Practical Applications Of Bayesian Reliability

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Practical Applications of Bayesian Reliability

Author : Yan Liu,Athula I. Abeyratne
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 320 pages
File Size : 41,9 Mb
Release : 2019-03-21
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN : 9781119288008

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Practical Applications of Bayesian Reliability by Yan Liu,Athula I. Abeyratne Pdf

Demonstrates how to solve reliability problems using practical applications of Bayesian models This self-contained reference provides fundamental knowledge of Bayesian reliability and utilizes numerous examples to show how Bayesian models can solve real life reliability problems. It teaches engineers and scientists exactly what Bayesian analysis is, what its benefits are, and how they can apply the methods to solve their own problems. To help readers get started quickly, the book presents many Bayesian models that use JAGS and which require fewer than 10 lines of command. It also offers a number of short R scripts consisting of simple functions to help them become familiar with R coding. Practical Applications of Bayesian Reliability starts by introducing basic concepts of reliability engineering, including random variables, discrete and continuous probability distributions, hazard function, and censored data. Basic concepts of Bayesian statistics, models, reasons, and theory are presented in the following chapter. Coverage of Bayesian computation, Metropolis-Hastings algorithm, and Gibbs Sampling comes next. The book then goes on to teach the concepts of design capability and design for reliability; introduce Bayesian models for estimating system reliability; discuss Bayesian Hierarchical Models and their applications; present linear and logistic regression models in Bayesian Perspective; and more. Provides a step-by-step approach for developing advanced reliability models to solve complex problems, and does not require in-depth understanding of statistical methodology Educates managers on the potential of Bayesian reliability models and associated impact Introduces commonly used predictive reliability models and advanced Bayesian models based on real life applications Includes practical guidelines to construct Bayesian reliability models along with computer codes for all of the case studies JAGS and R codes are provided on an accompanying website to enable practitioners to easily copy them and tailor them to their own applications Practical Applications of Bayesian Reliability is a helpful book for industry practitioners such as reliability engineers, mechanical engineers, electrical engineers, product engineers, system engineers, and materials scientists whose work includes predicting design or product performance.

Practical Applications of Bayesian Reliability

Author : Yan Liu,Athula I. Abeyratne
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 324 pages
File Size : 40,9 Mb
Release : 2019-05-28
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN : 9781119287971

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Practical Applications of Bayesian Reliability by Yan Liu,Athula I. Abeyratne Pdf

Demonstrates how to solve reliability problems using practical applications of Bayesian models This self-contained reference provides fundamental knowledge of Bayesian reliability and utilizes numerous examples to show how Bayesian models can solve real life reliability problems. It teaches engineers and scientists exactly what Bayesian analysis is, what its benefits are, and how they can apply the methods to solve their own problems. To help readers get started quickly, the book presents many Bayesian models that use JAGS and which require fewer than 10 lines of command. It also offers a number of short R scripts consisting of simple functions to help them become familiar with R coding. Practical Applications of Bayesian Reliability starts by introducing basic concepts of reliability engineering, including random variables, discrete and continuous probability distributions, hazard function, and censored data. Basic concepts of Bayesian statistics, models, reasons, and theory are presented in the following chapter. Coverage of Bayesian computation, Metropolis-Hastings algorithm, and Gibbs Sampling comes next. The book then goes on to teach the concepts of design capability and design for reliability; introduce Bayesian models for estimating system reliability; discuss Bayesian Hierarchical Models and their applications; present linear and logistic regression models in Bayesian Perspective; and more. Provides a step-by-step approach for developing advanced reliability models to solve complex problems, and does not require in-depth understanding of statistical methodology Educates managers on the potential of Bayesian reliability models and associated impact Introduces commonly used predictive reliability models and advanced Bayesian models based on real life applications Includes practical guidelines to construct Bayesian reliability models along with computer codes for all of the case studies JAGS and R codes are provided on an accompanying website to enable practitioners to easily copy them and tailor them to their own applications Practical Applications of Bayesian Reliability is a helpful book for industry practitioners such as reliability engineers, mechanical engineers, electrical engineers, product engineers, system engineers, and materials scientists whose work includes predicting design or product performance.

