Potential Global Strategic Catastrophes

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Potential Global Strategic Catastrophes

Nayef R. F. Al-Rodhan
Potential Global Strategic Catastrophes Book PDF

Author : Nayef R. F. Al-Rodhan
Publisher : LIT Verlag Münster
Page : 322 pages
File Size : 54,9 Mb
Release : 2009
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9783643800046

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Potential Global Strategic Catastrophes by Nayef R. F. Al-Rodhan Pdf

This book is the result of a Symposium on Potential Global Strategic Catastrophes, which took place in Geneva, Switzerland in 2008. The catastrophes chosen do not include remote and less immediate events. Only those with the potential to produce multiple cascading strategic dilemmas for states and the international system were selected. These dilemmas include balancing the sovereign rights of states with human rights, transnational responsibilities and burden-sharing under occasional geopolitical uncertainties. The book deals with the theoretical foundations of coping with catastrophes and the relevant inter-state and organisational paradigms. Other sections address specific catastrophes and their potential consequences: pandemics, water crises, global warming, nanosecurity, nuclear catastrophes, financial meltdown, cyber crises, demographic imbalances and forced migrations, state failure and war, massive conventional terrorist attacks and threats to energy supply. Dr. Nayef R.F. Al-Rodhan is Senior Scholar in Geostrategy and Director of the Programme on the Geopolitical Implications of Globalisation and Transnational Security at the Geneva Centre for Security Policy, Geneva, Switzerland. "The tremendous power of globalisation unleashed some two decades ago demonstrates in fact how fragile the planet is. Never in history has man faced simultaneously seemingly unlimited opportunities and equally unlimited daunting threats and challenges. Potential Global Strategic Catastrophes is a remarkable publication based on the collective thoughts of some of the world's leading thinkers covering a broad spectrum of reality, the catastrophes that might ensue and the strategic implications. It is an excellent map for the 21st century." Jean-Pierre Lehmann, Professor of International Political Economy, IMD and Founding Director of The Evian Group, Lausanne, Switzerland.

World of Risk

Mark Haynes Daniell
World of Risk Book PDF

Author : Mark Haynes Daniell
Publisher : World Scientific
Page : 330 pages
File Size : 47,6 Mb
Release : 2004
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9812387595

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World of Risk by Mark Haynes Daniell Pdf

This book takes a fresh and critical look at the leading sources of global risk ? terrorism, disease, crime, poverty, environmental damage and others ? and sets out a practical way to respond far better than we have to each risk area.Drawing from his state-of-the-art knowledge of global strategy as applied in the business world, the author provides analysis, insight, realistic strategies, and hope for a better way forward. His foresight has already been demonstrated. Early in the year 2000, he wrote: ?Sadly, the history of mass terrorism is just about to be written. ? Even the US is no longer a safe haven from foreign or local terrorists. ? US policing has done little to limit the operations of terrorist Osama bin Laden. ? The vulnerability of large government and civilian buildings and even military targets has also contributed to an increase in the scale of potential harm.?Without a more informed set of strategies and better global leadership, the catastrophe of 9/11 will only be a forerunner of many more disasters in the future. We can do much better. This important book shows us how.

Natural Disasters and Climate Change

Stéphane Hallegatte
Natural Disasters and Climate Change Book PDF

Author : Stéphane Hallegatte
Publisher : Springer
Page : 194 pages
File Size : 48,6 Mb
Release : 2014-09-17
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9783319089331

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Natural Disasters and Climate Change by Stéphane Hallegatte Pdf

