Pushed Past The Limit How Japanese Banks Reacted To Negative Interest Rates

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Pushed Past the Limit? How Japanese Banks Reacted to Negative Interest Rates

Author : Mr.Gee Hee Hong,John Kandrac
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 50 pages
File Size : 55,6 Mb
Release : 2018-06-13
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781484361610

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Pushed Past the Limit? How Japanese Banks Reacted to Negative Interest Rates by Mr.Gee Hee Hong,John Kandrac Pdf

In this paper, we investigate how negative interest rate policy (NIRP) introduced in January 2016 by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) affected Japanese banks' lending and risk taking behavior. The BoJ's announcement was an unexpected surprise to the market and was followed by a sharp drop in equity prices of Japanese financial firms. We exploit the cross-sectional variation in the change of share prices on the day of the announcement to measure banks' differential exposure to NIRP. We show that more exposed banks increased their credit and took on more risk compared to banks that were less exposed to negative rates.

Negative Interest Rates

Author : Luís Brandão Marques,Marco Casiraghi,Gaston Gelos,Güneş Kamber,Roland Meeks
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 84 pages
File Size : 44,6 Mb
Release : 2021-03-03
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781513570082

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Negative Interest Rates by Luís Brandão Marques,Marco Casiraghi,Gaston Gelos,Güneş Kamber,Roland Meeks Pdf

This paper focuses on negative interest rate policies and covers a broad range of its effects, with a detailed discussion of findings in the academic literature and of broader country experiences.

Enabling Deep Negative Rates to Fight Recessions: A Guide

Author : Ruchir Agarwal,Miles Kimball
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 89 pages
File Size : 44,8 Mb
Release : 2019-04-29
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781484398777

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Enabling Deep Negative Rates to Fight Recessions: A Guide by Ruchir Agarwal,Miles Kimball Pdf

The experience of the Great Recession and its aftermath revealed that a lower bound on interest rates can be a serious obstacle for fighting recessions. However, the zero lower bound is not a law of nature; it is a policy choice. The central message of this paper is that with readily available tools a central bank can enable deep negative rates whenever needed—thus maintaining the power of monetary policy in the future to end recessions within a short time. This paper demonstrates that a subset of these tools can have a big effect in enabling deep negative rates with administratively small actions on the part of the central bank. To that end, we (i) survey approaches to enable deep negative rates discussed in the literature and present new approaches; (ii) establish how a subset of these approaches allows enabling negative rates while remaining at a minimum distance from the current paper currency policy and minimizing the political costs; (iii) discuss why standard transmission mechanisms from interest rates to aggregate demand are likely to remain unchanged in deep negative rate territory; and (iv) present communication tools that central banks can use both now and in the event to facilitate broader political acceptance of negative interest rate policy at the onset of the next serious recession.

Negative Monetary Policy Rates and Portfolio Rebalancing: Evidence from Credit Register Data

Author : Margherita Bottero,Ms.Camelia Minoiu,José-Luis Peydro,Andrea Polo,Mr.Andrea F Presbitero,Enrico Sette
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 59 pages
File Size : 40,9 Mb
Release : 2019-02-28
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781498300858

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Negative Monetary Policy Rates and Portfolio Rebalancing: Evidence from Credit Register Data by Margherita Bottero,Ms.Camelia Minoiu,José-Luis Peydro,Andrea Polo,Mr.Andrea F Presbitero,Enrico Sette Pdf

We study negative interest rate policy (NIRP) exploiting ECB's NIRP introduction and administrative data from Italy, severely hit by the Eurozone crisis. NIRP has expansionary effects on credit supply-- -and hence the real economy---through a portfolio rebalancing channel. NIRP affects banks with higher ex-ante net short-term interbank positions or, more broadly, more liquid balance-sheets, not with higher retail deposits. NIRP-affected banks rebalance their portfolios from liquid assets to credit—especially to riskier and smaller firms—and cut loan rates, inducing sizable real effects. By shifting the entire yield curve downwards, NIRP differs from rate cuts just above the ZLB.

Banking in a Steady State of Low Growth and Interest Rates

Author : Qianying Chen,Mitsuru Katagiri,Jay Surti
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 37 pages
File Size : 46,5 Mb
Release : 2018-08-27
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781484374740

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Banking in a Steady State of Low Growth and Interest Rates by Qianying Chen,Mitsuru Katagiri,Jay Surti Pdf

A prolonged low-interest-rate environment presents a significant challenge to banks and is likely to entail major changes to their business models over the long-run. Lower returns to maturity transformation in the face of flatter yield curves and an inability to offer deposit rates significantly below zero combine to compress bank earnings in this environment. Smaller, deposit-funded, less diversified banks are hurt most, increasing consolidation pressures and reach-for-yield incentives, presenting new financial stability challenges.To the extent that such an economic environment reflects a new, steady-state with lower equilibrium growth driven by population aging and slower productivity growth, lower credit demand is likely to drive banking toward provision of fee-based, utility services.

