Predicting Party Sizes

Author : Rein Taagepera
Publisher : OUP Oxford
Page : 336 pages
File Size : 51,7 Mb
Release : 2007-08-23
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9780191537028

Get Book

Predicting Party Sizes by Rein Taagepera Pdf

For a given electoral system, what average number and sizes of parties and government duration can we expect? Predicting Party Sizes is the first book to make specific predictions that agree with world averages. The basic factors are the numbers of seats in the assembly and in the average electoral district. While previous models tell us only the direction in which to change the electoral system, the present ones also tell us by how much they must be changed so as to obtain the desired change in average number of parties and cabinet duration. Hence, combined with known particularities of a country, they can be used for informed institutional design. The book is useful to three types of readers: political science students learning the basics of electoral systems and their political consequences; practitioners of politics who consider changing the electoral laws; and researchers intent on connecting electoral and party systems. The book is structured accordingly. Chapters start with advice and recipes for practicing politicians, in non-technical language. The main text gives students an overview of electoral systems, worldwide, and supplies evidence for models that tie simple electoral systems (First-Past-The-Post and List Proportional Representation) to the number and sizes of parties and government duration. Chapter appendices present derivations of these models and other more technical issues of interest to researchers.

Author : Rein Taagepera
Publisher : Oxford University Press on Demand
Page : 337 pages
File Size : 51,7 Mb
Release : 2007-08-23
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9780199287741

Get Book

Predicting Party Sizes by Rein Taagepera Pdf

Predicting Party Sizes connects party systems and government duration to electoral systems. This book provides an overview of electoral systems, worldwide, and supplies evidence for models that tie simple electoral systems to the number and sizes of parties and government duration.

Author : Matthew S. Shugart,Rein Taagepera
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
Page : 361 pages
File Size : 45,9 Mb
Release : 2017-10-19
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781108417020

Get Book

Votes from Seats by Matthew S. Shugart,Rein Taagepera Pdf

Four laws of party seats and votes are constructed by logic and tested, using physics-like approaches which are rare in social sciences.

Author : Rein Taagepera
Publisher : OUP Oxford
Page : 272 pages
File Size : 52,5 Mb
Release : 2008-07-24
Category : Science
ISBN : 9780191560033

Get Book

Making Social Sciences More Scientific by Rein Taagepera Pdf

In his challenging new book Rein Taagepera argues that society needs more from social sciences than they have delivered. One reason for falling short is that social sciences have depended excessively on regression and other statistical approaches, neglecting logical model building. Science is not only about the empirical 'What is?' but also very much about the conceptual 'How should it be on logical grounds?' Statistical approaches are essentially descriptive, while quantitatively formulated logical models are predictive in an explanatory way. Why Social Sciences Are Not Scientific Enough contrasts the predominance of statistics in today's social sciences and predominance of quantitatively predictive logical models in physics. It shows how to construct predictive models and gives social science examples. Why Social Sciences Are Not Scientific Enough is useful to students who wish to learn the basics of the scientific method and to all those researchers who look for ways to do better social science.

Author : Pieter Kubben,Michel Dumontier,Andre Dekker
Publisher : Springer
Page : 219 pages
File Size : 49,7 Mb
Release : 2018-12-21
Category : Medical
ISBN : 9783319997131

Get Book

Fundamentals of Clinical Data Science by Pieter Kubben,Michel Dumontier,Andre Dekker Pdf

This open access book comprehensively covers the fundamentals of clinical data science, focusing on data collection, modelling and clinical applications. Topics covered in the first section on data collection include: data sources, data at scale (big data), data stewardship (FAIR data) and related privacy concerns. Aspects of predictive modelling using techniques such as classification, regression or clustering, and prediction model validation will be covered in the second section. The third section covers aspects of (mobile) clinical decision support systems, operational excellence and value-based healthcare. Fundamentals of Clinical Data Science is an essential resource for healthcare professionals and IT consultants intending to develop and refine their skills in personalized medicine, using solutions based on large datasets from electronic health records or telemonitoring programmes. The book’s promise is “no math, no code”and will explain the topics in a style that is optimized for a healthcare audience.

Author : Ray Fair
Publisher : Stanford University Press
Page : 232 pages
File Size : 49,7 Mb
Release : 2011-12-14
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780804778022

Get Book

Predicting Presidential Elections and Other Things, Second Edition by Ray Fair Pdf

"It's the economy, stupid," as Democratic strategist James Carville would say. After many years of study, Ray C. Fair has found that the state of the economy has a dominant influence on national elections. Just in time for the 2012 presidential election, this new edition of his classic text, Predicting Presidential Elections and Other Things, provides us with a look into the likely future of our nation's political landscape—but Fair doesn't stop there. Fair puts other national issues under the microscope as well—including congressional elections, Federal Reserve behavior, and inflation. In addition he covers topics well beyond today's headlines, as the book takes on questions of more direct, personal interest such as wine quality, predicting football games, and aging effects in baseball. Which of your friends is most likely to have an extramarital affair? How important is class attendance for academic performance in college? How fast can you expect to run a race or perform some physical task at age 55, given your time at age 30? Read Predicting Presidential Elections and Other Things and find out! As Fair works his way through an incredibly broad range of questions and topics, he teaches and delights. The discussion that underlies each chapter topic moves from formulating theories about real world phenomena to lessons on how to analyze data, test theories, and make predictions. At the end of this book, readers will walk away with more than mere predictions. They will have learned a new approach to thinking about many age-old concerns in public and private life, and will have a myriad of fun facts to share.

