Show Time

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Show Time

Suzanne Trauth
Show Time Book PDF

Author : Suzanne Trauth
Publisher : Lyrical Press
Page : 319 pages
File Size : 41,9 Mb
Release : 2016-07-19
Category : Fiction
ISBN : 9781601837196

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Show Time by Suzanne Trauth Pdf

The tide has turned for Dodie O’Dell since a hurricane upended her life on the Jersey Shore. Now she’s further up the coast in sleepy Etonville, managing a restaurant that dishes dinners themed around the community theater’s latest productions. But Dodie just never imagined she’d land the starring role in a case of bloody homicide . . . Intrigued by rumors of vanishing box office money, Dodie has agreed to help oversee the casting of Romeo and Juliet at the modest Etonville Little Theater. If nothing else, it’s a welcome escape from the thirty-something’s usual going-to-bed-with-a-mystery-novel routine. But when Jerome Angleton, a well-respected member of the theater company, is inexplicably found murdered on the loading dock, deadly drama transcends the stage—and the page. As a crime wave crashes over the small town, the spotlight is on Dodie to orchestrate her own investigation behind the scenes . . . before someone has a chance at a killer encore.

Show Time

Lee Ann Fujii
Show Time Book PDF

Author : Lee Ann Fujii
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 234 pages
File Size : 42,7 Mb
Release : 2021
Category : Genocide
ISBN : 1501758543

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Show Time by Lee Ann Fujii Pdf

"Analyzes the political violence in Rwanda alongside mass murder in Bosnia and the lynching of African Americans in the United States during the Jim Crow era to show how violent acts have been 'choreographed' not only to damage and kill victims but also to make an impact on observers, neighbors, and the larger society"--

Discrete Time Series, Processes, and Applications in Finance

Gilles Zumbach
Discrete Time Series Processes and Applications in Finance Book PDF

Author : Gilles Zumbach
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 326 pages
File Size : 46,5 Mb
Release : 2012-10-04
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9783642317422

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Discrete Time Series, Processes, and Applications in Finance by Gilles Zumbach Pdf

Most financial and investment decisions are based on considerations of possible future changes and require forecasts on the evolution of the financial world. Time series and processes are the natural tools for describing the dynamic behavior of financial data, leading to the required forecasts. This book presents a survey of the empirical properties of financial time series, their descriptions by means of mathematical processes, and some implications for important financial applications used in many areas like risk evaluation, option pricing or portfolio construction. The statistical tools used to extract information from raw data are introduced. Extensive multiscale empirical statistics provide a solid benchmark of stylized facts (heteroskedasticity, long memory, fat-tails, leverage...), in order to assess various mathematical structures that can capture the observed regularities. The author introduces a broad range of processes and evaluates them systematically against the benchmark, summarizing the successes and limitations of these models from an empirical point of view. The outcome is that only multiscale ARCH processes with long memory, discrete multiplicative structures and non-normal innovations are able to capture correctly the empirical properties. In particular, only a discrete time series framework allows to capture all the stylized facts in a process, whereas the stochastic calculus used in the continuum limit is too constraining. The present volume offers various applications and extensions for this class of processes including high-frequency volatility estimators, market risk evaluation, covariance estimation and multivariate extensions of the processes. The book discusses many practical implications and is addressed to practitioners and quants in the financial industry, as well as to academics, including graduate (Master or PhD level) students. The prerequisites are basic statistics and some elementary financial mathematics.

Jordan and Max, Showtime

Suzanne Sutherland
Jordan and Max Showtime Book PDF

Author : Suzanne Sutherland
Publisher : Orca Book Publishers
Page : 62 pages
File Size : 42,5 Mb
Release : 2021-09-14
Category : Juvenile Fiction
ISBN : 9781459826977

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Jordan and Max, Showtime by Suzanne Sutherland Pdf

Jordan had a tough time with the other kids at his old school. So, on his first day at Massey Elementary, he has a plan: to be absolutely invisible. His new classmates don't need to know that his grandmother is his best friend or that they put on shows together dressing up in elaborate costumes each night in their apartment. When he's forced to pair up with Max, a loud-mouthed loner with a love for Hawaiian shirts, Jordan's cover of invisibility threatens to be blown completely. But with the help of his partner's unique artistic vision, Jordan begins to see that his sparkling secret deserves to be revealed. This partially illustrated early chapter book is a gentle exploration of friendship, gender performance and identity.