This book explores economic concepts related to disaster losses, describes mechanisms that determine the economic consequences of a disaster, and reviews methodologies for making decisions regarding risk management and adaptation. The author addresses the need for better understanding of the consequences of disasters and reviews and analyzes three scientific debates on linkage between disaster risk management and adaptation to climate change. The first involves the existence and magnitude of long-term economic impact of natural disasters on development. The second is the disagreement over whether any development is the proper solution to high vulnerability to disaster risk. The third debate involves the difficulty of drawing connections between natural disasters and climate change and the challenge in managing them through an integrated strategy. The introduction describes economic views of disaster, including direct and indirect costs, output and welfare losses, and use of econometric tools to measure losses. The next section defines disaster risk, delineates between “good” and “bad” risk-taking, and discusses a pathway to balanced growth. A section entitled “Trends in Hazards and the Role of Climate Change” sets scenarios for climate change analysis, discusses statistical and physical models for downscaling global climate scenarios to extreme event scenarios, and considers how to consider extremes of hot and cold, storms, wind, drought and flood. Another section analyzes case studies on hurricanes and the US coastline; sea-level rises and storm surge in Copenhagen; and heavy precipitation in Mumbai. A section on Methodologies for disaster risk management includes a study on cost-benefit analysis of coastal protections in New Orleans, and one on early-warning systems in developing countries. The next section outlines decision-making in disaster risk management, including robust decision-making, No-regret and No-risk strategies; and strategies that reduce time horizons for decision-making. Among the conclusions is the assertion that risk management policies must recognize the benefits of risk-taking and avoid suppressing it entirely. The main message is that a combination of disaster-risk-reduction, resilience-building and adaptation policies can yield large potential gains and synergies.

Global Trends 2040

National Intelligence Council
Global Trends 2040 Book PDF

Author : National Intelligence Council
Publisher : Cosimo Reports
Page : 158 pages
File Size : 41,8 Mb
Release : 2021-03
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 1646794974

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Global Trends 2040 by National Intelligence Council Pdf

"The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic marks the most significant, singular global disruption since World War II, with health, economic, political, and security implications that will ripple for years to come." -Global Trends 2040 (2021) Global Trends 2040-A More Contested World (2021), released by the US National Intelligence Council, is the latest report in its series of reports starting in 1997 about megatrends and the world's future. This report, strongly influenced by the COVID-19 pandemic, paints a bleak picture of the future and describes a contested, fragmented and turbulent world. It specifically discusses the four main trends that will shape tomorrow's world: - Demographics-by 2040, 1.4 billion people will be added mostly in Africa and South Asia. - Economics-increased government debt and concentrated economic power will escalate problems for the poor and middleclass. - Climate-a hotter world will increase water, food, and health insecurity. - Technology-the emergence of new technologies could both solve and cause problems for human life. Students of trends, policymakers, entrepreneurs, academics, journalists and anyone eager for a glimpse into the next decades, will find this report, with colored graphs, essential reading.

Global Strategic Developments

The Emirates Center for Strategic Studies and Research
Global Strategic Developments Book PDF

Author : The Emirates Center for Strategic Studies and Research
Publisher : Emirates Center for Strategic Studies and Research
Page : 48 pages
File Size : 45,6 Mb
Release : 2012-06-19
Category : Antiques & Collectibles
ISBN : 8210379456XXX

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Global Strategic Developments by The Emirates Center for Strategic Studies and Research Pdf

The world today faces numerous challenges, including the ongoing fallout from the financial crisis and varied and diverse examples of violence and conflict across the globe. Combined with the many changes affecting both the regional and global balance of power – such as the apparent decline of the United States, the growing influence of the East, and the evolving role of international organizations – these challenges have led some to question how global power will be distributed in the coming two decades. All nations are exposed to the influences of international policy and ongoing developments in the world order. Understanding these developments, as well as the associated implications for international security and stability, enables national policy makers to identify and capitalize on strategic opportunities. A future strategic vision for the Gulf must encompass a range of issues, including internal, regional and global aspects. The states of the region must develop stronger domestic resilience by binding citizens to the state in a way that reduces its vulnerability to malign transnational forces. Gulf states will wish to further deepen their links to the countries of the East—particularly states such as South Korea, Japan, Australia, China and India, all of whom have different ways that they can contribute to regional stability. They may also wish to be exporters rather than merely importers of security, contributing to international missions authorized by the UN and other international bodies. States that have this sense of international social responsibility become more vital to the global system as a whole. The GCC states will also wish to revive and increase the flexibility of their regional security apparatus, perhaps to engage Iran, Iraq and Yemen, and gain more control of immediate regional dynamics. Driving regional security in this way will partly insulate the GCC countries from the diplomatic initiatives of others that may not be consistent with GCC interests. Furthermore, the GCC states will seek to build stronger institutional links among themselves, deepening the co-operation and contacts between the civil servants of the member countries so that diplomacy between them is derived from disciplined organizational procedures. Just as each state has to develop its domestic resilience, so through institution-building should the GCC strengthen its corporate resilience. Overall the Gulf states need to develop an increasingly global outlook, even as they deal with internal challenges. They must find more ways to engage productively in the broader security dialogue of the region, with outside actors from Europe, North America and Asia. In the age of globalization, the states of the region need to be very mindful of the place good governance has in ensuring that the rest of international society is able to effectively engage with the Gulf states.

