Structured Decision Making

Author : Robin Gregory,Lee Failing,Michael Harstone,Graham Long,Tim McDaniels,Dan Ohlson
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 315 pages
File Size : 47,5 Mb
Release : 2012-03-19
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9781444333411

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Structured Decision Making by Robin Gregory,Lee Failing,Michael Harstone,Graham Long,Tim McDaniels,Dan Ohlson Pdf

This book outlines the creative process of making environmental management decisions using the approach called Structured Decision Making. It is a short introductory guide to this popular form of decision making and is aimed at environmental managers and scientists. This is a distinctly pragmatic label given to ways for helping individuals and groups think through tough multidimensional choices characterized by uncertain science, diverse stakeholders, and difficult tradeoffs. This is the everyday reality of environmental management, yet many important decisions currently are made on an ad hoc basis that lacks a solid value-based foundation, ignores key information, and results in selection of an inferior alternative. Making progress – in a way that is rigorous, inclusive, defensible and transparent – requires combining analytical methods drawn from the decision sciences and applied ecology with deliberative insights from cognitive psychology, facilitation and negotiation. The authors review key methods and discuss case-study examples based in their experiences in communities, boardrooms, and stakeholder meetings. The goal of this book is to lay out a compelling guide that will change how you think about making environmental decisions. Visit www.wiley.com/go/gregory/ to access the figures and tables from the book.

Author : David R. Smith
Publisher : Johns Hopkins University Press
Page : 285 pages
File Size : 52,9 Mb
Release : 2020-05-12
Category : Science
ISBN : 9781421437569

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Structured Decision Making by David R. Smith Pdf

Smith, Jennifer A. Szymanski, Terry Walshe, Nicolas Zuël

Author : Michael J. Conroy,James T. Peterson
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 480 pages
File Size : 50,7 Mb
Release : 2013-03-18
Category : Science
ISBN : 9780470671740

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Decision Making in Natural Resource Management by Michael J. Conroy,James T. Peterson Pdf

This book is intended for use by natural resource managers and scientists, and students in the fields of natural resource management, ecology, and conservation biology, who are confronted with complex and difficult decision making problems. The book takes readers through the process of developing a structured approach to decision making, by firstly deconstructing decisions into component parts, which are each fully analyzed and then reassembled to form a working decision model. The book integrates common-sense ideas about problem definitions, such as the need for decisions to be driven by explicit objectives, with sophisticated approaches for modeling decision influence and incorporating feedback from monitoring programs into decision making via adaptive management. Numerous worked examples are provided for illustration, along with detailed case studies illustrating the authors’ experience in applying structured approaches. There is also a series of detailed technical appendices. An accompanying website provides computer code and data used in the worked examples. Additional resources for this book can be found at: www.wiley.com/go/conroy/naturalresourcemanagement.

Author : Radu Atanasiu
Publisher : Springer Nature
Page : 184 pages
File Size : 41,9 Mb
Release : 2021-05-10
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9783030736002

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Critical Thinking for Managers by Radu Atanasiu Pdf

This book discusses critical thinking as a tool for more compassionate leadership, presenting tried and tested methods for managing disagreement, for anticipating and solving problems, and for enhancing empathy. Employing a lighter tone of voice than most management books, it also shows how and when less-than-rational mechanisms such as intuition and heuristics may be efficient decision-making tools in any manager’s toolbox. Critical thinking is useful for analyzing incoming information in the context of decision-making and is crucial for structuring outgoing information in the context of persuasion. When trying to convince a client to buy a service, an executive board to fund a project, or a colleague to change a procedure, managers can use the simple step-by-step guides provided here to prepare for successful meetings and effective pitches. Managerial thinking can be steadily improved, using a structured process, especially if we learn to think about our thinking. This book guides current and would-be managers through this process of improving and metathinking, in connection with decision-making and persuasion. Using examples from business, together with research insights from Behavioral Economics and from Management and Organizational Cognition, the author illustrates common pitfalls like hidden assumptions and cognitive biases, and provides easy-to-use solutions for testing hypotheses and resolving dilemmas.

Author : Nils Bunnefeld,Emily Nicholson,E. J. Milner-Gulland
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
Page : 291 pages
File Size : 55,5 Mb
Release : 2017-07-06
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781107092365

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Decision-Making in Conservation and Natural Resource Management by Nils Bunnefeld,Emily Nicholson,E. J. Milner-Gulland Pdf

A guide to making good decisions about wildlife management and biodiversity conservation against a backdrop of socio-environmental change.