Introduction to Time Series and Forecasting

Peter J. Brockwell,Richard A. Davis
Introduction to Time Series and Forecasting Book PDF

Author : Peter J. Brockwell,Richard A. Davis
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 429 pages
File Size : 52,9 Mb
Release : 2013-03-14
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9781475725261

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Introduction to Time Series and Forecasting by Peter J. Brockwell,Richard A. Davis Pdf

Some of the key mathematical results are stated without proof in order to make the underlying theory acccessible to a wider audience. The book assumes a knowledge only of basic calculus, matrix algebra, and elementary statistics. The emphasis is on methods and the analysis of data sets. The logic and tools of model-building for stationary and non-stationary time series are developed in detail and numerous exercises, many of which make use of the included computer package, provide the reader with ample opportunity to develop skills in this area. The core of the book covers stationary processes, ARMA and ARIMA processes, multivariate time series and state-space models, with an optional chapter on spectral analysis. Additional topics include harmonic regression, the Burg and Hannan-Rissanen algorithms, unit roots, regression with ARMA errors, structural models, the EM algorithm, generalized state-space models with applications to time series of count data, exponential smoothing, the Holt-Winters and ARAR forecasting algorithms, transfer function models and intervention analysis. Brief introducitons are also given to cointegration and to non-linear, continuous-time and long-memory models. The time series package included in the back of the book is a slightly modified version of the package ITSM, published separately as ITSM for Windows, by Springer-Verlag, 1994. It does not handle such large data sets as ITSM for Windows, but like the latter, runs on IBM-PC compatible computers under either DOS or Windows (version 3.1 or later). The programs are all menu-driven so that the reader can immediately apply the techniques in the book to time series data, with a minimal investment of time in the computational and algorithmic aspects of the analysis.

Show Them a Good Time

Nicole Flattery
Show Them a Good Time Book PDF

Author : Nicole Flattery
Publisher : Bloomsbury Publishing USA
Page : 197 pages
File Size : 41,5 Mb
Release : 2020-01-28
Category : Fiction
ISBN : 9781635574302

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Show Them a Good Time by Nicole Flattery Pdf

"Show Them a Good Time is a master class in the short story-bold, irreverent and agonizingly funny." Sally Rooney, Author of Normal People and Conversations with Friends Show Them a Good Time tells the stories of women slotted away into restrictive roles: the celebrity's girlfriend, the widower's second wife, the lecherous professor's student, the corporate employee. But these women are too intelligent, too ferociously mordant and painfully funny to remain in their places. In "Not the End Yet,” Flattery probes the hilarious and wrenching ambivalence of Internet dating as the apocalypse nears; in "Sweet Talk,” the mysterious disappearance of local women sets the scene for a young girl to confront the dangerous uncertainties of her own sexuality; in "Abortion, A Love Story,” two college students in a dystopian campus reconfigure the perilous stories of their bodies in a fraught academic culture to offer a subversive play that takes over their own offstage lives. Together, the stories in Show Them a Good Time provide a riveting, hilarious introduction to one of today's most original young writers.

Show Time With Sophia Grace and Rosie

Sophia Grace Brownlee,Rosie McClelland
Show Time With Sophia Grace and Rosie Book PDF

Author : Sophia Grace Brownlee,Rosie McClelland
Publisher : Scholastic Inc.
Page : 28 pages
File Size : 44,7 Mb
Release : 2014-03-25
Category : Juvenile Fiction
ISBN : 9780545631365

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Show Time With Sophia Grace and Rosie by Sophia Grace Brownlee,Rosie McClelland Pdf

On the heels of their NEW YORK TIMES bestselling TEA TIME WITH SOPHIA GRACE AND ROSIE, Sophia Grace and Rosie are back! TEA TIME WITH SOPHIA GRACE AND ROSIE was a NEW YORK TIMES bestseller! Cousins Sophia Grace and Rosie have charmed Ellen DeGeneres, her studio audiences, and millions of YouTube viewers with their British accents, delightful banter, princess dresses, singing and dancing talents, and more!In their second picture book, Sophia Grace and Rosie pick the perfect song for their school-wide talent show. They practice day and night. But what BIG surprise do they have in the works? Get ready for ... SHOW TIME WITH SOPHIA GRACE AND ROSIE!