Author : W. Mark Crain,William Mark Crain,Robert D. Tollison
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 328 pages
File Size : 43,8 Mb
Release : 1990
Category : Political science
ISBN : STANFORD:36105034075536

Get Book

Predicting Politics by W. Mark Crain,William Mark Crain,Robert D. Tollison Pdf

Brings together essays by scholars who have worked in the public choice tradition.

Author : Patty Hogg,Ontario. Northeast Science and Technology
Publisher : [Timmins] : Ontario Ministry of Natural Resources, Northeast Science and Technology
Page : 12 pages
File Size : 48,7 Mb
Release : 1995
Category : Nature
ISBN : MINN:31951P004437157

Get Book

Predicting Moose Population Size Using Harvest Survey Information by Patty Hogg,Ontario. Northeast Science and Technology Pdf

Author : Christopher J. Barnard,Francis Sylvest Gilbert,Peter K. McGregor
Publisher : Prentice Hall
Page : 178 pages
File Size : 42,8 Mb
Release : 1993
Category : Science
ISBN : UOM:39015035765109

Get Book

Asking Questions in Biology by Christopher J. Barnard,Francis Sylvest Gilbert,Peter K. McGregor Pdf

This lively book explores how to: Formulate hypotheses and predictions; Design critical observations and experiments to test them; Choose appropriate statistical analyses; Present results and write reports

Author : Diagram Group
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 134 pages
File Size : 52,6 Mb
Release : 1985-11-12
Category : Astrology
ISBN : 0345335791

Get Book

Predicting Your Future by Diagram Group Pdf

Discover what tomorrow holds in store for you. PREDICTING YOUR FUTURE has complete instructions for ancient and exotic fortune-telling methods, including: astrology, tarot cards, numerology, dice, palmistry, and more. This package also includes charts, diagrams, and drawings, plus actual predictions by fortune-telling experts.

Author : Pedro Felix Hernandez
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 24 pages
File Size : 44,5 Mb
Release : 1970
Category : Agricultural innovations
ISBN : UIUC:30112019600045

Get Book

Predicting Technological Change on Farms by Pedro Felix Hernandez Pdf

Author : Jennifer R. Duffy
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 28 pages
File Size : 41,5 Mb
Release : 2006
Category : Computer adaptive testing
ISBN : STANFORD:36105063834837

Get Book

Analysis of Differential Prediction of Law School Performance by Gender Subgroups Based on 1999-2001 Entering Law School Classes by Jennifer R. Duffy Pdf

Author : Eric Dunstan Lawrence
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 288 pages
File Size : 45,5 Mb
Release : 2006
Category : Electronic
ISBN : MINN:31951P01038633A

Get Book

Essays on Procedural Development in the United States Congress by Eric Dunstan Lawrence Pdf

Author : Bruce R. Orvis,Rand Corporation
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 64 pages
File Size : 47,5 Mb
Release : 1989
Category : United States
ISBN : IND:30000027116403

Get Book

Predicting Enlistment for Recruiting Market Segments by Bruce R. Orvis,Rand Corporation Pdf

This Note examines the relationships between geodemographic information and individual (micro) models of enlistment decisionmaking. Although geodemographic systems can identify groups with varying enlistment rates, they provide limited information on the factors underlying enlistment. Given the apparent advantages of the micro models, the authors undertook to determine whether (1) differences in enlistment rates among the geodemographic groups are attributable to the types of factors included in the micro models; (2) including geodemographic information in the individual-level models improves the prediction of enlistment decisionmaking; and 3) the factors predicting enlistment vary by geodemographic groupings distinguish areas with different enlistment rates, they could be used in efforts such as targeting the mailing of recruiting literature and allocating recruiters or recruiting goals. At the same time, the authors found that enlistment decisionmaking micro models capture much of the same information. Finally, the research shows that the micro models are superior to the geodemographic information in predicting individuals' enlistment decisions and that the inclusion of geodemographic information in the micro models has little meaningful impact on enlistment behavior predictions.

Author : James Paul Johnston,Harvey Edward Pasis
Publisher : Scarborough, Ont. : Prentice-Hall Canada
Page : 516 pages
File Size : 45,8 Mb
Release : 1990
Category : Canada
ISBN : NWU:35556019582949

Get Book

Representation and Electoral Systems by James Paul Johnston,Harvey Edward Pasis Pdf