Great Powers and Strategic Stability in the 21st Century

Graeme P. Herd
Great Powers and Strategic Stability in the 21st Century Book PDF

Author : Graeme P. Herd
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 257 pages
File Size : 47,8 Mb
Release : 2010-02-25
Category : History
ISBN : 9781135233402

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Great Powers and Strategic Stability in the 21st Century by Graeme P. Herd Pdf

This book addresses the issue of grand strategic stability in the 21st century, and examines the role of the key centres of global power - US, EU, Russia, China and India - in managing contemporary strategic threats. This edited volume examines the cooperative and conflictual capacity of Great Powers to manage increasingly interconnected strategic threats (not least, terrorism and political extremism, WMD proliferation, fragile states, regional crises and conflict and the energy-climate nexus) in the 21st century. The contributors question whether global order will increasingly be characterised by a predictable interdependent one-world system, as strategic threats create interest-based incentives and functional benefits. The work moves on to argue that the operational concept of world order is a Concert of Great Powers directing a new institutional order, norms and regimes whose combination is strategic-threat specific, regionally sensitive, loosely organised, and inclusive of major states (not least Brazil, Turkey, South Africa and Indonesia). Leadership can be singular, collective or coalition-based and this will characterise the nature of strategic stability and world order in the 21st century. This book will be of much interest to students of international security, grand strategy, foreign policy and IR. Graeme P. Herd is Co-Director of the International Training Course in Security Policy at the Geneva Centre for Security Policy (GCSP). He is co-author of several books and co-editor of The Ideological War on Terror: World Wide Strategies for Counter Terrorism (2007), Soft Security Threats and European Security (2005), Security Dynamics of the former Soviet Bloc (2003) and Russia and the Regions: Strength through Weakness (2003).

The Politics of Emerging Strategic Technologies

Nayef R.F. Al-Rodhan
The Politics of Emerging Strategic Technologies Book PDF

Author : Nayef R.F. Al-Rodhan
Publisher : Springer
Page : 339 pages
File Size : 49,6 Mb
Release : 2011-04-28
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9780230304949

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The Politics of Emerging Strategic Technologies by Nayef R.F. Al-Rodhan Pdf

Examines key trends in emerging strategic technologies and the implications for geopolitics and human dignity. Al-Rodhan argues that future evolution into transhumans is inevitable. In preparation, the global community is urged to establish strict moral and legal guidelines balancing innovation with the guarantee of dignity for all.

The 2030 Spike

Colin Mason
The 2030 Spike Book PDF

Author : Colin Mason
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 256 pages
File Size : 40,6 Mb
Release : 2013-06-17
Category : Law
ISBN : 9781136555114

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The 2030 Spike by Colin Mason Pdf

