Probabilistic Accident Consequence Uncertainty Analysis Main Report

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Low-Probability High-Consequence Risk Analysis

Author : Ray Waller
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 561 pages
File Size : 40,7 Mb
Release : 2013-11-21
Category : Science
ISBN : 9781475718188

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Low-Probability High-Consequence Risk Analysis by Ray Waller Pdf

In recent years public attention has focused on an array of low-probability/high-consequence (LC/HC) events that pose a signif icant threat to human health, safety, and the environment. At the same time, public and private sector responsibilities for the assessment and management of such events have grown because of a perceived need to anticipate, prevent, or reduce the risks. In attempting to meet these responsibilities, legislative, judicial, regulatory, and private sector institutions have had to deal with the extraordinarily complex problem of assessing and balancing LP/ HC risks against the costs and ben if its of risk reduction. The need to help society cope with LP/HC events such as nuclear power plant accidents, toxic spills, chemical plant explosions, and transportation accidents has given rise to the development of a new intellectual endeavor: LP/HC risk analysis. The scope and complexity of these analyses require a high degree of cooperative effort on the part of specialists from many f~elds. Analyzing technical, social, and value issues requires the efforts of physicists, biologists, geneticists, statisticians, chemists, engineers, political scientists, sociologists, decision analysts, management scientists, economists, psychologists, ethicists, lawyers, and policy analysts. Included in this volume are papers by authors in each of these disciplines. The papers share in common a focus on one or more of the following questions that are generic to the analysis of LP/HC risks.

Uncertainty characterization in risk analysis for decision-making practice

Author : Enrico Zio,Nicola Pedroni
Publisher : FonCSI
Page : 63 pages
File Size : 52,6 Mb
Release : 2012-05-01
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN : 8210379456XXX

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Uncertainty characterization in risk analysis for decision-making practice by Enrico Zio,Nicola Pedroni Pdf

This document provides an overview of sources of uncertainty in probabilistic risk analysis. For each phase of the risk analysis process (system modeling, hazard identification, estimation of the probability and consequences of accident sequences, risk evaluation), the authors describe and classify the types of uncertainty that can arise. The document provides : a description of the risk assessment process, as used in hazardous industries such as nuclear power and offshore oil and gas extraction ; a classification of sources of uncertainty (both epistemic and aleatory) and a description of techniques for uncertainty representation ; a description of the different steps involved in a Probabilistic Risk Assessement (PRA) or Quantitative Risk Assessment (QRA), and an analysis of the types of uncertainty that can affect each of these steps ; annexes giving an overview of a number of tools used during probabilistic risk assessment, including the HAZID technique, fault trees and event tree analysis.

Nuclear Or Not?

Author : D. Elliott
Publisher : Springer
Page : 257 pages
File Size : 54,9 Mb
Release : 2016-01-18
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9780230279346

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Nuclear Or Not? by D. Elliott Pdf

With the nuclear issue back on the agenda worldwide, this highly topical collection steers a path through the controversies, presenting the views of proponents of nuclear expansion, examining the challenges that face them and exploring the arguments of those who support alternative approaches.