Paradoxes In Probability Theory And Mathematical Statistics

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Paradoxes in Probability Theory and Mathematical Statistics

Author : Gábor J. Székely
Publisher : Springer
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 48,5 Mb
Release : 2001-12-14
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9401725330

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Paradoxes in Probability Theory and Mathematical Statistics by Gábor J. Székely Pdf

It isn't that they can't see the solution. Approach your problems from the right end and begin with the answers. It is that they can't see the problem. Then one day, perhaps you will find G. K. Chesterton. The Scandal of the final question. Father Brown 'The point of a Pin'. 'The Hermit Clad in Crane Feathers' in R. van Gulik's The Chinese Maze Murders. Growing specialization and diversification have brought a host of mono graphs and textbooks on increasingly specialized topics. However, the "tree" of knowledge of mathematics and related fields does not grow only by putting forth new branches. It also happens, quite often in fact, that branches which were thought to be completely disparate are suddenly seen to be related. Further, the kind and level of sophistication of mathematics applied in various sciences has changed drastically in recent years: measure theory is used (nontrivially) in regional and theoretical economics; algebraic geometry interacts with physics; the Minkowski lemma, coding theory and the structure of water meet one another in packing and covering theory; quantum fields, crystal defects and mathematical programming profit from homotopy theory; Lie algebras are relevant to filtering; and prediction and electrical engineering can use Stein spaces. And in addition to this there are such new emerging subdisciplines as "experi mental mathematics", "CFD", "completely integrable systems", "chaos, synergetics and large-scale order", which are almost impossible to fit into the existing classification schemes.

Paradoxes in Probability Theory

Author : William Eckhardt
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 85 pages
File Size : 52,5 Mb
Release : 2012-09-27
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9789400751392

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Paradoxes in Probability Theory by William Eckhardt Pdf

Paradoxes provide a vehicle for exposing misinterpretations and misapplications of accepted principles. This book discusses seven paradoxes surrounding probability theory. Some remain the focus of controversy; others have allegedly been solved, however the accepted solutions are demonstrably incorrect. Each paradox is shown to rest on one or more fallacies. Instead of the esoteric, idiosyncratic, and untested methods that have been brought to bear on these problems, the book invokes uncontroversial probability principles, acceptable both to frequentists and subjectivists. The philosophical disputation inspired by these paradoxes is shown to be misguided and unnecessary; for instance, startling claims concerning human destiny and the nature of reality are directly related to fallacious reasoning in a betting paradox, and a problem analyzed in philosophy journals is resolved by means of a computer program.​

Probability Theory, Random Processes and Mathematical Statistics

Author : Y. Rozanov
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 267 pages
File Size : 42,9 Mb
Release : 2012-12-06
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9789401104494

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Probability Theory, Random Processes and Mathematical Statistics by Y. Rozanov Pdf

Probability Theory, Theory of Random Processes and Mathematical Statistics are important areas of modern mathematics and its applications. They develop rigorous models for a proper treatment for various 'random' phenomena which we encounter in the real world. They provide us with numerous tools for an analysis, prediction and, ultimately, control of random phenomena. Statistics itself helps with choice of a proper mathematical model (e.g., by estimation of unknown parameters) on the basis of statistical data collected by observations. This volume is intended to be a concise textbook for a graduate level course, with carefully selected topics representing the most important areas of modern Probability, Random Processes and Statistics. The first part (Ch. 1-3) can serve as a self-contained, elementary introduction to Probability, Random Processes and Statistics. It contains a number of relatively sim ple and typical examples of random phenomena which allow a natural introduction of general structures and methods. Only knowledge of elements of real/complex analysis, linear algebra and ordinary differential equations is required here. The second part (Ch. 4-6) provides a foundation of Stochastic Analysis, gives information on basic models of random processes and tools to study them. Here a familiarity with elements of functional analysis is necessary. Our intention to make this course fast-moving made it necessary to present important material in a form of examples.