The clock is relentlessly ticking! Our world teeters on a knife-edge between a peaceful and prosperous future for all, and a dark winter of death and destruction that threatens to smother the light of civilization. Within 30 years, in the 2030 decade, six powerful 'drivers' will converge with unprecedented force in a statistical spike that could tear humanity apart and plunge the world into a new Dark Age. Depleted fuel supplies, massive population growth, poverty, global climate change, famine, growing water shortages and international lawlessness are on a crash course with potentially catastrophic consequences. In the face of both doomsaying and denial over the state of our world, Colin Mason cuts through the rhetoric and reams of conflicting data to muster the evidence to illustrate a broad picture of the world as it is, and our possible futures. Ultimately his message is clear; we must act decisively, collectively and immediately to alter the trajectory of humanity away from catastrophe. Offering over 100 priorities for immediate action, The 2030 Spike serves as a guidebook for humanity through the treacherous minefields and wastelands ahead to a bright, peaceful and prosperous future in which all humans have the opportunity to thrive and build a better civilization. This book is powerful and essential reading for all people concerned with the future of humanity and planet earth.

Minutes to Midnight, 2nd Edition

Paul Dukes
Minutes to Midnight 2nd Edition Book PDF

Author : Paul Dukes
Publisher : Anthem Press
Page : 206 pages
File Size : 55,5 Mb
Release : 2020-10-30
Category : History
ISBN : 9781785274992

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Minutes to Midnight, 2nd Edition by Paul Dukes Pdf

The book examines the evolution of the predicament symbolised by the setting of the Doomsday Clock at a few minutes to midnight in the context of the Anthropocene Era from 1763, making special reference to the study of history throughout the period. It seeks to demonstrate the necessity for history as science, pointing out the inadequacy of some previous approaches. It argues for a pandisciplinary approach to today’s crisis.

Meta-Geopolitics of Outer Space

N. Al-Rodhan
Meta Geopolitics of Outer Space Book PDF

Author : N. Al-Rodhan
Publisher : Springer
Page : 236 pages
File Size : 50,6 Mb
Release : 2012-05-11
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781137016652

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Meta-Geopolitics of Outer Space by N. Al-Rodhan Pdf

Al-Rodhan sheds new light on the debate about the geopolitics of outer space, going beyond applying traditional International Relations approaches to space power and security by introducing a multidimensional spatial framework. The meta-geopolitics framework includes space and expands classical power considerations to cover seven state capacities.

Militarism and International Relations

Anna Stavrianakis,Jan Selby
Militarism and International Relations Book PDF

Author : Anna Stavrianakis,Jan Selby
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 234 pages
File Size : 42,5 Mb
Release : 2013
Category : History
ISBN : 9780415614917

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Militarism and International Relations by Anna Stavrianakis,Jan Selby Pdf

Militarism and international relations in the 21st century -- Twenty-first century militarism : a historical-sociological framework / Martin Shaw -- Challenging cartographies of enmity : empire, war and culture in contemporary militarization / Simon Dalby -- Militarism, "new wars" and the political economy of development : a Gramscian critique / Nicola Short -- War becomes academic : human terrain, virtuous war and contemporary militarism: an interview with James der Derian / Anna Stavrianakis and Jan Selby -- From Oslo to Gaza : Israel's "enlightened public" and the remilitarization of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict / Yoav Peled -- From political armies to the "war against crime" : the transformation of militarism in Latin America / Dirk Kruijt and Kees Koonings -- The global arms trade and the diffusion of militarism / David Kinsella -- Wilsonians under arms / Andrew J. Bacevich -- The political economy of EU space policy militarization : the case of the global monitoring for environment and security / Iraklis Oikonomou -- Producing men, the nation and commodities : the cultural political economy of militarism in Egypt / Ramy M.K. Aly -- The Chinese military: its political and economic function / Kerry Brown and Claudia Zanardi.

Rethinking Environmental Security

Dalby, Simon
Rethinking Environmental Security Book PDF

Author : Dalby, Simon
Publisher : Edward Elgar Publishing
Page : 224 pages
File Size : 49,6 Mb
Release : 2022-05-06
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781800375857

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Rethinking Environmental Security by Dalby, Simon Pdf

This timely Handbook on Digital Business Ecosystems provides a comprehensive overview of current research and industrial applications as well as suggestions for future developments. Multi-disciplinary in scope, the Handbook includes rigorously researched contributions from over 80 global expert authors from a variety of areas including administration and management, economics, computer science, industrial engineering, and media and communication.