Author : Donna M. Lee
Publisher : Sorach, Incorporated
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 54,8 Mb
Release : 2007
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 0968491413

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Structured Decision Making with Interpretive Structural Modeling (ISM) by Donna M. Lee Pdf

The pace and complexity of life is increasing dramatically due to fierce competition, globalization, and unprecedented choice. Success in this environment is dependent upon making sound, timely decisions. In the business world, managers often postpone major decisions, fearing that a wrong choice could harm the business and their career. Similarly, in our personal lives, many important decisions are put off or made by default. Lack of insight and understanding of a complex issue is a common reason why people postpone making major decisions. An astounding tool, known only in select circles of management consultants, can help remedy this situation. This tool is called Interpretive Structural Modeling (ISM). ISM can bring diverse ideas together to provide thorough understanding of complex issues, leading to better solutions and decisions. ISM also forms the core of a powerful method that focuses the knowledge of a group to create outstanding results.Widespread use of ISM can provide significant benefits to the world community, from delivering better products with faster market introduction, to understanding and correcting problems such as global warming. Every knowledge worker and consulting professional should have access to this powerful tool. Unfortunately, suitable literature is not available for a new user to learn ISM without going through several trial and error cycles. This book is intended to fill that gap.

Author : Clinton W. Brownley
Publisher : Business Expert Press
Page : 172 pages
File Size : 51,7 Mb
Release : 2013-03-28
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781606494530

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Multi-objective Decision Analysis by Clinton W. Brownley Pdf

Whether managing strategy, operations or products, knowing how to make the best decision in a complex, uncertain business environment is difficult. You might be faced with multiple, competing objectives, which means making trade-offs. To complicate matters, any uncertainty makes it hard to explicitly understand how different objectives will impact potential outcomes. This book will help you face these problems. It provides a decision analysis framework implemented as a simple spreadsheet tool. This multi-objective decision analysis framework helps you to measure trade-offs among objectives and incorporate uncertainties and risk preferences. With this book, you will be able to identify what information is needed to make a decision, define how that information should be combined, and, finally, provide quantifiable evidence to clearly communicate and justify the decision. The process involves minimal overhead and is perfect for busy professionals who need a simple, structured process for making, tracking, and communicating decisions. This process makes decision making more efficient by focusing only on information and factors that are well-defined, measureable, and relevant to the decision at hand. The framework requires clear characterization of a decision, ensuring that it can be traced and is consistent with the intended objectives and organizational values. Using this structured decision-making framework, anyone can consistently make better decisions to gain competitive and strategic advantage.

Author : David R. Smith
Publisher : JHU Press
Page : 285 pages
File Size : 45,6 Mb
Release : 2020-05-12
Category : Science
ISBN : 9781421437576

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Structured Decision Making by David R. Smith Pdf

Provides and analyzes real examples of how structured decision making (SDM) can help solve complex problems involving natural resources. When faced with complicated, potentially controversial decisions that affect our environment, many resource management agencies have come to realize the value of structured decision making (SDM)—the systematic use of principles and tools of decision analysis. Few professionals, however, have extensive experience implementing SDM. Structured Decision Making provides key information to both current adopters of the method and those who are deploying it for the first time by demonstrating the formal use of decision analysis to support difficult, real-world natural resource management decisions. Drawing on case studies from multiple public agencies in the United States, Canada, Australia, and Mauritius, the editors present an overview of decision analysis, a classification of decision types, and a catalog of decision analysis methods. Dozens of detailed charts and maps help contextualize the material. These case studies examine a rich variety of topics, including • keeping forest birds free from disease • conserving imperiled freshwater mussels • managing water for oil sands mining • dealing with coastal wetlands in the face of sea-level rise • designing networks for prairie-dependent taxa • combatting invasive alpine shrubs • managing vernal pool habitats for obligate amphibian species • and much more Aimed at decision makers tackling natural resource challenges in government agencies around the world, as well as advanced undergraduate and graduate students preparing to work in natural resource management, Structured Decision Making shows how SDM can be implemented to achieve optimal outcomes that integrate social values and scientific understanding. Contributors: Taber D. Allison, Larissa L. Bailey, Ellen A. Bean, Clint W. Boal, Gregory Breese, Stefano Canessa, Jean Fitts Cochrane, Sarah J. Converse, Cami S. Dixon, John G. Ewen, Christelle Ferrière, Jill J. Gannon, Beth Gardner, Adam W. Green, Justin A. Gude, Victoria M. Hunt, Kevin S. Kalasz, Melinda G. Knutson, Jim Kraus, Graham Long, Eric V. Lonsdorf, James E. Lyons, Conor P. McGowan, Sarah E. McRae, Michael S. Mitchell, Clinton T. Moore, Joslin L. Moore, Steven Morey, Dan W. Ohlson, Charlie Pascoe, Andrew Paul, Eben H. Paxton, Lori B. Pruitt, Michael C. Runge, Sarah N. Sells, Terry L. Shaffer, Stephanie Slade, David R. Smith, Jennifer A. Szymanski, Terry Walshe, Nicolas Zuël

