Presidential Polls And The News Media

Author : Paul J Lavrakas,Michael Traugott,Peter V Miller
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 238 pages
File Size : 46,8 Mb
Release : 2019-06-26
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781000308082

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Presidential Polls And The News Media by Paul J Lavrakas,Michael Traugott,Peter V Miller Pdf

Most news media are "data rich but analysis poor" when it comes to election polling. Since election polls clearly have the power to influence campaigns and election post-mortems, it is important that "spin" not take precedence over significance in the reporting of poll results. In this volume, experts in the media and in academe challenge the conventional approaches that most news media take in their poll-based campaign coverage. The book reports new research findings on news coverage of recent presidential elections and provides a myriad of examples of how journalists and news media executives can improve their analysis of poll data, thereby better serving our political processes.

Author : PAUL J. TRAUGOTT LAVRAKAS (MICHAEL. MILLER, PETER V.),Michael Traugott,Peter V Miller
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 296 pages
File Size : 41,5 Mb
Release : 2019-06-30
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 0367284227

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Presidential Polls and the News Media by PAUL J. TRAUGOTT LAVRAKAS (MICHAEL. MILLER, PETER V.),Michael Traugott,Peter V Miller Pdf

Most news media are "data rich but analysis poor" when it comes to election polling. Since election polls clearly have the power to influence campaigns and election post-mortems, it is important that "spin" not take precedence over significance in the reporting of poll results. In this volume, experts in the media and in academe challenge the conventional approaches that most news media take in their poll-based campaign coverage. The book reports new research findings on news coverage of recent presidential elections and provides a myriad of examples of how journalists and news media executives can improve their analysis of poll data, thereby better serving our political processes.

Author : Paul J. Lavrakas,Michael W. Traugott
Publisher : Qc Press
Page : 380 pages
File Size : 53,7 Mb
Release : 2000
Category : Election forecasting
ISBN : STANFORD:36105028472988

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Election Polls, the News Media, and Democracy by Paul J. Lavrakas,Michael W. Traugott Pdf

This is an introduction to modern polling. Focusing primarily on the 1996 US presidential election campaign, scholars and media pollsters address such topics as political campaigns, elections, voting behaviour and public opinion, as well as the news media's role in elections and democracy.

Author : Peter V Miller,Paul J Lavrakas,Michael Traugott
Publisher : Westview Press
Page : 279 pages
File Size : 52,7 Mb
Release : 1996-03-21
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 0813389895

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Presidential Polls And The News Media by Peter V Miller,Paul J Lavrakas,Michael Traugott Pdf

Experts in the media and academe challenge the conventional approaches that most news media take in their poll-based campaign coverage. They report new research findings on news coverage of recent presidential elections and provide numerous examples of how journalists and news media executives can improve their analysis of poll data. Annotation copyright by Book News, Inc., Portland, OR

Author : Richard Craig
Publisher : Lexington Books
Page : 252 pages
File Size : 47,6 Mb
Release : 2014-11-13
Category : Social Science
ISBN : 9780739191507

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Polls, Expectations, and Elections by Richard Craig Pdf

This study of U.S. presidential campaign coverage argues that journalists often tell audiences what actions candidates should take on the campaign trail based solely on whether they’re leading or trailing in the polls. The study of TV coverage of the last twelve elections shows that such “expectation setting” has increased dramatically over time.

Author : Thomas E. Patterson
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 232 pages
File Size : 51,8 Mb
Release : 1980
Category : Mass media
ISBN : UOM:39015035321226

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The Mass Media Election by Thomas E. Patterson Pdf

A detailed study of presidential election news coverage and its effect on voters focuses on the news audience and the images of candidates.

Author : Leticia Bode,Ceren Budak,Jonathan M. Ladd
Publisher : Brookings Institution Press
Page : 276 pages
File Size : 48,6 Mb
Release : 2020-05-26
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9780815731924

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Words That Matter by Leticia Bode,Ceren Budak,Jonathan M. Ladd Pdf

How the 2016 news media environment allowed Trump to win the presidency The 2016 presidential election campaign might have seemed to be all about one man. He certainly did everything possible to reinforce that impression. But to an unprecedented degree the campaign also was about the news media and its relationships with the man who won and the woman he defeated. Words that Matter assesses how the news media covered the extraordinary 2016 election and, more important, what information—true, false, or somewhere in between—actually helped voters make up their minds. Using journalists' real-time tweets and published news coverage of campaign events, along with Gallup polling data measuring how voters perceived that reporting, the book traces the flow of information from candidates and their campaigns to journalists and to the public. The evidence uncovered shows how Donald Trump's victory, and Hillary Clinton's loss, resulted in large part from how the news media responded to these two unique candidates. Both candidates were unusual in their own ways, and thus presented a long list of possible issues for the media to focus on. Which of these many topics got communicated to voters made a big difference outcome. What people heard about these two candidates during the campaign was quite different. Coverage of Trump was scattered among many different issues, and while many of those issues were negative, no single negative narrative came to dominate the coverage of the man who would be elected the 45th president of the United States. Clinton, by contrast, faced an almost unrelenting news media focus on one negative issue—her alleged misuse of e-mails—that captured public attention in a way that the more numerous questions about Trump did not. Some news media coverage of the campaign was insightful and helpful to voters who really wanted serious information to help them make the most important decision a democracy offers. But this book also demonstrates how the modern media environment can exacerbate the kind of pack journalism that leads some issues to dominate the news while others of equal or greater importance get almost no attention, making it hard for voters to make informed choices.

