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Author : Yu. A. Kutoyants
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 224 pages
File Size : 42,9 Mb
Release : 1984
Category : Parameter estimation
ISBN : UOM:39015016367180
Author : Jaya P. N. Bishwal
Publisher : Springer
Page : 268 pages
File Size : 49,6 Mb
Release : 2007-09-26
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9783540744481
Parameter estimation in stochastic differential equations and stochastic partial differential equations is the science, art and technology of modeling complex phenomena. The subject has attracted researchers from several areas of mathematics. This volume presents the estimation of the unknown parameters in the corresponding continuous models based on continuous and discrete observations and examines extensively maximum likelihood, minimum contrast and Bayesian methods.
Author : Jaya P. N. Bishwal
Publisher : Springer Nature
Page : 634 pages
File Size : 49,5 Mb
Release : 2022-08-06
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9783031038617
This book develops alternative methods to estimate the unknown parameters in stochastic volatility models, offering a new approach to test model accuracy. While there is ample research to document stochastic differential equation models driven by Brownian motion based on discrete observations of the underlying diffusion process, these traditional methods often fail to estimate the unknown parameters in the unobserved volatility processes. This text studies the second order rate of weak convergence to normality to obtain refined inference results like confidence interval, as well as nontraditional continuous time stochastic volatility models driven by fractional Levy processes. By incorporating jumps and long memory into the volatility process, these new methods will help better predict option pricing and stock market crash risk. Some simulation algorithms for numerical experiments are provided.
Author : Kęstutis Kubilius,Yuliya Mishura,Kostiantyn Ralchenko
Publisher : Springer
Page : 390 pages
File Size : 46,5 Mb
Release : 2018-01-04
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9783319710303
This book is devoted to parameter estimation in diffusion models involving fractional Brownian motion and related processes. For many years now, standard Brownian motion has been (and still remains) a popular model of randomness used to investigate processes in the natural sciences, financial markets, and the economy. The substantial limitation in the use of stochastic diffusion models with Brownian motion is due to the fact that the motion has independent increments, and, therefore, the random noise it generates is “white,” i.e., uncorrelated. However, many processes in the natural sciences, computer networks and financial markets have long-term or short-term dependences, i.e., the correlations of random noise in these processes are non-zero, and slowly or rapidly decrease with time. In particular, models of financial markets demonstrate various kinds of memory and usually this memory is modeled by fractional Brownian diffusion. Therefore, the book constructs diffusion models with memory and provides simple and suitable parameter estimation methods in these models, making it a valuable resource for all researchers in this field. The book is addressed to specialists and researchers in the theory and statistics of stochastic processes, practitioners who apply statistical methods of parameter estimation, graduate and post-graduate students who study mathematical modeling and statistics.
Author : Yuliya Mishura,Georgiy Shevchenko
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 400 pages
File Size : 41,9 Mb
Release : 2018-01-04
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9781786300508
This book is concerned with the theory of stochastic processes and the theoretical aspects of statistics for stochastic processes. It combines classic topics such as construction of stochastic processes, associated filtrations, processes with independent increments, Gaussian processes, martingales, Markov properties, continuity and related properties of trajectories with contemporary subjects: integration with respect to Gaussian processes, Itȏ integration, stochastic analysis, stochastic differential equations, fractional Brownian motion and parameter estimation in diffusion models.
Author : Andrei Kramer
Publisher : Logos Verlag Berlin GmbH
Page : 161 pages
File Size : 47,7 Mb
Release : 2016-02-11
Category : Biological systems
ISBN : 9783832541958
Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are sampling based techniques, which use random numbers to approximate deterministic but unknown values. They can be used to obtain expected values, estimate parameters or to simply inspect the properties of a non-standard, high dimensional probability distribution. Bayesian analysis of model parameters provides the mathematical foundation for parameter estimation using such probabilistic sampling. The strengths of these stochastic methods are their robustness and relative simplicity even for nonlinear problems with dozens of parameters as well as a built-in uncertainty analysis. Because Bayesian model analysis necessarily involves the notion of prior knowledge, the estimation of unidentifiable parameters can be regularised (by priors) in a straight forward way. This work draws the focus on typical cases in systems biology: relative data, nonlinear ordinary differential equation models and few data points. It also investigates the consequences of parameter estimation from steady state data; consequences such as performance benefits. In biology the data is almost exclusively relative, the raw measurements (e.g. western blot intensities) are normalised by control experiments or a reference value within a series and require the model to do the same when comparing its output to the data. Several sampling algorithms are compared in terms of effective sampling speed and necessary adaptations to relative and steady state data are explained.
