Prospects For Democratic Regime Change In Cuba And Belarus Civil Society And Political Culture

Author : Nico Rausch
Publisher : GRIN Verlag
Page : 78 pages
File Size : 46,6 Mb
Release : 2008-09
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 9783640175055

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Prospects for Democratic Regime Change in Cuba and Belarus Civil Society and Political Culture by Nico Rausch Pdf

Master's Thesis from the year 2008 in the subject Politics - Political Systems - General and Comparisons, grade: 1,3, Vilnius University, 60 entries in the bibliography, language: English, abstract: This thesis studies the prospects for democratic transition in Cuba and Belarus. The theoretical part argues that civil society is an important variable in transition theory and a necessary condition for democratic transition. It furthermore argues that in relation with the political culture of one society and the respective type of regime present in one country it is decisive for a successful democratization. Therefore the theoretical framework to study democratic transition should be widened from elites to masses and from a short term perspective to a long term one. This is somewhat different from other studies that concentrate on structural factors like economic development, economic crisis or international influence to explain democratic transition. This thesis undertakes a qualitative comparative analysis of two nontransition cases, Belarus and Cuba, to avoid the selection bias of researching only successful cases of democratic transition and to solve the problem of not finding any individually necessary or jointly sufficient conditions for democratization. The aforementioned factors are analyzed for each case, comparing the main findings and drawing conclusions. The analysis shows that the state of civil society in both countries can only be characterized as embryonic. In the case of Belarus the relatively good starting position of the embryonic civil society after the dissolution of the USSR was not used to strengthen itself. The civil society forces lost continuously support and strength and therefore the ability to fight for democratic transition. The weakness of the Belarusian civil society was therefore a factor that led to a stabilizing of the authoritarian regime.

Author : Steven Levitsky,Lucan A. Way
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
Page : 128 pages
File Size : 44,8 Mb
Release : 2010-08-16
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781139491488

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Competitive Authoritarianism by Steven Levitsky,Lucan A. Way Pdf

Based on a detailed study of 35 cases in Africa, Asia, Latin America, and post-communist Eurasia, this book explores the fate of competitive authoritarian regimes between 1990 and 2008. It finds that where social, economic, and technocratic ties to the West were extensive, as in Eastern Europe and the Americas, the external cost of abuse led incumbents to cede power rather than crack down, which led to democratization. Where ties to the West were limited, external democratizing pressure was weaker and countries rarely democratized. In these cases, regime outcomes hinged on the character of state and ruling party organizations. Where incumbents possessed developed and cohesive coercive party structures, they could thwart opposition challenges, and competitive authoritarian regimes survived; where incumbents lacked such organizational tools, regimes were unstable but rarely democratized.

Author : National Intelligence Council
Publisher : Cosimo Reports
Page : 158 pages
File Size : 46,6 Mb
Release : 2021-03
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 1646794974

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Global Trends 2040 by National Intelligence Council Pdf

"The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic marks the most significant, singular global disruption since World War II, with health, economic, political, and security implications that will ripple for years to come." -Global Trends 2040 (2021) Global Trends 2040-A More Contested World (2021), released by the US National Intelligence Council, is the latest report in its series of reports starting in 1997 about megatrends and the world's future. This report, strongly influenced by the COVID-19 pandemic, paints a bleak picture of the future and describes a contested, fragmented and turbulent world. It specifically discusses the four main trends that will shape tomorrow's world: - Demographics-by 2040, 1.4 billion people will be added mostly in Africa and South Asia. - Economics-increased government debt and concentrated economic power will escalate problems for the poor and middleclass. - Climate-a hotter world will increase water, food, and health insecurity. - Technology-the emergence of new technologies could both solve and cause problems for human life. Students of trends, policymakers, entrepreneurs, academics, journalists and anyone eager for a glimpse into the next decades, will find this report, with colored graphs, essential reading.

Author : Leo P. Chall
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 734 pages
File Size : 54,8 Mb
Release : 2000
Category : Sociology
ISBN : UOM:39015078349290

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Sociological Abstracts by Leo P. Chall Pdf

CSA Sociological Abstracts abstracts and indexes the international literature in sociology and related disciplines in the social and behavioral sciences. The database provides abstracts of journal articles and citations to book reviews drawn from over 1,800+ serials publications, and also provides abstracts of books, book chapters, dissertations, and conference papers.