Ten Great Ideas about Chance

Author : Persi Diaconis,Brian Skyrms
Publisher : Princeton University Press
Page : 270 pages
File Size : 46,6 Mb
Release : 2019-10-08
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9780691196398

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Ten Great Ideas about Chance by Persi Diaconis,Brian Skyrms Pdf

In the sixteenth and seventeenth centuries, gamblers and mathematicians transformed the idea of chance from a mystery into the discipline of probability, setting the stage for a series of breakthroughs that enabled or transformed innumerable fields, from gambling, mathematics, statistics, economics, and finance to physics and computer science. This book tells the story of ten great ideas about chance and the thinkers who developed them, tracing the philosophical implications of these ideas as well as their mathematical impact.

A Panorama of Statistics

Author : Eric Sowey,Peter Petocz
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 338 pages
File Size : 54,6 Mb
Release : 2017-01-30
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9781119075820

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A Panorama of Statistics by Eric Sowey,Peter Petocz Pdf

Dieses Buch nimmt den Leser mit auf eine anregende Reise rund um die Welt der Statistik. Auf eine ganz andere Art werden Theorie und Praxis Dozenten, Studenten und Praktikern nahe gebracht. Auf jeder Etappe dieser Reise untersuchen die Autoren ungewöhnliche und skurille Aspekte der Statistik, stellen historische, biographische und philosophische Dimensionen heraus. Die einzelnen Kapitel beginnen mit einem Ausblick auf das Thema, oftmals aus unterschiedlichen Blickwinkeln. Darauf folgen fünf Fragen, die zum Nachdenken anregen. Ziel ist es, die Kenntnisse der Leser zu erweitern und zu vertiefen. Zu den Fragen gibt es auch immer wieder unterhaltsame Rätsel, mit denen spannende Paradoxa aufgelöst werden. Die Leser können ihre eigenen Entdeckungen in der Welt der Statistik mit den ausführlichen Antworten der Autoren auf die jeweiligen Fragen vergleichen.

40 Puzzles and Problems in Probability and Mathematical Statistics

Author : Wolf Schwarz
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 124 pages
File Size : 40,9 Mb
Release : 2007-11-25
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9780387735122

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40 Puzzles and Problems in Probability and Mathematical Statistics by Wolf Schwarz Pdf

This book is based on the view that cognitive skills are best acquired by solving challenging, non-standard probability problems. Many puzzles and problems presented here are either new within a problem solving context (although as topics in fundamental research they are long known) or are variations of classical problems which follow directly from elementary concepts. A small number of particularly instructive problems is taken from previous sources which in this case are generally given. This book will be a handy resource for professors looking for problems to assign, for undergraduate math students, and for a more general audience of amateur scientists.

Probability Theory

Author : E. T. Jaynes
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
Page : 764 pages
File Size : 41,8 Mb
Release : 2003-04-10
Category : Science
ISBN : 9781139435161

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Probability Theory by E. T. Jaynes Pdf

The standard rules of probability can be interpreted as uniquely valid principles in logic. In this book, E. T. Jaynes dispels the imaginary distinction between 'probability theory' and 'statistical inference', leaving a logical unity and simplicity, which provides greater technical power and flexibility in applications. This book goes beyond the conventional mathematics of probability theory, viewing the subject in a wider context. New results are discussed, along with applications of probability theory to a wide variety of problems in physics, mathematics, economics, chemistry and biology. It contains many exercises and problems, and is suitable for use as a textbook on graduate level courses involving data analysis. The material is aimed at readers who are already familiar with applied mathematics at an advanced undergraduate level or higher. The book will be of interest to scientists working in any area where inference from incomplete information is necessary.

