Regional Economic Outlook April 2015 Western Hemisphere Department

Author : International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 98 pages
File Size : 52,8 Mb
Release : 2015-04-29
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781475521801

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Regional Economic Outlook, April 2015: Western Hemisphere Department by International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept. Pdf

The economic outlook for Latin America and the Caribbean remains very challenging. Regional growth is projected to decline for a fifth consecutive year in 2015, dipping below 1 percent. Weakness is concentrated among South America's commodity exporters, where falling global commodity prices have compounded country-specific challenges. Meanwhile, growth is projected to be steady or stronger for most of the Caribbean, Central America, and Mexico, supported by lower oil bills for importers and robust economic recovery in the United States. The analysis in this report examines core challenges facing the region: the impact of lower commodity prices on fiscal and external positions, the drivers of the slowdown in investment, and the role of economic diversification for longer-term growth prospects.

Author : International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Department
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 98 pages
File Size : 47,5 Mb
Release : 2015
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 1484326237

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Regional Economic Outlook by International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Department Pdf

The economic outlook for Latin America and the Caribbean remains very challenging. Regional growth is projected to decline for a fifth consecutive year in 2015, dipping below 1 percent. Weakness is concentrated among South America's commodity exporters, where falling global commodity prices have compounded country-specific challenges. Meanwhile, growth is projected to be steady or stronger for most of the Caribbean, Central America, and Mexico, supported by lower oil bills for importers and robust economic recovery in the United States. The analysis in this report examines core challenges facing the region: the impact of lower commodity prices on fiscal and external positions, the drivers of the slowdown in investment, and the role of economic diversification for longer-term growth prospects.

Author : International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 108 pages
File Size : 41,9 Mb
Release : 2015-10-07
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781513575209

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Regional Economic Outlook, October 2015: Western Hemisphere Department by International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept. Pdf

Economies in the Western Hemisphere are generally seeing a slowdown in growth. The U.S. economy regained momentum after a slow start at the beginning of the year, while in Latin America and the Caribbean economic activity continues to decelerate. Stronger U.S. growth should benefit countries in the region, especially those with tighter links through trade, remittances, and tourism (Mexico, Central America, and the Caribbean). Weaker commodity prices for the foreseeable future, however, will continue to hurt South America's net commodity exporters, lowering national incomes, reducing investment, and worsening fiscal balances. These developments could, in turn, impede progress made in recent years in poverty reduction. These developments could, in turn, impede progress made in recent years in poverty reduction. Key risks, including an abrupt tightening of U.S. interest rates or a further slowdown in China, may disproportionately affect Latin America. Chapters in this report examine monetary policy in Latin America, including the region’s exposure to global financial shocks; the role of value chains and regional trade agreements in fostering trade integration; and financial market development in the region.

Author : International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 134 pages
File Size : 55,5 Mb
Release : 2018-05-11
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781484339879

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Regional Economic Outlook, April 2018, Western Hemisphere Department by International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept. Pdf

The world economy and global trade are experiencing a broad-based cyclical upswing. Since October 2017, global growth outcomes and the outlook for 2018–19 have improved across all regions, reinforced by the expected positive near-term spillovers from tax policy changes in the United States. Accommodative global financial conditions, despite some tightening and market volatility in early February 2018, have been providing support to economic recovery. Higher commodity prices are contributing to an improved outlook for commodity exporters. The US and Canadian economies posted solid gains in 2017 and are expected to grow above potential in the near term. Despite the improved near-term outlook, however, medium-term prospects are tilted downwards. Growth prospects for advanced economies are subdued and many emerging market and developing economies are projected to grow in per capita terms more slowly than advanced economies, raising concerns about income convergence. While risks appear broadly balanced in the near term, they skew to the downside over the medium term, including a possible sharp tightening of financial conditions, waning popular support for global economic integration, growing trade tensions and risks of a shift toward protectionist policies, and geopolitical strains.