Monetary Policy after the Great Recession

Author : Arkadiusz Sieroń
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 246 pages
File Size : 41,6 Mb
Release : 2020-11-09
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781000221435

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Monetary Policy after the Great Recession by Arkadiusz Sieroń Pdf

Walter Bagehot noticed once that “John Bull can stand many things, but he cannot stand two per cent.” Well, for several years, he has had to stand interest rates well below that, in some countries even below zero. However, despite this sacrifice, the economic recovery from the Great Recession has been disappointingly weak. This book’s aim is to answer this question. The central thesis of the book is that the standard understanding of the monetary transmission mechanism is flawed. That understanding adopts erroneous assumptions—such as, that low interest rates always stimulate economic growth by boosting the credit supply, investment, and consumption—and does not fully take into account several unintended channels of monetary policy, such as risk-taking, high level of debt, or zombification of the economy. In other words, the effectiveness of monetary policy is limited during economic downturns accompanied by the debt overhang and the balance sheet recession, and generates negative effects, which can make the policy counterproductive. The author provides a thorough analysis of the issues related to the interest rates in the conduct of monetary policy, such as the risk-taking channel of monetary policy, the portfolio-balance channel and the wealth effect, zombie firms in the economy, the misallocation of resources, as well as the neutral interest rate targeting and the difference between the neutral and natural interest rate and the negative interest rate policy. The book is written in an accessible and engaging manner and will be a valuable resource for scholars of monetary economics as well as readers interested in (unconventional) monetary policy.

Japanese Monetary Policy

Author : Kenneth J. Singleton
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
Page : 208 pages
File Size : 48,6 Mb
Release : 2007-12-01
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780226760681

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Japanese Monetary Policy by Kenneth J. Singleton Pdf

How has the Bank of Japan (BOJ) helped shape Japan's economic growth during the past two decades? This book comprehensively explores the relations between financial market liberalization and BOJ policies and examines the ways in which these policies promoted economic growth in the 1980s. The authors argue that the structure of Japan's financial markets, particularly restrictions on money-market transactions and the key role of commercial banks in financing corporate investments, allowed the BOJ to influence Japan's economic success. The first two chapters provide the most in-depth English-language discussion of the BOJ's operating procedures and policymaker's views about how BOJ actions affect the Japanese business cycle. Chapter three explores the impact of the BOJ's distinctive window guidance policy on corporate investment, while chapter four looks at how monetary policy affects the term structure of interest rates in Japan. The final two chapters examine the overall effect of monetary policy on real aggregate economic activity. This volume will prove invaluable not only to economists interested in the technical operating procedures of the BOJ, but also to those interested in the Japanese economy and in the operation and outcome of monetary reform in general.

Mission Incomplete

Author : Sayuri Shirai
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 242 pages
File Size : 48,6 Mb
Release : 2018-07-31
Category : Economic development
ISBN : 4899740972

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Mission Incomplete by Sayuri Shirai Pdf

In April 2013 the Bank of Japan launched an unprecedented quantitative and qualitative monetary easing policy. It was thought that a 2% price stability target could be achieved within 2 years; 4 years on and we are still mission incomplete. Mission incomplete! This phrase neatly captures the progress made by the Bank of Japan (BOJ) in reflating the economy. In April 2013, the BOJ launched an unprecedented quantitative and qualitative monetary easing policy. The BOJ was certain that the 2% price stability target would be achieved within 2 years. About 4 years later, the BOJ lags behind other major central banks, with actual inflation and inflation expectations still well below 2%. What happened? And what should the BOJ do next? This former policy maker's account expertly traces and analyzes the policy's consequences.

Monetary and Macroprudential Policy Coordination Among Multiple Equilibria

Author : Mr.Itai Agur
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 33 pages
File Size : 50,8 Mb
Release : 2018-11-02
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781484380642

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Monetary and Macroprudential Policy Coordination Among Multiple Equilibria by Mr.Itai Agur Pdf

The notion of a tradeoff between output and financial stabilization is based on monetary-macroprudential models with unique equilibria. Using a game theory setup, this paper shows that multiple equilibria lead to qualitatively different results. Monetary and macroprudential authorities have tools that impose externalities on each other's objectives. One of the tools (macroprudential) is coarse, while the other (monetary policy) is unconstrained. We find that this asymmetry always leads to multiple equilibria, and show that under economically relevant conditions the authorities prefer different equilibria. Giving the unconstrained authority a weight on "helping" the constrained authority ("leaning against the wind") now has unexpected effects. The relation between this weight and the difficulty of coordinating is hump-shaped, and therefore a small degree of leaning worsens outcomes on both authorities' objectives.

