Quantifying Counterfactual Military History

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Quantifying Counterfactual Military History

Author : Brennen Fagan,Ian Horwood,Niall MacKay,Christopher Price,A. Jamie Wood
Publisher : CRC Press
Page : 239 pages
File Size : 48,8 Mb
Release : 2023-09-27
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9780429948800

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Quantifying Counterfactual Military History by Brennen Fagan,Ian Horwood,Niall MacKay,Christopher Price,A. Jamie Wood Pdf

Demonstrates how modern statistical techniques can measure the impact of counterfactual decisions. Examines the importance of counterfactual reasoning for both modern scholars and historical actors. Combines historical narrative, mathematical precision and data to create a straightforward presentation of both factual and counterfactual military history. Provides an original contribution to the debate over the validity and rigour of works of counterfactual history Written in a manner accessible to readers who have no formal training in History or Statistics.

Quantifying Counterfactual Military History

Author : Niall J MacKay
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 54,9 Mb
Release : 2023-11
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 0429488408

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Quantifying Counterfactual Military History by Niall J MacKay Pdf

"Forces shaping human history are complex, but the course of history is undeniably changed on many occasions by conscious acts. These may be premeditated or responsive, calmly calculated or performed under great pressure. They may also be considered to be successful or catastrophic, but how are historians to make such judgments and appeal to evidence in support of their conclusions? Further, and crucially, how exactly are we to distinguish probable unrealized alternatives from improbable ones? This book describes some of the modern statistical techniques that can begin to answer this question, as well as some of the difficulties in doing so. Using simple, well-quantified cases drawn from military history, we claim that statistics can now help us to navigate the near-truths, the envelope around the events with which any meaningful historical analysis must deal, and to quantify the basis of such analysis. Quantifying Counterfactual Military History is intended for a general audience who are interested in learning more about statistical methods both in military history and for wider applications"--

Quantifying Counterfactual Military History

Author : Brennen Fagan,Ian Horwood,Niall MacKay,Christopher Price,A. Jamie Wood
Publisher : CRC Press
Page : 183 pages
File Size : 40,7 Mb
Release : 2023-09-27
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9780429948794

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Quantifying Counterfactual Military History by Brennen Fagan,Ian Horwood,Niall MacKay,Christopher Price,A. Jamie Wood Pdf

Forces shaping human history are complex, but the course of history is undeniably changed on many occasions by conscious acts. These may be premeditated or responsive, calmly calculated or performed under great pressure. They may also be successful or catastrophic, but how are historians to make such judgements and appeal to evidence in support of their conclusions? Further, and crucially, how exactly are we to distinguish probable unrealized alternatives from improbable ones? This book describes some of the modern statistical techniques that can begin to answer this question, as well as some of the difficulties in doing so. Using simple, wellquantified cases drawn from military history, we claim that statistics can now help us to navigate the near-truths, the envelope around the events with which any meaningful historical analysis must deal, and to quantify the basis of such analysis. Quantifying Counterfactual Military History is intended for a general audience who are interested in learning more about statistical methods both in military history and for wider applications. Key Features: This book demonstrates how modern statistical techniques can measure the impact of counterfactual decisions. It examines the importance of counterfactual reasoning for both modern scholars and historical actors. It combines historical narrative, mathematical precision and data to create a straightforward presentation of both factual and counterfactual military history. It provides an original contribution to the debate over the validity and rigour of works of counterfactual history. It is written in a manner accessible to readers who have no formal training in History or Statistics.

What is Military History?

Author : Stephen Morillo
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 188 pages
File Size : 54,6 Mb
Release : 2017-12-21
Category : History
ISBN : 9781509517640

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What is Military History? by Stephen Morillo Pdf

The third edition of What is Military History? has been thoroughly updated, and includes a new bibliography and new case studies on naval warfare and the origins of war, as well as expanded sections on historiography, environmental history and world history. This popular textbook showcases a field that encompasses not only accounts of campaigns and battles, but includes a wide range of perspectives on all aspects of past military organization and activity. Its global and comparative analysis covers: the history of military history, showing how it has developed from ancient times to the present; the key ideas and concepts that shape analysis of military activity; the current controversies about which military historians argue, and why they are important; a survey of who does military history, where it is taught and published, and how it is practiced; and a look at where military history is headed in the future. Ideal for any interested reader and for classes in military history and in historiography generally, the third edition of this popular book thoroughly explains the dynamics of this rich and growing area of study.

Vignettes of Military History

Author : Richard J. Sommers
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 128 pages
File Size : 47,8 Mb
Release : 1976
Category : Military history
ISBN : OCLC:58906314

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Vignettes of Military History by Richard J. Sommers Pdf

These vignettes cover many wars and time periods.

