, politicians and more. They're not defined by gender, age, income, or politics but rather by a shared passion for avoiding problems, making better decisions, and lifelong learning. AUTHOR HOME Ottawa, Ontario, Canada

Summary of Scott E. Page's The Model Thinker

Everest Media,
Summary of Scott E Page s The Model Thinker Book PDF

Author : Everest Media,
Publisher : Everest Media LLC
Page : 95 pages
File Size : 43,8 Mb
Release : 2022-03-27T22:59:00Z
Category : Computers
ISBN : 9781669369295

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Summary of Scott E. Page's The Model Thinker by Everest Media, Pdf

Please note: This is a companion version & not the original book. Sample Book Insights: #1 Models are formal structures represented in mathematics and diagrams that help us understand the world. They improve our ability to reason, explain, design, communicate, act, predict, and explore. #2 A model is a simplification of the world that can be applied within it. It must be simple enough that within it we can apply logic. A model is a collection of models that accomplishes even more. #3 We have access to unprecedented amounts of data, but we are not capable of understanding why certain things happen. Empirical findings may be misleading. Data on piece-rate work shows that the more people are paid per unit of output, the less they produce. #4 Models are used to make sense of the firehose-like streams of data that cross our computer screens. Without models, people suffer from a laundry list of cognitive shortcomings: we overweight recent events, we assign probabilities based on reasonableness, and we ignore base rates.

Thinking, Fast and Slow

Daniel Kahneman
Thinking Fast and Slow Book PDF

Author : Daniel Kahneman
Publisher : Doubleday Canada
Page : 512 pages
File Size : 41,8 Mb
Release : 2011-11-01
Category : Psychology
ISBN : 9780385676526

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Thinking, Fast and Slow by Daniel Kahneman Pdf

NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER The guru to the gurus at last shares his knowledge with the rest of us. Nobel laureate Daniel Kahneman's seminal studies in behavioral psychology, behavioral economics, and happiness studies have influenced numerous other authors, including Steven Pinker and Malcolm Gladwell. In Thinking, Fast and Slow, Kahneman at last offers his own, first book for the general public. It is a lucid and enlightening summary of his life's work. It will change the way you think about thinking. Two systems drive the way we think and make choices, Kahneman explains: System One is fast, intuitive, and emotional; System Two is slower, more deliberative, and more logical. Examining how both systems function within the mind, Kahneman exposes the extraordinary capabilities as well as the biases of fast thinking and the pervasive influence of intuitive impressions on our thoughts and our choices. Engaging the reader in a lively conversation about how we think, he shows where we can trust our intuitions and how we can tap into the benefits of slow thinking, contrasting the two-system view of the mind with the standard model of the rational economic agent. Kahneman's singularly influential work has transformed cognitive psychology and launched the new fields of behavioral economics and happiness studies. In this path-breaking book, Kahneman shows how the mind works, and offers practical and enlightening insights into how choices are made in both our business and personal lives--and how we can guard against the mental glitches that often get us into trouble.

Thinking in Systems

Donella Meadows
Thinking in Systems Book PDF

Author : Donella Meadows
Publisher : Chelsea Green Publishing
Page : 240 pages
File Size : 45,9 Mb
Release : 2008-12-03
Category : Science
ISBN : 1603581480

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Thinking in Systems by Donella Meadows Pdf

In the years following her role as the lead author of the international bestseller, Limits to Growth—the first book to show the consequences of unchecked growth on a finite planet— Donella Meadows remained a pioneer of environmental and social analysis until her untimely death in 2001. Thinking in Systems, is a concise and crucial book offering insight for problem solving on scales ranging from the personal to the global. Edited by the Sustainability Institute’s Diana Wright, this essential primer brings systems thinking out of the realm of computers and equations and into the tangible world, showing readers how to develop the systems-thinking skills that thought leaders across the globe consider critical for 21st-century life. Some of the biggest problems facing the world—war, hunger, poverty, and environmental degradation—are essentially system failures. They cannot be solved by fixing one piece in isolation from the others, because even seemingly minor details have enormous power to undermine the best efforts of too-narrow thinking. While readers will learn the conceptual tools and methods of systems thinking, the heart of the book is grander than methodology. Donella Meadows was known as much for nurturing positive outcomes as she was for delving into the science behind global dilemmas. She reminds readers to pay attention to what is important, not just what is quantifiable, to stay humble, and to stay a learner. In a world growing ever more complicated, crowded, and interdependent, Thinking in Systems helps readers avoid confusion and helplessness, the first step toward finding proactive and effective solutions.