Author : Denis Bosq
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 181 pages
File Size : 49,7 Mb
Release : 2012-12-06
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9781468404890
This book provides a mathematically rigorous treatment of the theory of nonparametric estimation and prediction for stochastic processes. It discusses discrete time and continuous time, and the emphasis is on the kernel methods. Several new results are presented concerning optimal and superoptimal convergence rates. How to implement the method is discussed in detail and several numerical results are presented. This book will be of interest to specialists in mathematical statistics and to those who wish to apply these methods to practical problems involving time series analysis.
Author : Christopher C. Heyde
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 236 pages
File Size : 44,9 Mb
Release : 2008-01-08
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9780387226798
The first account in book form of all the essential features of the quasi-likelihood methodology, stressing its value as a general purpose inferential tool. The treatment is rather informal, emphasizing essential principles rather than detailed proofs, and readers are assumed to have a firm grounding in probability and statistics at the graduate level. Many examples of the use of the methods in both classical statistical and stochastic process contexts are provided.
Author : Maksym Luz,Mikhail Moklyachuk
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 308 pages
File Size : 50,6 Mb
Release : 2019-12-12
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9781786305039
Estimation of Stochastic Processes is intended for researchers in the field of econometrics, financial mathematics, statistics or signal processing. This book gives a deep understanding of spectral theory and estimation techniques for stochastic processes with stationary increments. It focuses on the estimation of functionals of unobserved values for stochastic processes with stationary increments, including ARIMA processes, seasonal time series and a class of cointegrated sequences. Furthermore, this book presents solutions to extrapolation (forecast), interpolation (missed values estimation) and filtering (smoothing) problems based on observations with and without noise, in discrete and continuous time domains. Extending the classical approach applied when the spectral densities of the processes are known, the minimax method of estimation is developed for a case where the spectral information is incomplete and the relations that determine the least favorable spectral densities for the optimal estimations are found.
Author : Christopher C. Heyde
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 252 pages
File Size : 46,9 Mb
Release : 2014-01-15
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 1475771037
Author : Hanns L. Harney
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 284 pages
File Size : 44,6 Mb
Release : 2003-05-20
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 3540003975
Solving a longstanding problem in the physical sciences, this text and reference generalizes Gaussian error intervals to situations in which the data follow distributions other than Gaussian. The text is written at introductory level, with many examples and exercises.
Author : Robert B. Ash,Melvin F. Gardner
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 338 pages
File Size : 55,9 Mb
Release : 1975
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : UOM:39015047329696
Stochastic Processes, Introduction, Covariance functions, Second order calculus, Karhunen-loeve expansion, Estimation problems, Notes; Spectral theory and prediction, Introduction, L Stochastic integrals, Decomposition of stationary processes, Examples of discrete parameter processes, Discrete parameter prediction: Special cases, Discrete parameter prediction: General solution, Examples of continuous parameter processes; Continuos parameter prediction special cases; yaglom's method, Some stochastic differential equations, Continuos parameter prediction: remarks on the general solution, Notes; Ergodic theory, Ergodicity and mixing, The pointwise ergodic theorem, Applications to real analysis, Applications to Markov chains, The Shannon-mcMillan theorem, Notes; Sample function analysis of continuous parameter stochastic processes, Separability, Measurability, One-Dimensional brownian motion, Law of the iterated logarithm, Markov processes, Processes with independent increments, Continuous parameter martingales, The strong Markov property, Notes; The ito integral and stochastic differential equations, Definitions of the ito integral, Existence and uniqueness theorems for stochastic differential equations, Stochastic differentials: A chain rule, Notes.