Bayesian Reliability

Author : Michael S. Hamada,Alyson Wilson,C. Shane Reese,Harry Martz
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 445 pages
File Size : 44,9 Mb
Release : 2008-08-15
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9780387779508

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Bayesian Reliability by Michael S. Hamada,Alyson Wilson,C. Shane Reese,Harry Martz Pdf

Bayesian Reliability presents modern methods and techniques for analyzing reliability data from a Bayesian perspective. The adoption and application of Bayesian methods in virtually all branches of science and engineering have significantly increased over the past few decades. This increase is largely due to advances in simulation-based computational tools for implementing Bayesian methods. The authors extensively use such tools throughout this book, focusing on assessing the reliability of components and systems with particular attention to hierarchical models and models incorporating explanatory variables. Such models include failure time regression models, accelerated testing models, and degradation models. The authors pay special attention to Bayesian goodness-of-fit testing, model validation, reliability test design, and assurance test planning. Throughout the book, the authors use Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms for implementing Bayesian analyses -- algorithms that make the Bayesian approach to reliability computationally feasible and conceptually straightforward. This book is primarily a reference collection of modern Bayesian methods in reliability for use by reliability practitioners. There are more than 70 illustrative examples, most of which utilize real-world data. This book can also be used as a textbook for a course in reliability and contains more than 160 exercises. Noteworthy highlights of the book include Bayesian approaches for the following: Goodness-of-fit and model selection methods Hierarchical models for reliability estimation Fault tree analysis methodology that supports data acquisition at all levels in the tree Bayesian networks in reliability analysis Analysis of failure count and failure time data collected from repairable systems, and the assessment of various related performance criteria Analysis of nondestructive and destructive degradation data Optimal design of reliability experiments Hierarchical reliability assurance testing

Bayesian Methods in Reliability

Author : P. Sander,R. Badoux
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 227 pages
File Size : 46,5 Mb
Release : 2012-12-06
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN : 9789401134828

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Bayesian Methods in Reliability by P. Sander,R. Badoux Pdf

When data is collected on failure or survival a list of times is obtained. Some of the times are failure times and others are the times at which the subject left the experiment. These times both give information about the performance of the system. The two types will be referred to as failure and censoring times (cf. Smith section 5). * A censoring time, t, gives less information than a failure time, for it is * known only that the item survived past t and not when it failed. The data is tn and of censoring thus collected as a list of failure times t , . . . , l * * * times t , t , . . . , t • 1 z m 2. 2. Classical methods The failure times are assumed to follow a parametric distribution F(t;B) with and reliability R(t;B). There are several methods of estimating density f(t;B) the parameter B based only on the data in the sample without any prior assumptions about B. The availability of powerful computers and software packages has made the method of maximum likelihood the most popular. Descriptions of most methods can be found in the book by Mann, Schafer and Singpurwalla (1974). In general the method of maximum likelihood is the most useful of the classical approaches. The likelihood approach is based on constructing the joint probability distrilmtion or density for a sample.

Risk and Reliability Analysis: Theory and Applications

Author : Paolo Gardoni
Publisher : Springer
Page : 559 pages
File Size : 52,8 Mb
Release : 2017-02-24
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN : 9783319524252

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Risk and Reliability Analysis: Theory and Applications by Paolo Gardoni Pdf

This book presents a unique collection of contributions from some of the foremost scholars in the field of risk and reliability analysis. Combining the most advanced analysis techniques with practical applications, it is one of the most comprehensive and up-to-date books available on risk-based engineering. All the fundamental concepts needed to conduct risk and reliability assessments are covered in detail, providing readers with a sound understanding of the field and making the book a powerful tool for students and researchers alike. This book was prepared in honor of Professor Armen Der Kiureghian, one of the fathers of modern risk and reliability analysis.

Bayesian Reliability Analysis

Author : Harry F. Martz,Ray A. Waller
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 778 pages
File Size : 55,7 Mb
Release : 1982-05-14
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : MINN:31951000486757M

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Bayesian Reliability Analysis by Harry F. Martz,Ray A. Waller Pdf

A comprehensive collection of and introduction to the major advances in Bayesian reliability analysis techniques developed during the last two decades, in textbook form. Focuses primary attention on the exponential, Weibull, normal, log normal, inverse Gaussian, and gamma failure time distributions, as well as the binomial, Pascal, and Poisson sampling models. Noninformative and natural conhugate prior distributions are emphasized, although other classes or prior distributions are also often considered. Background chapters on probability, statistics, and classical reliability analysis methods are also included.

