Terrorism Risk Assessment At The Department Of Homeland Security

Author : National Research Council,Committee to Review the Department of Homeland Security's Approach to Risk Analysis
Publisher : National Academies Press
Page : 160 pages
File Size : 42,7 Mb
Release : 2010-10-10
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9780309159241

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Review of the Department of Homeland Security's Approach to Risk Analysis by National Research Council,Committee to Review the Department of Homeland Security's Approach to Risk Analysis Pdf

The events of September 11, 2001 changed perceptions, rearranged national priorities, and produced significant new government entities, including the U.S. Department of Homeland Security (DHS) created in 2003. While the principal mission of DHS is to lead efforts to secure the nation against those forces that wish to do harm, the department also has responsibilities in regard to preparation for and response to other hazards and disasters, such as floods, earthquakes, and other "natural" disasters. Whether in the context of preparedness, response or recovery from terrorism, illegal entry to the country, or natural disasters, DHS is committed to processes and methods that feature risk assessment as a critical component for making better-informed decisions. Review of the Department of Homeland Security's Approach to Risk Analysis explores how DHS is building its capabilities in risk analysis to inform decision making. The department uses risk analysis to inform decisions ranging from high-level policy choices to fine-scale protocols that guide the minute-by-minute actions of DHS employees. Although DHS is responsible for mitigating a range of threats, natural disasters, and pandemics, its risk analysis efforts are weighted heavily toward terrorism. In addition to assessing the capability of DHS risk analysis methods to support decision-making, the book evaluates the quality of the current approach to estimating risk and discusses how to improve current risk analysis procedures. Review of the Department of Homeland Security's Approach to Risk Analysis recommends that DHS continue to build its integrated risk management framework. It also suggests that the department improve the way models are developed and used and follow time-tested scientific practices, among other recommendations.

Author : United States. Congress. House. Committee on Homeland Security. Subcommittee on Intelligence, Information Sharing, and Terrorism Risk Assessment
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 40 pages
File Size : 42,9 Mb
Release : 2007
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : PSU:000061502673

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Terrorism Risk Assessment at the Department of Homeland Security by United States. Congress. House. Committee on Homeland Security. Subcommittee on Intelligence, Information Sharing, and Terrorism Risk Assessment Pdf

Author : Department of Homeland Security
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 34 pages
File Size : 45,7 Mb
Release : 2007-02-02
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 1466268247

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The Department of Homeland Security's Risk Assessment Methodology by Department of Homeland Security Pdf

As early as his Senate confirmation hearing, Department of Homeland Security (DHS) Secretary Michael Chertoff advocated a risk-based approach to homeland security. Secretary Chertoff has stated "DHS must base its work on priorities driven by risk" and, increasingly, risk assessment and subsequent risk mitigation have influenced all of the department's efforts intended to enhance our nation's ability to prevent, respond to, and recover from future terrorist attacks and natural disasters. While the practice of risk analysis may be advanced in the insurance and financial industries, it is relatively less developed in the homeland security field. Although there are numerous reasons that account for this dynamic, two primary reasons include (1) the dynamic nature of terrorism and ability of terrorists to adapt to successful countermeasures, and (2) the lack of a rich historical database of terrorist attacks, which necessitates a reliance on intelligence and terrorist experts for probabilistic assessments of types of terrorist attacks against critical assets and/or regions. This report begins with an overview of the evolution of risk assessment methodologies from the Department of Justice in FY2002 to DHS in FY2007, and then discusses the discipline of risk management and risk assessment as applied to Homeland Security Grant Program (HSGP). Terrorism risk analysis and assessment do not exist in a vacuum. Risk is analyzed and assessed as a means to mitigate or "buy down" risk over time by developing certain capabilities across the country. At DHS, the State Homeland Security Grant Program is the primary tool the agency has to influence the behavior of State and local partners to take actions that reduce what both parties agree are the risks of a terrorist attack and to respond effectively to such an attack, or other catastrophe. Regardless of the complexity of the risk assessment methodology, due to the inherent uncertainties associated with assessing risk in a dynamic counterterrorism context, some level of flexibility in managing risk may be necessary. Empirical data on historical terrorist attacks in the United States may, therefore, continue to play an important role in resource allocation to reduce risk. This report presents several risk assessment and related grant program options for congressional consideration: (1) maintain the status quo in the inextricably linked areas of risk assessment and grant allocation, (2) draft a national impact assessment to understand return on investment of the approximately $12 billion of HSGP spent by FY2008, (3) enhance the transparency of the risk allocation methodology to state and local governments, and (4) develop a comprehensive and long-term strategy for managing, assessing and mitigating risk. To achieve these goals, the department could opt to consider procedural or organizational changes. Possible approaches are discussed in the report's final section. This report may be updated.

