Author : Ferial Ara Saeed
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 64 pages
File Size : 44,6 Mb
Release : 2012-12-20
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 1457838222
Redefining Success
Ferial Ara Saeed
Redefining Success Applying Lessons In Nuclear Diplomacy From North Korea To Iran
Redefining Success Applying Lessons In Nuclear Diplomacy From North Korea To Iran Book in PDF, ePub and Kindle version is available to download in english. Read online anytime anywhere directly from your device. Click on the download button below to get a free pdf file of Redefining Success Applying Lessons In Nuclear Diplomacy From North Korea To Iran book. This book definitely worth reading, it is an incredibly well-written.
Redefining Success: Applying Lessons in Nuclear Diplomacy from North Korea to Iran
Ferial Ara Saeed,National Defense University
Author : Ferial Ara Saeed,National Defense University
Publisher : CreateSpace
Page : 62 pages
File Size : 44,6 Mb
Release : 2012-07-05
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 1478193336
Redefining Success: Applying Lessons in Nuclear Diplomacy from North Korea to Iran by Ferial Ara Saeed,National Defense University Pdf
The United States has no good options for resolving the North Korean and Iranian nuclear challenges. Incentives, pressures, and threats have not succeeded. A military strike would temporarily set back these programs, but at unacceptable human and diplomatic costs, and with a high risk of their reconstitution and acceleration. For some policymakers, therefore, the best option is to isolate these regimes until they collapse or pressures build to compel negotiations on U.S. terms. This option has the veneer of toughness sufficient to make it politically defensible in Washington. On closer scrutiny, however, it actually allows North Korea and Iran to continue their nuclear programs unrestrained. It also sacrifices more achievable short-term goals of improving transparency and securing vulnerable nuclear materials to the uncertain long-term goal of denuclearization. Yet these short-term goals are deemed critical to U.S. national security in the 2010 Nuclear Posture Review (NPR) and Quadrennial Defense Review (QDR). North Korea and Iran are very different states that share at least one crucial similarity: decades of estrangement from Washington and U.S. efforts to isolate them from the international community. They also play destabilizing roles in the regions they inhabit, lack respect for basic democratic freedoms, and maintain policies antagonistic to the United States, its friends, and its allies. It is hardly surprising that the Washington consensus still supports isolation. What is striking, however, is the pronounced international consensus in favor of engagement, which sharply constrains an already limited U.S. policy arsenal. Assessing two decades of nuclear diplomacy with North Korea and nearly a decade of efforts with Iran, it is clear that Washington needs a more promising strategy. Nothing short of a paradigm shift away from denuclearization is required to alter the pattern of bad outcomes in both cases. The new paradigm, predicated on strong bipartisan support, would recognize the national security advantages of a negotiated nuclear pause as a prelude to denuclearization. Allowing North Korea and Iran to retain their current nuclear capability would give them an important incentive to cooperate with international monitoring aimed at improving the transparency of their nuclear programs and capabilities, and securing vulnerable nuclear materials—the goals identified by the NPR and QDR as vital to national security. Denuclearization would remain the publicly declared—and indeed desired—endstate of negotiations, but an outcome requiring a long time horizon to achieve. In the meantime, a nuclear pause diminishes the risk of further nuclear advances by these states and brings North Korea and Iran “inside the tent” through international monitoring. It also buys time to develop new policy mechanisms to further contain their programs. More crucially, it could open up political space in both states for moderation overall, including accommodation (vice defiance) of international demands, especially on the nuclear issue. This comparative study of U.S. nuclear diplomacy toward North Korea and Iran suggests that the North Korea case offers policymakers crucial lessons applicable to Iran. It provides policy recommendations based on four key conclusions: that a common paradigm (nuclear pause) must be applied to both states; that nuclear deals negotiated with international outliers like North Korea and Iran must draw on widely accepted policy or practice; that these deals should be linked to political/diplomatic strategies relevant to the domestic and regional policy context of each state; and that the success of a nuclear pause must be judged by whether it accomplishes nuclear policy goals, not broader policy goals. Time is of the essence. North Korea's leadership transition could prove destabilizing to the region, and Iran's enrichment capability is steadily advancing.
