The Avoidable War

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The Avoidable War

Kevin Rudd
The Avoidable War Book PDF

Author : Kevin Rudd
Publisher : PublicAffairs
Page : 403 pages
File Size : 45,9 Mb
Release : 2022-03-22
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781541701304

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The Avoidable War by Kevin Rudd Pdf

A war between China and the US would be catastrophic, deadly, and destructive. Unfortunately, it is no longer unthinkable. The relationship between the US and China, the world’s two superpowers, is peculiarly volatile. It rests on a seismic fault—of cultural misunderstanding, historical grievance, and ideological incompatibility. No other nations are so quick to offend and be offended. Their militaries play a dangerous game of chicken, corporations steal intellectual property, intelligence satellites peer, and AI technicians plot. The capacity for either country to cross a fatal line grows daily. Kevin Rudd, a former Australian prime minister who has studied, lived in, and worked with China for more than forty years, is one of the very few people who can offer real insight into the mindsets of the leadership whose judgment will determine if a war will be fought. The Avoidable War demystifies the actions of both sides, explaining and translating them for the benefit of the other. Geopolitical disaster is still avoidable, but only if these two giants can find a way to coexist without betraying their core interests through what Rudd calls “managed strategic competition.” Should they fail, down that path lies the possibility of a war that could rewrite the future of both countries, and the world.

The Avoidable War

Kevin Rudd
The Avoidable War Book PDF

Author : Kevin Rudd
Publisher : Hachette UK
Page : 502 pages
File Size : 44,9 Mb
Release : 2022-03-30
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9780733648519

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The Avoidable War by Kevin Rudd Pdf

A war between China and the US would be catastrophic, deadly, and destructive. Unfortunately, it is no longer unthinkable. The relationship between the US and China, the world's two superpowers, is peculiarly volatile. It rests on a seismic fault of cultural misunderstanding, historical grievance, and ideological incompatibility. No other nations are so quick to offend and be offended. Their militaries play a dangerous game of chicken, corporations steal intellectual property, intelligence satellites peer and AI technicians plot. The capacity for either country to cross a fatal line grows daily. Former Australian Prime Minister Kevin Rudd, who has studied, lived in, and worked with China for more than forty years, is one of the very few people who can offer real insight into the mindsets of the leadership whose judgement will determine if a war will be fought. The Avoidable War demystifies the actions of both sides, explaining and translating them for the benefit of the other. Geopolitical disaster is still avoidable, but only if these two giants can find a way to coexist without betraying their core interests through what Rudd calls "managed strategic competition". Should they fail, down that path lies the possibility of a war that could rewrite the future of both countries, and the world. "A lifelong student of China, Kevin Rudd has become one of today's most thoughtful analysts of China's development. The Avoidable War focuses on the signal challenge posed by China's evolution to America and to world order. Can the US and China avoid sleepwalking into a conflict? Rudd offers constructive steps for the two powers to stabilize their relations." HENRY A. KISSINGER

Destined For War

Graham Allison
Destined For War Book PDF

Author : Graham Allison
Publisher : HarperCollins
Page : 400 pages
File Size : 47,6 Mb
Release : 2017-05-30
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9780544935334

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Destined For War by Graham Allison Pdf

NATIONAL BESTSELLER | NEW YORK TIMES NOTABLE BOOK OF THE YEAR. From an eminent international security scholar, an urgent examination of the conditions that could produce a catastrophic conflict between the United States and China—and how it might be prevented. China and the United States are heading toward a war neither wants. The reason is Thucydides’s Trap: when a rising power threatens to displace a ruling one, violence is the likeliest result. Over the past five hundred years, these conditions have occurred sixteen times; war broke out in twelve. At the time of publication, an unstoppable China approached an immovable America, and both Xi Jinping and Donald Trump promised to make their countries “great again,” the seventeenth case was looking grim—it still is. A trade conflict, cyberattack, Korean crisis, or accident at sea could easily spark a major war. In Destined for War, eminent Harvard scholar Graham Allison masterfully blends history and current events to explain the timeless machinery of Thucydides’s Trap—and to explore the painful steps that might prevent disaster today. SHORT-LISTED FOR THE 2018 LIONEL GELBER PRIZE NAMED A BEST BOOK OF THE YEAR BY: FINANCIAL TIMES * THE TIMES (LONDON)* AMAZON “Allison is one of the keenest observers of international affairs around.” — President Joe Biden “[A] must-read book in both Washington and Beijing.” — Boston Globe “[Full of] wide-ranging, erudite case studies that span human history . . . [A] fine book.”— New York Times Book Review

