Testing And Tuning Market Trading Systems

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Testing and Tuning Market Trading Systems

Timothy Masters
Testing and Tuning Market Trading Systems Book PDF

Author : Timothy Masters
Publisher : Apress
Page : 325 pages
File Size : 46,5 Mb
Release : 2018-10-26
Category : Computers
ISBN : 9781484241738

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Testing and Tuning Market Trading Systems by Timothy Masters Pdf

Build, test, and tune financial, insurance or other market trading systems using C++ algorithms and statistics. You’ve had an idea and have done some preliminary experiments, and it looks promising. Where do you go from here? Well, this book discusses and dissects this case study approach. Seemingly good backtest performance isn't enough to justify trading real money. You need to perform rigorous statistical tests of the system's validity. Then, if basic tests confirm the quality of your idea, you need to tune your system, not just for best performance, but also for robust behavior in the face of inevitable market changes. Next, you need to quantify its expected future behavior, assessing how bad its real-life performance might actually be, and whether you can live with that. Finally, you need to find its theoretical performance limits so you know if its actual trades conform to this theoretical expectation, enabling you to dump the system if it does not live up to expectations. This book does not contain any sure-fire, guaranteed-riches trading systems. Those are a dime a dozen... But if you have a trading system, this book will provide you with a set of tools that will help you evaluate the potential value of your system, tweak it to improve its profitability, and monitor its on-going performance to detect deterioration before it fails catastrophically. Any serious market trader would do well to employ the methods described in this book. What You Will Learn See how the 'spaghetti-on-the-wall' approach to trading system development can be done legitimatelyDetect overfitting early in developmentEstimate the probability that your system's backtest results could have been due to just good luckRegularize a predictive model so it automatically selects an optimal subset of indicator candidatesRapidly find the global optimum for any type of parameterized trading systemAssess the ruggedness of your trading system against market changesEnhance the stationarity and information content of your proprietary indicatorsNest one layer of walkforward analysis inside another layer to account for selection bias in complex trading systemsCompute a lower bound on your system's mean future performanceBound expected periodic returns to detect on-going system deterioration before it becomes severeEstimate the probability of catastrophic drawdown Who This Book Is For Experienced C++ programmers, developers, and software engineers. Prior experience with rigorous statistical procedures to evaluate and maximize the quality of systems is recommended as well.

Automated Option Trading

Sergey Izraylevich,Vadim Tsudikman
Automated Option Trading Book PDF

Author : Sergey Izraylevich,Vadim Tsudikman
Publisher : FT Press
Page : 302 pages
File Size : 46,5 Mb
Release : 2012
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780132478663

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Automated Option Trading by Sergey Izraylevich,Vadim Tsudikman Pdf

The first and only book of its kind, Automated Options Trading describes a comprehensive, step-by-step process for creating automated options trading systems. Using the authors' techniques, sophisticated traders can create powerful frameworks for the consistent, disciplined realization of well-defined, formalized, and carefully-tested trading strategies based on their specific requirements. Unlike other books on automated trading, this book focuses specifically on the unique requirements of options, reflecting philosophy, logic, quantitative tools, and valuation procedures that are completely different from those used in conventional automated trading algorithms. Every facet of the authors' approach is optimized for options, including strategy development and optimization; capital allocation; risk management; performance measurement; back-testing and walk-forward analysis; and trade execution. The authors' system reflects a continuous process of valuation, structuring and long-term management of investment portfolios (not just individual instruments), introducing systematic approaches for handling portfolios containing option combinations related to different underlying assets. With these techniques, it is finally possible to effectively automate options trading at the portfolio level. This book will be an indispensable resource for serious options traders working individually, in hedge funds, or in other institutions.

Design, Testing, and Optimization of Trading Systems

Robert Pardo
Design Testing and Optimization of Trading Systems Book PDF

Author : Robert Pardo
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 188 pages
File Size : 41,5 Mb
Release : 1992-08-26
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 0471554464

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Design, Testing, and Optimization of Trading Systems by Robert Pardo Pdf

The title says it all. Concise, straight to the point guidance on developing a winning computer trading system. Copyright © Libri GmbH. All rights reserved.

