My Black Swan Calling

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My Black Swan Calling

Author : Carl Butler
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 180 pages
File Size : 50,9 Mb
Release : 2021-09-02
Category : Poetry
ISBN : 1952818036

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My Black Swan Calling by Carl Butler Pdf

A black swan is an unpredictable event that is beyond what is normally expected of a situation and has potentially severe consequences. Black swan events are characterized by their extreme rarity, severe impact, and the widespread insistence that were obvious in hindsight. I was originally going to do a modern-day Decameron, 100 poems over 100 days during the lockdown. To date, I have written over 1600 in total! So, how appropriate a title, "My Black Swan Calling & other Poems!" This book of poetry will be a roller coaster ride of personal emotions with my love of nature showcased throughout, with some highly metaphorical poems. Join me on a personal journey through nature and a final chapter, on dark poetry, dedicated to the Dark Poetry Society Facebook group and my fellow co-owner, muse and best friend Amanda Jayne Benton.

The Black Swan

Author : Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Publisher : Random House Digital, Inc.
Page : 388 pages
File Size : 44,9 Mb
Release : 2009-10-13
Category : Forecasting
ISBN : 9780812979183

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The Black Swan by Nassim Nicholas Taleb Pdf

In the author's point of view, a black swan is an improbable event with three principal characteristics - It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don't know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the 'impossible'.

The Black Swan of Paris

Author : Karen Robards
Publisher : MIRA
Page : 400 pages
File Size : 44,5 Mb
Release : 2020-06-30
Category : Fiction
ISBN : 9781488055331

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The Black Swan of Paris by Karen Robards Pdf

An exquisite WWII novel illuminating the strength of three women in occupied Paris, for fans of The Nightingale, The Alice Network and The Lost Girls of Paris. "A truly outstanding novel...reminds us of the power of love, hope and courage."—Heather Morris, #1 bestselling author of The Tattooist of Auschwitz Paris, 1944 Celebrated singer Genevieve Dumont is both a star and a smokescreen. An unwilling darling of the Nazis, the chanteuse’s position of privilege allows her to go undetected as an ally to the resistance. When her estranged mother, Lillian de Rocheford, is captured by Nazis, Genevieve knows it won’t be long before the Gestapo succeeds in torturing information out of Lillian that will derail the upcoming allied invasion. The resistance movement is tasked with silencing her by any means necessary—including assassination. But Genevieve refuses to let her mother become yet one more victim of the war. Reuniting with her long-lost sister, she must find a way to navigate the perilous cross-currents of Occupied France undetected—and in time to save Lillian’s life. In this heart-wrenching novel, bestselling author Karen Robards showcases the extraordinary lengths one goes to save their family from a German prison. A web of spies, the resistance and a vivid portrayal of Paris in wartime.

Three Black Swans

Author : Caroline B. Cooney
Publisher : Ember
Page : 290 pages
File Size : 46,9 Mb
Release : 2012-03-27
Category : Young Adult Fiction
ISBN : 9780385738682

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Three Black Swans by Caroline B. Cooney Pdf

Lives are in the balance in bestselling author Caroline B. Cooney’s newest young adult thriller, Three Black Swans. Missy and her cousin Claire are best friends who finish each other’s sentences and practically read each other’s minds. It’s an eerie connection—so eerie that Missy has questions she wants to put to her parents. But she’s afraid to ask. So when Missy hears an expert discussing newborn babies on the radio, it makes her wonder about her family. Missy just can’t let go of those nagging questions, and decides to use a school project about scientific hoaxes to try to uncover the answers. She enlists Claire to help. As part of the project the girls perform a dramatic scene that is captured on video at school. After the video is posted on YouTube, Missy and Claire realize that they’ve opened Pandora’s box and much more than they ever imagined has come out. Not only are their identities called into question, but so is the future of everyone involved. In this riveting, heartrending story by thriller author Caroline B. Cooney, the truth changes the lives of three families—as the bonds of blood must withstand the strains of long-hidden secrets that are at last revealed.