Classic Topics on the History of Modern Mathematical Statistics

Author : Prakash Gorroochurn
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 776 pages
File Size : 43,6 Mb
Release : 2016-04-04
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9781119127925

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Classic Topics on the History of Modern Mathematical Statistics by Prakash Gorroochurn Pdf

"There is nothing like it on the market...no others are as encyclopedic...the writing is exemplary: simple, direct, and competent." —George W. Cobb, Professor Emeritus of Mathematics and Statistics, Mount Holyoke College Written in a direct and clear manner, Classic Topics on the History of Modern Mathematical Statistics: From Laplace to More Recent Times presents a comprehensive guide to the history of mathematical statistics and details the major results and crucial developments over a 200-year period. Presented in chronological order, the book features an account of the classical and modern works that are essential to understanding the applications of mathematical statistics. Divided into three parts, the book begins with extensive coverage of the probabilistic works of Laplace, who laid much of the foundations of later developments in statistical theory. Subsequently, the second part introduces 20th century statistical developments including work from Karl Pearson, Student, Fisher, and Neyman. Lastly, the author addresses post-Fisherian developments. Classic Topics on the History of Modern Mathematical Statistics: From Laplace to More Recent Times also features: A detailed account of Galton's discovery of regression and correlation as well as the subsequent development of Karl Pearson's X2 and Student's t A comprehensive treatment of the permeating influence of Fisher in all aspects of modern statistics beginning with his work in 1912 Significant coverage of Neyman–Pearson theory, which includes a discussion of the differences to Fisher’s works Discussions on key historical developments as well as the various disagreements, contrasting information, and alternative theories in the history of modern mathematical statistics in an effort to provide a thorough historical treatment Classic Topics on the History of Modern Mathematical Statistics: From Laplace to More Recent Times is an excellent reference for academicians with a mathematical background who are teaching or studying the history or philosophical controversies of mathematics and statistics. The book is also a useful guide for readers with a general interest in statistical inference.

Philosophies, Puzzles and Paradoxes

Author : Yudi Pawitan,Youngjo Lee
Publisher : CRC Press
Page : 352 pages
File Size : 40,7 Mb
Release : 2024-03-21
Category : Philosophy
ISBN : 9781003849032

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Philosophies, Puzzles and Paradoxes by Yudi Pawitan,Youngjo Lee Pdf

Unlike mathematics, statistics deals with real-world data and involves a higher degree of subjectivity due to the role of interpretation. Interpretation is shaped by context as well as the knowledge, preferences, assumptions and preconceptions of the interpreter, leading to a variety of interpretations of concepts as well as results. Philosophies, Puzzles and Paradoxes: A Statistician’s Search for Truth thoroughly examines the distinct philosophical approaches to statistics – Bayesian, frequentist and likelihood – arising from different interpretations of probability and uncertainty. These differences are highlighted through numerous puzzles and paradoxes and illuminated by extensive discussions of the background philosophy of science. Features: Exploration of the philosophy of knowledge and truth and how they relate to deductive and inductive reasoning, and ultimately scientific and statistical thinking Discussion of the philosophical theories of probability that are wider than the standard Bayesian and frequentist views Exposition and examination of Savage’s axioms as the basis of subjective probability and Bayesian statistics Explanation of likelihood and likelihood-based inference, including the controversy surrounding the likelihood principle Discussion of fiducial probability and its evolution to confidence procedure Introduction of extended and hierarchical likelihood for random parameters, with the recognition of confidence as extended likelihood, leading to epistemic confidence as an objective measure of uncertainty for single events Detailed analyses and new variations of classic paradoxes, such as the Monty Hall puzzle, the paradox of the ravens, the exchange paradox, and more Substantive yet non-technical, catering to readers with only introductory exposure to the theory of probability and statistics This book primarily targets statisticians in general, including both undergraduate and graduate students, as well as researchers interested in the philosophical basis of probability and statistics. It is also suitable for philosophers of science and general readers intrigued by puzzles and paradoxes.