North Korean Nuclear Operationality
Gregory J. Moore
Author : Gregory J. Moore
Publisher : JHU Press
Page : 317 pages
File Size : 50,9 Mb
Release : 2014
Category : History
ISBN : 9781421410944
North Korean Nuclear Operationality by Gregory J. Moore Pdf
"Leading Asian and security studies experts consider the question: What would happen if North Korea "goes nuclear?" and their answers are critical. Scholars and policymakers alike need to understand the implications not only for northeast Asian regional security, but also for the international nuclear non-proliferation regime. Moore's contributors evaluate political, economic, and security issues including: how South Korea, China, Japan, and Russia would react to such an event, and the possibility of a regional arms race; what diplomatic and strategic options the U.S. has; and how the global community's expectations regarding nuclear non-proliferation would be effected. Given the instability and mystery surrounding North Korean politics, scholarship on the implications of the country's nuclear capability is critical, which makes this volume with its unique focus a timely addition to the East Asian security studies field"--
The US–India Nuclear Agreement
Vandana Bhatia
Author : Vandana Bhatia
Publisher : Rowman & Littlefield
Page : 211 pages
File Size : 54,7 Mb
Release : 2017-06-23
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781498506267
The US–India Nuclear Agreement by Vandana Bhatia Pdf
The United States–India nuclear cooperation agreement to resume civilian nuclear technology trade with India—a non-signatory of the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty (NPT) and a defacto nuclear weapon state—is regarded as an impetuous shift in the US nuclear nonproliferation policy. The 2008 nuclear agreement aroused sharp reactions and unleashed a storm of controversies regarding the reversal of the US nonproliferation policy and its implications for the NPT regime. This book attempts to overcome the significant empirical and theoretical deficits in understanding the rationale for the change in the US nuclear nonproliferation policy toward India. This nuclear deal has been largely related to the US foreign policy objectives, especially establishing India as a regional counter-balance to China. The author examines the US–India nuclear cooperation agreement in a bilateral context, with regard to the nuclear regime. In past discourse India has been mainly viewed as a challenger to the nuclear regime, but this reflects the paucity in understanding India’s approach to the issue of nuclear weapons. The author relates the nuclear estrangement to the disjuncture between the US and India’s respective approach to nuclear weapons, evident during the negotiations that led to the framing of the NPT. The change in the US approach towards India, the nuclear outlier, has been exclusively linked to the Bush administration, which faced considerable criticism for sidelining the nonproliferation policy. This book instead traces the shifting of nuclear goalposts to the Clinton administration following the Pokhran II nuclear tests conducted by India. Contrary to the widespread perception that the decision to offer the nuclear technology to India was an impromptu decision by the Bush administration, the author contends that it was the result of a diligent process of bilateral dialogue and interaction. This book provides a detailed overview of the rationale and the developments that led to the agreement. Employing the regime theory, the author argues that the US–India nuclear agreement was neither an overturn of the US nuclear nonproliferation policy nor an unravelling of the NPT-centric regime. Rather, it was a strategic move to accommodate India, the anomaly within the regime.
State Responses to Nuclear Proliferation
Brian K. Chappell
Author : Brian K. Chappell
Publisher : Springer Nature
Page : 449 pages
File Size : 49,7 Mb
Release : 2021-01-07
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9783030598013
State Responses to Nuclear Proliferation by Brian K. Chappell Pdf
Contemporary fears of rogue state nuclear proliferation and nuclear terrorism pose unique challenges for the global community. This book offers a unique approach by examining why states that have the military capability to severely damage a proliferating state’s nuclear program instead choose to pursue coercive diplomacy. The author argues cognitive psychological influences, including the trauma derived from national tragedies like the September 11th attacks and the Holocaust, and a history of armed conflict increase the threat perceptions of foreign policy decision-makers when confronting a state perceived to be challenging the existing power structure by pursuing a nuclear weapon. The powerful state’s degree of perceived threat, combined with its national security policies, military power projection capabilities, and public support then influence whether it will take no action, use coercive diplomacy/sanctions, or employ military force to address the weaker state’s nuclear ambitions.
