Post Cold War Predictions

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Post-Cold War Predictions

Hanna Samir Kassab
Post Cold War Predictions Book PDF

Author : Hanna Samir Kassab
Publisher : Taylor & Francis
Page : 131 pages
File Size : 44,5 Mb
Release : 2024-02-20
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781040019177

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Post-Cold War Predictions by Hanna Samir Kassab Pdf

Post- Cold War Predictions examines how the international order evolved after the collapse of the Soviet Union (and before the attacks on 9/11) by focusing on the ways we study and understand major powers’ security behavior within the evolving multipolar order. Beginning with an overview of Post-Cold War literature, Kassab summarizes and evaluates influential Post-Cold War texts to better understand scholarship’s need to predict. First, he discusses the central importance of power in international relations and drives home the central focus of international structures, linking findings to the broader structure-agent problem. He then reinterprets the purpose of theory, preferring explanatory theories to those that aim to predict outcomes. To understand the context by which political ideas were developed and followed as if they were political ideologies, Hanna Samir Kassab makes explicit the links between historicism and historiography, forwarding a new methodology for studying political science: Politicist analysis. Using simple jargon and defining terms where necessary, this succinct and enlightening text is required reading for all those interested in international politics.

Before and After the Cold War

George H. Quester
Before and After the Cold War Book PDF

Author : George H. Quester
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 244 pages
File Size : 41,7 Mb
Release : 2013-10-18
Category : History
ISBN : 9781135285531

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Before and After the Cold War by George H. Quester Pdf

The end of the Cold War came as good news for most of the world. No one had predicted the collapse of Communist rule for several decades. This book looks at how political scientists failed to predict such a quick resolution and ways in which the world might develop post Cold War.

End of History and the Last Man

Francis Fukuyama
End of History and the Last Man Book PDF

Author : Francis Fukuyama
Publisher : Simon and Schuster
Page : 464 pages
File Size : 46,8 Mb
Release : 2006-03-01
Category : History
ISBN : 9781416531784

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End of History and the Last Man by Francis Fukuyama Pdf

Ever since its first publication in 1992, The End of History and the Last Man has provoked controversy and debate. Francis Fukuyama's prescient analysis of religious fundamentalism, politics, scientific progress, ethical codes, and war is as essential for a world fighting fundamentalist terrorists as it was for the end of the Cold War. Now updated with a new afterword, The End of History and the Last Man is a modern classic.

The New World Order

Mark Poynter
The New World Order Book PDF

Author : Mark Poynter
Publisher : Arena Books Limited
Page : 141 pages
File Size : 48,9 Mb
Release : 2015-03-01
Category : History
ISBN : 1909421529

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The New World Order by Mark Poynter Pdf

At the end of the Cold War two famous articles were published which produced contrasting visions of a new world order, namely: Francis Fukuyama's The End of History (1989) and Samuel P. Huntington's The Clash of Civilizations (1993). The content of these two articles not only framed the post-cold war debate but the prospect of two great geo-political realities capable of influencing global events. Fukuyama's The End of History provided an optimistic prediction of a New World Order in which liberal democracy and capitalism would triumph over all other ideologies to form a lasting social order of peace and prosperity. In contrast, Huntington's article was far more pessimistic in its future predictions and argued that the post-cold war would produce a multi-polar world of regional tensions and conflict in which civilizations were destined to clash. As global capitalism leads towards greater levels of economic interdependence a universal culture of mass consumption will become increasingly evident in all societies. This will create a growing population of consumers whose ideas, tastes and aspirations will increasingly reflect Western ideals. The effects of globalization may provoke feelings of hostility at the imposition of liberal democratic values but such hostility will not necessarily lead to a clash of civilizations. In a New World Order civilizations will need to embrace global capitalism or risk becoming increasingly alienated and disempowered. National and cultural identities may strengthen as a result of globalization but this will not undermine the global balance of power. Therefore, the strength of opposition to global capitalism will be ineffective in preventing the spread of consumer culture and civilizations will exist as benign entities within an increasingly globalized world.