Classic Problems of Probability

Author : Prakash Gorroochurn
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 341 pages
File Size : 41,6 Mb
Release : 2016-05-02
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9781118063255

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Classic Problems of Probability by Prakash Gorroochurn Pdf

Winner of the 2012 PROSE Award for Mathematics from The American Publishers Awards for Professional and Scholarly Excellence. "A great book, one that I will certainly add to my personal library." —Paul J. Nahin, Professor Emeritus of Electrical Engineering, University of New Hampshire Classic Problems of Probability presents a lively account of the most intriguing aspects of statistics. The book features a large collection of more than thirty classic probability problems which have been carefully selected for their interesting history, the way they have shaped the field, and their counterintuitive nature. From Cardano's 1564 Games of Chance to Jacob Bernoulli's 1713 Golden Theorem to Parrondo's 1996 Perplexing Paradox, the book clearly outlines the puzzles and problems of probability, interweaving the discussion with rich historical detail and the story of how the mathematicians involved arrived at their solutions. Each problem is given an in-depth treatment, including detailed and rigorous mathematical proofs as needed. Some of the fascinating topics discussed by the author include: Buffon's Needle problem and its ingenious treatment by Joseph Barbier, culminating into a discussion of invariance Various paradoxes raised by Joseph Bertrand Classic problems in decision theory, including Pascal's Wager, Kraitchik's Neckties, and Newcomb's problem The Bayesian paradigm and various philosophies of probability Coverage of both elementary and more complex problems, including the Chevalier de Méré problems, Fisher and the lady testing tea, the birthday problem and its various extensions, and the Borel-Kolmogorov paradox Classic Problems of Probability is an eye-opening, one-of-a-kind reference for researchers and professionals interested in the history of probability and the varied problem-solving strategies employed throughout the ages. The book also serves as an insightful supplement for courses on mathematical probability and introductory probability and statistics at the undergraduate level.

Probability Theory

Author : Nikolai Dokuchaev
Publisher : World Scientific Publishing Company
Page : 224 pages
File Size : 43,9 Mb
Release : 2015-06-12
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9789814678056

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Probability Theory by Nikolai Dokuchaev Pdf

This book provides a systematic, self-sufficient and yet short presentation of the mainstream topics on introductory Probability Theory with some selected topics from Mathematical Statistics. It is suitable for a 10- to 14-week course for second- or third-year undergraduate students in Science, Mathematics, Statistics, Finance, or Economics, who have completed some introductory course in Calculus. There is a sufficient number of problems and solutions to cover weekly tutorials.

Probability Theory and Mathematical Statistics

Author : Marek Fisz
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 677 pages
File Size : 42,9 Mb
Release : 1963
Category : Mathemational statics
ISBN : OCLC:660254424

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Probability Theory and Mathematical Statistics by Marek Fisz Pdf

Philosophical Theories of Probability

Author : Donald Gillies
Publisher : Psychology Press
Page : 239 pages
File Size : 49,9 Mb
Release : 2000
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9780415182751

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Philosophical Theories of Probability by Donald Gillies Pdf

The use of probability and statistics has increased dramatically in all fields of research. This book presents an account of the resultant philosophical theories of probability and explains how they relate to one another.

Essentials of Probability Theory for Statisticians

Author : Michael A. Proschan,Pamela A. Shaw
Publisher : CRC Press
Page : 328 pages
File Size : 41,7 Mb
Release : 2018-09-03
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9781315362359

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Essentials of Probability Theory for Statisticians by Michael A. Proschan,Pamela A. Shaw Pdf

Essentials of Probability Theory for Statisticians provides graduate students with a rigorous treatment of probability theory, with an emphasis on results central to theoretical statistics. It presents classical probability theory motivated with illustrative examples in biostatistics, such as outlier tests, monitoring clinical trials, and using adaptive methods to make design changes based on accumulating data. The authors explain different methods of proofs and show how they are useful for establishing classic probability results. After building a foundation in probability, the text intersperses examples that make seemingly esoteric mathematical constructs more intuitive. These examples elucidate essential elements in definitions and conditions in theorems. In addition, counterexamples further clarify nuances in meaning and expose common fallacies in logic. This text encourages students in statistics and biostatistics to think carefully about probability. It gives them the rigorous foundation necessary to provide valid proofs and avoid paradoxes and nonsensical conclusions.