Bayesian Networks

Author : Olivier Pourret,Patrick Naïm,Bruce Marcot
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 446 pages
File Size : 50,7 Mb
Release : 2008-04-30
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 0470994541

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Bayesian Networks by Olivier Pourret,Patrick Naïm,Bruce Marcot Pdf

Bayesian Networks, the result of the convergence of artificial intelligence with statistics, are growing in popularity. Their versatility and modelling power is now employed across a variety of fields for the purposes of analysis, simulation, prediction and diagnosis. This book provides a general introduction to Bayesian networks, defining and illustrating the basic concepts with pedagogical examples and twenty real-life case studies drawn from a range of fields including medicine, computing, natural sciences and engineering. Designed to help analysts, engineers, scientists and professionals taking part in complex decision processes to successfully implement Bayesian networks, this book equips readers with proven methods to generate, calibrate, evaluate and validate Bayesian networks. The book: Provides the tools to overcome common practical challenges such as the treatment of missing input data, interaction with experts and decision makers, determination of the optimal granularity and size of the model. Highlights the strengths of Bayesian networks whilst also presenting a discussion of their limitations. Compares Bayesian networks with other modelling techniques such as neural networks, fuzzy logic and fault trees. Describes, for ease of comparison, the main features of the major Bayesian network software packages: Netica, Hugin, Elvira and Discoverer, from the point of view of the user. Offers a historical perspective on the subject and analyses future directions for research. Written by leading experts with practical experience of applying Bayesian networks in finance, banking, medicine, robotics, civil engineering, geology, geography, genetics, forensic science, ecology, and industry, the book has much to offer both practitioners and researchers involved in statistical analysis or modelling in any of these fields.

Bayesian Inference and Computation in Reliability and Survival Analysis

Author : Yuhlong Lio,Ding-Geng Chen,Hon Keung Tony Ng,Tzong-Ru Tsai
Publisher : Springer Nature
Page : 367 pages
File Size : 50,9 Mb
Release : 2022-08-01
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9783030886585

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Bayesian Inference and Computation in Reliability and Survival Analysis by Yuhlong Lio,Ding-Geng Chen,Hon Keung Tony Ng,Tzong-Ru Tsai Pdf

Bayesian analysis is one of the important tools for statistical modelling and inference. Bayesian frameworks and methods have been successfully applied to solve practical problems in reliability and survival analysis, which have a wide range of real world applications in medical and biological sciences, social and economic sciences, and engineering. In the past few decades, significant developments of Bayesian inference have been made by many researchers, and advancements in computational technology and computer performance has laid the groundwork for new opportunities in Bayesian computation for practitioners. Because these theoretical and technological developments introduce new questions and challenges, and increase the complexity of the Bayesian framework, this book brings together experts engaged in groundbreaking research on Bayesian inference and computation to discuss important issues, with emphasis on applications to reliability and survival analysis. Topics covered are timely and have the potential to influence the interacting worlds of biostatistics, engineering, medical sciences, statistics, and more. The included chapters present current methods, theories, and applications in the diverse area of biostatistical analysis. The volume as a whole serves as reference in driving quality global health research.

Statistical Methods for Reliability Data

Author : William Q. Meeker,Luis A. Escobar,Francis G. Pascual
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 708 pages
File Size : 47,9 Mb
Release : 2022-01-24
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN : 9781118594483

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Statistical Methods for Reliability Data by William Q. Meeker,Luis A. Escobar,Francis G. Pascual Pdf

An authoritative guide to the most recent advances in statistical methods for quantifying reliability Statistical Methods for Reliability Data, Second Edition (SMRD2) is an essential guide to the most widely used and recently developed statistical methods for reliability data analysis and reliability test planning. Written by three experts in the area, SMRD2 updates and extends the long- established statistical techniques and shows how to apply powerful graphical, numerical, and simulation-based methods to a range of applications in reliability. SMRD2 is a comprehensive resource that describes maximum likelihood and Bayesian methods for solving practical problems that arise in product reliability and similar areas of application. SMRD2 illustrates methods with numerous applications and all the data sets are available on the book’s website. Also, SMRD2 contains an extensive collection of exercises that will enhance its use as a course textbook. The SMRD2's website contains valuable resources, including R packages, Stan model codes, presentation slides, technical notes, information about commercial software for reliability data analysis, and csv files for the 93 data sets used in the book's examples and exercises. The importance of statistical methods in the area of engineering reliability continues to grow and SMRD2 offers an updated guide for, exploring, modeling, and drawing conclusions from reliability data. SMRD2 features: Contains a wealth of information on modern methods and techniques for reliability data analysis Offers discussions on the practical problem-solving power of various Bayesian inference methods Provides examples of Bayesian data analysis performed using the R interface to the Stan system based on Stan models that are available on the book's website Includes helpful technical-problem and data-analysis exercise sets at the end of every chapter Presents illustrative computer graphics that highlight data, results of analyses, and technical concepts Written for engineers and statisticians in industry and academia, Statistical Methods for Reliability Data, Second Edition offers an authoritative guide to this important topic.