Phenomenological Structure for the Large Deviation Principle in Time-Series Statistics

Takahiro Nemoto
Phenomenological Structure for the Large Deviation Principle in Time Series Statistics Book PDF

Author : Takahiro Nemoto
Publisher : Springer
Page : 127 pages
File Size : 41,5 Mb
Release : 2015-11-06
Category : Science
ISBN : 9789812878113

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Phenomenological Structure for the Large Deviation Principle in Time-Series Statistics by Takahiro Nemoto Pdf

This thesis describes a method to control rare events in non-equilibrium systems by applying physical forces to those systems but without relying on numerical simulation techniques, such as copying rare events. In order to study this method, the book draws on the mathematical structure of equilibrium statistical mechanics, which connects large deviation functions with experimentally measureable thermodynamic functions. Referring to this specific structure as the “phenomenological structure for the large deviation principle”, the author subsequently extends it to time-series statistics that can be used to describe non-equilibrium physics. The book features pedagogical explanations and also shows many open problems to which the proposed method can be applied only to a limited extent. Beyond highlighting these challenging problems as a point of departure, it especially offers an effective means of description for rare events, which could become the next paradigm of non-equilibrium statistical mechanics.

Recent Advances in Time Series Forecasting

Dinesh C.S. Bisht,Mangey Ram
Recent Advances in Time Series Forecasting Book PDF

Author : Dinesh C.S. Bisht,Mangey Ram
Publisher : CRC Press
Page : 183 pages
File Size : 54,9 Mb
Release : 2021-09-08
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9781000433845

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Recent Advances in Time Series Forecasting by Dinesh C.S. Bisht,Mangey Ram Pdf

Future predictions are always a topic of interest. Precise estimates are crucial in many activities as forecasting errors can lead to big financial loss. The sequential analysis of data and information gathered from past to present is call time series analysis. This book covers the recent advancements in time series forecasting. The book includes theoretical as well as recent applications of time series analysis. It focuses on the recent techniques used, discusses a combination of methodology and applications, presents traditional and advanced tools, new applications, and identifies the gaps in knowledge in engineering applications. This book is aimed at scientists, researchers, postgraduate students and engineers in the areas of supply chain management, production, inventory planning, and statistical quality control.

Time Series Analysis in Seismology

Alejandro Ramírez-Rojas,Leonardo Di G. Sigalotti,Elsa Leticia Flores Márquez,Otto Rendón
Time Series Analysis in Seismology Book PDF

Author : Alejandro Ramírez-Rojas,Leonardo Di G. Sigalotti,Elsa Leticia Flores Márquez,Otto Rendón
Publisher : Elsevier
Page : 406 pages
File Size : 51,9 Mb
Release : 2019-08-02
Category : Science
ISBN : 9780128149027

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Time Series Analysis in Seismology by Alejandro Ramírez-Rojas,Leonardo Di G. Sigalotti,Elsa Leticia Flores Márquez,Otto Rendón Pdf

Time Series Analysis in Seismology: Practical Applications provides technical assistance and coverage of available methods to professionals working in the field of seismology. Beginning with a thorough review of open problems in geophysics, including tectonic plate dynamics, localization of solitons, and forecasting, the book goes on to describe the various types of time series or punctual processes obtained from those systems. Additionally, the book describes a variety of methods and techniques relating to seismology and includes a discussion of future developments and improvements. Time Series Analysis in Seismology offers a concise presentation of the most recent advances in the analysis of geophysical data, particularly with regard to seismology, making it a valuable tool for researchers and students working in seismology and geophysics. Presents the necessary tools for time series analysis as it relates to seismology in a compact and consistent manner Includes a discussion of technical resources that can be applied to time series data analysis across multiple disciplines Describes the methods and techniques available for solving problems related to the analysis of complex data sets Provides exercises at the end of each chapter to enhance comprehension

Handbook of Discrete-Valued Time Series

Richard A. Davis,Scott H. Holan,Robert Lund,Nalini Ravishanker
Handbook of Discrete Valued Time Series Book PDF

Author : Richard A. Davis,Scott H. Holan,Robert Lund,Nalini Ravishanker
Publisher : CRC Press
Page : 484 pages
File Size : 51,6 Mb
Release : 2016-01-06
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9781466577749

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Handbook of Discrete-Valued Time Series by Richard A. Davis,Scott H. Holan,Robert Lund,Nalini Ravishanker Pdf

Model a Wide Range of Count Time Series Handbook of Discrete-Valued Time Series presents state-of-the-art methods for modeling time series of counts and incorporates frequentist and Bayesian approaches for discrete-valued spatio-temporal data and multivariate data. While the book focuses on time series of counts, some of the techniques discussed ca

Forecasting Time Series Data with Facebook Prophet

Greg Rafferty
Forecasting Time Series Data with Facebook Prophet Book PDF

Author : Greg Rafferty
Publisher : Packt Publishing Ltd
Page : 270 pages
File Size : 50,6 Mb
Release : 2021-03-12
Category : Computers
ISBN : 9781800566521