Author : Michael Pfau,J. Brian Houston,Shane M. Semmler
Publisher : Rowman & Littlefield
Page : 192 pages
File Size : 45,6 Mb
Release : 2007
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 0742541444

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Mediating the Vote by Michael Pfau,J. Brian Houston,Shane M. Semmler Pdf

A sea change is taking place in how people use media, and it affects not only how people perceive political candidates and where they get their information, but also--more broadly--their basic democratic values. Mediating the Vote systematically explores a number of questions about media use and its relation to democratic engagement, analyzing the effects of communication forms on the 2004 presidential elections. Are Democratic and Republican voters increasingly turning to different outlets for information about candidates and campaigns and, if so, what does this mean for political discourse? Which communication forms--newspapers, television news programs, the Internet, or films--had the greatest impact on people's perceptions of the presidential candidates during the 2004 campaigns? Do different forms of media affect people, either intellectually or emotionally, in distinct ways? And do some communication forms elevate, whereas others degrade, basic democratic values? This book probes these questions and more, and the results contribute to an important goal in political communication studies: creating a more refined, integrated, and--ultimately--precise picture of how media affects democratic engagement.

Author : Thomas E. Mann,Gary R. Orren
Publisher : Brookings Institution Press
Page : 183 pages
File Size : 45,7 Mb
Release : 2010-12-01
Category : Social Science
ISBN : 9780815718475

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Media Polls in American Politics by Thomas E. Mann,Gary R. Orren Pdf

Public opinion pools have become staples of contemporary political reporting, and most national news organizations have sophisticated in-house polling operations. The increased number and quality of polls conducted and reported by the press give the public a chance to help see the agendas of campaigns and define the meaning of elections. Yet competition and the need for fast responses to events often lead news organizations to misuse polls in a way that diminishes rather than enhances democracy. Polls can shape public opinion as well as describe it; they can set the news agenda and influence the coverage of political events in ways hostile to a constructive dialogue between citizens and their leaders. In this volume, media specialist and well-known reporters provide a comprehensive survey of the problems and possibilities of polling by media organizations in the 1990s and beyond. Thomas Mann and Gary Orren analyze the strengths and weaknesses of media polls and their impact on American politics. Everett Carll Ladd and John Benson discuss the extraordinary growth of polling in news organizations for the past two decades. Kathleen Frankovic addresses the tension between the needs of news organizations for quick results and the need to preserve the standards of survey research. Henry Brady and Gary Orren examine the most serious methodological problems with news media polls. Michael Kagay explores the sources of well-publicized variability in poll findings. Michael Traugott considers the complicated question of how polls influence the public and whether their effects are benign or harmful. Finally, E. J. Dionne, Jr. examines media organizations' obsession with polls and the impact polls have on reporters. The authors offer recommendations for improving the conduct and use of media polls so that citizens can make better informed and enlightened decisions about the public agenda.

Author : W. Joseph Campbell
Publisher : Univ of California Press
Page : 365 pages
File Size : 51,9 Mb
Release : 2020-08-25
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9780520972131

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Lost in a Gallup by W. Joseph Campbell Pdf

A sweeping look at the messy and contentious past of US presidential pre-election polls and why they aren’t as reliable as we think. Polls in U.S. presidential elections can and do get it wrong—as surprising outcomes in 2020, in 2016, in 2012, in 2004, in 2000 all remind us. Lost in a Gallup captures in lively and unprecedented fashion the stories of polling flops, epic upsets, unforeseen landslides, and exit poll fiascoes in presidential elections since 1936. Polling’s checkered record in elections has rarely been considered in detail and, until now, has never been addressed collectively. Polling embarrassments are not all alike. Pollsters have anticipated tight elections when landslides occurred; they have indicated the wrong winner in closer elections; state polls have confounded expected national outcomes. Exit polling has thrown Election Day into confusion. The work of venerable pollsters has been singularly and memorably in error. It is a rare presidential election not to be marred by polling controversies. Lost in a Gallup casts a critical eye on major figures in election polling such as George Gallup, a prickly founding father of public opinion research. The book also considers the polling innovations of Warren Mitofsky, whose admonition rings true across generations: “There’s a lot of room for humility in polling. Every time you get cocky, you lose.” Lost in a Gallup examines how polling failure often equates to journalistic failure. Historically, poll-bashing was quite pronounced among prominent journalists, including well-known newspaper columnists such as Mike Royko in Chicago and Jimmy Breslin in New York. They and other journalists challenged the presumption that polls could accurately measure or interpret what the public was thinking. Even so, polls drive news media narratives about presidential elections, shaping conventional wisdom about how competitive those races are. As Lost in a Gallup makes clear, polls are not always in error. But when they fail, they can fail in surprising ways.