Designing Stock Market Trading Systems

Bruce Vanstone,Tobias Hahn
Designing Stock Market Trading Systems Book PDF

Author : Bruce Vanstone,Tobias Hahn
Publisher : Harriman House Limited
Page : 181 pages
File Size : 40,6 Mb
Release : 2010-08-23
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781906659585

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Designing Stock Market Trading Systems by Bruce Vanstone,Tobias Hahn Pdf

Most people know there is potential to make big money in the stock market, but they don't know how to get started. This work guides readers step by step through the authors' methods for building rule-based stock market trading systems.

Modern Data Mining Algorithms in C++ and CUDA C

Timothy Masters
Modern Data Mining Algorithms in C and CUDA C Book PDF

Author : Timothy Masters
Publisher : Apress
Page : 233 pages
File Size : 45,8 Mb
Release : 2020-06-05
Category : Computers
ISBN : 9781484259887

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Modern Data Mining Algorithms in C++ and CUDA C by Timothy Masters Pdf

Discover a variety of data-mining algorithms that are useful for selecting small sets of important features from among unwieldy masses of candidates, or extracting useful features from measured variables. As a serious data miner you will often be faced with thousands of candidate features for your prediction or classification application, with most of the features being of little or no value. You’ll know that many of these features may be useful only in combination with certain other features while being practically worthless alone or in combination with most others. Some features may have enormous predictive power, but only within a small, specialized area of the feature space. The problems that plague modern data miners are endless. This book helps you solve this problem by presenting modern feature selection techniques and the code to implement them. Some of these techniques are: Forward selection component analysis Local feature selection Linking features and a target with a hidden Markov modelImprovements on traditional stepwise selectionNominal-to-ordinal conversion All algorithms are intuitively justified and supported by the relevant equations and explanatory material. The author also presents and explains complete, highly commented source code. The example code is in C++ and CUDA C but Python or other code can be substituted; the algorithm is important, not the code that's used to write it. What You Will Learn Combine principal component analysis with forward and backward stepwise selection to identify a compact subset of a large collection of variables that captures the maximum possible variation within the entire set. Identify features that may have predictive power over only a small subset of the feature domain. Such features can be profitably used by modern predictive models but may be missed by other feature selection methods. Find an underlying hidden Markov model that controls the distributions of feature variables and the target simultaneously. The memory inherent in this method is especially valuable in high-noise applications such as prediction of financial markets.Improve traditional stepwise selection in three ways: examine a collection of 'best-so-far' feature sets; test candidate features for inclusion with cross validation to automatically and effectively limit model complexity; and at each step estimate the probability that our results so far could be just the product of random good luck. We also estimate the probability that the improvement obtained by adding a new variable could have been just good luck. Take a potentially valuable nominal variable (a category or class membership) that is unsuitable for input to a prediction model, and assign to each category a sensible numeric value that can be used as a model input. Who This Book Is For Intermediate to advanced data science programmers and analysts.

Building Reliable Trading Systems

Keith Fitschen
Building Reliable Trading Systems Book PDF

Author : Keith Fitschen
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 243 pages
File Size : 50,8 Mb
Release : 2013-05-09
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781118635612

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Building Reliable Trading Systems by Keith Fitschen Pdf

An award winning system developer explains how to create, test, and implement a profitable trading system Traders have long been drawn to the idea of translating their strategies and ideas into trading systems. While successful trading systems have been developed, in most cases, they work very well for a period of time in specific markets, but perform less well across all markets in all time frames. Nobody understands this better than author Keith Fitschen—a thought-leader in trading system development—and now, with Trading Strategy Generation + Website, he shares his extensive experience in this field with you. Trading Strategy Generation skillfully explains how to take market insights or trading ideas and develop them into a robust trading system. In it, Fitschen describes the critical steps a trader needs to follow, including: translating the market insight into a rules-based approach; determining entry and exit points; testing against historical data; and integrating money management and position sizing into the system. Written by an award winning system developer who has actively traded his systems for thirty years Introduces new ideas on money management and position sizing for different markets Details exactly what it takes to build, test, and implement a profitable technical trading system A companion Website contains supplementary material, including Excel spreadsheets designed to rate the strength of entry signals and provide money management guidance based on market volatility and portfolio correlations Written with the serious trader in mind, Trading Strategy Generation is an accessible guide to building a system that will generate realistic returns over time.

