Modeling Risk

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Risk Modeling, Assessment, and Management

Yacov Y. Haimes
Risk Modeling Assessment and Management Book PDF

Author : Yacov Y. Haimes
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 810 pages
File Size : 54,9 Mb
Release : 2011-09-20
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN : 9781118210925

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Risk Modeling, Assessment, and Management by Yacov Y. Haimes Pdf

Examines timely multidisciplinary applications, problems, and case histories in risk modeling, assessment, and management Risk Modeling, Assessment, and Management, Third Edition describes the state of the art of risk analysis, a rapidly growing field with important applications in engineering, science, manufacturing, business, homeland security, management, and public policy. Unlike any other text on the subject, this definitive work applies the art and science of risk analysis to current and emergent engineering and socioeconomic problems. It clearly demonstrates how to quantify risk and construct probabilities for real-world decision-making problems, including a host of institutional, organizational, and political issues. Avoiding higher mathematics whenever possible, this important new edition presents basic concepts as well as advanced material. It incorporates numerous examples and case studies to illustrate the analytical methods under discussion and features restructured and updated chapters, as well as: A new chapter applying systems-driven and risk-based analysis to a variety of Homeland Security issues An accompanying FTP site—developed with Professor Joost Santos—that offers 150 example problems with an Instructor's Solution Manual and case studies from a variety of journals Case studies on the 9/11 attack and Hurricane Katrina An adaptive multiplayer Hierarchical Holographic Modeling (HHM) game added to Chapter Three This is an indispensable resource for academic, industry, and government professionals in such diverse areas as homeland and cyber security, healthcare, the environment, physical infrastructure systems, engineering, business, and more. It is also a valuable textbook for both undergraduate and graduate students in systems engineering and systems management courses with a focus on our uncertain world.

Introduction to Credit Risk Modeling

Christian Bluhm,Ludger Overbeck,Christoph Wagner
Introduction to Credit Risk Modeling Book PDF

Author : Christian Bluhm,Ludger Overbeck,Christoph Wagner
Publisher : CRC Press
Page : 386 pages
File Size : 49,9 Mb
Release : 2016-04-19
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781584889939

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Introduction to Credit Risk Modeling by Christian Bluhm,Ludger Overbeck,Christoph Wagner Pdf

Contains Nearly 100 Pages of New MaterialThe recent financial crisis has shown that credit risk in particular and finance in general remain important fields for the application of mathematical concepts to real-life situations. While continuing to focus on common mathematical approaches to model credit portfolios, Introduction to Credit Risk Modelin

Financial Risk Management and Modeling

Constantin Zopounidis,Ramzi Benkraiem,Iordanis Kalaitzoglou
Financial Risk Management and Modeling Book PDF

Author : Constantin Zopounidis,Ramzi Benkraiem,Iordanis Kalaitzoglou
Publisher : Springer Nature
Page : 480 pages
File Size : 45,5 Mb
Release : 2021-09-13
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9783030666910

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Financial Risk Management and Modeling by Constantin Zopounidis,Ramzi Benkraiem,Iordanis Kalaitzoglou Pdf

Risk is the main source of uncertainty for investors, debtholders, corporate managers and other stakeholders. For all these actors, it is vital to focus on identifying and managing risk before making decisions. The success of their businesses depends on the relevance of their decisions and consequently, on their ability to manage and deal with the different types of risk. Accordingly, the main objective of this book is to promote scientific research in the different areas of risk management, aiming at being transversal and dealing with different aspects of risk management related to corporate finance as well as market finance. Thus, this book should provide useful insights for academics as well as professionals to better understand and assess the different types of risk.

Extreme Value Modeling and Risk Analysis

Dipak K. Dey,Jun Yan
Extreme Value Modeling and Risk Analysis Book PDF

Author : Dipak K. Dey,Jun Yan
Publisher : CRC Press
Page : 538 pages
File Size : 42,8 Mb
Release : 2016-01-06
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9781498701310

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Extreme Value Modeling and Risk Analysis by Dipak K. Dey,Jun Yan Pdf

Extreme Value Modeling and Risk Analysis: Methods and Applications presents a broad overview of statistical modeling of extreme events along with the most recent methodologies and various applications. The book brings together background material and advanced topics, eliminating the need to sort through the massive amount of literature on the subje

