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Author : Michael I. Handel
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 76 pages
File Size : 52,5 Mb
Release : 1976
Category : Israel-Arab War, 1973
ISBN : UOM:39015035333593
Author : John Gooch
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 205 pages
File Size : 42,8 Mb
Release : 2012-11-12
Category : History
ISBN : 9781136282027
Published in 2004, Military Deception and Strategic Surprise! is a valuable contribution to the field of Military and Strategic Studies.
Author : Michael I. Handel
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 517 pages
File Size : 42,8 Mb
Release : 2012-11-12
Category : History
ISBN : 9781136286247
Investigating the logic, conduct and nature of war on the highest political and strategic levels, these essays put less emphasis on operational and tactical aspects. They look at the impact of technology on warfare, the political nature of war and the limits of rational analysis in studying war.
Author : Richard K. Betts,Thomas Mahnken
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 218 pages
File Size : 53,8 Mb
Release : 2004-08-02
Category : History
ISBN : 9781135759667
Part of a three part collection in honour of the teachings of Michael I. Handel, one of the foremost strategists of the late 20th century, this collection explores the paradoxes of intelligence analysis, surprise and deception from both historical and theoretical perspectives.
Author : Douglas H. Dearth,R. Thomas Goodden
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 478 pages
File Size : 40,8 Mb
Release : 1995
Category : Intelligence service
ISBN : IND:30000050241037
Author : Richard K. Betts
Publisher : Brookings Institution Press
Page : 340 pages
File Size : 55,5 Mb
Release : 2010-12-01
Category : History
ISBN : 0815719477
Long before Germany's blitzkrieg swept the West, European leaders had received many signals of its imminence. Stalin, too, had abundant warning of German designs on Russia but believed that by avoiding "provocative" defensive measures he could avert the attack that finally came in June 1941. And the stories of the Japanese attack on Pearl Harbor, the Korean War, and three Arab-Israeli conflicts are replete with missed opportunities to react to unmistakable warnings. Richad K. Betts analyzes surprise attacks during the mid-twentieth century to illustrate his thesis: surprise attacks occur, not because intelligence services fail to warn, but because of the disbelief of political leaders. "Although the probability is low that the United States will fail to deter direct attack by the Soviet Union," Betts says, "the intensity of the threat warrants painstaking analysis of how to cope with it." His own investigation of the historical, psychological, political, diplomatic, and military aspects of his subject heightens understanding of why surprise attacks succeed and why victim nations fail to respond to warnings. In discussing current policy he focuses on the defense of Western Europe and applies the lessons of history to U.S. defense planning, offering detailed recommendations for changes in strategy. Obviously some of the potential dangers of military surprise cannot be prevented. The important thing, he emphasizes, is that "without forces that exceed requirements (the solution Moscow appears to have chosen), it is vital to ensure that what forces exist can be brought to bear when needed.
Author : John Gooch
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 192 pages
File Size : 40,9 Mb
Release : 2012-11-12
Category : History
ISBN : 9781136282096
Published in 2004, Military Deception and Strategic Surprise! is a valuable contribution to the field of Military and Strategic Studies.
Author : Erik J. Dahl
Publisher : Georgetown University Press
Page : 288 pages
File Size : 43,8 Mb
Release : 2013-07-19
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781589019980
How can the United States avoid a future surprise attack on the scale of 9/11 or Pearl Harbor, in an era when such devastating attacks can come not only from nation states, but also from terrorist groups or cyber enemies? Intelligence and Surprise Attack examines why surprise attacks often succeed even though, in most cases, warnings had been available beforehand. Erik J. Dahl challenges the conventional wisdom about intelligence failure, which holds that attacks succeed because important warnings get lost amid noise or because intelligence officials lack the imagination and collaboration to “connect the dots” of available information. Comparing cases of intelligence failure with intelligence success, Dahl finds that the key to success is not more imagination or better analysis, but better acquisition of precise, tactical-level intelligence combined with the presence of decision makers who are willing to listen to and act on the warnings they receive from their intelligence staff. The book offers a new understanding of classic cases of conventional and terrorist attacks such as Pearl Harbor, the Battle of Midway, and the bombings of US embassies in Kenya and Tanzania. The book also presents a comprehensive analysis of the intelligence picture before the 9/11 attacks, making use of new information available since the publication of the 9/11 Commission Report and challenging some of that report’s findings.
