Polling Unpacked

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Polling UnPacked

Author : Mark Pack
Publisher : Reaktion Books
Page : 353 pages
File Size : 42,9 Mb
Release : 2022-05-13
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781789145687

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Polling UnPacked by Mark Pack Pdf

From a political-polling expert, an eye-opening—and hilarious—look at the origins of polls and how they have been used and abused ever since. Opinion polls dominate media coverage of politics, especially elections. But how do the polls work? How do we tell the good from the bad? And in light of recent polling disasters, can we trust them at all? Polling UnPacked gives us the full story, from the first rudimentary polls in the nineteenth century, through attempts by politicians to ban polling in the twentieth century, to the very latest techniques and controversies from the last few years. Equal parts enlightening and hilarious, the book requires no prior knowledge of polling or statistics to understand. But even hardened pollsters will find much to enjoy, from how polling has been used to help plan military invasions to why an exhausted interviewer was accidentally instrumental in inventing exit polls. Written by a former political pollster and the creator of Britain’s foremost polling-intention database, Polling UnPacked reveals which opinion polls to trust, which to ignore, and which, frankly, to laugh at. It will change the way we see political coverage forever.

Manipulating the Message

Author : Cecil Rosner
Publisher : Dundurn
Page : 164 pages
File Size : 47,6 Mb
Release : 2023-10-31
Category : Social Science
ISBN : 9781459751279

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Manipulating the Message by Cecil Rosner Pdf

Journalists hate the term fake news, but there’s a troubling reality: spin doctors routinely try to dupe them into reporting misleading and distorted stories. Check the news on any given day and here’s what you’ll find: Governments routinely lie. Companies inflate claims about their products and practices. Institutions release studies with misleading data meant to deceive. Police departments, infected by systemic racism, downplay crimes against Indigenous and racialized people. The public depends on the media to help them understand the world, but are journalists catching all the daily lies, omissions, and distortions? Shrinking newsrooms and an army of spin doctors mean journalists can get duped. Despite valiant efforts by a handful of investigative journalists, the truth is routinely left behind. Award-winning journalist Cecil Rosner insists there is something we can do about this. We can pressure news organizations to stop blindly regurgitating the firehose of press releases and focus instead on determining what is actually true. Rosner empowers readers by sharing his techniques for detecting misinformation and disinformation.

Interpreting Qualitative Data

Author : David Silverman
Publisher : SAGE Publications Limited
Page : 675 pages
File Size : 44,5 Mb
Release : 2024-01-25
Category : Social Science
ISBN : 9781529672596

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Interpreting Qualitative Data by David Silverman Pdf

In his signature pragmatic and friendly style, David Silverman acts as your stand-in supervisor in the seventh edition of this book, taking you step-by-step through different methods for making sense of qualitative data. Whether you are interested in analysing visual images, interviews, focus groups or online data, this book provides a clear framework for using qualitative data to answer your research questions. The book provides: • A strong grounding in research design principles so you can embed best practice into your research project. • Diverse real-world examples so you can see how principles are applied in practice. • Coverage of new developments in qualitative research including working with online data. If you are new to qualitative research or conducting your first research project in the social sciences, this book gives you the practical grounding in qualitative methods you need to get started.

Lost in a Gallup

Author : W. Joseph Campbell
Publisher : Univ of California Press
Page : 366 pages
File Size : 51,8 Mb
Release : 2024-02-20
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9780520397828

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Lost in a Gallup by W. Joseph Campbell Pdf

This update of a lively, first-of-its-kind study of polling misfires and fiascoes in U.S. presidential campaigns takes up pollsters’ failure over the decades to offer accurate assessments of the most important of American elections. Lost in a Gallup tells the story of polling flops and failures in presidential elections since 1936. Polls do go bad, as outcomes in 2020, 2016, 2012, 2004, and 2000 all remind us. This updated edition includes a new chapter and conclusion that address the 2020 polling surprise and considers whether polls will get it right in 2024. As author W. Joseph Campbell discusses, polling misfires in presidential elections are not all alike. Pollsters have anticipated tight elections when landslides have occurred. They have pointed to the wrong winner in closer elections. Misleading state polls have thrown off expected national outcomes. Polling failure also can lead to media error. Journalists covering presidential races invariably take their lead from polls. When polls go bad, media narratives can be off-target as well. Lost in a Gallup encourages readers to treat election polls with healthy skepticism, recognizing that they could be wrong.