The Clash of Civilizations and the Remaking of World Order

Riley Quinn
The Clash of Civilizations and the Remaking of World Order Book PDF

Author : Riley Quinn
Publisher : CRC Press
Page : 98 pages
File Size : 40,5 Mb
Release : 2017-07-05
Category : History
ISBN : 9781351352994

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The Clash of Civilizations and the Remaking of World Order by Riley Quinn Pdf

The end of the Cold War, which occurred early in the 1990s, brought joy and freedom to millions. But it posed a difficult question to the world's governments and to the academics who studied them: how would world order be remade in an age no longer dominated by the competing ideologies of capitalism and communism? Samuel P. Huntington was one of the many political scientists who responded to this challenge by conceiving works that attempted to predict the ways in which conflict might play out in the 21st century, and in The Clash of Civilizations he suggested that a new kind of conflict, one centred on cultural identity, would become the new focus of international relations. Huntington's theories, greeted with scepticism when his book first appeared in the 1990s, acquired new resonance after 9/11. The Clash of Civilizations is now one of the most widely-set and read works of political theory in US universities; Huntington's theories have also had a measurable impact on American policy. In large part, this is a product of his problem-solving skills. Clash is a monument to its author's ability to generate and evaluate alternative possibilities and to make sound decisions between them. Huntington's view, that international politics after the Cold War would be neither peaceful, nor liberal, nor cooperative, ran counter to the predictions of almost all of his peers, yet his position – the product of an unusual ability to redefine an issue so as to see it in new ways – has been largely vindicated by events ever since.

The Clash of Civilizations and the Remaking of World Order

Samuel P. Huntington
The Clash of Civilizations and the Remaking of World Order Book PDF

Author : Samuel P. Huntington
Publisher : Simon and Schuster
Page : 555 pages
File Size : 50,6 Mb
Release : 2007-05-31
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781416561248

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The Clash of Civilizations and the Remaking of World Order by Samuel P. Huntington Pdf

The classic study of post-Cold War international relations, more relevant than ever in today’s geopolitical climate—with a foreword by Zbigniew Brzezinski. Since its initial publication in 1996, The Clash of Civilizations and the Remaking of World Order has become one of the most influential books ever written about foreign affairs. Samuel Huntington explains how clashes between civilizations pose the greatest threat to world peace, but also how an international order based on civilizations is the best safeguard against war. The Clash of Civilizations and the Remaking of World Order explains how the population explosion in Muslim countries and the economic rise of East Asia have changed global politics. These developments challenge Western dominance, promote opposition to supposedly “universal” Western ideals, and intensify inter-civilization conflict over such issues as nuclear proliferation, immigration, human rights, and democracy. In his incisive analysis, Huntington offers a strategy for the West to preserve its unique culture and emphasizes the need for people everywhere to learn to coexist in a complex, multipolar, multi-civilizational world.

Unipolar Politics

Ethan B. Kapstein,Michael Mastanduno
Unipolar Politics Book PDF

Author : Ethan B. Kapstein,Michael Mastanduno
Publisher : Columbia University Press
Page : 548 pages
File Size : 45,5 Mb
Release : 1999
Category : History
ISBN : 0231113099

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Unipolar Politics by Ethan B. Kapstein,Michael Mastanduno Pdf

This volume analyzes the decisions that major powers have made since the Cold War to adapt to a rapidly changing economic and security environment. The authors acknowledge that, while great power wars are now unlikely, positional conflicts over resources and markets still remain.

The Next 100 Years

George Friedman
The Next 100 Years Book PDF

Author : George Friedman
Publisher : Anchor
Page : 274 pages
File Size : 55,6 Mb
Release : 2009-01-27
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9780385522946

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The Next 100 Years by George Friedman Pdf

“Conventional analysis suffers from a profound failure of imagination. It imagines passing clouds to be permanent and is blind to powerful, long-term shifts taking place in full view of the world.” —George Friedman In his long-awaited and provocative new book, George Friedman turns his eye on the future—offering a lucid, highly readable forecast of the changes we can expect around the world during the twenty-first century. He explains where and why future wars will erupt (and how they will be fought), which nations will gain and lose economic and political power, and how new technologies and cultural trends will alter the way we live in the new century. The Next 100 Years draws on a fascinating exploration of history and geopolitical patterns dating back hundreds of years. Friedman shows that we are now, for the first time in half a millennium, at the dawn of a new era—with changes in store, including: • The U.S.-Jihadist war will conclude—replaced by a second full-blown cold war with Russia. • China will undergo a major extended internal crisis, and Mexico will emerge as an important world power. • A new global war will unfold toward the middle of the century between the United States and an unexpected coalition from Eastern Europe, Eurasia, and the Far East; but armies will be much smaller and wars will be less deadly. • Technology will focus on space—both for major military uses and for a dramatic new energy resource that will have radical environmental implications. • The United States will experience a Golden Age in the second half of the century. Written with the keen insight and thoughtful analysis that has made George Friedman a renowned expert in geopolitics and forecasting, The Next 100 Years presents a fascinating picture of what lies ahead. For continual, updated analysis and supplemental material, go to www.geopoliticalfutures.com.