Author : Robert S. Hinck,Skye C. Cooley,Randolph Kluver
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 225 pages
File Size : 48,8 Mb
Release : 2019-06-13
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781000012101

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Global Media and Strategic Narratives of Contested Democracy by Robert S. Hinck,Skye C. Cooley,Randolph Kluver Pdf

In order to better understand how the world viewed the US 2016 presidential election, the issues that mattered around the world, and how nations made sense of how their media systems constructed presentations of the presidential election, Robert S. Hinck, Skye C. Cooley, and Randolph Kluver examine global news narratives during the campaign and immediately afterwards. Analyzing 1,578 news stories from 62 sources within three regional media ecologies in China, Russia, and the Middle East, Hinck, Cooley, and Kluver demonstrate how the US election was incorporated into narrative constructions of the global order. They establish that the narratives told about the US election through national and regional media provide insights into how foreign nations construct US democracy, and reflect local understandings regarding the issues, and impacts, of US policy towards those nations. Avoiding jargon-laden prose, Global Media and Strategic Narratives of Contested Democracy is as accessible as it is wide-ranging. Its empirical detail will expand readers’ understanding of soft power as narrative articulations of foreign nation’s policies, values, and beliefs within localized media systems. Communication/media studies students, as well as political scientists whose studies includes media and global politics, will welcome its publication.

Author : F. Christopher Arterton
Publisher : Free Press
Page : 248 pages
File Size : 52,6 Mb
Release : 1984
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 0669075043

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Media Politics by F. Christopher Arterton Pdf

Author : Kenneth Dautrich,Thomas H. Hartley
Publisher : Columbia University Press
Page : 220 pages
File Size : 53,5 Mb
Release : 1999
Category : Language Arts & Disciplines
ISBN : 0231111770

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How the News Media Fail American Voters by Kenneth Dautrich,Thomas H. Hartley Pdf

It is often noted that the public is frustrated with the news media. But what do American voters really think about how the media present political information? While studies have examined how the news shapes opinions as well as what people respond to and remember, this is the first book to provide an in-depth analysis of how voters use and evaluate the news media in political elections and the impact these trends have on their use of the news. Kenneth Dautrich and Thomas H. Hartley performed a four-wave national panel survey of voters during the 1996 presidential campaign. They found that although voters are profoundly dissatisfied with the usefulness of news in helping them make decisions, they are unlikely to stop using the news media or switch media (from network news to public broadcasting, for instance). Thus the media have little incentive to adjust to the needs or wishes of voters. Here is an important contribution to the debate about the responsibilities of the news media raging among pundits and policymakers.

Author : Stephen J. Farnsworth,Robert S. Lichter
Publisher : Rowman & Littlefield Publishers
Page : 247 pages
File Size : 40,5 Mb
Release : 2010-09-16
Category : Social Science
ISBN : 9781442200692

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The Nightly News Nightmare by Stephen J. Farnsworth,Robert S. Lichter Pdf

The Nightly News Nightmare, Third Edition, examines news coverage of presidential nomination and election campaigns from 1988 to 2008. The book focuses on changes in the amount, tone, and focus of news coverage in these different electoral contexts. In addition to network news, the authors examine online news, cable television, talk radio, candidate campaign discourse in these election years. Farnsworth and Lichter find that the news media, despite the wide variety of outlets, have consistent problems in terms of fairness and focus on substantive matters rather than the horse-race reporting of the latest polls. In addition to the extensive discussion of the 2008 campaign, the third edition offers far more discussion and evidence regarding the use of alternative media, including online content, in the most recent presidential election. The authors conclude that online news had many of the same problems found in mainstream news coverage.

Author : Stephen Cushion,Richard Thomas
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 224 pages
File Size : 44,5 Mb
Release : 2018-03-02
Category : Language Arts & Disciplines
ISBN : 9781509517541

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Reporting Elections by Stephen Cushion,Richard Thomas Pdf

How elections are reported has important implications for the health of democracy and informed citizenship. But, how informative are the news media during campaigns? What kind of logic do they follow? How well do they serve citizens?e Based on original research as well as the most comprehensive assessment of election studies to date, Cushion and Thomas examine how campaigns are reported in many advanced Western democracies. In doing so, they engage with debates about the mediatization of politics, media systems, information environments, media ownership, regulation, political news, horserace journalism, objectivity, impartiality, agenda-setting, and the relationship between media and democracy more generally. Focusing on the most recent US and UK election campaigns, they consider how the logic of election coverage could be rethought in ways that better serve the democratic needs of citizens. Above all, they argue that election reporting should be driven by a public logic, where the agenda of voters takes centre stage in the campaign and the policies of respective political parties receive more airtime and independent scrutiny. The book is essential reading for scholars and students in political communication and journalism studies, political science, media and communication studies.