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Stabilizing Speculative Commodity Markets by S. Ghosh,C. L. Gilbert,Andrew Hughes Hallett Pdf
After briefly reviewing the problems caused by commodity price instability, the authors develop a mathematical model for commodity markets. The implications of this model for intervention and the welfare effects are then considered. A fully developed model of the world copper market is usedto investigate alternative buffer stock intervention rules in order to assess the scope and limitations of such stabilization strategies.
Commodity, Futures and Financial Markets by L. Phlips Pdf
Louis Phlips The stabilisation of primary commodity prices, and the related issue of the stabilisation of export earnings of developing countries, have traditionally been studied without reference to the futures markets (that exist or could exist) for these commodities. These futures markets have in turn been s~udied in isolation. The same is true for the new developments on financial markets. Over the last few years, in particular sine the 1985 tin crisis and the October 1987 stock exchange crisis, it has become evident that there are inter actions between commodity, futures, and financial markets and that these inter actions are very important. The more so as trade on futures and financial markets has shown a spectacular increase. This volume brings together a number of recent and unpublished papers on these interactions by leading specialists (and their students). A first set of papers examines how the use of futures markets could help stabilising export earnings of developing countries and how this compares to the rather unsuccessful UNCTAD type interventions via buffer stocks, pegged prices and cartels. A second set of papers faces the fact, largely ignored in the literature, that commodity prices are determined in foreign currencies, with the result that developing countries suffer from the volatility of exchange rates of these currencies (even in cases where commodity prices are relatively stable). Financial markets are thus explicitly linked to futures and commodity markets.
Stabilizing Speculative Commodity Markets by S. Ghosh,C. L. Gilbert,Andrew Hughes Hallett Pdf
After briefly reviewing the problems caused by commodity price instability, the authors develop a mathematical model for commodity markets. The implications of this model for intervention and the welfare effects are then considered. A fully developed model of the world copper market is usedto investigate alternative buffer stock intervention rules in order to assess the scope and limitations of such stabilization strategies.
Agricultural stabilization and conservation service, Commodity exchange authority, Consumer and marketing service, Federal crop insurance corporation, General administration, Office of information, Office of management services, Soil conservation service, Statistical reporting service by United States. Congress. House. Committee on Appropriations Pdf
Agricultural Marketing Service. Commodity Exchange Authority. Commodity Stabilization Service. Farmers' Home Administration. Federal Crop Insurance Corporation. Foreign Agricultural Service. Rural Electrification Administration. Office of the Secretary. Office of the Solicitor. General provisions. Farm Credit Administration by United States. Congress. House. Committee on Appropriations Pdf
International Commodity Market Models and Policy Analysis by O. Güvenen Pdf
o. Guvenen, University of Paris IX-Dauphine The aim of this publication is to present recent developments in international com modity market model building and policy analysis. This book is based mainly on the research presented at the XlIth International Conference organised by the Applied Econometric Association (AEA) which was held at the University of Zaragoza in Spain. This conference would not have been possible with out the cooperation of the Department of Econometrics of the University of Zaragoza and its Chairman A.A. Grasa. I would like to express my thanks to all contributors. I am grateful to J.H.P. Paelinck, J.P. Ancot, A.J. Hughes Hallett and H. Serbat for their constructive contributions and comments concerning the structure of the book. vii INTRODUCTION o. Guvenen The challenge of increasing complexity and global interdependence at the world level necessitates new modelling approaches and policy analysis at the macroeconomic level, and for commodities. The evaluation of economic modelling.follows the evolution of international economic phenomena. In that interdependent context there is a growing need for forecasting and simulation tools in the analysis of international primary com modity markets.
Food Price Volatility and Its Implications for Food Security and Policy by Matthias Kalkuhl,Joachim von Braun,Maximo Torero Pdf
This book provides fresh insights into concepts, methods and new research findings on the causes of excessive food price volatility. It also discusses the implications for food security and policy responses to mitigate excessive volatility. The approaches applied by the contributors range from on-the-ground surveys, to panel econometrics and innovative high-frequency time series analysis as well as computational economics methods. It offers policy analysts and decision-makers guidance on dealing with extreme volatility.