The Evaluation and Optimization of Trading Strategies

Robert Pardo
The Evaluation and Optimization of Trading Strategies Book PDF

Author : Robert Pardo
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 334 pages
File Size : 43,7 Mb
Release : 2011-01-11
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781118045053

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The Evaluation and Optimization of Trading Strategies by Robert Pardo Pdf

A newly expanded and updated edition of the trading classic, Design, Testing, and Optimization of Trading Systems Trading systems expert Robert Pardo is back, and in The Evaluation and Optimization of Trading Strategies, a thoroughly revised and updated edition of his classic text Design, Testing, and Optimization of Trading Systems, he reveals how he has perfected the programming and testing of trading systems using a successful battery of his own time-proven techniques. With this book, Pardo delivers important information to readers, from the design of workable trading strategies to measuring issues like profit and risk. Written in a straightforward and accessible style, this detailed guide presents traders with a way to develop and verify their trading strategy no matter what form they are currently using–stochastics, moving averages, chart patterns, RSI, or breakout methods. Whether a trader is seeking to enhance their profit or just getting started in testing, The Evaluation and Optimization of Trading Strategies offers practical instruction and expert advice on the development, evaluation, and application of winning mechanical trading systems.

Trading Systems 2nd Edition

Urban Jaekle,Emilio Tomasini
Trading Systems 2nd Edition Book PDF

Author : Urban Jaekle,Emilio Tomasini
Publisher : Harriman House Limited
Page : 410 pages
File Size : 44,6 Mb
Release : 2019-12-17
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780857197559

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Trading Systems 2nd Edition by Urban Jaekle,Emilio Tomasini Pdf

Completely revised and updated second edition, with new AmiBroker codes and new complete portfolio tests Every day, there are traders who make a fortune. It may seem that it seldom happens, but it does – as William Eckhardt, Ed Seykota, Jim Simons, and many others remind us. You can join them by using systems to manage your trading. This book explains how you can build a winning trading system. It is an insight into what a trader should know and do in order to achieve success in the markets, and it will show you why you don't need to be a rocket scientist to become successful. It shows how to adapt existing codes to the current market conditions, how to build a portfolio, and how to know when the moment has come to stop one system and use another one. There are three main parts to Trading Systems. Part One is a short, practical guide to trading systems development and evaluation. It condenses the authors' years of experience into a number of practical tips. It also forms the theoretical basis for Part Two, in which readers will find a step-by-step development process for building a trading system, covering everything from writing initial code to walk-forward analysis and money management. Two examples are provided, including a new beginning of the month trading system that works on over 20 different stock indices worldwide – from the US, to Europe, to Asian indices. Part Three shows you how to build portfolios in two different ways. The first method is to combine a number of different trading systems, for a number of different markets, into an effective portfolio of systems. The second method is a new approach to system development: it provides step-by-step instructions to trade a portfolio of hundreds of stocks using a Bollinger Band trading strategy. A trader can never really say they were successful, but only that they survived to trade another day; the black swan is always just around the corner. Trading Systems will help you find your way through the uncharted waters of systematic trading and show you what it takes to be among those that survive.

Building Winning Trading Systems with Tradestation

George Pruitt,John R. Hill
Building Winning Trading Systems with Tradestation Book PDF

Author : George Pruitt,John R. Hill
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 421 pages
File Size : 49,6 Mb
Release : 2012-08-15
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781118239728

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Building Winning Trading Systems with Tradestation by George Pruitt,John R. Hill Pdf

The updated edition of the guide to building trading systems that can keep pace with the market The stock market is constantly evolving, and coupled with the new global economic landscape, traders need to radically rethink the way they do business at home and abroad. Enter Building Winning Trading Systems, Second Edition, the all-new incarnation of the established text on getting the most out of the trading world. With technology now a pervasive element of every aspect of trading, the issue has become how to create a new system that meets the demands of the altered financial climate, and how to make it work. Giving voice to the question on every trader and investor's lips, the book asks, "How can we build a trading system that will be paramount for our increasingly stressed markets?" The answer? Establish mechanical trading systems that remove human emotion from the equation and form the cornerstone of a complete trading plan and with greater agility, characteristics that are more important than ever given the kinetic pace of the markets. Presents an all-new strategy for trading systems that will show traders how to create systems that will work in the twenty first century Expert advice from highly respected trading authority, George Pruitt Includes a new website featuring updated TradeStation code and shows how to use the world's best investment software platform to develop and utilize trading systems that really work Once again paving the way for traders who want to adapt to their environment, Building Winning Trading Systems, Second Edition combines expertise in indicator design and system building in one indispensable volume.