101 Ways to Win an Election

Author : Mark Pack,Edward Maxfield
Publisher : Biteback Publishing
Page : 316 pages
File Size : 46,6 Mb
Release : 2021-07-08
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781785901690

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101 Ways to Win an Election by Mark Pack,Edward Maxfield Pdf

In politics there are no prizes For second place. Luckily, seasoned campaign professionals Mark Pack and Edward Maxfield have distilled successful electoral tactics from around the globe into 101 bite-sized lessons to help steer you on the course to power. Learn how to pass the three-seconds test, why you should actually embrace online trolls, and why you must never, ever, forget the law of the left nostril. Packed with advice and practical tips, this new, fully updated third edition of the classic political guide reveals the insider secrets and skills you need to make sure you're in pole position on election day.

Dominion

Author : C. J. Sansom
Publisher : Random House Canada
Page : 598 pages
File Size : 42,6 Mb
Release : 2013-08-13
Category : Fiction
ISBN : 9780345813657

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Dominion by C. J. Sansom Pdf

Awarded the CWA Diamond Dagger – the highest honour in British crime writing. From the author of the Matthew Shardlake Tudor Mystery series. At once a vivid, haunting reimagining of 1950s Britain, a gripping, humane spy thriller and a poignant love story, with Dominion C.J. Sansom once again asserts himself as the master of the historical novel. 1952. Twelve years have passed since Churchill lost to the appeasers and Britain surrendered to Nazi Germany. The press, radio and television are tightly controlled. British Jews face ever greater constraints. But Churchill's Resistance soldiers on. And in a Birmingham mental hospital, fragile scientist Frank Muncaster holds a secret that could alter the balance of the global struggle forever. Civil Servant David Fitzgerald, a spy for the Resistance, is given the mission to rescue Frank and get him out of the country. Hard on his heels is Gestapo agent Gunther Hoth, a brilliant, implacable hunter of men, who soon has Frank, along with David's innocent wife, Sarah, directly in his sights. C.J. Sansom's literary thriller Winter in Madrid earned him comparisons to Graham Greene, Sebastian Faulks and Ernest Hemingway. Now, in the first alternative history epic from Sansom in the tradition of Robert Harris's Fatherland and Stephen King's 11/22/63, Sansom doesn't just recreate the past--he reinvents it. In a spellbinding tale of suspense, oppression and poignant love, Dominion dares to explore how, in moments of crisis, history can turn on the decisions of a few brave men and women--the secrets they keep and the bonds they share.

Bad News

Author : Mark Pack
Publisher : Biteback Publishing
Page : 178 pages
File Size : 55,7 Mb
Release : 2020-03-12
Category : Social Science
ISBN : 9781785905797

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Bad News by Mark Pack Pdf

Bad News is a popular guide that helps you make sense of the news wherever it appears – print, broadcast or online. Peppered with examples from around the world, the book turns a serious subject into an enjoyable read. You will learn as you are entertained. Readers will discover all the tricks and techniques required to work out whether to trust a story based on an anonymous source, when big numbers are really small and when small numbers are really big, why you should ignore what appears behind someone on the TV and much more. You'll even learn why you should always read stories in the Daily Mail backwards and when correlation is causation. But readers will also learn how ill-suited the news is to understanding and interpreting the modern world, even when it comes from honest journalists working for reputable outlets. The news has a role, but readers will learn how to ensure they don't confuse that with understanding the world.

Of Papers and Protests: Hong Kong responds to Occupy Central Volume 3

Author : Guy Breshears
Publisher : Lulu.com
Page : 584 pages
File Size : 54,6 Mb
Release : 2018-01-20
Category : History
ISBN : 9789887703921

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Of Papers and Protests: Hong Kong responds to Occupy Central Volume 3 by Guy Breshears Pdf

The folklore of ancient China considered the dragon a symbol of power and goodness that was used for the benefit of all. However, over the course of time the dragon has taken on a more apprehensive attribute as it tries to restrain various thoughts and ideas that it considers dangerous. Will Hong Kong defend itself first or will it succumb to the will of the dragon?