The Systems Thinker - Mental Models

Albert Rutherford
The Systems Thinker Mental Models Book PDF

Author : Albert Rutherford
Publisher : Vdz
Page : 262 pages
File Size : 41,6 Mb
Release : 2020-02-11
Category : Science
ISBN : 1951385780

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The Systems Thinker - Mental Models by Albert Rutherford Pdf

Regain focus. Select relevant information. Make quick and clear decisions. We are dealing with too many options, too much information, conflicting advice on general choices like what diet to choose, or who to choose as a mate. It's hard to maintain focus and be confident in our decisions under such conditions. The Systems Thinker -Mental Models helps you make decisions based on your relevant thought patterns and true values. Finding the most relevant information to YOU, the best decision to YOU is a matter of exploring YOUR thoughts and wants. Mental models are cognitive frameworks that you can use to make order in your head, tune out the noise, and focus on what's important - without getting overwhelmed. Mental models provide transparency, order, deeper understanding, context, and most importantly, a clear solution or conclusion about problems. Using systems thinking as your leading cognitive tool will provide depth AND width to your mental analysis. Learn how corporate executives, economists, and policy makers analyze big data and make decisions based on it. -Discover 12 powerful thinking tools to facilitate your though processes -Understanding and model dynamic systems -Learn to use mental models through real-life examples Mental models are so much more than a cognitive tool; they help with productivity, enhance understanding, boost critical thinking, and analytical skills. -Understand how corporations make multidimensional decisions -Learn to design your own mental models to map out your real priorities -Learn to include soft variables such as emotions into your analysis -Shift your mindset from blaming to accountability and resolve conflicts easier.

The Great Mental Models

Shane Parrish,Rhiannon Beaubien
The Great Mental Models Book PDF

Author : Shane Parrish,Rhiannon Beaubien
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 397 pages
File Size : 51,5 Mb
Release : 2020-03-27
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 1999449037

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The Great Mental Models by Shane Parrish,Rhiannon Beaubien Pdf

This is the second book in The Great Mental Models series and the highly anticipated follow up to the Wall Street Journal best seller, Volume 1: General Thinking Concepts. We tend to isolate the things we know in the domain we learned it. For example: What does the inertia of a rolling stone have to do with perseverance and being open minded? How can the ancient process of steel production make you a more creative and innovative thinker? What does the replication of our skin cells have to do with being a stronger and more effective leader? On the surface, these concepts may appear to be dissimilar and unrelated. But the surprising truth is the hard sciences (physics, chemistry, and biology) offer a wealth of useful tools you can use to develop critically important skills like: * Relationship building * Leadership * Communication * Creativity * Curiosity * Problem solving * Decision-making This second volume of the Great Mental Models series shows you how to make those connections. It explores the core ideas from the hard sciences and offers nearly two dozen models to add to your mental toolbox. You'll not only get a better understanding of the forces that influence the world around you, but you'll learn how to direct those forces to create outsized advantages in the areas of your life that matter most to you.

Mental Models

Peter Hollins
Mental Models Book PDF

Author : Peter Hollins
Publisher : PublishDrive
Page : 137 pages
File Size : 49,7 Mb
Release : 2019-06-27
Category : Self-Help
ISBN : PKEY:6610000198818

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Mental Models by Peter Hollins Pdf

30 Practical and applicable guidelines to think smarter, faster, and with expert insight (even if you aren’t one). Mental models are like giving a treasure map to someone lost in the woods. They provide instant understanding, context, and most importantly, a path to the end destination. Now imagine having such a map for all problems and decisions in your life. Battle information overwhelm, focus on what really matters, and make complex decisions with speed and confidence. Mental Models: 30 Thinking Tools sheds light on true intelligence: it’s not about knowledge and knowing the capitals of all the countries in the world. It’s about how you think, and each mental model is a specific framework on how to think smart and with insight. You can approach the world by trying to analyze each piece of information separately, or you can learn mental models that do the work for you. Learn how billionaires/CEOs, Olympic athletes, and scientists think differently and avoid mistakes. Peter Hollins has studied psychology and peak human performance for over a dozen years and is a bestselling author. He has worked with a multitude of individuals to unlock their potential and path towards success. His writing draws on his academic, coaching, and research experience.

Six Thinking Hats

Edward De Bono
Six Thinking Hats Book PDF

Author : Edward De Bono
Publisher : Penguin Books Limited
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 46,9 Mb
Release : 2016-01-28
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 0241257530

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Six Thinking Hats by Edward De Bono Pdf

THE classic work about decision-making from the world-renowned writer and philosopher Edward de Bono Meetings are a crucial part of all our lives, but too often they go nowhere and waste valuable time. In Six Thinking Hats, Edward de Bono shows how meetings can be transformed to produce quick, decisive results every time. The Six Hats method is a devastatingly simple technique based on the brain's different modes of thinking. The intelligence, experience and information of everyone is harnessed to reach the right conclusions quickly. These principles fundamentally change the way you work and interact. They have been adopted by businesses and governments around the world to end conflict and confusion in favour of harmony and productivity.