Multi-Asset Risk Modeling

Morton Glantz,Robert Kissell
Multi Asset Risk Modeling Book PDF

Author : Morton Glantz,Robert Kissell
Publisher : Academic Press
Page : 544 pages
File Size : 45,7 Mb
Release : 2013-12-03
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780124016941

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Multi-Asset Risk Modeling by Morton Glantz,Robert Kissell Pdf

Multi-Asset Risk Modeling describes, in a single volume, the latest and most advanced risk modeling techniques for equities, debt, fixed income, futures and derivatives, commodities, and foreign exchange, as well as advanced algorithmic and electronic risk management. Beginning with the fundamentals of risk mathematics and quantitative risk analysis, the book moves on to discuss the laws in standard models that contributed to the 2008 financial crisis and talks about current and future banking regulation. Importantly, it also explores algorithmic trading, which currently receives sparse attention in the literature. By giving coherent recommendations about which statistical models to use for which asset class, this book makes a real contribution to the sciences of portfolio management and risk management. Covers all asset classes Provides mathematical theoretical explanations of risk as well as practical examples with empirical data Includes sections on equity risk modeling, futures and derivatives, credit markets, foreign exchange, and commodities

Risk Modeling for Hazards and Disasters

Gero Michel
Risk Modeling for Hazards and Disasters Book PDF

Author : Gero Michel
Publisher : Elsevier
Page : 338 pages
File Size : 46,9 Mb
Release : 2017-08-29
Category : Science
ISBN : 9780128040935

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Risk Modeling for Hazards and Disasters by Gero Michel Pdf

Risk Modeling for Hazards and Disasters covers all major aspects of catastrophe risk modeling, from hazards through to financial analysis. It explores relevant new science in risk modeling, indirect losses, assessment of impact and consequences to insurance losses, and current changes in risk modeling practice, along with case studies. It also provides further insight into the shortcomings of current models and examines model risk and ideas to diversify risk assessment. Risk Modeling for Hazards and Disasters instructs readers on how to assess, price and then hedge the losses from natural and manmade catastrophes. This book reviews current model development and science and explains recent changes in the catastrophe modeling space, including new initiatives covering uncertainty and big data in the assessment of risk for insurance pricing and portfolio management. Edited by a leading expert in both hazards and risk, this book is authored by a global panel including major modeling vendors, modeling consulting firms, and well-known catastrophe modeling scientists. Risk Modeling for Hazards and Disasters provides important insight into how models are used to price and manage risk. Includes high profile case studies such as the Newcastle earthquake, Hurricane Andrew and Hurricane Katrina Provides crucial information on new ideas and platforms that will help address the new demands for risk management and catastrophe risk reporting Presents the theory and practice needed to know how models are created and what is and what is not important in the modeling process Covers relevant new science in risk modeling, indirect losses, assessment of impact and consequences to insurance losses, and current changes in risk modeling practice, along with case studies

Modeling Risk

Johnathan Mun
Modeling Risk Book PDF

Author : Johnathan Mun
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 626 pages
File Size : 53,9 Mb
Release : 2006-07-21
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780470009772

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Modeling Risk by Johnathan Mun Pdf

This completely revised and updated edition of Applied Risk Analysis includes new case studies in modeling risk and uncertainty as well as a new risk analysis CD-ROM prepared by Dr. Mun. On the CD-ROM you'll find his Risk Simulator and Real Options Super Lattice Solver software as well as many useful spreadsheet models. "Johnathan Mun's book is a sparkling jewel in my finance library. Mun demonstrates a deep understanding of the underlying mathematical theory in his ability to reduce complex concepts to lucid explanations and applications. For this reason, he's my favorite writer in this field." —Janet Tavakoli, President, Tavakoli Structured Finance, Inc. and author of Collateralized Debt Obligations and Structured Finance "A must-read for product portfolio managers . . . it captures the risk exposure of strategic investments, and provides management with estimates of potential outcomes and options for risk mitigation." —Rafael E. Gutierrez, Executive Director of Strategic Marketing and Planning, Seagate Technology, Inc. "Once again, Dr. Mun has created a 'must-have, must-read' book for anyone interested in the practical application of risk analysis. Other books speak in academic generalities, or focus on one area of risk application. [This book] gets to the heart of the matter with applications for every area of risk analysis. You have a real option to buy almost any book?you should exercise your option and get this one!" —Glenn Kautt, MBA, CFP, EA, President and Chairman, The Monitor Group, Inc. Note: CD-ROM/DVD and other supplementary materials are not included as part of eBook file.