The Post-Cold War International System

Ewan Harrison
The Post Cold War International System Book PDF

Author : Ewan Harrison
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 195 pages
File Size : 52,7 Mb
Release : 2004-07-31
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781134334711

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The Post-Cold War International System by Ewan Harrison Pdf

The end of the Cold War has opened up a 'real world laboratory' in which to test and refine general theories of international relations. Using the frameworks provided by structural realism, institutionalism and liberalism, The Post-Cold War International System examines how major powers responded to the collapse of the Soviet Union and developed their foreign policies over the period of post-Cold War transition. The book argues that the democratic peace has begun to generate powerful socialisation effects, due to the emergence of a critical mass of liberal democratic states since the end of the Cold War. The trend this has produced is similar to a pattern that classical realists have interpreted as 'bandwagoning' within a unipolar power structure. Case studies of Germany, China and Japan - identified as key states with the potential to challenge US dominance - provide evidence to support the assessment of international change. The author concludes by exploring the implications of September 11th for the analysis developed. This important volume argues that the end of the Cold War was a major historical turning point in the development of world politics with fundamental implications for the basic way in which the dynamics of the international system are conceptualised.

The End of American World Order

Amitav Acharya
The End of American World Order Book PDF

Author : Amitav Acharya
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 98 pages
File Size : 44,7 Mb
Release : 2014-04-25
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9780745684659

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The End of American World Order by Amitav Acharya Pdf

The age of Western hegemony is over. Whether or not America itself is declining, the post-war liberal world order underpinned by US military, economic and ideological primacy and supported by global institutions serving its power and purpose, is coming to an end. But what will take its place? A Chinese world order? A re-constituted form of American hegemony? A regionalized system of global cooperation, including major and emerging powers? In this timely and provocative book, Amitav Acharya offers an incisive answer to this fundamental question. While the US will remain a major force in world affairs, he argues that it has lost the ability to shape world order after its own interests and image. As a result, the US will be one of a number of anchors including emerging powers, regional forces, and a concert of the old and new powers shaping a new world order. Rejecting labels such as multipolar, apolar, or G-Zero, Acharya likens the emerging system to a multiplex theatre, offering a choice of plots (ideas), directors (power), and action (leadership) under one roof. Finally, he reflects on the policies that the US, emerging powers and regional actors must pursue to promote stability in this decentred but interdependent, multiplex world. Written by a leading scholar of the international relations of the non-Western world, and rising above partisan punditry, this book represents a major contribution to debates over the post-American era.

The Tragedy of Great Power Politics (Updated Edition)

John J. Mearsheimer
The Tragedy of Great Power Politics Updated Edition Book PDF

Author : John J. Mearsheimer
Publisher : W. W. Norton & Company
Page : 572 pages
File Size : 48,5 Mb
Release : 2003-01-17
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9780393076240

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The Tragedy of Great Power Politics (Updated Edition) by John J. Mearsheimer Pdf

"A superb book.…Mearsheimer has made a significant contribution to our understanding of the behavior of great powers."—Barry R. Posen, The National Interest The updated edition of this classic treatise on the behavior of great powers takes a penetrating look at the question likely to dominate international relations in the twenty-first century: Can China rise peacefully? In clear, eloquent prose, John Mearsheimer explains why the answer is no: a rising China will seek to dominate Asia, while the United States, determined to remain the world's sole regional hegemon, will go to great lengths to prevent that from happening. The tragedy of great power politics is inescapable.

We Now Know

John Lewis Gaddis
We Now Know Book PDF

Author : John Lewis Gaddis
Publisher : Oxford University Press, USA
Page : 456 pages
File Size : 55,8 Mb
Release : 1997
Category : History
ISBN : UOM:39015036073214

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We Now Know by John Lewis Gaddis Pdf

One of America's leading historians offers the first major history of the Cold War. Packed with new information drawn from previously unavailable sources, the book offers major reassessments of Stalin, Mao, Khrushchev, Kennedy, Eisenhower, and Truman.