The Swan Book

Author : Alexis Wright
Publisher : Simon and Schuster
Page : 320 pages
File Size : 52,6 Mb
Release : 2016-06-28
Category : Fiction
ISBN : 9781501124785

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The Swan Book by Alexis Wright Pdf

Originally published: Australia: Giramondo, 2013.

The Black Swan: Second Edition

Author : Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Publisher : Random House Trade Paperbacks
Page : 482 pages
File Size : 52,5 Mb
Release : 2010-05-11
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780812973815

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The Black Swan: Second Edition by Nassim Nicholas Taleb Pdf

The most influential book of the past seventy-five years: a groundbreaking exploration of everything we know about what we don’t know, now with a new section called “On Robustness and Fragility.” A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives. Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don’t know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the “impossible.” For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. In this revelatory book, Taleb will change the way you look at the world, and this second edition features a new philosophical and empirical essay, “On Robustness and Fragility,” which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world. Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell. He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probability theory. Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan is a landmark book—itself a black swan.

Black Swan Green

Author : David Mitchell
Publisher : Random House
Page : 306 pages
File Size : 51,6 Mb
Release : 2006-04-11
Category : Fiction
ISBN : 9781588365286

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Black Swan Green by David Mitchell Pdf

By the New York Times bestselling author of The Bone Clocks and Cloud Atlas | Longlisted for the Man Booker Prize Selected by Time as One of the Ten Best Books of the Year | A New York Times Notable Book | Named One of the Best Books of the Year by The Washington Post Book World, The Christian Science Monitor, Rocky Mountain News, and Kirkus Reviews | A Los Angeles Times Book Prize Finalist | Winner of the ALA Alex Award | Finalist for the Costa Novel Award From award-winning writer David Mitchell comes a sinewy, meditative novel of boyhood on the cusp of adulthood and the old on the cusp of the new. Black Swan Green tracks a single year in what is, for thirteen-year-old Jason Taylor, the sleepiest village in muddiest Worcestershire in a dying Cold War England, 1982. But the thirteen chapters, each a short story in its own right, create an exquisitely observed world that is anything but sleepy. A world of Kissingeresque realpolitik enacted in boys’ games on a frozen lake; of “nightcreeping” through the summer backyards of strangers; of the tabloid-fueled thrills of the Falklands War and its human toll; of the cruel, luscious Dawn Madden and her power-hungry boyfriend, Ross Wilcox; of a certain Madame Eva van Outryve de Crommelynck, an elderly bohemian emigré who is both more and less than she appears; of Jason’s search to replace his dead grandfather’s irreplaceable smashed watch before the crime is discovered; of first cigarettes, first kisses, first Duran Duran LPs, and first deaths; of Margaret Thatcher’s recession; of Gypsies camping in the woods and the hysteria they inspire; and, even closer to home, of a slow-motion divorce in four seasons. Pointed, funny, profound, left-field, elegiac, and painted with the stuff of life, Black Swan Green is David Mitchell’s subtlest and most effective achievement to date. Praise for Black Swan Green “[David Mitchell has created] one of the most endearing, smart, and funny young narrators ever to rise up from the pages of a novel. . . . The always fresh and brilliant writing will carry readers back to their own childhoods. . . . This enchanting novel makes us remember exactly what it was like.”—The Boston Globe “[David Mitchell is a] prodigiously daring and imaginative young writer. . . . As in the works of Thomas Pynchon and Herman Melville, one feels the roof of the narrative lifted off and oneself in thrall.”—Time

The Emperor's Black Swan

Author : Karasmara
Publisher : Infinite Joy
Page : 424 pages
File Size : 50,5 Mb
Release : 2021-05-16
Category : Fiction
ISBN : 8210379456XXX

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The Emperor's Black Swan by Karasmara Pdf