Modeling Risk

Johnathan Mun
Modeling Risk Book PDF

Author : Johnathan Mun
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 916 pages
File Size : 53,5 Mb
Release : 2010-06-15
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780470620014

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Modeling Risk by Johnathan Mun Pdf

An updated guide to risk analysis and modeling Although risk was once seen as something that was both unpredictable and uncontrollable, the evolution of risk analysis tools and theories has changed the way we look at this important business element. In the Second Edition of Analyzing and Modeling Risk, expert Dr. Johnathan Mun provides up-to-date coverage of risk analysis as it is applied within the realms of business risk analysis and offers an intuitive feel of what risk looks like, as well as the different ways of quantifying it. This Second Edition provides professionals in all industries a more comprehensive guide on such key concepts as risk and return, the fundamentals of model building, Monte Carlo simulation, forecasting, time-series and regression analysis, optimization, real options, and more. Includes new examples, questions, and exercises as well as updates using Excel 2007 Book supported by author's proprietary risk analysis software found on the companion CD-ROM Offers both a qualitative and quantitative description of risk Filled with in-depth insights and practical advice, this reliable resource covers all of the essential tools and techniques that risk managers need to successfully conduct risk analysis. Note: CD-ROM/DVD and other supplementary materials are not included as part of eBook file.

Interest Rate Risk Modeling

Sanjay K. Nawalkha,Gloria M. Soto,Natalia A. Beliaeva
Interest Rate Risk Modeling Book PDF

Author : Sanjay K. Nawalkha,Gloria M. Soto,Natalia A. Beliaeva
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 429 pages
File Size : 46,8 Mb
Release : 2005-05-31
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780471737445

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Interest Rate Risk Modeling by Sanjay K. Nawalkha,Gloria M. Soto,Natalia A. Beliaeva Pdf

The definitive guide to fixed income valuation and risk analysis The Trilogy in Fixed Income Valuation and Risk Analysis comprehensively covers the most definitive work on interest rate risk, term structure analysis, and credit risk. The first book on interest rate risk modeling examines virtually every well-known IRR model used for pricing and risk analysis of various fixed income securities and their derivatives. The companion CD-ROM contain numerous formulas and programming tools that allow readers to better model risk and value fixed income securities. This comprehensive resource provides readers with the hands-on information and software needed to succeed in this financial arena.

Risk Terrain Modeling

Joel M. Caplan,Leslie W. Kennedy
Risk Terrain Modeling Book PDF

Author : Joel M. Caplan,Leslie W. Kennedy
Publisher : Univ of California Press
Page : 240 pages
File Size : 51,7 Mb
Release : 2016-06-28
Category : Social Science
ISBN : 9780520958807

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Risk Terrain Modeling by Joel M. Caplan,Leslie W. Kennedy Pdf

Imagine using an evidence-based risk management model that enables researchers and practitioners alike to analyze the spatial dynamics of crime, allocate resources, and implement custom crime and risk reduction strategies that are transparent, measurable, and effective. Risk Terrain Modeling (RTM) diagnoses the spatial attractors of criminal behavior and makes accurate forecasts of where crime will occur at the microlevel. RTM informs decisions about how the combined factors that contribute to criminal behavior can be targeted, connections to crime can be monitored, spatial vulnerabilities can be assessed, and actions can be taken to reduce worst effects. As a diagnostic method, RTM offers a statistically valid way to identify vulnerable places. To learn more, visit http://www.riskterrainmodeling.com and begin using RTM with the many free tutorials and resources.

Counterparty Credit Risk Modelling

Michael Pykhtin
Counterparty Credit Risk Modelling Book PDF

Author : Michael Pykhtin
Publisher : Riskbooks
Page : 399 pages
File Size : 46,7 Mb
Release : 2005-01
Category : Capital market
ISBN : 190433976X

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Counterparty Credit Risk Modelling by Michael Pykhtin Pdf

To enhance your understanding of the risk management, pricing and regulation of counterparty credit risk, this new title offers the most detailed and comprehensive coverage available. Michael Pykhtin, a globally respected expert in credit risk, has combed the industry's most important organisations to assemble a winning team of specialist contributors - presenting you with the definitive insider view.