Bayesian Reliability Analysis

Author : Harry Franklin Martz,Ray A. Waller
Publisher : Krieger Publishing Company
Page : 745 pages
File Size : 51,6 Mb
Release : 1991
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN : 0894643959

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Bayesian Reliability Analysis by Harry Franklin Martz,Ray A. Waller Pdf

Modern Statistical and Mathematical Methods in Reliability

Author : Alyson G. Wilson
Publisher : World Scientific
Page : 430 pages
File Size : 44,9 Mb
Release : 2005
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9789812563569

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Modern Statistical and Mathematical Methods in Reliability by Alyson G. Wilson Pdf

This volume contains extended versions of 28 carefully selected and reviewed papers presented at The Fourth International Conference on Mathematical Methods in Reliability in Santa Fe, New Mexico, June 21-25, 2004, the leading conference in reliability research. A broad overview of current research activities in reliability theory and its applications is provided with coverage on reliability modeling, network and system reliability, Bayesian methods, survival analysis, degradation and maintenance modeling, and software reliability. The contributors are all leading experts in the field and include the plenary session speakers, Tim Bedford, Thierry Duchesne, Henry Wynn, Vicki Bier, Edsel Pena, Michael Hamada, and Todd Graves.

Recent Advances in Reliability Theory

Author : N. Limnios,M. Nikulin
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 515 pages
File Size : 49,8 Mb
Release : 2012-12-06
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN : 9781461213840

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Recent Advances in Reliability Theory by N. Limnios,M. Nikulin Pdf

This book presents thirty-one extensive and carefully edited chapters providing an up-to-date survey of new models and methods for reliability analysis and applications in science, engineering, and technology. The chapters contain broad coverage of the latest developments and innovative techniques in a wide range of theoretical and numerical issues in the field of statistical and probabilistic methods in reliability.

System and Bayesian Reliability

Author : Yu Hayakawa,Richard E. Barlow,Telba Irony,Min Xie
Publisher : World Scientific
Page : 444 pages
File Size : 49,8 Mb
Release : 2001
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN : 9812799540

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System and Bayesian Reliability by Yu Hayakawa,Richard E. Barlow,Telba Irony,Min Xie Pdf

This volume is a collection of articles on reliability systems and Bayesian reliability analysis. Written by reputable researchers, the articles are self-contained and are linked with literature reviews and new research ideas. The book is dedicated to Emeritus Professor Richard E Barlow, who is well known for his pioneering research on reliability theory and Bayesian reliability analysis. Contents: System Reliability Analysis: On Regular Reliability Models (J-C Chang et al.); Bounding System Reliability (J N Hagstrom & S M Ross); Large Excesses for Finite-State Markov Chains (D Blackwell); Ageing Properties: Nonmonotonic Failure Rates and Mean Residual Life Functions (R C Gupta); The Failure Rate and the Mean Residual Lifetime of Mixtures (M S Finkelstein); On Some Discrete Notions of Aging (C Bracquemond et al.); Bayesian Analysis: On the Practical Implementation of the Bayesian Paradigm in Reliability and Risk Analysis (T Aven); A Weibull Wearout Test: Full Bayesian Approach (T Z Irony et al.); Bayesian Nonparametric Estimation of a Monotone Hazard Rate (M-W Ho & A Y Lo); and other papers. Readership: Students, academics, researchers and professionals in industrial engineering, probability and statistics, and applied mathematics.

Frontiers in Reliability

Author : Asit P. Basu,Shyamaprasad Mukhopadhyay,Sujit K. Basu
Publisher : World Scientific
Page : 512 pages
File Size : 54,9 Mb
Release : 1998
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN : 9810233604

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Frontiers in Reliability by Asit P. Basu,Shyamaprasad Mukhopadhyay,Sujit K. Basu Pdf

This volume presents recent results in reliability theory by leading experts in the world. It will prove valuable for researchers, and users of reliability theory. It consists of refereed invited papers on a broad spectrum of topics in reliability. The subjects covered include Bayesian reliability, Bayesian reliability modeling, confounding in a series system, DF tests, Edgeworth approximation to reliability, estimation under random censoring, fault tree reduction for reliability, inference about changes in hazard rates, information theory and reliability, mixture experiment, mixture of Weibull distributions, queuing network approach in reliability theory, reliability estimation, reliability modeling, repairable systems, residual life function, software spare allocation systems, stochastic comparisons, stress-strength models, system-based component test plans, and TTT-transform.