Author : Bangjun Lei,Guangzhu Xu,Ming Feng,Yaobin Zou,Ferdinand van der Heijden,Dick de Ridder,David M. J. Tax
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 480 pages
File Size : 54,7 Mb
Release : 2017-03-17
Category : Science
ISBN : 9781119152453
A practical introduction to intelligent computer vision theory, design, implementation, and technology The past decade has witnessed epic growth in image processing and intelligent computer vision technology. Advancements in machine learning methods—especially among adaboost varieties and particle filtering methods—have made machine learning in intelligent computer vision more accurate and reliable than ever before. The need for expert coverage of the state of the art in this burgeoning field has never been greater, and this book satisfies that need. Fully updated and extensively revised, this 2nd Edition of the popular guide provides designers, data analysts, researchers and advanced post-graduates with a fundamental yet wholly practical introduction to intelligent computer vision. The authors walk you through the basics of computer vision, past and present, and they explore the more subtle intricacies of intelligent computer vision, with an emphasis on intelligent measurement systems. Using many timely, real-world examples, they explain and vividly demonstrate the latest developments in image and video processing techniques and technologies for machine learning in computer vision systems, including: PRTools5 software for MATLAB—especially the latest representation and generalization software toolbox for PRTools5 Machine learning applications for computer vision, with detailed discussions of contemporary state estimation techniques vs older content of particle filter methods The latest techniques for classification and supervised learning, with an emphasis on Neural Network, Genetic State Estimation and other particle filter and AI state estimation methods All new coverage of the Adaboost and its implementation in PRTools5. A valuable working resource for professionals and an excellent introduction for advanced-level students, this 2nd Edition features a wealth of illustrative examples, ranging from basic techniques to advanced intelligent computer vision system implementations. Additional examples and tutorials, as well as a question and solution forum, can be found on a companion website.
Author : Lyle D. Broemeling
Publisher : CRC Press
Page : 373 pages
File Size : 49,5 Mb
Release : 2017-12-12
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9781315303574
This is the first book designed to introduce Bayesian inference procedures for stochastic processes. There are clear advantages to the Bayesian approach (including the optimal use of prior information). Initially, the book begins with a brief review of Bayesian inference and uses many examples relevant to the analysis of stochastic processes, including the four major types, namely those with discrete time and discrete state space and continuous time and continuous state space. The elements necessary to understanding stochastic processes are then introduced, followed by chapters devoted to the Bayesian analysis of such processes. It is important that a chapter devoted to the fundamental concepts in stochastic processes is included. Bayesian inference (estimation, testing hypotheses, and prediction) for discrete time Markov chains, for Markov jump processes, for normal processes (e.g. Brownian motion and the Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process), for traditional time series, and, lastly, for point and spatial processes are described in detail. Heavy emphasis is placed on many examples taken from biology and other scientific disciplines. In order analyses of stochastic processes, it will use R and WinBUGS. Features: Uses the Bayesian approach to make statistical Inferences about stochastic processes The R package is used to simulate realizations from different types of processes Based on realizations from stochastic processes, the WinBUGS package will provide the Bayesian analysis (estimation, testing hypotheses, and prediction) for the unknown parameters of stochastic processes To illustrate the Bayesian inference, many examples taken from biology, economics, and astronomy will reinforce the basic concepts of the subject A practical approach is implemented by considering realistic examples of interest to the scientific community WinBUGS and R code are provided in the text, allowing the reader to easily verify the results of the inferential procedures found in the many examples of the book Readers with a good background in two areas, probability theory and statistical inference, should be able to master the essential ideas of this book.
Author : Harold Wayne Sorenson
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 408 pages
File Size : 52,7 Mb
Release : 1980
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : STANFORD:36105031576858
Introduction and historical perspective; Least-squares estimation; General characteristics of estimators; Mean-square and minimum variance estimators; Maximum a posteriori and maximum likelihood estimators; Numerical solution of least-squares and maximum likelihood estimation problems; Sequential estimators and some asymptotic properties.