The Cold War and After

Sean M. Lynn-Jones,Steven E. Miller
The Cold War and After Book PDF

Author : Sean M. Lynn-Jones,Steven E. Miller
Publisher : MIT Press
Page : 430 pages
File Size : 40,6 Mb
Release : 1993
Category : History
ISBN : 026262088X

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The Cold War and After by Sean M. Lynn-Jones,Steven E. Miller Pdf

The Cold War and After presents a collection of well-reasoned arguments selected fromthe journal International Security on the causes of the Cold War and the effect of its aftermath onthe peaceful coexistence of European states. This new edition includes all of the material from thefirst edition, plus four new articles: The Unipolar Illusion: Why New Great Powers Will Rise,Christopher Layne; International Primacy: Is the Game Worth the Candle? Robert Jervis; WhyInternational Primacy Matters, Samuel P. Huntington; and International Relations Theory and the Endof the Cold War, John Lewis Gaddis.Sean M. Lynn-Jones is Managing Editor of International Security.Steven E. Miller is Director of Studies at the Center for Science and International Affairs, HarvardUniversity.

Cold War Endgame

William C. Wohlforth
Cold War Endgame Book PDF

Author : William C. Wohlforth
Publisher : Penn State Press
Page : 356 pages
File Size : 45,5 Mb
Release : 2010-11-01
Category : History
ISBN : 0271046597

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Cold War Endgame by William C. Wohlforth Pdf

Cold War Endgame is the product of an unusual collaborative effort by policy makers and scholars to promote better understanding of how the Cold War ended. It includes the transcript of a conference, hosted by former Secretary of State James Baker and former Soviet Foreign Minister Alexander Bessmertnykh, in which high-level veterans of the Bush and Gorbachev governments shared their recollections and interpretations of the crucial events of 1989&–91: the revolutions in Eastern Europe; the reunification of Germany; the Persian Gulf War; the August 1991 coup; and the collapse of the USSR. Taking this testimony as a common reference and drawing on the most recent evidence available, six chapters follow in which historians and political scientists explore the historical and theoretical puzzles presented by this extraordinary transition. This discussion features a debate over the relative importance of ideas, personality, and economic pressures in explaining the Cold War's end.

The Marshall Plan

Benn Steil
The Marshall Plan Book PDF

Author : Benn Steil
Publisher : Simon and Schuster
Page : 624 pages
File Size : 53,8 Mb
Release : 2018-02-13
Category : History
ISBN : 9781501102394

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The Marshall Plan by Benn Steil Pdf

Winner of the 2018 American Academy of Diplomacy Douglas Dillon Award Shortlisted for the 2018 Duff Cooper Prize in Literary Nonfiction “[A] brilliant book…by far the best study yet” (Paul Kennedy, The Wall Street Journal) of the gripping history behind the Marshall Plan and its long-lasting influence on our world. In the wake of World War II, with Britain’s empire collapsing and Stalin’s on the rise, US officials under new Secretary of State George C. Marshall set out to reconstruct western Europe as a bulwark against communist authoritarianism. Their massive, costly, and ambitious undertaking would confront Europeans and Americans alike with a vision at odds with their history and self-conceptions. In the process, they would drive the creation of NATO, the European Union, and a Western identity that continue to shape world events. Benn Steil’s “thoroughly researched and well-written account” (USA TODAY) tells the story behind the birth of the Cold War, told with verve, insight, and resonance for today. Focusing on the critical years 1947 to 1949, Benn Steil’s gripping narrative takes us through the seminal episodes marking the collapse of postwar US-Soviet relations—the Prague coup, the Berlin blockade, and the division of Germany. In each case, Stalin’s determination to crush the Marshall Plan and undermine American power in Europe is vividly portrayed. Bringing to bear fascinating new material from American, Russian, German, and other European archives, Steil’s account will forever change how we see the Marshall Plan. “Trenchant and timely…an ambitious, deeply researched narrative that…provides a fresh perspective on the coming Cold War” (The New York Times Book Review), The Marshall Plan is a polished and masterly work of historical narrative. An instant classic of Cold War literature, it “is a gripping, complex, and critically important story that is told with clarity and precision” (The Christian Science Monitor).