Author : Carew Boulding
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 47,9 Mb
Release : 2016-10-06
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 1107659388

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NGOs, Political Protest, and Civil Society by Carew Boulding Pdf

This book argues that non-governmental organizations (NGOs) have an important effect on political participation in the developing world. Contrary to popular belief, they promote moderate political participation through formal mechanisms such as voting only in democracies where institutions are working well. This is a radical departure from the bulk of the literature on civil society that sees NGOs and other associations as playing a role in strengthening democracy wherever they operate. Instead, Carew Boulding shows that where democratic institutions are weak, NGOs encourage much more contentious political participation, including demonstrations, riots, and protests. Except in extreme cases of poorly functioning democratic institutions, however, the political protest that results from NGO activity is not generally anti-system or incompatible with democracy - again, as long as democracy is functioning above a minimal level.

Author : Néstor T. Carbonell
Publisher : Archway Publishing
Page : 564 pages
File Size : 53,8 Mb
Release : 2020-02-25
Category : History
ISBN : 9781480885875

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Why Cuba Matters by Néstor T. Carbonell Pdf

As an eyewitness to Fidel Castro’s rise to power in Cuba and other key episodes, Néstor T. Carbonell sheds new light on how the ruler and his allies deceived and subjugated the Cuban people and defied twelve U.S. presidents. Just as important – if not more so – he reveals how the regime continues to pose a serious threat to the United States in collusion with Russia, China, and Venezuela. The author draws on declassified documents and reliable unpublished testimonies, as well as personal experiences, to delve into the Communist takeover of Cuba, which he denounced while on the island. He ponders the causes and consequences of the botched Bay of Pigs operation, which he joined as a refugee. From the battle to expel the Castro regime from the Organization of American States, which Carbonell helped achieve, to the Congressional Joint Resolution on Cuba, which he tenaciously pursued; from the looming Missile Crisis, which the author persistently flagged, to the myriad subversive activities he warned against and condemned, Néstor T. Carbonell debunks the myths and fallacies surrounding the longest-running subversive tyranny in modern times. Join the author as he shares a critical analysis of the Castro-Communist regime and explores the challenges and opportunities that will likely arise when freedom finally dawns in Cuba.

Author : Andrew Reynolds,Ben Reilly,Andrew Ellis
Publisher : Stockholm : International Institute for Democracy and Electoral Assistance
Page : 258 pages
File Size : 40,5 Mb
Release : 2005
Category : Political Science
ISBN : STANFORD:36105114582120

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Electoral System Design by Andrew Reynolds,Ben Reilly,Andrew Ellis Pdf

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Author : Michael Coppedge,Amanda B. Edgell,Carl Henrik Knutsen,Staffan I. Lindberg
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
Page : 397 pages
File Size : 54,8 Mb
Release : 2022-06-23
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781009086004

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Why Democracies Develop and Decline by Michael Coppedge,Amanda B. Edgell,Carl Henrik Knutsen,Staffan I. Lindberg Pdf

The Varieties of Democracy project (V-Dem) pioneered new ways to conceptualize and measure democracy, producing a multidimensional and disaggregated data set on democracy around the world that is now widely used by researchers, activists, and governments. Why Democracies Develop and Decline draws on this data to present a comprehensive overview and rigorous empirical tests of the factors that contribute to democratization and democratic decline, looking at economic, social, institutional, geographic, and international factors. It is the most authoritative and encompassing empirical analysis of the causes of democratization and reversals. The volume also proposes a comprehensive theoretical framework and presents an up-to-date description of global democratic developments from the French Revolution to the present. Each chapter leverages the specialized expertise of its authors, yet their sustained collaboration lends the book an unusually unified approach and a coherent theory and narrative.

Author : Inter-parliamentary Union
Publisher : Inter-Parliamentary Union
Page : 110 pages
File Size : 44,9 Mb
Release : 1998
Category : Democracy
ISBN : 9789291420360

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Democracy by Inter-parliamentary Union Pdf

Principles to realization - Cherif Bassiouni

Author : United States. Congress. Senate. Select Committee on Intelligence
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 72 pages
File Size : 47,7 Mb
Release : 1994
Category : Political Science
ISBN : LOC:00057724833

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Prospects for Democracy in Cuba by United States. Congress. Senate. Select Committee on Intelligence Pdf

Author : Thomas Carothers
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 292 pages
File Size : 47,6 Mb
Release : 2006
Category : Political Science
ISBN : UOM:39015066733091

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Confronting the Weakest Link by Thomas Carothers Pdf

Beginning with a penetrating analysis of party shortcomings in developing and post-communist countries, Thomas Carothers draws on extensive field research to diagnose chronic deficiencies in party aid, assess its overall impact, and offer practical ideas for doing better.