Author : Navneet Bhushan,Kanwal Rai
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 175 pages
File Size : 44,5 Mb
Release : 2007-05-28
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781852338640

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Strategic Decision Making by Navneet Bhushan,Kanwal Rai Pdf

Strategic Decision Making provides an effective, formal methodology that provides help with decision making problems, especially strategic ones with high stakes involving human perceptions and judgements. Focusing on applying the AHP to decision-making problems, Strategic Decision Making covers problems in the realms of business, defence and governance. Using case studies drawn from years of experience, the book discusses decision making for real life problems and includes many worked examples and solutions to problems throughout. The reader will gain comprehensive exposure to the extent of assistance that a formal methodology, such as AHP, can provide to the decision maker in evolving decisions in complex and varied domains.

Author : Vassilis Papadakis,Patrick Barwise
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 315 pages
File Size : 46,5 Mb
Release : 2012-12-06
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781461561958

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Strategic Decisions by Vassilis Papadakis,Patrick Barwise Pdf

Over the past ten years, there has been growing interest in the process of strategic decision-making among both managers and researchers. Strategic decisions are important for five main reasons: They are large-scale, risky and hard to reverse; they are a bridge between deliberate and emerging strategies; they can be a major source of organizational learning; they play an important part in the development of individual managers and they cut accross functions and academic disciplines. Strategic Decisions summarizes the current state of the art in research on strategic decision-making, with chapters prepared by leading strategy researchers. The editors also present implications for current application and proposed directions for future research.

Author : Lee Failing,Michael Harstone,Graham Long,Tim McDaniels,Dan Ohlson
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 48,9 Mb
Release : 2024-05-09
Category : Electronic
ISBN : OCLC:794548379

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Structured Decision Making by Lee Failing,Michael Harstone,Graham Long,Tim McDaniels,Dan Ohlson Pdf

Author : Steven Gray,Michael Paolisso,Rebecca Jordan,Stefan Gray
Publisher : Springer
Page : 370 pages
File Size : 54,8 Mb
Release : 2016-12-16
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN : 9783319250533

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Environmental Modeling with Stakeholders by Steven Gray,Michael Paolisso,Rebecca Jordan,Stefan Gray Pdf

This volume brings together, in a central text, chapters written by leading scholars working at the intersection of modeling, the natural and social sciences, and public participation. This book presents the current state of knowledge regarding the theory and practice of engaging stakeholders in environmental modeling for decision-making, and includes basic theoretical considerations, an overview of methods and tools available, and case study examples of these principles and methods in practice. Although there has been a significant increase in research and development regarding participatory modeling, a unifying text that provides an overview of the different methodologies available to scholars and a systematic review of case study applications has been largely unavailable. This edited volume seeks to address a gap in the literature and provide a primer that addresses the growing demand to adopt and apply a range of modeling methods that includes the public in environmental assessment and management. The book is divided into two main sections. The first part of the book covers basic considerations for including stakeholders in the modeling process and its intersection with the theory and practice of public participation in environmental decision-making. The second part of the book is devoted to specific applications and products of the various methods available through case study examination. This second part of the book also provides insight from several international experts currently working in the field about their approaches, types of interactions with stakeholders, models produced, and the challenges they perceived based on their practical experiences.

Author : National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine,Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Board on Environmental Change and Society,Division on Earth and Life Studies,Water Science and Technology Board,Board on Earth Sciences and Resources,Committee on Geological and Geotechnical Engineering,Committee on Long-Term Management of the Spirit Lake/Toutle River System in Southwest Washington
Publisher : National Academies Press
Page : 337 pages
File Size : 48,7 Mb
Release : 2018-04-29
Category : Nature
ISBN : 9780309464444

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A Decision Framework for Managing the Spirit Lake and Toutle River System at Mount St. Helens by National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine,Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Board on Environmental Change and Society,Division on Earth and Life Studies,Water Science and Technology Board,Board on Earth Sciences and Resources,Committee on Geological and Geotechnical Engineering,Committee on Long-Term Management of the Spirit Lake/Toutle River System in Southwest Washington Pdf