Strategic Forum
Anonim
Author : Anonim
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 536 pages
File Size : 52,5 Mb
Release : 1994
Category : National security
ISBN : UCBK:C116582890
Strategic Forum by Anonim Pdf
Maximizing the Returns of Government Venture Capital Programs
Andrew Mara
Author : Andrew Mara
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 16 pages
File Size : 50,9 Mb
Release : 2011
Category : Government-sponsored enterprises
ISBN : UCLA:L0104221585
Maximizing the Returns of Government Venture Capital Programs by Andrew Mara Pdf
Tailored Deterrence
Barry R. Schneider,Patrick D. Ellis
Author : Barry R. Schneider,Patrick D. Ellis
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 466 pages
File Size : 46,9 Mb
Release : 2012
Category : Arms control
ISBN : 0974740381
Tailored Deterrence by Barry R. Schneider,Patrick D. Ellis Pdf
Nuclear Weapons and Coercive Diplomacy
Todd S. Sechser,Matthew Fuhrmann
Author : Todd S. Sechser,Matthew Fuhrmann
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
Page : 349 pages
File Size : 43,8 Mb
Release : 2017-02-02
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781107106949
Nuclear Weapons and Coercive Diplomacy by Todd S. Sechser,Matthew Fuhrmann Pdf
Are nuclear weapons useful for coercive diplomacy? This book argues that they are useful for deterrence but not for offensive purposes.
Talking to the Enemy
Dalia Dassa Kaye
Author : Dalia Dassa Kaye
Publisher : Rand Corporation
Page : 167 pages
File Size : 54,6 Mb
Release : 2007
Category : History
ISBN : 9780833041913
Talking to the Enemy by Dalia Dassa Kaye Pdf
Kaye (RAND) has written a thorough, thoughtful analysis of track two diplomacy in the two most difficult areas to practice this craft: South Asia and the Middle East. She includes descriptions and comments on a number of such efforts in both regions, which will be invaluable to both scholar and professional negotiators. Her discussion of the roles for track two talks--socializing elites, making others' ideas one's own, and turning ideas into policies--would be useful in any negotiation course. With respect to work in the two regions, Kaye speaks insightfully of projects under way: their potential, constraints, and the role of the regional environment. Her suggestion that each region may learn from the tribulation of the other is arguably thoughtful. Her suggestions for improvement--expand the types of participants, create institutional support and mentors, and localize the dialogues--deserve further study.
Nuclear Logics
Etel Solingen
Author : Etel Solingen
Publisher : Princeton University Press
Page : 421 pages
File Size : 46,5 Mb
Release : 2009-02-09
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781400828029
Nuclear Logics by Etel Solingen Pdf
Nuclear Logics examines why some states seek nuclear weapons while others renounce them. Looking closely at nine cases in East Asia and the Middle East, Etel Solingen finds two distinct regional patterns. In East Asia, the norm since the late 1960s has been to forswear nuclear weapons, and North Korea, which makes no secret of its nuclear ambitions, is the anomaly. In the Middle East the opposite is the case, with Iran, Iraq, Israel, and Libya suspected of pursuing nuclear-weapons capabilities, with Egypt as the anomaly in recent decades. Identifying the domestic conditions underlying these divergent paths, Solingen argues that there are clear differences between states whose leaders advocate integration in the global economy and those that reject it. Among the former are countries like South Korea, Taiwan, and Japan, whose leaders have had stronger incentives to avoid the political, economic, and other costs of acquiring nuclear weapons. The latter, as in most cases in the Middle East, have had stronger incentives to exploit nuclear weapons as tools in nationalist platforms geared to helping their leaders survive in power. Solingen complements her bold argument with other logics explaining nuclear behavior, including security dilemmas, international norms and institutions, and the role of democracy and authoritarianism. Her account charts the most important frontier in understanding nuclear proliferation: grasping the relationship between internal and external political survival. Nuclear Logics is a pioneering book that is certain to provide an invaluable resource for researchers, teachers, and practitioners while reframing the policy debate surrounding nonproliferation.