Japan

Author : International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 109 pages
File Size : 40,8 Mb
Release : 2017-07-31
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781484313435

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Japan by International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department Pdf

This paper assesses the stability of the financial system in Japan. Although the financial system has remained stable, the low profitability environment is creating new risks, and pressures are likely to persist. The search for yield among banks has led some to expand their overseas activities, and more generally to a growth in real estate lending and foreign securities investments. Efforts to increase risk-based lending to small-and medium-sized enterprises are welcome, but many banks still need to develop commensurate credit assessment capacities. Stress tests suggest that the banking sector remains broadly sound, although market risks are increasing, and there are some vulnerabilities among regional banks.

Negative Interest Rate Policy (NIRP)

Author : Andreas Jobst,Huidan Lin
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 48 pages
File Size : 45,8 Mb
Release : 2016-08-10
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781475524475

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Negative Interest Rate Policy (NIRP) by Andreas Jobst,Huidan Lin Pdf

More than two years ago the European Central Bank (ECB) adopted a negative interest rate policy (NIRP) to achieve its price stability objective. Negative interest rates have so far supported easier financial conditions and contributed to a modest expansion in credit, demonstrating that the zero lower bound is less binding than previously thought. However, interest rate cuts also weigh on bank profitability. Substantial rate cuts may at some point outweigh the benefits from higher asset values and stronger aggregate demand. Further monetary accommodation may need to rely more on credit easing and an expansion of the ECB’s balance sheet rather than substantial additional reductions in the policy rate.

Global Financial Stability Report, April 2012

Author : International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 94 pages
File Size : 43,8 Mb
Release : 2012-04-18
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781616352479

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Global Financial Stability Report, April 2012 by International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department Pdf

The April 2012 Global Financial Stability Report assesses changes in risks to financial stability over the past six months, focusing on sovereign vulnerabilities, risks stemming from private sector deleveraging, and assessing the continued resilience of emerging markets. The report probes the implications of recent reforms in the financial system for market perception of safe assets, and investigates the growing public and private costs of increased longevity risk from aging populations.

Global Waves of Debt

Author : M. Ayhan Kose,Peter Nagle,Franziska Ohnsorge,Naotaka Sugawara
Publisher : World Bank Publications
Page : 403 pages
File Size : 50,5 Mb
Release : 2021-03-03
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781464815454

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Global Waves of Debt by M. Ayhan Kose,Peter Nagle,Franziska Ohnsorge,Naotaka Sugawara Pdf

The global economy has experienced four waves of rapid debt accumulation over the past 50 years. The first three debt waves ended with financial crises in many emerging market and developing economies. During the current wave, which started in 2010, the increase in debt in these economies has already been larger, faster, and broader-based than in the previous three waves. Current low interest rates mitigate some of the risks associated with high debt. However, emerging market and developing economies are also confronted by weak growth prospects, mounting vulnerabilities, and elevated global risks. A menu of policy options is available to reduce the likelihood that the current debt wave will end in crisis and, if crises do take place, will alleviate their impact.

The Palgrave Handbook of European Banking

Author : Thorsten Beck,Barbara Casu
Publisher : Springer
Page : 678 pages
File Size : 51,6 Mb
Release : 2017-01-12
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781137521446

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The Palgrave Handbook of European Banking by Thorsten Beck,Barbara Casu Pdf

This handbook presents a timely collection of original studies on relevant themes, policies and developments in European banking. The contributors analyse how the crisis years have had a long lasting impact on the structure of European banking and explore the regulatory architecture that has started to take form in their wake. Academic experts and senior policy makers have contributed to this volume, which is organized in five main parts. The first part presents an overview of European banking through the crisis and beyond. The second part analyses performance and innovation in EU banking markets. The third part discusses the key regulatory changes aimed at fostering financial stability. Part four looks at the relevance of cross-border banking and part five presents a detailed analysis of the main EU banking markets. This is a highly informative and carefully presented handbook, which provides thought-provoking insights into the past, present and future landscapes of European banking. It will appeal to a wide readership, from scholars and students, through to researchers, practitioners and policy-makers.

Inside and Outside Liquidity

Author : Bengt Holmstrom,Jean Tirole
Publisher : MIT Press
Page : 263 pages
File Size : 55,9 Mb
Release : 2013-01-11
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780262518536

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Inside and Outside Liquidity by Bengt Holmstrom,Jean Tirole Pdf

Two leading economists develop a theory explaining the demand for and supply of liquid assets. Why do financial institutions, industrial companies, and households hold low-yielding money balances, Treasury bills, and other liquid assets? When and to what extent can the state and international financial markets make up for a shortage of liquid assets, allowing agents to save and share risk more effectively? These questions are at the center of all financial crises, including the current global one. In Inside and Outside Liquidity, leading economists Bengt Holmström and Jean Tirole offer an original, unified perspective on these questions. In a slight, but important, departure from the standard theory of finance, they show how imperfect pledgeability of corporate income leads to a demand for as well as a shortage of liquidity with interesting implications for the pricing of assets, investment decisions, and liquidity management. The government has an active role to play in improving risk-sharing between consumers with limited commitment power and firms dealing with the high costs of potential liquidity shortages. In this perspective, private risk-sharing is always imperfect and may lead to financial crises that can be alleviated through government interventions.