The 1980 eruption of Mount St. Helens in southwest Washington State radically changed the physical and socio-economic landscapes of the region. The eruption destroyed the summit of the volcano, sending large amounts of debris into the North Fork Toutle River, and blocking the sole means of drainage from Spirit Lake 4 miles north of Mount St. Helens. As a result of the blockage, rising lake levels could cause failure of the debris blockage, putting the downstream population of approximately 50,000 at risk of catastrophic flooding and mud flows. Further, continued transport of sediment to the river from volcanic debris deposits surrounding the mountain reduces the flood carrying capacity of downstream river channels and leaves the population vulnerable to chronic flooding. The legacy of the 1980 eruption and the prospect of future volcanic, seismic, and flood events mean that risk management in the Spirit Lake Toutle River system will be challenging for decades to come. This report offers a decision framework to support the long-term management of risks related to the Spirit Lake and Toutle River system in light of the different regional economic, cultural, and social priorities, and the respective roles of federal, tribal, state, and local authorities, as well as other entities and groups in the region. It also considers the history and adequacy of characterization, monitoring, and management associated with the Spirit Lake debris blockage and outflow tunnel, other efforts to control transport of water and sediment from the 1980 and later eruptions, and suggests additional information needed to support implementation of the recommended decision framework.

Author : Carl Spetzler,Hannah Winter,Jennifer Meyer
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 256 pages
File Size : 48,8 Mb
Release : 2016-02-24
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781119144687

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Decision Quality by Carl Spetzler,Hannah Winter,Jennifer Meyer Pdf

Add value with every decision using a simple yet powerful framework Few things are as valuable in business, and in life, as the ability to make good decisions. Can you imagine how much more rewarding your life and your business would be if every decision you made were the best it could be? Decision Quality empowers you to make the best possible choice and get more of what you truly want from every decision. Dr. Carl Spetzler is a leader in the field of decision science and has worked with organizations across industries to improve their decision-making capabilities. He and his co-authors, all experienced consultants and educators in this field, show you how to frame a problem or opportunity, create a set of attractive alternatives, identify relevant uncertain information, clarify the values that are important in the decision, apply tools of analysis, and develop buy-in among stakeholders. Their straightforward approach is elegantly simple, yet practical and powerful. It can be applied to all types of decisions. Our business and our personal lives are marked by a stream of decisions. Some are small. Some are large. Some are life-altering or strategic. How well we make those decisions truly matters. This book gives you a framework and thinking tools that will help you to improve the odds of getting more of what you value from every choice. You will learn: The six requirements for decision quality, and how to apply them The difference between a good decision and a good outcome Why a decision can only be as good as the best of the available alternatives Methods for making both "significant" and strategic decisions The mental traps that undermine decision quality and how to avoid them How to deal with uncertainty—a factor in every important choice How to judge the quality of a decision at the time you're making it How organizations have benefited from building quality into their decisions. Many people are satisfied with 'good enough' when making important decisions. This book provides a method that will take you and your co-workers beyond 'good enough' to true Decision Quality.

Author : Barry Schwartz
Publisher : Harper Collins
Page : 308 pages
File Size : 55,7 Mb
Release : 2009-10-13
Category : Psychology
ISBN : 9780061748998

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The Paradox of Choice by Barry Schwartz Pdf

Whether we're buying a pair of jeans, ordering a cup of coffee, selecting a long-distance carrier, applying to college, choosing a doctor, or setting up a 401(k), everyday decisions—both big and small—have become increasingly complex due to the overwhelming abundance of choice with which we are presented. As Americans, we assume that more choice means better options and greater satisfaction. But beware of excessive choice: choice overload can make you question the decisions you make before you even make them, it can set you up for unrealistically high expectations, and it can make you blame yourself for any and all failures. In the long run, this can lead to decision-making paralysis, anxiety, and perpetual stress. And, in a culture that tells us that there is no excuse for falling short of perfection when your options are limitless, too much choice can lead to clinical depression. In The Paradox of Choice, Barry Schwartz explains at what point choice—the hallmark of individual freedom and self-determination that we so cherish—becomes detrimental to our psychological and emotional well-being. In accessible, engaging, and anecdotal prose, Schwartz shows how the dramatic explosion in choice—from the mundane to the profound challenges of balancing career, family, and individual needs—has paradoxically become a problem instead of a solution. Schwartz also shows how our obsession with choice encourages us to seek that which makes us feel worse. By synthesizing current research in the social sciences, Schwartz makes the counter intuitive case that eliminating choices can greatly reduce the stress, anxiety, and busyness of our lives. He offers eleven practical steps on how to limit choices to a manageable number, have the discipline to focus on those that are important and ignore the rest, and ultimately derive greater satisfaction from the choices you have to make.