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Forecasting Time Series Data with Facebook Prophet by Greg Rafferty Pdf

Create and improve high-quality automated forecasts for time series data that have strong seasonal effects, holidays, and additional regressors using Python Key Features Learn how to use the open-source forecasting tool Facebook Prophet to improve your forecasts Build a forecast and run diagnostics to understand forecast quality Fine-tune models to achieve high performance, and report that performance with concrete statistics Book Description Prophet enables Python and R developers to build scalable time series forecasts. This book will help you to implement Prophet's cutting-edge forecasting techniques to model future data with higher accuracy and with very few lines of code. You will begin by exploring the evolution of time series forecasting, from the basic early models to the advanced models of the present day. The book will demonstrate how to install and set up Prophet on your machine and build your first model with only a few lines of code. You'll then cover advanced features such as visualizing your forecasts, adding holidays, seasonality, and trend changepoints, handling outliers, and more, along with understanding why and how to modify each of the default parameters. Later chapters will show you how to optimize more complicated models with hyperparameter tuning and by adding additional regressors to the model. Finally, you'll learn how to run diagnostics to evaluate the performance of your models and see some useful features when running Prophet in production environments. By the end of this Prophet book, you will be able to take a raw time series dataset and build advanced and accurate forecast models with concise, understandable, and repeatable code. What you will learn Gain an understanding of time series forecasting, including its history, development, and uses Understand how to install Prophet and its dependencies Build practical forecasting models from real datasets using Python Understand the Fourier series and learn how it models seasonality Decide when to use additive and when to use multiplicative seasonality Discover how to identify and deal with outliers in time series data Run diagnostics to evaluate and compare the performance of your models Who this book is for This book is for data scientists, data analysts, machine learning engineers, software engineers, project managers, and business managers who want to build time series forecasts in Python. Working knowledge of Python and a basic understanding of forecasting principles and practices will be useful to apply the concepts covered in this book more easily.

ShowTime Piano Music from China - Level 2A

Nancy Faber,Randall Faber
ShowTime Piano Music from China Level 2A Book PDF

Author : Nancy Faber,Randall Faber
Publisher : Hal Leonard Corporation
Page : 24 pages
File Size : 41,8 Mb
Release : 2020-02-01
Category : Music
ISBN : 9781616773397

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ShowTime Piano Music from China - Level 2A by Nancy Faber,Randall Faber Pdf

(Faber Piano Adventures ). ShowTime Piano Music from China is an exciting exploration of rhythmic dances, serene folk melodies, and original Chinese selections. The book is arranged for the elementary pianist and correlates with Level 2A in the Piano Adventures method. At this level, five-finger melodies with simple harmonies reinforce tonalities and intervals, and teacher duets offer inspiration and support. Students meet LeLe the musical panda, a furry friend who asks discovery questions to guide understanding. Creatively, a duet improvisation and a composition activity introduce the Chinese sound. Unique at each level of the series is a picture tour of China, a visual snapshot of history and culture. Songs include: Counting Toads * Crescent Moon * Foot Sloggers Tune * The Game * Nine Lotus Lantern * Rainy Day * The Toy.

Tea Time with Sophia Grace and Rosie

Sophia Grace Brownlee,Rosie McClelland,Orli Zuravicky
Tea Time with Sophia Grace and Rosie Book PDF

Author : Sophia Grace Brownlee,Rosie McClelland,Orli Zuravicky
Publisher : Scholastic Press
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 47,5 Mb
Release : 2013
Category : Cousins
ISBN : 0545502144

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Tea Time with Sophia Grace and Rosie by Sophia Grace Brownlee,Rosie McClelland,Orli Zuravicky Pdf

Cousins Sophia Grace and Rosie plan a princess tea party, with invitations and costumes.

Unit Root Tests in Time Series Volume 2

K. Patterson
Unit Root Tests in Time Series Volume 2 Book PDF

Author : K. Patterson
Publisher : Springer
Page : 550 pages
File Size : 47,7 Mb
Release : 2012-07-05
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781137003317

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Unit Root Tests in Time Series Volume 2 by K. Patterson Pdf

Testing for a Unit Root is now an essential part of time series analysis but the literature on the topic is so large that knowing where to start is difficult even for the specialist. This book provides a way into the techniques of unit root testing, explaining the pitfalls and nonstandard cases, using practical examples and simulation analysis.