Author : Andrew Wilson
Publisher : Yale University Press
Page : 261 pages
File Size : 40,9 Mb
Release : 2006-01-12
Category : History
ISBN : 9780300143911

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Ukraine's Orange Revolution by Andrew Wilson Pdf

The remarkable popular protest in Kiev and across Ukraine following the cooked presidential election of November 2004 has transformed the politics of eastern Europe. Andrew Wilson witnessed the events firsthand and here looks behind the headlines to ascertain what really happened and how it will affect the future of the region. It is a dramatic story: an outgoing president implicated via secret tape-recordings in corruption and murder; a shadowy world of political cheats and manipulators; the massive covert involvement of Putin’s Russia; the poisoning of the opposition challenger; and finally the mass protest of half a million Ukrainians that forced a second poll and the victory of Viktor Yushchenko. As well as giving an account of the election and its aftermath, the book examines the broader implications of the Orange Revolution and of Russia’s serious miscalculation of its level of influence. It explores the likely chain reaction in Moldova, Belarus, and the nervous autocracies of the Caucasus, and points to a historical transformation of the geopolitics of Eurasia.

Author : Professor Martin Albrow,Professor Helmut K Anheier,Marlies Glasius,Monroe E Price,Professor Mary Kaldor
Publisher : SAGE
Page : 402 pages
File Size : 42,9 Mb
Release : 2007-11-21
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781849204101

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Global Civil Society 2007/8 by Professor Martin Albrow,Professor Helmut K Anheier,Marlies Glasius,Monroe E Price,Professor Mary Kaldor Pdf

The annual Global Civil Society Yearbooks provide an indispensable guide to global civil society or civic participation and action around the world. The 2007/8 Yearbook focuses on the potentially powerful relationship between communication and democracy promotion. The Global Civil Society Yearbook remains the standard work on all aspects of contemporary global civil society for activists, practitioners, students and academics alike.

Author : Anja Mihr
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
Page : 480 pages
File Size : 47,7 Mb
Release : 2018-01-18
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781108503655

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Regime Consolidation and Transitional Justice by Anja Mihr Pdf

Regime Consolidation and Transitional Justice explores the effect of transitional justice measures on 'regime consolidation', or the means by which a new political system is established in a post-transition context. Focusing on the long-term impact of transitional justice mechanisms in three countries over several decades, the gradual process by which these political systems have been legitimatised is revealed. Through case studies of East and West Germany after World War II, Spain after the end of the Franco dictatorship in 1975 and Turkey's long journey to achieving democratic reform, Regime Consolidation and Transitional Justice shows how transitional justice and regime consolidation are intertwined. The interdisciplinary study, which will be of interest to scholars of criminal law, human rights law, political science, democracy, autocracies and transformation theories, demonstrates, importantly, that the political systems in question are not always 'more' democratic than their predecessors and do not always enhance democracy post-regime consolidation.

Author : Samuel P. Huntington
Publisher : University of Oklahoma Press
Page : 388 pages
File Size : 47,5 Mb
Release : 2012-09-06
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9780806186047

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The Third Wave by Samuel P. Huntington Pdf

Between 1974 and 1990 more than thirty countries in southern Europe, Latin America, East Asia, and Eastern Europe shifted from authoritarian to democratic systems of government. This global democratic revolution is probably the most important political trend in the late twentieth century. In The Third Wave, Samuel P. Huntington analyzes the causes and nature of these democratic transitions, evaluates the prospects for stability of the new democracies, and explores the possibility of more countries becoming democratic. The recent transitions, he argues, are the third major wave of democratization in the modem world. Each of the two previous waves was followed by a reverse wave in which some countries shifted back to authoritarian government. Using concrete examples, empirical evidence, and insightful analysis, Huntington provides neither a theory nor a history of the third wave, but an explanation of why and how it occurred. Factors responsible for the democratic trend include the legitimacy dilemmas of authoritarian regimes; economic and social development; the changed role of the Catholic Church; the impact of the United States, the European Community, and the Soviet Union; and the "snowballing" phenomenon: change in one country stimulating change in others. Five key elite groups within and outside the nondemocratic regime played roles in shaping the various ways democratization occurred. Compromise was key to all democratizations, and elections and nonviolent tactics also were central. New democracies must deal with the "torturer problem" and the "praetorian problem" and attempt to develop democratic values and processes. Disillusionment with democracy, Huntington argues, is necessary to consolidating democracy. He concludes the book with an analysis of the political, economic, and cultural factors that will decide whether or not the third wave continues. Several "Guidelines for Democratizers" offer specific, practical suggestions for initiating and carrying out reform. Huntington's emphasis on practical application makes this book a valuable tool for anyone engaged in the democratization process. At this volatile time in history, Huntington's assessment of the processes of democratization is indispensable to understanding the future of democracy in the world.