Author : John A. Gentry,Joseph S. Gordon
Publisher : Georgetown University Press
Page : 274 pages
File Size : 51,9 Mb
Release : 2019-03-01
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781626166561
John A. Gentry and Joseph S. Gordon update our understanding of strategic warning intelligence analysis for the twenty-first century. Strategic warning—the process of long-range analysis to alert senior leaders to trending threats and opportunities that require action—is a critical intelligence function. It also is frequently misunderstood and underappreciated. Gentry and Gordon draw on both their practitioner and academic backgrounds to present a history of the strategic warning function in the US intelligence community. In doing so, they outline the capabilities of analytic methods, explain why strategic warning analysis is so hard, and discuss the special challenges strategic warning encounters from senior decision-makers. They also compare how strategic warning functions in other countries, evaluate why the United States has in recent years emphasized current intelligence instead of strategic warning, and recommend warning-related structural and procedural improvements in the US intelligence community. The authors examine historical case studies, including postmortems of warning failures, to provide examples of the analytic points they make. Strategic Warning Intelligence will interest scholars and practitioners and will be an ideal teaching text for intermediate and advanced students.
Author : Christopher Andrew,Richard J. Aldrich,Wesley K. Wark
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 578 pages
File Size : 54,8 Mb
Release : 2009
Category : History
ISBN : 9780415420235
This Reader in the field of intelligence studies focuses on policy, blending classic works on concepts and approaches with more recent essays dealing with current issues and the ongoing debate about the future of intelligence. The subject of secret intelligence has never enjoyed a higher profile. The terrorist attacks of 9/11, Madrid and London, the conflicts in Iraq and Afghanistan, the missing WMD, public debates over prisoner interrogation, and new domestic security regulations have all contributed to make this a ‘hot’ subject over the past decade. Aiming to be more comprehensive than existing books, and to achieve truly international coverage of the field, this book provides key readings and supporting material for students and course convenors. It is divided into four main sections, each of which includes full summaries of each article, further reading suggestions, and student questions: The intelligence cycle Intelligence, counter-terrorism and security Ethics, accountability and control Intelligence and the new warfare Comprising essays by leading scholars in the field, Secret Intelligence will be essential reading both for students and for anyone wishing to understand the current relationship between intelligence and policy-making.
Author : Richard A. Posner
Publisher : Rowman & Littlefield
Page : 242 pages
File Size : 45,6 Mb
Release : 2005
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 074254947X
Posner discusses the utter futilty of this reform act in a searing critique of the 9/11 Commission, its recommendations, Congress's role in making law, and the law's inability to do what it is intended to do.
Author : Klaus Eugen Knorr,Patrick M. Morgan
Publisher : Transaction Publishers
Page : 276 pages
File Size : 52,9 Mb
Release : 2024-05-02
Category : History
ISBN : 1412835216
Author : Lt. Col. (Ret.) Shimon Mendes
Publisher : Archway Publishing
Page : 462 pages
File Size : 42,8 Mb
Release : 2018-06-27
Category : History
ISBN : 9781480859067
SADATs JIHAD is the fruit of seven years research. The author describes the real reasons, in his opinion, that led the Israel Defense Forces to be utterly surprised in the Yom Kippur War. Israeli Intelligence had concluded, with direct assistance of Sadat himself, that he was illiterate politically and militarily impotent. Admittedly, Sadat ultimately showed himself as a political intellectual and military strategist; a visionary leader, who gazed back 7000 years, yet stared forward into Eternal History. The Egyptian surprise that carried out successfully, conducted by the Egyptian President. Nevertheless, despite the sophisticated brilliant gambit that preceded the war, Israel succeeded to turn the table on Egypt, and Egypt almost suffered a crippling defeat again. Shimon Mendes introduces Anwar al-Sadat as The First Muslim Pharaoh. Within the multiple stratagems that preceded his war, Sadat had chosen to interlace Old and New. Consequently, Israeli Intelligence could not read him. He started the war as a Moslem Caliph and ended the war as a Modern Pharaoh.
Author : Len Scott,R. Gerald Hughes
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 288 pages
File Size : 45,7 Mb
Release : 2013-09-13
Category : History
ISBN : 9781317997566
This collection of essays by leading experts seeks to explore what lessons for the exploitation and management of secret intelligence might be drawn from a variety of case studies ranging from the 1920s to the ‘War on Terror’. Long regarded as the ‘missing dimension’ of international history and politics, public and academic interest in the role of secret intelligence has continued to grow in recent years, not least as a result of controversy surrounding the terrorist attacks on the United States on September 11 2001. Intelligence, Crises and Security addresses a range of themes including: crisis management, covert diplomacy, intelligence tradecraft, counterterrorism, intelligence ‘overload’, intelligence in relation to neutral states, deception, and signals intelligence. The work breaks new ground in relation to numerous key international episodes and events, not least as a result of fresh disclosures from government archives across the world. This book was previously published as a special issue of Intelligence and National Security.
Author : Benjamin Frankel
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 318 pages
File Size : 45,6 Mb
Release : 2013-11-05
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781135241780
Amos Perlmutter has devoted his academic career to the study of comparative politics, international relations and modern authoritarianism. He has written 14 books and more than 70 articles in academic journals. He has also been a prolific contributor to newspapers in the United States and abroad and offered commentary on TV and radio shows. These essays analyse and explain some of his thinking.