A Guide to the Study and Use of Military History

Author : Center of Military History United States Army,Center of Military History United States
Publisher : CreateSpace
Page : 524 pages
File Size : 45,6 Mb
Release : 2015-01-10
Category : History
ISBN : 1506179819

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A Guide to the Study and Use of Military History by Center of Military History United States Army,Center of Military History United States Pdf

A collection of essays that discuss for the military student and others the nature of history, the importance of military history, and the applied study of military history. The volume includes bibliographical essays on military history, descriptive accounts of the historical organization of the U.S. Army and other parts of the Defense establishment, and discussions of the study of military history in foreign armies and in the academic world.

Classification and Human Evolution

Author : Sherwood L. Washburn
Publisher : Psychology Press
Page : 392 pages
File Size : 49,8 Mb
Release : 2004
Category : Science
ISBN : 0415330688

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Classification and Human Evolution by Sherwood L. Washburn Pdf

This volume reviews the meaning of taxonomic statements and considers our present knowledge regarding the number and characteristics of species among living and extinct primates, including man and his ancestors. They also examine the relationship of behaviour changes and selection pressures in evolutionary sequences. First published in 1964.

Napoleonic Leadership

Author : Stephanie Jones,Jonathan Gosling
Publisher : SAGE
Page : 161 pages
File Size : 53,5 Mb
Release : 2015-03-03
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781473927391

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Napoleonic Leadership by Stephanie Jones,Jonathan Gosling Pdf

‘Whether you are studying leadership, or doing leadership, this is a rollicking good read, and a fabulously rich book.’ - Ken Parry, Professor of Leadership Studies and co-Director of the Deakin Leadership Centre, Australia He came to France an immigrant and left an exile – but, in a career spanning just 35 years, he became general, consul and emperor. How did Napoleon’s name come to be synonymous with brilliance, legend and glory despite displaying opportunistic and manipulative tendencies, and repeatedly deserting those that followed him? 200 years after his defeat, what lessons can we learn from his successes and his failures? As the world marks the 200th anniversary of the Battle of Waterloo, this fascinating study on leadership and power tackles the questions that continue to intrigue and mystify. As now, power was gained and held by political manipulation, patronage, fear, putsch, charisma, popular vote and the new idea of meritocracy. Through the inclusion of Reflections and Questions, Jones and Gosling also highlight some important lessons for current and future managers and leaders.

Distilling Ideas

Author : Brian P. Katz,Michael Starbird
Publisher : American Mathematical Society
Page : 189 pages
File Size : 47,9 Mb
Release : 2021-09-01
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9781470465803

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Distilling Ideas by Brian P. Katz,Michael Starbird Pdf

Mathematics is not a spectator sport; successful students of mathematics grapple with ideas for themselves. Distilling Ideas presents a carefully designed sequence of exercises and theorem statements that challenge students to create proofs and concepts. As students meet these challenges, they discover strategies of proofs and strategies of thinking beyond mathematics. In other words, Distilling Ideas helps its users to develop the skills, attitudes, and habits of mind of a mathematician, and to enjoy the process of distilling and exploring ideas. Distilling Ideas is an ideal textbook for a first proof-based course. The text engages the range of students' preferences and aesthetics through a corresponding variety of interesting mathematical content from graphs, groups, and epsilon-delta calculus. Each topic is accessible to users without a background in abstract mathematics because the concepts arise from asking questions about everyday experience. All the common proof structures emerge as natural solutions to authentic needs. Distilling Ideas or any subset of its chapters is an ideal resource either for an organized Inquiry Based Learning course or for individual study.

The Transformation of Governance in the European Union

Author : Rainer Eising,BEATE KOHLER-KOCH
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 336 pages
File Size : 50,9 Mb
Release : 2003-09-02
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781134608331

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The Transformation of Governance in the European Union by Rainer Eising,BEATE KOHLER-KOCH Pdf

The book presents a theoretically informed typology of modes of governance which is tested in a careful selection of comparative country and policy studies. At the core is the question whether the European Union is destined to a network type of governance and whether and how this type of governance will be translated into the member states. The individual chapters subject the governing patterns at European and national level to empirical scrutiny. Drawing on recent research findings in different issue areas - including monetary union, social affairs, environment, genetic engineering and market liberalisation in transport, banking, energy, professional services - the contributions highlight the impact of the European activities on policy-making process in the member states.

Protecting Your Privacy in a Data-Driven World

Author : Claire McKay Bowen
Publisher : CRC Press
Page : 102 pages
File Size : 49,8 Mb
Release : 2021-11-21
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9781000481822

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Protecting Your Privacy in a Data-Driven World by Claire McKay Bowen Pdf

At what point does the sacrifice to our personal information outweigh the public good? If public policymakers had access to our personal and confidential data, they could make more evidence-based, data-informed decisions that could accelerate economic recovery and improve COVID-19 vaccine distribution. However, access to personal data comes at a steep privacy cost for contributors, especially underrepresented groups. Protecting Your Privacy in a Data-Driven World is a practical, nontechnical guide that explains the importance of balancing these competing needs and calls for careful consideration of how data are collected and disseminated by our government and the private sector. Not addressing these concerns can harm the same communities policymakers are trying to protect through data privacy and confidentiality legislation.