Author : Mr.Hamid Faruqee
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 128 pages
File Size : 40,6 Mb
Release : 2017-05-19
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781475575392

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Regional Economic Outlook, April 2017, Western Hemisphere Department by Mr.Hamid Faruqee Pdf

With the global economy gaining some momentum, economies of Latin America and the Caribbean are recovering from a recession at the regional level in 2016. This gradual improvement can be understood as tale of two adjustments, external and fiscal, that are ongoing in response to earlier shocks. But headwinds from commodity terms-of-trade shocks and country-specific domestic factors are fading, paving the way for real GDP to grow by about 1 percent in 2017. Regional activity is expected to pick up further momentum in 2018, but at a slower pace than previously anticipated, while medium-term growth is projected to remain modest at about 2.6 percent. The outlook is shaped by key shifts in the global economic and policy landscape—where slow growth, low productivity, and high income inequality are creating pressure for a shift toward inward- looking policies in some advanced economies. Domestic fundamentals and developments, however, will continue to play a significant role in determining growth for the region. At the same time, risks to the outlook have widened in a setting of higher global uncertainty. In this challenging external context, countries should aim for completing fiscal and external adjustments to preserve or rebuild policy buffers. Charting a course toward higher, sustainable, and more equitable growth will also require strengthening structural reforms. Specifically, closing infrastructure gaps, improving the business environment, governance, and education outcomes, and encouraging female labor participation are necessary to boost medium-term growth and foster income convergence. Chapters in this report examine the ongoing external adjustment to terms-of-trade shifts, drivers of capital flows to the region, the role of the investor base, and macroeconomic impact of migration and remittances.

Author : Mr.Hamid Faruqee
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 126 pages
File Size : 49,5 Mb
Release : 2016-04-27
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781498329996

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Regional Economic Outlook, April 2016, Western Hemisphere Department by Mr.Hamid Faruqee Pdf

The United States has seen an improvement in economic activity, driven by consumption, and has taken a first step toward gradual normalization of interest rates. The U.S. recovery continues to support activity in Mexico, Central America, and the Caribbean, but China’s slowdown has reduced the demand for exports from South America. At the same time, the region’s commodity exporters have experienced further terms-of-trade shocks as commodity prices continue their decline globally. This report describes the policies and economic reforms needed to address the declining productive capacity in Latin America and the Caribbean. Three chapters assess corporate vulnerabilities in Latin America, analyze the degree of exchange rate pass-through in the region, and evaluate trends in public and private infrastructure investment.

Author : International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 138 pages
File Size : 43,6 Mb
Release : 2018-05-11
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781484354773

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Regional Economic Outlook, April 2018, Western Hemisphere Department by International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept. Pdf

The world economy and global trade are experiencing a broad-based cyclical upswing. Since October 2017, global growth outcomes and the outlook for 2018–19 have improved across all regions, reinforced by the expected positive near-term spillovers from tax policy changes in the United States. Accommodative global financial conditions, despite some tightening and market volatility in early February 2018, have been providing support to economic recovery. Higher commodity prices are contributing to an improved outlook for commodity exporters. The US and Canadian economies posted solid gains in 2017 and are expected to grow above potential in the near term. Despite the improved near-term outlook, however, medium-term prospects are tilted downwards. Growth prospects for advanced economies are subdued and many emerging market and developing economies are projected to grow in per capita terms more slowly than advanced economies, raising concerns about income convergence. While risks appear broadly balanced in the near term, they skew to the downside over the medium term, including a possible sharp tightening of financial conditions, waning popular support for global economic integration, growing trade tensions and risks of a shift toward protectionist policies, and geopolitical strains.

Author : International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 71 pages
File Size : 55,9 Mb
Release : 2012-04-25
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781616352530

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Regional Economic Outlook, April 2012, Western Hemisphere by International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept. Pdf

Growth in much of Latin America remains solid, although it slowed during the second half of 2011 as result of the combined effects of policy tightening and global uncertainties. Under our baseline, we expect growth in Latin America and the Caribbean to moderate to about 33⁄4 percent in 2012, from about 41⁄2 last year. For many countries, high commodity prices and easy external financing conditions will provide tailwinds. For others, weak growth in the United States and other advanced-country partners, or homegrown fiscal problems, will hold back activity. This edition of the Regional Economic Outlook: Western Hemisphere elaborates on three key themes. First, the global economic environment is somewhat better than in late 2011, but remains risky as renewed tensions from Europe and the likelihood of an oil price shock cannot be discarded. Second, external conditions will remain stimulative for much of Latin America: The double tailwinds of easy external finance and high commodity prices are likely to persist for a while, though not forever. And third, this environment creates opportunities for Latin America-opportunities to build on the resilience and flexibility that has served it so well during the global crisis of 2008-09. This edition also expands on these themes through analytical features on regional spillovers, the growth effects of global financial shocks, and housing and mortgage markets in the region.