The Ultimate Algorithmic Trading System Toolbox + Website

George Pruitt
The Ultimate Algorithmic Trading System Toolbox Website Book PDF

Author : George Pruitt
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 374 pages
File Size : 44,6 Mb
Release : 2016-06-20
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781119096573

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The Ultimate Algorithmic Trading System Toolbox + Website by George Pruitt Pdf

The accessible, beneficial guide to developing algorithmic trading solutions The Ultimate Algorithmic Trading System Toolbox is the complete package savvy investors have been looking for. An integration of explanation and tutorial, this guide takes you from utter novice to out-the-door trading solution as you learn the tools and techniques of the trade. You'll explore the broad spectrum of today's technological offerings, and use several to develop trading ideas using the provided source code and the author's own library, and get practical advice on popular software packages including TradeStation, TradersStudio, MultiCharts, Excel, and more. You'll stop making repetitive mistakes as you learn to recognize which paths you should not go down, and you'll discover that you don't need to be a programmer to take advantage of the latest technology. The companion website provides up-to-date TradeStation code, Excel spreadsheets, and instructional video, and gives you access to the author himself to help you interpret and implement the included algorithms. Algorithmic system trading isn't really all that new, but the technology that lets you program, evaluate, and implement trading ideas is rapidly evolving. This book helps you take advantage of these new capabilities to develop the trading solution you've been looking for. Exploit trading technology without a computer science degree Evaluate different trading systems' strengths and weaknesses Stop making the same trading mistakes over and over again Develop a complete trading solution using provided source code and libraries New technology has enabled the average trader to easily implement their ideas at very low cost, breathing new life into systems that were once not viable. If you're ready to take advantage of the new trading environment but don't know where to start, The Ultimate Algorithmic Trading System Toolbox will help you get on board quickly and easily.

Deep Belief Nets in C++ and CUDA C: Volume 1

Timothy Masters
Deep Belief Nets in C and CUDA C Volume 1 Book PDF

Author : Timothy Masters
Publisher : Apress
Page : 225 pages
File Size : 51,5 Mb
Release : 2018-04-23
Category : Computers
ISBN : 9781484235911

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Deep Belief Nets in C++ and CUDA C: Volume 1 by Timothy Masters Pdf

Discover the essential building blocks of the most common forms of deep belief networks. At each step this book provides intuitive motivation, a summary of the most important equations relevant to the topic, and concludes with highly commented code for threaded computation on modern CPUs as well as massive parallel processing on computers with CUDA-capable video display cards. The first of three in a series on C++ and CUDA C deep learning and belief nets, Deep Belief Nets in C++ and CUDA C: Volume 1 shows you how the structure of these elegant models is much closer to that of human brains than traditional neural networks; they have a thought process that is capable of learning abstract concepts built from simpler primitives. As such, you’ll see that a typical deep belief net can learn to recognize complex patterns by optimizing millions of parameters, yet this model can still be resistant to overfitting. All the routines and algorithms presented in the book are available in the code download, which also contains some libraries of related routines. What You Will Learn Employ deep learning using C++ and CUDA C Work with supervised feedforward networks Implement restricted Boltzmann machines Use generative samplings Discover why these are important Who This Book Is For Those who have at least a basic knowledge of neural networks and some prior programming experience, although some C++ and CUDA C is recommended.

Stock Market Trading Systems

Gerald Appel,W. Frederick Hitschler
Stock Market Trading Systems Book PDF

Author : Gerald Appel,W. Frederick Hitschler
Publisher : Wasendorf & Associates Incorporated
Page : 232 pages
File Size : 43,9 Mb
Release : 1990
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : PSU:000022286826

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Stock Market Trading Systems by Gerald Appel,W. Frederick Hitschler Pdf

A thorough examination of moving average trading systems, timing market cycles, the twelve-day rate of change, and many other topics of interest, such as: -- The Time-Trend Momentum Trading System. -- Determining market trends with moving and exponential averages -- Setting price objectives with multiple moving averages -- Changing the lead time in moving averages -- Market momentum: how to use velocity to predict turning points in advance -- Catching market tums with a channel reverse and filter trading systems -- Systems for determination of the market's major trend.