Price Stabilization on World Agricultural Markets by Bernd Lucke Pdf
International commodity markets have traditionally attracted the attention of economists, econometricians, and policy makers especially in and following politically tumultuous times. For instance, the primary commodity price boom of 1973/74 and the subsequent period of highly volatile world market prices initiated increased research on commodity markets which quickly focused on possible price stabilization schemes, particularly on buffer stocks. Simultaneously, the issue clearly advanced in priority on the political agenda, such that the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) proposed an "Integrated Program for Commodities" (IPC) intended to stabilize the world market prices of ten so-called "core commodities"l (UNCTAD (1974, 1976a), Behrman (1979)). Many developing nations welcomed the IPC almost enthusiastically, but it did not receive more than lukewarm support by major industrialized countries, apparently due to the experience with some thirty international commodity agreements past World War II2. Critical evaluations have, among others, been presented by McNicol (1978), Gordon-Ashworth (1984), and Macbean & Nguyen (1987). The most detailed of these studies is Gordon-Ashworth's, who concludes that "on balance ... the performance of international commodity agreements has been too unreliable and their distributive effects too uneven to secure the development goals that have been set" (1984, p. 284)3. Consequently, the IPC turned out to be quite controversial a topic on the UNCTAD's 1976 meeting in Nairobi and has not been able to gain any impetus since. lThese were cocoa, coffee, copper, cotton, jute, rubber, sisal, sugar, tea, and tin.
Correlation amongst Groups of Raw Materials in the Commodities Market by Roberto Araldi,Giordano Caprara,Antonella D'Agostini Pdf
During the present period of uncertain and sluggish growth in the economic cycle, commodities markets are more than ever under scrutiny by financial analysts. The general up-trend in staple raw materials is due to factors that traditionally capture the interest of commodities investors. They alone do not explain the extraordinary recovery characterizing prices of the main commodities. Another fundamental element explaining this phenomenon is the robust continuous purchases made by high-growth nations such as China and India. Another possible explanation states that correlations between different raw materials exist. The primary goal of this book is therefore to provide a detailed analysis of commodities markets. By focusing on existing correlations amongst various raw material groups the aim is to demonstrate that the commodities marketŐs recovery over the last year or so is strictly related to the increase in petroleum prices based on the spill-over effect. Furthermore, the book includes an investment simulation based on the correlation analyses conducted in the main body of the study. This provides empirical data to sustain the strategies and thesis herein contained.
Commodities have become an important component of many investors' portfolios and the focus of much political controversy over the past decade. This book utilizes structural models to provide a better understanding of how commodities' prices behave and what drives them. It exploits differences across commodities and examines a variety of predictions of the models to identify where they work and where they fail. The findings of the analysis are useful to scholars, traders and policy makers who want to better understand often puzzling - and extreme - movements in the prices of commodities from aluminium to oil to soybeans to zinc.
Commodity Modeling and Pricing by Peter V. Schaeffer Pdf
Commodity Modeling and Pricing provides extensions and applications of state-of-the-art methods for analyzing resource commodity behavior. Drawing from the seminal work of Professor Walter Labys on the development of econometric methods for forecasting commodity prices, this collection of essays features expert contributors ranging from practitioners in private industry, public sector, and nongovernmental organizations to scholars in higher education–all of whom were Labys's former students or collaborators. Filled with in-depth insights and expert advice, Commodity Modeling and Pricing contains the information you need to excel in this demanding environment.
United States. Congress. House. Committee on Appropriations. Subcommittee on Department of Agriculture and Related Agencies Appropriations
Author : United States. Congress. House. Committee on Appropriations. Subcommittee on Department of Agriculture and Related Agencies Appropriations Publisher : Unknown Page : 734 pages File Size : 48,7 Mb Release : 1969 Category : United States ISBN : SRLF:AA0006381941
Agricultural Stabilization and Conservation Service, Commodity Exchange Authority, Farm Credit Administration, Farmer Cooperative Service, Farmers Home Administration, Federal Crop Insurance Corporation, Foreign Agricultural Service, General Administration, Office of Information, Office of Management Services, Office of the General Counsel, Office of the Inspector General, Packers and Stockyards Administration, Rural Community Development Service, Rural Electrificaiton Administration by United States. Congress. House. Committee on Appropriations. Subcommittee on Department of Agriculture and Related Agencies Appropriations Pdf
The Myth of Comoving Commodity Prices by Mr.Paul Cashin,Mr.C. John McDermott,Mr.Alasdair Scott Pdf
There is a common perception that the prices of unrelated commodities move together. This paper re-examines this notion, using a measure of comovement of economic time series called concordance. Concordance measures the proportion of time that the prices of two commodities are concurrently in the same boom period or same slump period. Using data on the prices of several unrelated commodities, the paper finds no evidence of comovement in commodity prices. The results carry an important policy implication, as the study provides no support for earlier claims of irrational trading behavior by participants in world commodity markets.