Credit Risk Modeling using Excel and VBA

Gunter Löeffler,Peter N. Posch
Credit Risk Modeling using Excel and VBA Book PDF

Author : Gunter Löeffler,Peter N. Posch
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 280 pages
File Size : 45,8 Mb
Release : 2007-04-30
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780470510742

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Credit Risk Modeling using Excel and VBA by Gunter Löeffler,Peter N. Posch Pdf

In today's increasingly competitive financial world, successful risk management, portfolio management, and financial structuring demand more than up-to-date financial know-how. They also call for quantitative expertise, including the ability to effectively apply mathematical modeling tools and techniques, in this case credit. Credit Risk Modeling using Excel and VBA with DVD provides practitioners with a hands on introduction to credit risk modeling. Instead of just presenting analytical methods it shows how to implement them using Excel and VBA, in addition to a detailed description in the text a DVD guides readers step by step through the implementation. The authors begin by showing how to use option theoretic and statistical models to estimate a borrowers default risk. The second half of the book is devoted to credit portfolio risk. The authors guide readers through the implementation of a credit risk model, show how portfolio models can be validated or used to access structured credit products like CDO’s. The final chapters address modeling issues associated with the new Basel Accord.

Risk Topography

Markus Brunnermeier,Arvind Krishnamurthy
Risk Topography Book PDF

Author : Markus Brunnermeier,Arvind Krishnamurthy
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
Page : 288 pages
File Size : 50,7 Mb
Release : 2014-10-17
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780226092645

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Risk Topography by Markus Brunnermeier,Arvind Krishnamurthy Pdf

The recent financial crisis and the difficulty of using mainstream macroeconomic models to accurately monitor and assess systemic risk have stimulated new analyses of how we measure economic activity and the development of more sophisticated models in which the financial sector plays a greater role. Markus Brunnermeier and Arvind Krishnamurthy have assembled contributions from leading academic researchers, central bankers, and other financial-market experts to explore the possibilities for advancing macroeconomic modeling in order to achieve more accurate economic measurement. Essays in this volume focus on the development of models capable of highlighting the vulnerabilities that leave the economy susceptible to adverse feedback loops and liquidity spirals. While these types of vulnerabilities have often been identified, they have not been consistently measured. In a financial world of increasing complexity and uncertainty, this volume is an invaluable resource for policymakers working to improve current measurement systems and for academics concerned with conceptualizing effective measurement.

Understanding and Managing Model Risk

Massimo Morini
Understanding and Managing Model Risk Book PDF

Author : Massimo Morini
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 452 pages
File Size : 50,5 Mb
Release : 2011-10-20
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780470977743

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Understanding and Managing Model Risk by Massimo Morini Pdf

A guide to the validation and risk management of quantitative models used for pricing and hedging Whereas the majority of quantitative finance books focus on mathematics and risk management books focus on regulatory aspects, this book addresses the elements missed by this literature--the risks of the models themselves. This book starts from regulatory issues, but translates them into practical suggestions to reduce the likelihood of model losses, basing model risk and validation on market experience and on a wide range of real-world examples, with a high level of detail and precise operative indications.

Credit Risk Modeling

David Lando
Credit Risk Modeling Book PDF

Author : David Lando
Publisher : Princeton University Press
Page : 328 pages
File Size : 44,5 Mb
Release : 2009-12-13
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781400829194

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Credit Risk Modeling by David Lando Pdf

Credit risk is today one of the most intensely studied topics in quantitative finance. This book provides an introduction and overview for readers who seek an up-to-date reference to the central problems of the field and to the tools currently used to analyze them. The book is aimed at researchers and students in finance, at quantitative analysts in banks and other financial institutions, and at regulators interested in the modeling aspects of credit risk. David Lando considers the two broad approaches to credit risk analysis: that based on classical option pricing models on the one hand, and on a direct modeling of the default probability of issuers on the other. He offers insights that can be drawn from each approach and demonstrates that the distinction between the two approaches is not at all clear-cut. The book strikes a fruitful balance between quickly presenting the basic ideas of the models and offering enough detail so readers can derive and implement the models themselves. The discussion of the models and their limitations and five technical appendixes help readers expand and generalize the models themselves or to understand existing generalizations. The book emphasizes models for pricing as well as statistical techniques for estimating their parameters. Applications include rating-based modeling, modeling of dependent defaults, swap- and corporate-yield curve dynamics, credit default swaps, and collateralized debt obligations.