Author : International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.
Publisher : INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 52,7 Mb
Release : 2010-05-10
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1589069218

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Regional Economic Outlook, May 2010, Western Hemisphere by International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept. Pdf

A multispeed global recovery is under way, with some emerging markets in the lead and the major advanced economies growing more slowly. This macroeconomic setting has brought a return to easy global financial conditions and high commodity prices-a situation likely to be sustained for some time but unlikely to be permanent. Against that external backdrop, the recovery in the Latin America and Caribbean region overall is advancing faster than anticipated, but moving at different speeds across countries. The report discusses the varying policy challenges that different countries face as the global recovery proceeds. Chapter 1 analyzes the global setting and the outlook for the United States and Canada in particular, while Chapter 2 focuses on the outlook for Latin America and the Caribbean. Chapter 3 looks in depth at the challenges arising from the return of easy external financial conditions. Together with high commodity prices, such conditions represent favorable "tailwinds" for many countries of the region, but also carry risks for policymakers to address.

Author : International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 128 pages
File Size : 42,5 Mb
Release : 2024-06-29
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 1475517475

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Regional Economic Outlook, April 2015:Stabilizing and Outperforming Other Regions by International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept Pdf

Author : International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 106 pages
File Size : 48,5 Mb
Release : 2010-10-19
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781589069534

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Regional Economic Outlook, October 2010, Western Hemisphere by International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept. Pdf

Heating Up in the South, Cooler in the North broadly describes the economic scene for the Western Hemisphere. The report emphasizes how a mixed environment--with slow recovery in the United States and other advanced economies, but strength in Asia--differently shapes the outlooks for the diverse economies of Latin America and the Caribbean. This issue also focuses on financial issues in Latin America, with a chapter on the challenges of allowing credit to expand safely, without creating excessive risks, and a chapter that looks at macroprudential financial policies--topics especially important in today's context of low global interest rates and capital flows to emerging economies. The final chapter turns to Caribbean economies, exploring the drivers, and obstacles, that affect their growth.

Author : Anonim
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 70 pages
File Size : 44,6 Mb
Release : 2010
Category : Economic forecasting
ISBN : OCLC:680615507

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Regional Economic Outlook by Anonim Pdf

Author : International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.
Publisher : INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 41,6 Mb
Release : 2009-10-21
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1589068602

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Regional Economic Outlook, October 2009, Western Hemisphere by International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept. Pdf

The impact of the global financial crisis and recession on the Latin America and Caribbean region was substantial, but the worst is over for most countries. The region avoided falling into a crisis of its own, performing relatively well amid strong external shocks. Many countries have now returned to growth. The region now faces the challenge of adapting to a new global environment that will not be as favorable as in the past. The latest edition of the report explores the lessons and policy agenda emerging from the recent performance of the Latin America and Caribbean region, drawing also on the broader international experience. Published biannually in May and October.

Author : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 884 pages
File Size : 52,6 Mb
Release : 2015-04-14
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781498378000

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World Economic Outlook, April 2015 by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. Pdf

Global growth remains moderate and uneven, and a number of complex forces are shaping the outlook. These include medium- and long-term trends, global shocks, and many country- or region-specific factors. The April 2015 WEO examines the causes and implications of recent trends, including lower oil prices, which are providing a boost to growth globally and in many oil-importing countries but are weighing on activity in oil-exporting countries, and substantial changes in exchange rates for major currencies, reflecting variations in country growth rates and in exchange rate policies and the lower price of oil. Additionally, analytical chapters explore the growth rate of potential output across advanced and emerging market economies, assessing its recent track and likely future course; and the performance of private fixed investment in advanced economies, which has featured prominently in the public policy debate in recent years, focusing on the role of overall economic weakness in accounting for this performance.

Author : Mr.Hamid Faruqee
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 126 pages
File Size : 53,5 Mb
Release : 2016-04-27
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781475549898

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Regional Economic Outlook, April 2016, Western Hemisphere Department by Mr.Hamid Faruqee Pdf

The United States has seen an improvement in economic activity, driven by consumption, and has taken a first step toward gradual normalization of interest rates. The U.S. recovery continues to support activity in Mexico, Central America, and the Caribbean, but China’s slowdown has reduced the demand for exports from South America. At the same time, the region’s commodity exporters have experienced further terms-of-trade shocks as commodity prices continue their decline globally. This report describes the policies and economic reforms needed to address the declining productive capacity in Latin America and the Caribbean. Three chapters assess corporate vulnerabilities in Latin America, analyze the degree of exchange rate pass-through in the region, and evaluate trends in public and private infrastructure investment.