Can a wolf and a swan be together? *** Darilus Gratagan is the Elven emperor of the Aluthia Empire. His rise to power brought to him a dark curse; a demonic wolf is infesting in his body. For a hundred and twelve years, he has managed to suppress the curse. But the demon is getting stronger, to the point that Darilus finds himself turning into a monster almost every night. He begins to desire blood and his people are in danger of himself. Until he finds the evil witch from Tollyria in his royal garden. “I can tame a demon dog,” she says. *** Sania has died. At least she thought so. But then she opens her eyes in Aluthia’s royal garden and when she looks at the reflection of the pond… she sees herself as a black swan. However, when night comes, she shifts back into her original form; the White Witch of Tollyria. For some reason, she cannot leave the royal garden. Then she meets the Emperor of Aluthia… in the form of a demonic wolf. “Make a deal with me,” he says. This story will be applied to PTR on Nov 5th 2021

The Black Swan

Author : Tinnean
Publisher : JMS Books LLC
Page : 135 pages
File Size : 43,8 Mb
Release : 2016-10-01
Category : Fiction
ISBN : 9781634862219

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The Black Swan by Tinnean Pdf

Gabe Granger gathers intelligence for George Washington, even after he’s bitten by a vampyre in the service of the British. Remember Littlebury, his longtime friend, stays with him as his black swan, keeping him safe from sunlight and getting messages to General Washington. After the war ends, they continue working for the fledgling government through one conflict after another. When Gabe loses Remember at the Battle of Gettysburg, he’s ready to give up, but his country still needs his services. And there are many black swans for him to choose from. None are any more fortunate than Remember, and one by one they’re killed in various wars. All Noah Poynter wants is to be a black swan, and he’s devastated when his pop tells him he’s just a normal. In spite of everything, Gabe and Noah become friends. Is there any hope for the two of them?

The Blank Swan

Author : Elie Ayache
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 501 pages
File Size : 43,6 Mb
Release : 2010-05-17
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780470725221

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The Blank Swan by Elie Ayache Pdf

October 19th 1987 was a day of huge change for the global finance industry. On this day the stock market crashed, the Nobel Prize winning Black-Scholes formula failed and volatility smiles were born, and on this day Elie Ayache began his career, on the trading floor of the French Futures and Options Exchange. Experts everywhere sought to find a model for this event, and ways to simulate it in order to avoid a recurrence in the future, but the one thing that struck Elie that day was the belief that what actually happened on 19th October 1987 is simply non reproducible outside 19th October 1987 - you cannot reduce it to a chain of causes and effects, or even to a random generator, that can then be reproduced or represented in a theoretical framework. The Blank Swan is Elie's highly original treatise on the financial markets presenting a totally revolutionary rethinking of derivative pricing and technology. It is not a diatribe against Nassim Taleb's The Black Swan, but criticises the whole background or framework of predictable and unpredictable events white and black swans alike , i.e. the very category of prediction. In this revolutionary book, Elie redefines the components of the technology needed to price and trade derivatives. Most importantly, and drawing on a long tradition of philosophy of the event from Henri Bergson to Gilles Deleuze, to Alain Badiou, and on a recent brand of philosophy of contingency, embodied by the speculative materialism of Quentin Meillassoux, Elie redefines the market itself against the common perceptions of orthodox financial theory, general equilibrium theory and the sociology of finance. This book will change the way that we think about derivatives and approach the market. If anything, derivatives should be renamed contingent claims, where contingency is now absolute and no longer derivative, and the market is just its medium. The book also establishes the missing link between quantitative modelling (no longer dependent on probability theory but on a novel brand of mathematics which Elie calls the mathematics of price) and the reality of the market.