Author : National Research Council,Division on Earth and Life Studies,Board on Life Sciences,Division on Engineering and Physical Sciences,Board on Mathematical Sciences and Their Applications,Committee on Methodological Improvements to the Department of Homeland Security's Biological Agent Risk Analysis
Publisher : National Academies Press
Page : 172 pages
File Size : 49,5 Mb
Release : 2009-01-03
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9780309120289

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Department of Homeland Security Bioterrorism Risk Assessment by National Research Council,Division on Earth and Life Studies,Board on Life Sciences,Division on Engineering and Physical Sciences,Board on Mathematical Sciences and Their Applications,Committee on Methodological Improvements to the Department of Homeland Security's Biological Agent Risk Analysis Pdf

The mission of Department of Homeland Security Bioterrorism Risk Assessment: A Call for Change, the book published in December 2008, is to independently and scientifically review the methodology that led to the 2006 Department of Homeland Security report, Bioterrorism Risk Assessment (BTRA) and provide a foundation for future updates. This book identifies a number of fundamental concerns with the BTRA of 2006, ranging from mathematical and statistical mistakes that have corrupted results, to unnecessarily complicated probability models and models with fidelity far exceeding existing data, to more basic questions about how terrorist behavior should be modeled. Rather than merely criticizing what was done in the BTRA of 2006, this new NRC book consults outside experts and collects a number of proposed alternatives that could improve DHS's ability to assess potential terrorist behavior as a key element of risk-informed decision making, and it explains these alternatives in the specific context of the BTRA and the bioterrorism threat.

Author : United States. Congress. House. Committee on Homeland Security. Subcommittee on Intelligence, Information Sharing, and Terrorism Risk Assessment
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 64 pages
File Size : 55,9 Mb
Release : 2007
Category : Computers
ISBN : STANFORD:36105050460406

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The Homeland Security Information Network by United States. Congress. House. Committee on Homeland Security. Subcommittee on Intelligence, Information Sharing, and Terrorism Risk Assessment Pdf

Author : Henry H. Willis,Andrew R. Morral,Terrence K. Kelly,Jamison Jo Medby
Publisher : Rand Corporation
Page : 93 pages
File Size : 47,6 Mb
Release : 2006-01-06
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9780833040930

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Estimating Terrorism Risk by Henry H. Willis,Andrew R. Morral,Terrence K. Kelly,Jamison Jo Medby Pdf

The Department of Homeland Security is responsible for protecting the United States from terrorism. It does so partly through the Urban Areas Security Initiative, though its distribution has been criticized for not reflecting risk. This monograph offers a practical definition of terrorism risk and a method for estimating it that addresses inherent uncertainties. It also demonstrates a framework for evaluating alternative risk estimates. Finally, it makes five recommendations for improving resource allocation.

Author : United States. Congress. House. Committee on Homeland Security. Subcommittee on Intelligence, Information Sharing, and Terrorism Risk Assessment
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 44 pages
File Size : 45,9 Mb
Release : 2008
Category : Government publications
ISBN : PSU:000065507575

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The Resilient Homeland by United States. Congress. House. Committee on Homeland Security. Subcommittee on Intelligence, Information Sharing, and Terrorism Risk Assessment Pdf

Author : Henry H. Willis
Publisher : Rand Corporation
Page : 104 pages
File Size : 48,7 Mb
Release : 2007
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9780833039743

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Terrorism Risk Modeling for Intelligence Analysis and Infrastructure Protection by Henry H. Willis Pdf

The Department of Homeland Security is moving increasingly to risk analysis and risk-based resource allocation, a process that is designed to manage the greatest risks instead of attempting to protect everything. The authors show how a probabilistic terrorism model can be used to assess terrorist risk across cities and within specific cities, and to assist intelligence analysis.

Author : Joel Leson
Publisher : DIANE Publishing
Page : 29 pages
File Size : 51,6 Mb
Release : 2010-11
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781437929218

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Assessing and Managing the Terrorism Threat by Joel Leson Pdf

Outlines the essential components of risk assessment and management, which entail the following sequential tasks: Critical infrastructure and key asset inventory; Criticality assessment; Threat assessment; Vulnerability assessment; Risk calculation; and Countermeasure identification. Risk assessment and management concepts and methodologies are evolving rapidly. Here, each component is defined and briefly examined. Protocols are supplied to quantify/calculate criticality, threat, vulnerability, and risk. Experience with risk assessment and management are limited in many law enforcement agencies. To assist in reversing this situation, this report supplies capacity building info. that includes promising programs, software, and training references.