Mirror Thinking

Fiona Murden
Mirror Thinking Book PDF

Author : Fiona Murden
Publisher : Bloomsbury Publishing
Page : 353 pages
File Size : 42,8 Mb
Release : 2020-07-09
Category : Psychology
ISBN : 9781472975799

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Mirror Thinking by Fiona Murden Pdf

Parents, friends, teachers, relatives, and even work colleagues – from the people close to us to those we never even meet – other people are constantly shaping who we are. The mirror neuron is a part of the brain that has shaped each and every one of us throughout our lifetimes. It is the very essence of what makes us human, but most of us have never even heard of it. Mirror Thinking explores how the mirror neuron has defined us through the role models we observe and interact with. All of the learning we take from our world is down to our brain's mirror system, but it doesn't stop there. This incredible system is also responsible for our emotional connections with others, how we pass on learning between the generations through stories, and how we imagine and innovate within our own minds. In Mirror Thinking, psychologist and award-winning author Fiona Murden looks at the mirrors that have shaped our lives. By having a better understanding of this system we are able to take conscious control of it, encouraging us to have a more positive impact on the world around us and on society as a whole.

The Far Right Today

Cas Mudde
The Far Right Today Book PDF

Author : Cas Mudde
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 160 pages
File Size : 51,8 Mb
Release : 2019-10-25
Category : Philosophy
ISBN : 9781509536856

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The Far Right Today by Cas Mudde Pdf

The far right is back with a vengeance. After several decades at the political margins, far-right politics has again taken center stage. Three of the world’s largest democracies – Brazil, India, and the United States – now have a radical right leader, while far-right parties continue to increase their profile and support within Europe. In this timely book, leading global expert on political extremism Cas Mudde provides a concise overview of the fourth wave of postwar far-right politics, exploring its history, ideology, organization, causes, and consequences, as well as the responses available to civil society, party, and state actors to challenge its ideas and influence. What defines this current far-right renaissance, Mudde argues, is its mainstreaming and normalization within the contemporary political landscape. Challenging orthodox thinking on the relationship between conventional and far-right politics, Mudde offers a complex and insightful picture of one of the key political challenges of our time.

Micromotives and Macrobehavior

Thomas C. Schelling
Micromotives and Macrobehavior Book PDF

Author : Thomas C. Schelling
Publisher : W. W. Norton & Company
Page : 272 pages
File Size : 44,9 Mb
Release : 2006-10-17
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 039306977X

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Micromotives and Macrobehavior by Thomas C. Schelling Pdf

Before Freakonomics and The Tipping Point there was this classic by the 2005 Nobel Laureate in Economics. "Schelling here offers an early analysis of 'tipping' in social situations involving a large number of individuals." —official citation for the 2005 Nobel Prize Micromotives and Macrobehavior was originally published over twenty-five years ago, yet the stories it tells feel just as fresh today. And the subject of these stories—how small and seemingly meaningless decisions and actions by individuals often lead to significant unintended consequences for a large group—is more important than ever. In one famous example, Thomas C. Schelling shows that a slight-but-not-malicious preference to have neighbors of the same race eventually leads to completely segregated populations. The updated edition of this landmark book contains a new preface and the author's Nobel Prize acceptance speech.

The Opposable Mind

Roger L. Martin
The Opposable Mind Book PDF

Author : Roger L. Martin
Publisher : Harvard Business Press
Page : 224 pages
File Size : 46,6 Mb
Release : 2009-07-07
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781422148105

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The Opposable Mind by Roger L. Martin Pdf

If you want to be as successful as Jack Welch, Larry Bossidy, or Michael Dell, read their autobiographical advice books, right? Wrong, says Roger Martin in The Opposable Mind. Though following best practice can help in some ways, it also poses a danger: By emulating what a great leader did in a particular situation, you'll likely be terribly disappointed with your own results. Why? Your situation is different. Instead of focusing on what exceptional leaders do, we need to understand and emulate how they think. Successful businesspeople engage in what Martin calls integrative thinking creatively resolving the tension in opposing models by forming entirely new and superior ones. Drawing on stories of leaders as diverse as AG Lafley of Procter & Gamble, Meg Whitman of eBay, Victoria Hale of the Institute for One World Health, and Nandan Nilekani of Infosys, Martin shows how integrative thinkers are relentlessly diagnosing and synthesizing by asking probing questions including: What are the causal relationships at work here? and What are the implied trade-offs? Martin also presents a model for strengthening your integrative thinking skills by drawing on different kinds of knowledge including conceptual and experiential knowledge. Integrative thinking can be learned, and The Opposable Mind helps you master this vital skill.