Voting Rights Act

Author : United States. Congress. House. Committee on the Judiciary. Subcommittee on the Constitution
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 1396 pages
File Size : 42,6 Mb
Release : 2006
Category : Election districts
ISBN : PSU:000059285649

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Voting Rights Act by United States. Congress. House. Committee on the Judiciary. Subcommittee on the Constitution Pdf

Republic in Transition

Author : Pamela Reeves,Keith Klein
Publisher : IFES
Page : 362 pages
File Size : 52,5 Mb
Release : 1995
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 1879720299

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Republic in Transition by Pamela Reeves,Keith Klein Pdf

Taiwan Electoral, Political Parties Laws and Regulations Handbook - Strategic Information and Regulations

Author : IBP, Inc.
Publisher : Lulu.com
Page : 247 pages
File Size : 46,6 Mb
Release : 2016-09-08
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781514517932

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Taiwan Electoral, Political Parties Laws and Regulations Handbook - Strategic Information and Regulations by IBP, Inc. Pdf

Taiwan Electoral, Political Parties Laws and Regulations Handbook - Strategic Information, Regulations, Procedures

Making Sense of Data in the Media

Author : Andrew Bell,Todd Hartman,Aneta Piekut,Alasdair Rae,Mark Taylor
Publisher : SAGE
Page : 232 pages
File Size : 51,6 Mb
Release : 2019-11-04
Category : Social Science
ISBN : 9781526493002

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Making Sense of Data in the Media by Andrew Bell,Todd Hartman,Aneta Piekut,Alasdair Rae,Mark Taylor Pdf

The amount of data produced, captured and transmitted through the media has never been greater. But for this data to be useful, it needs to be properly understood and claims made about or with data need to be properly scrutinized. Through a series of examples of statistics in the media, this book shows you how to critically assess the presentation of data in the media, to identify what is significant and to sort verifiable conclusions from misleading claims. How accurate are polls, and how should we know? How should league tables be read? Are numbers presented as ‘large’ really as big as they may seem at first glance? By answering these questions and more, readers will learn a number of statistical concepts central to many undergraduate social science statistics courses. By tying them in to real life examples, the importance and relevance of these concepts comes to life. As such, this book does more than teaches techniques needed for a statistics course; it teaches you life skills that we need to use every single day.

The Dark Side of Reform

Author : Tyrell Connor,Daphne M. Penn,Niambi Carter,Michael Hudson-Vassell,Janice A. Iwama,J. Nicole Johnson,Jalila Jefferson-Bullock,Jelani Jefferson Exum,LaTeri McFadden,Angela S. Murolo,Jay Pearson,Candice C. Robinson,Daniel Semenza,Charisse Southwell,Emily Tucker,Brian Wade
Publisher : Rowman & Littlefield
Page : 209 pages
File Size : 46,8 Mb
Release : 2022-01-25
Category : Social Science
ISBN : 9781793643766

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The Dark Side of Reform by Tyrell Connor,Daphne M. Penn,Niambi Carter,Michael Hudson-Vassell,Janice A. Iwama,J. Nicole Johnson,Jalila Jefferson-Bullock,Jelani Jefferson Exum,LaTeri McFadden,Angela S. Murolo,Jay Pearson,Candice C. Robinson,Daniel Semenza,Charisse Southwell,Emily Tucker,Brian Wade Pdf

The Dark Side of Reform: Exploring the Impact of Public Policy on Racial Equity contains nine chapters on the development of social policies with the potential to advance racial equity. In addition to studying these policies and their implications, the chapters in this volume demonstrate how lessons from the past can be used to inform the direction of current discussions. At the heart of these conversations are concerns about whether Black people, in particular, will receive the full benefit of transformative laws that may emerge in the coming years. The volume also offers recommendations on implementing policies that address the unique concerns of structurally disadvantaged communities with particular emphasis on Black and Latinx people.