Trading Systems and Methods

Perry J. Kaufman
Trading Systems and Methods Book PDF

Author : Perry J. Kaufman
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 1174 pages
File Size : 53,8 Mb
Release : 2019-10-22
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781119605355

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Trading Systems and Methods by Perry J. Kaufman Pdf

The new edition of the definitive reference to trading systems—expanded and thoroughly updated. Professional and individual traders haverelied on Trading Systems and Methods for over three decades. Acclaimed trading systems expert Perry Kaufman provides complete, authoritative information on proven indicators, programs, systems, and algorithms. Now in its sixth edition, this respected book continues to provide readers with the knowledge required to develop or select the trading programs best suited for their needs. In-depth discussions of basic mathematical and statistical concepts instruct readers on how much data to use, how to create an index, how to determine probabilities, and how best to test your ideas. These technical tools and indicators help readers identify trends, momentum, and patterns, while an analytical framework enables comparisons of systematic methods and techniques. This updated, fully-revised edition offers new examples using stocks, ETFs and futures, and provides expanded coverage of arbitrage, high frequency trading, and sophisticated risk management models. More programs and strategies have been added, such as Artificial Intelligence techniques and Game Theory approaches to trading. Offering a complete array of practical, user-ready tools, this invaluable resource: Offers comprehensive revisions and additional mathematical and statistical tools, trading systems, and examples of current market situations Explains basic mathematical and statistical concepts with accompanying code Includes new Excel spreadsheets with genetic algorithms, TradeStation code, MetaStock code, and more Provides access to a companion website packed with supplemental materials Trading Systems and Methods is an indispensable reference on trading systems, as well as system design and methods for professional and individual active traders, money managers, trading systems developers.

Deep Belief Nets in C++ and CUDA C: Volume 2

Timothy Masters
Deep Belief Nets in C and CUDA C Volume 2 Book PDF

Author : Timothy Masters
Publisher : Apress
Page : 265 pages
File Size : 52,6 Mb
Release : 2018-05-29
Category : Computers
ISBN : 9781484236468

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Deep Belief Nets in C++ and CUDA C: Volume 2 by Timothy Masters Pdf

Discover the essential building blocks of a common and powerful form of deep belief net: the autoencoder. You’ll take this topic beyond current usage by extending it to the complex domain for signal and image processing applications. Deep Belief Nets in C++ and CUDA C: Volume 2 also covers several algorithms for preprocessing time series and image data. These algorithms focus on the creation of complex-domain predictors that are suitable for input to a complex-domain autoencoder. Finally, you’ll learn a method for embedding class information in the input layer of a restricted Boltzmann machine. This facilitates generative display of samples from individual classes rather than the entire data distribution. The ability to see the features that the model has learned for each class separately can be invaluable. At each step this book provides you with intuitive motivation, a summary of the most important equations relevant to the topic, and highly commented code for threaded computation on modern CPUs as well as massive parallel processing on computers with CUDA-capable video display cards. What You'll Learn Code for deep learning, neural networks, and AI using C++ and CUDA C Carry out signal preprocessing using simple transformations, Fourier transforms, Morlet wavelets, and more Use the Fourier Transform for image preprocessing Implement autoencoding via activation in the complex domain Work with algorithms for CUDA gradient computation Use the DEEP operating manual Who This Book Is For Those who have at least a basic knowledge of neural networks and some prior programming experience, although some C++ and CUDA C is recommended.

High-Frequency Trading

Irene Aldridge
High Frequency Trading Book PDF

Author : Irene Aldridge
Publisher : John Wiley and Sons
Page : 258 pages
File Size : 45,7 Mb
Release : 2009-12-22
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780470579770

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High-Frequency Trading by Irene Aldridge Pdf

A hands-on guide to the fast and ever-changing world of high-frequency, algorithmic trading Financial markets are undergoing rapid innovation due to the continuing proliferation of computer power and algorithms. These developments have created a new investment discipline called high-frequency trading. This book covers all aspects of high-frequency trading, from the business case and formulation of ideas through the development of trading systems to application of capital and subsequent performance evaluation. It also includes numerous quantitative trading strategies, with market microstructure, event arbitrage, and deviations arbitrage discussed in great detail. Contains the tools and techniques needed for building a high-frequency trading system Details the post-trade analysis process, including key performance benchmarks and trade quality evaluation Written by well-known industry professional Irene Aldridge Interest in high-frequency trading has exploded over the past year. This book has what you need to gain a better understanding of how it works and what it takes to apply this approach to your trading endeavors.