Author : United States. Congress. House. Committee on Homeland Security. Subcommittee on Intelligence, Information Sharing, and Terrorism Risk Assessment
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 44 pages
File Size : 44,9 Mb
Release : 2005
Category : Political Science
ISBN : LOC:0017384041A

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Building the Information Analysis Capability of the Department of Homeland Security by United States. Congress. House. Committee on Homeland Security. Subcommittee on Intelligence, Information Sharing, and Terrorism Risk Assessment Pdf

Author : Kelley Cronin,Nancy E. Marion
Publisher : CRC Press
Page : 366 pages
File Size : 52,8 Mb
Release : 2016-12-19
Category : Computers
ISBN : 9781315310633

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Critical Infrastructure Protection, Risk Management, and Resilience by Kelley Cronin,Nancy E. Marion Pdf

Critical Infrastructure Protection and Risk Management covers the history of risk assessment, crtical infrastructure protection, and the various structures that make up the homeland security enterprise. The authors examine risk assessment in the public and private sectors, the evolution of laws and regulations, and the policy challenges facing the 16 critical infrastructure sectors. The book will take a comprehensive look at the issues surrounding risk assessment and the challenges facing decision makers who must make risk assessment choices.

Author : Norman J. Rabkin
Publisher : DIANE Publishing
Page : 24 pages
File Size : 40,5 Mb
Release : 2009-02
Category : Health & Fitness
ISBN : 9781437907094

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Risk Management: Strengthening the Use of Risk Management Principles in Homeland Security by Norman J. Rabkin Pdf

From the terrorist attacks of 9/11, to Hurricane Katrina, homeland security risks vary widely. Managing these risks is especially difficult in today¿s environment of globalization, increasing security interdependence, and growing fiscal challenges for the fed. gov¿t. A forum of 25 experts was convened on Oct. 25, 2007, to advance a nat. dialogue on applying risk mgmt. to homeland security. Participants included fed., state, and local officials and risk mgt. experts from the private sector and academia. They identified: (1) what they considered to be effective risk mgmt. practices used by org. from the private and public sectors; and (2) key challenges to applying risk mgmt. to homeland security and actions that could be taken to address them. Illustrations.

Author : John Mueller,Mark G. Stewart
Publisher : OUP USA
Page : 281 pages
File Size : 48,8 Mb
Release : 2011-10-07
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780199795758

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Terror, Security, and Money by John Mueller,Mark G. Stewart Pdf

In seeking to evaluate the efficacy of post-9/11 homeland security expenses the common query has been, "Are we safer?" This, however, is the wrong question. The correct question is, "Are any gains in security worth the funds expended?" In this engaging, readable book, John Mueller and Mark Stewart apply risk and cost-benefit evaluation techniques to answer this very question. Cataloging the mistakes that the US has made--and continues to make--in managing homeland security programs, Terror, Security, and Money has the potential to redirect our efforts toward a more productive and far more cost-effective course.

Author : United States. Congress. House. Committee on Homeland Security. Subcommittee on Intelligence, Information Sharing, and Terrorism Risk Assessment
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 56 pages
File Size : 52,6 Mb
Release : 2009
Category : Intelligence service
ISBN : PSU:000066762638

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Fixing the Homeland Security Information Network by United States. Congress. House. Committee on Homeland Security. Subcommittee on Intelligence, Information Sharing, and Terrorism Risk Assessment Pdf

Author : Committee on Methodological Improvements to the Department of Homeland Security's Biological Agent Risk Analysis,Board on Mathematical Sciences and Their Applications,Division on Engineering and Physical Sciences,Board on Life Sciences,Division on Earth and Life Studies,National Research Council
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 172 pages
File Size : 45,7 Mb
Release : 2008-12-03
Category : Electronic
ISBN : 0309384400

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Department of Homeland Security Bioterrorism Risk Assessment by Committee on Methodological Improvements to the Department of Homeland Security's Biological Agent Risk Analysis,Board on Mathematical Sciences and Their Applications,Division on Engineering and Physical Sciences,Board on Life Sciences,Division on Earth and Life Studies,National Research Council Pdf

The mission of Department of Homeland Security Bioterrorism Risk Assessment: A Call for Change, the book published in December 2008, is to independently and scientifically review the methodology that led to the 2006 Department of Homeland Security report, Bioterrorism Risk Assessment (BTRA) and provide a foundation for future updates. This book identifies a number of fundamental concerns with the BTRA of 2006, ranging from mathematical and statistical mistakes that have corrupted results, to unnecessarily complicated probability models and models with fidelity far exceeding existing data, to more basic questions about how terrorist behavior should be modeled. Rather than merely criticizing what was done in the BTRA of 2006, this new NRC book consults outside experts and collects a number of proposed alternatives that could improve DHS's ability to assess potential terrorist behavior as a key element of risk-informed decision making, and it explains these alternatives in the specific context of the BTRA and the bioterrorism threat.