Thinking the Other Unthinkable: Disarmament in North Korea and Beyond
Toby Dalton,George Perkovich
Author : Toby Dalton,George Perkovich
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 128 pages
File Size : 52,9 Mb
Release : 2020-07
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 1952565030
Thinking the Other Unthinkable: Disarmament in North Korea and Beyond by Toby Dalton,George Perkovich Pdf
Neither the governments attempting to negotiate with North Korea, nor the drafters of the UN Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons, define what verifiable elimination of nuclear weapons and associated infrastructure would entail, whether in one country or in all.What model for nuclear disarmament might a nuclear-armed state demand of its adversaries and accept for itself? If states were to commit to dismantle their nuclear arsenals, what would be the key benchmarks for assessing the progressive implementation of such a commitment? Designing sustainable, effective nuclear disarmament-of North Korea or any other nuclear-armed state-requires much more than dismantling warheads and controlling fissile material stocks. Disarming states would need to collectively agree what types and numbers of delivery systems (especially missiles) would be permissible. Both nuclear-armed and non-nuclear-weapon states would need to determine what peaceful nuclear and space activities may remain during and after nuclear disarmament, and under what reassurance/monitoring conditions. At least some states would press for monitored limits on research and development activities vital to building or reconstituting nuclear arsenals. The paper starts from a logic that could inform a denuclearization agreement with North Korea and how to manage its retention of nuclear weapons-related capabilities, including nuclear energy production, conventionally armed ballistic missiles, and a space launch program, among others. The paper then explores comparable political and technical choices that would need to be made in the disarmament of other nuclear-armed states, focusing on six challenges that will shape negotiations on dual-use capabilities and activities that would remain during and after disarmament. Finally, the paper examines challenges in verifying compliance and surveys the often-avoided problem of enforcing disarmament agreements.The authors do not pretend that a particular disarmament roadmap could be charted today; rather they suggest how progress toward disarmament could be defined and assessed in light of challenges that are likely to exist. Thinking through and debating what would be involved in nuclear disarmament-and how it could be done in ways that would not make major warfare between states more likely-can constructively inform policy decisions that states are making now.
Reconstituting Korean Security
Hazel Smith
Author : Hazel Smith
Publisher : UNU
Page : 324 pages
File Size : 48,7 Mb
Release : 2007
Category : History
ISBN : UOM:39015073674304
Reconstituting Korean Security by Hazel Smith Pdf
The classic national security concerns of nuclear proliferation and the production, sale and use of weapons of mass destruction cannot be addressed in the Korean peninsula without at the same time considering the implications and interrelationship of what are these days known as the human security issues of food, poverty and, perhaps more controversially, freedom.We agree that East Asia and the world are more dangerous with the Democratic People's Republic of Korea (the DPRK or North Korea) in possession of nuclear weapons. It is also argued, however, that a comprehensive security analysis identifies many equally significant threats to regional security, such as the risk from industrial and nuclear accidents and the potential for transborder crime arising from the lack of legal and productive avenues for economic activity for North Korea's poverty-stricken citizens. In this book Korea, soft security issues are as important as hard security matters and that the latter cannot be understood, or its dilemmas unravelled, without a clear engagement with the former.This book looks at Korean security dilemmas from the perspective of the various international actors, not just from the viewpoint of the major protagonists the DPRK and the United States. We show that different states and international organizations have different and multiple interests in their relationships with the DPRK and with each other.
Containing Iran
Robert J. Reardon
Author : Robert J. Reardon
Publisher : Rand Corporation
Page : 207 pages
File Size : 44,9 Mb
Release : 2012-09-27
Category : History
ISBN : 9780833076373
Containing Iran by Robert J. Reardon Pdf
Iran's nuclear program is one of this century's principal foreign policy challenges. Despite U.S., Israeli, and allied efforts, Iran has an extensive enrichment program and likely has the technical capacity to produce at least one nuclear bomb if it so chose. This study assesses U.S. policy options, identifies a way forward, and considers how the United States might best mitigate the negative international effects of a nuclear-armed Iran.
Lessons Encountered
National Defense University,Joseph J. Collins,Jr. Richard D. Hooker
Author : National Defense University,Joseph J. Collins,Jr. Richard D. Hooker
Publisher : Lulu.com
Page : 488 pages
File Size : 54,5 Mb
Release : 2015
Category : Reference
ISBN : 1329628497
Lessons Encountered by National Defense University,Joseph J. Collins,Jr. Richard D. Hooker Pdf
This volume represents an early attempt at assessing the Long War, now in its 14th year. Forged in the fires of the 9/11 attacks, the war includes campaigns against al Qaeda, major conflicts in Iraq and Afghanistan, and operations in the Horn of Africa, the Republic of the Philippines, and globally, in the air and on the sea. The authors herein treat only the campaigns in Afghanistan and Iraq, the largest U.S. efforts. It is intended for future senior officers, their advisors, and other national security decisionmakers. By derivation, it is also a book for students in joint professional military education courses, which will qualify them to work in the field of strategy. While the book tends to focus on strategic decisions and developments of land wars among the people, it acknowledges that the status of the United States as a great power and the strength of its ground forces depend in large measure on the dominance of the U.S. Navy and U.S. Air Force in their respective domains.