Reformation to Industrial Revolution

Author : Christopher Hill
Publisher : Verso Books
Page : 305 pages
File Size : 55,6 Mb
Release : 2018-09-25
Category : History
ISBN : 9781786636188

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Reformation to Industrial Revolution by Christopher Hill Pdf

The masterful account of Britain’s reshaping as a modern nation In 1530 England was a backward economy. Yet by 1780 she possessed a global empire and was on the verge of becoming the world’s first industrialized power. This book deals with the intervening 250 years, and explains how England acquired this unique position in history. Esteemed historian Christopher Hill recounts a story that begins with the break with Europe before hitting a tumultuous period of war and revolution, combined with a cultural and scientific flowering that made up the early modern period. It was in this era that Britain became home to imperial ambitions and economic innovation, prefiguring what was to come. Hill excavates the conditions and ideas that underpin this age of extraordinary change, and shows how, and why, Britain became the most powerful nation in the world.

Statistical Issues in Drug Development

Author : Stephen S. Senn
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 523 pages
File Size : 51,8 Mb
Release : 2008-02-28
Category : Medical
ISBN : 0470723572

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Statistical Issues in Drug Development by Stephen S. Senn Pdf

Drug development is the process of finding and producingtherapeutically useful pharmaceuticals, turning them into safe andeffective medicine, and producing reliable information regardingthe appropriate dosage and dosing intervals. With regulatoryauthorities demanding increasingly higher standards in suchdevelopments, statistics has become an intrinsic and criticalelement in the design and conduct of drug development programmes. Statistical Issues in Drug Development presents anessential and thought provoking guide to the statistical issues andcontroversies involved in drug development. This highly readable second edition has been updated toinclude: Comprehensive coverage of the design and interpretation ofclinical trials. Expanded sections on missing data, equivalence, meta-analysisand dose finding. An examination of both Bayesian and frequentist methods. A new chapter on pharmacogenomics and expanded coverage ofpharmaco-epidemiology and pharmaco-economics. Coverage of the ICH guidelines, in particular ICH E9,Statistical Principles for Clinical Trials. It is hoped that the book will stimulate dialogue betweenstatisticians and life scientists working within the pharmaceuticalindustry. The accessible and wide-ranging coverage make itessential reading for both statisticians and non-statisticiansworking in the pharmaceutical industry, regulatory bodies andmedical research institutes. There is also much to benefitundergraduate and postgraduate students whose courses include amedical statistics component.

Complex Battlespaces

Author : Christopher M. Ford,Winston S. Williams
Publisher : Lieber Studies
Page : 553 pages
File Size : 45,5 Mb
Release : 2018-12-21
Category : Law
ISBN : 9780190915360

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Complex Battlespaces by Christopher M. Ford,Winston S. Williams Pdf

"This workshop, Complex Battlespaces: The Law of Armed Conflict and the Dynamics of Modern Warfare, was held at West Point on October 24-26, 2016. It marked the official opening of the Lieber Institute." -- ECIP forword.

Applied Electromagnetics

Author : Stuart M. Wentworth
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 679 pages
File Size : 54,7 Mb
Release : 2007-01-09
Category : Science
ISBN : 9780470042571

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Applied Electromagnetics by Stuart M. Wentworth Pdf

STUDENT COMPANION SITE Every new copy of Stuart Wentworth's Applied Electromagnetics comes with a registration code which allows access to the Student's Book Companion Site. On the BCS the student will find: * Detailed Solutions to Odd-Numbered Problems in the text * Detailed Solutions to all Drill Problems from the text * MATLAB code for all the MATLAB examples in the text * Additional MATLAB demonstrations with code. This includes a Transmission Lines simulator created by the author. * Weblinks to a vast array of resources for the engineering student. Go to www.wiley.com/college/wentworth to link to Applied Electromagnetics and the Student Companion Site. ABOUT THE PHOTO Passive RFID systems, consisting of readers and tags, are expected to replace bar codes as the primary means of identification, inventory and billing of everyday items. The tags typically consist of an RFID chip placed on a flexible film containing a planar antenna. The antenna captures radiation from the reader's signal to power the tag electronics, which then responds to the reader's query. The PENI Tag (Product Emitting Numbering Identification Tag) shown, developed by the University of Pittsburgh in a team led by Professor Marlin H. Mickle, integrates the antenna with the rest of the tag electronics. RFID systems involve many electomagnetics concepts, including antennas, radiation, transmission lines, and microwave circuit components. (Photo courtesy of Marlin H. Mickle.)