World of Risk

Mark Haynes Daniell
World of Risk Book PDF

Author : Mark Haynes Daniell
Publisher : World Scientific
Page : 324 pages
File Size : 49,5 Mb
Release : 2004-05-27
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9789814483230

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World of Risk by Mark Haynes Daniell Pdf

This book takes a fresh and critical look at the leading sources of global risk — terrorism, disease, crime, poverty, environmental damage and others — and sets out a practical way to respond far better than we have to each risk area. Drawing from his state-of-the-art knowledge of global strategy as applied in the business world, the author provides analysis, insight, realistic strategies, and hope for a better way forward. His foresight has already been demonstrated. Early in the year 2000, he wrote: “Sadly, the history of mass terrorism is just about to be written. … Even the US is no longer a safe haven from foreign or local terrorists. … US policing has done little to limit the operations of terrorist Osama bin Laden. … The vulnerability of large government and civilian buildings and even military targets has also contributed to an increase in the scale of potential harm.” Without a more informed set of strategies and better global leadership, the catastrophe of 9/11 will only be a forerunner of many more disasters in the future. We can do much better. This important book shows us how. Contents:World of Risk — World of OpportunityScale and Nature of the ChallengeA New Approach to StrategyNext Generation StrategiesMass Terror — Just BeginningUnchecked Global CrimeThe Environment Under AttackNew Waves of DiseaseThe End of Culture?Technology and the CyberworldThe Growing Global UnderclassNo More Firewalls: The Economic CrisesImplementing and Integrated EffortLeadership and EngagementA Message of Hope Readership: Laypersons, business school students, managerial staff, Inc planners and economists. Keywords:Strategy;Policy;Leadership;Risk;Social Issues;Global Issues;Corporate Social Responsibility;International Relations;International Economics

Minutes to Midnight

Paul Dukes
Minutes to Midnight Book PDF

Author : Paul Dukes
Publisher : Anthem Press
Page : 167 pages
File Size : 44,8 Mb
Release : 2011
Category : History
ISBN : 9780857287793

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Minutes to Midnight by Paul Dukes Pdf

The Doomsday Clock was created in 1947 by a group of atomic scientists to symbolise the perils facing humanity from nuclear weapons. In 2007 it was set at five minutes before the final bell, including for the first time the threat of climate change as well as new developments in the life sciences and nanotechnology. This book aims at an analysis of the evolution of our present predicament throughout the Anthropocene Era beginning in 1763, making special reference to the history of the period, the study of the subject and major advances in the natural sciences. Adam Smith and Adam Ferguson set out the basis for a scientific approach to the pre-industrial stages of historical development in the Enlightenment of the late eighteenth century, when the American and French Revolutions created a vocabulary of modernity. Throughout the nineteenth and twentieth centuries, as the industrial revolution unfolded in several stages, nationalism, imperialism and totalitarianism were among the phenomena impeding the update of the Enlightenment programme as well as the fulfilment of the aspirations of 1776 and 1789. Our present predicament demands a rigorous examination of its origins and an assertion of a scientific pandisciplinary approach involving history and other academic specialisations.

Critical Turning Points in the Middle East

N. Al-Rodhan,G. Herd,L. Watanabe
Critical Turning Points in the Middle East Book PDF

Author : N. Al-Rodhan,G. Herd,L. Watanabe
Publisher : Springer
Page : 256 pages
File Size : 42,9 Mb
Release : 2011-04-28
Category : History
ISBN : 9780230306769

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Critical Turning Points in the Middle East by N. Al-Rodhan,G. Herd,L. Watanabe Pdf

This book takes a novel look at the modern Middle East through the prisms of six cascading negative critical turning points. It identifies the seeds of a potential seventh in the collective dignity deficits generated by poor governance paradigms and exacerbated by geopolitical competition for the region's natural resources.