Destiny Calling

Author : David Mars
Publisher : BookLocker.com, Inc.
Page : 497 pages
File Size : 49,8 Mb
Release : 2024-02-15
Category : Fiction
ISBN : 9798885315135

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Destiny Calling by David Mars Pdf

DESTINY CALLING Stan's desperate search for meaning in life begins with a tragic adventure in human despair and leads to the comical truth that within our immense universe, anything is possible. Destroyed by the failure of his marriage and the shattering of every dream, Stan struggles through his loneliness, searching for hope and a meaningful life. What he finds is an incredible woman who inspires him to live life with courage and joy. Still haunted by nightmares and prophetic dreams, Stan is compelled by destiny to embrace a bizarre lifestyle that he never thought possible as he guides his eccentric daughter to overcome her own issues and the fears that bind her. Stan's adventure is a surprising tale of odd facts, hard cutting truth, and whimsical fiction that entertains with a blend of comedy, tragedy, fantasy, and romance. Written with clarity and imaginative depth, the reader can enjoy a rapidly unfolding drama that reveres the joys and wisdom of life.

Black Swan Rising

Author : Lee Carroll
Publisher : Macmillan
Page : 397 pages
File Size : 42,9 Mb
Release : 2010-08-03
Category : Fiction
ISBN : 9781429963497

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Black Swan Rising by Lee Carroll Pdf

When New York City jewelry designer Garet James stumbles into a strange antiques shop in her neighborhood, her life is about to be turned upside down. John Dee, the enigmatic shopkeeper, commissions her to open a vintage silver box for a generous sum of money. Oddly, the symbol of a swan on the box exactly matches the ring given to her by her deceased mother. Garet can't believe her luck and this eerie coincidence until she opens the box and otherworldly things start happening. . . . That evening, the precious silver box is stolen. When Garet begins to investigate, she learns that she has been pulled into a prophecy that is hundreds of years old, and opening the box has unleashed an evil force onto the streets of Manhattan and the world at large. Gradually, Garet pieces together her true identity—one that her deceased mother desperately tried to protect her from. Generations of women in Garet's family, including her beloved mother, suffered and died at the hands of this prevailing evil. Does Garet possess the power to reclaim the box and defeat this devastating force? On her journey, she will meet the fey folk who walk unnoticed among humans and a sexy vampire who also happens to be a hedge fund manager that she can't stop thinking about. But the fairies reveal a desire to overpower mere humans and the seductive vampire has the power to steal the life from her body. Whom can Garet trust to guide her? Using her newfound powers and sharp wit, Garet will muster everything she's got to shut down the evil taking over her friends, family, New York City, and the world. At the Publisher's request, this title is being sold without Digital Rights Management Software (DRM) applied.

A City Called Heaven

Author : Robert M. Marovich
Publisher : University of Illinois Press
Page : 489 pages
File Size : 54,6 Mb
Release : 2015-03-15
Category : Music
ISBN : 9780252097089

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A City Called Heaven by Robert M. Marovich Pdf

In A City Called Heaven, Robert M. Marovich follows gospel music from early hymns and camp meetings through its growth into the sanctified soundtrack of the city's mainline black Protestant churches. Marovich mines print media, ephemera, and hours of interviews with artists, ministers, and historians--as well as relatives and friends of gospel pioneers--to recover forgotten singers, musicians, songwriters, and industry leaders. He also examines the entrepreneurial spirit that fueled gospel music's rise to popularity and granted social mobility to a number of its practitioners. As Marovich shows, the music expressed a yearning for freedom from earthly pains, racial prejudice, and life's hardships. Yet it also helped give voice to a people--and lift a nation. A City Called Heaven celebrates a sound too mighty and too joyous for even church walls to hold.

A Lady's Secret

Author : Jo Beverley
Publisher : Berkley
Page : 436 pages
File Size : 45,8 Mb
Release : 2008
Category : Aristocracy (Social class)
ISBN : 0451224191

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A Lady's Secret by Jo Beverley Pdf

Set in 18th century France, this tale of a woman in nun's disguise finds her being escorted back to England by a French earl.

Some of my feathered and four-footed friends

Author : Lucy D Sale Barker
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 164 pages
File Size : 48,8 Mb
Release : 1883
Category : Electronic
ISBN : OXFORD:590054853

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Some of my feathered and four-footed friends by Lucy D Sale Barker Pdf