The Improbable War

Christopher Coker
The Improbable War Book PDF

Author : Christopher Coker
Publisher : Oxford University Press
Page : 230 pages
File Size : 42,5 Mb
Release : 2015
Category : History
ISBN : 9780199396276

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The Improbable War by Christopher Coker Pdf

The Improbable War explains why conflict between the USA and China cannot be ruled out. In 1914 war between the Great Powers was considered unlikely, yet it happened. We learn only from history, and popular though the First World War analogy is, the lessons we draw from its outbreak are usually mistaken. Among these errors is the tendency to over-estimate human rationality. All major conflicts of the past 300 years have been about the norms and rules of the international system. In China and the US the world confronts two 'exceptional' powers whose values differ markedly, with China bidding to challenge the current order. The 'Thucydidean Trap' - when a conservative status quo power confronts a rising new one - may also play its part in precipitating hostilities. To avoid stumbling into an avoidable war both Beijing and Washington need a coherent strategy, which neither of them has. History also reveals that war evolves continually. The next global conflict is likely to be played out in cyberspace and outer space and like all previous wars it will have devastating consequences. Such a war between the United States and China may seem improbable, but it is all too possible, which is why we need to discuss it now.

Has China Won?

Kishore Mahbubani
Has China Won Book PDF

Author : Kishore Mahbubani
Publisher : PublicAffairs
Page : 320 pages
File Size : 54,8 Mb
Release : 2020-03-31
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781541768123

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Has China Won? by Kishore Mahbubani Pdf

The defining geopolitical contest of the twenty-first century is between China and the US. But is it avoidable? And if it happens, is the outcome already inevitable? China and America are world powers without serious rivals. They eye each other warily across the Pacific; they communicate poorly; there seems little natural empathy. A massive geopolitical contest has begun. America prizes freedom; China values freedom from chaos.America values strategic decisiveness; China values patience.America is becoming society of lasting inequality; China a meritocracy.America has abandoned multilateralism; China welcomes it. Kishore Mahbubani, a diplomat and scholar with unrivalled access to policymakers in Beijing and Washington, has written the definitive guide to the deep fault lines in the relationship, a clear-eyed assessment of the risk of any confrontation, and a bracingly honest appraisal of the strengths and weaknesses, and superpower eccentricities, of the US and China.

The Hundred-Year Marathon

Michael Pillsbury
The Hundred Year Marathon Book PDF

Author : Michael Pillsbury
Publisher : Henry Holt and Company
Page : 397 pages
File Size : 46,8 Mb
Release : 2015-02-03
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781627790116

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The Hundred-Year Marathon by Michael Pillsbury Pdf

One of the U.S. government's leading China experts reveals the hidden strategy fueling that country's rise – and how Americans have been seduced into helping China overtake us as the world's leading superpower. For more than forty years, the United States has played an indispensable role helping the Chinese government build a booming economy, develop its scientific and military capabilities, and take its place on the world stage, in the belief that China's rise will bring us cooperation, diplomacy, and free trade. But what if the "China Dream" is to replace us, just as America replaced the British Empire, without firing a shot? Based on interviews with Chinese defectors and newly declassified, previously undisclosed national security documents, The Hundred-Year Marathon reveals China's secret strategy to supplant the United States as the world's dominant power, and to do so by 2049, the one-hundredth anniversary of the founding of the People's Republic. Michael Pillsbury, a fluent Mandarin speaker who has served in senior national security positions in the U.S. government since the days of Richard Nixon and Henry Kissinger, draws on his decades of contact with the "hawks" in China's military and intelligence agencies and translates their documents, speeches, and books to show how the teachings of traditional Chinese statecraft underpin their actions. He offers an inside look at how the Chinese really view America and its leaders – as barbarians who will be the architects of their own demise. Pillsbury also explains how the U.S. government has helped – sometimes unwittingly and sometimes deliberately – to make this "China Dream" come true, and he calls for the United States to implement a new, more competitive strategy toward China as it really is, and not as we might wish it to be. The Hundred-Year Marathon is a wake-up call as we face the greatest national security challenge of the twenty-first century.

The Long Game

Rush Doshi
The Long Game Book PDF

Author : Rush Doshi
Publisher : Oxford University Press
Page : 433 pages
File Size : 44,7 Mb
Release : 2021-06-11
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9780197527870

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The Long Game by Rush Doshi Pdf

For more than a century, no US adversary or coalition of adversaries - not Nazi Germany, Imperial Japan, or the Soviet Union - has ever reached sixty percent of US GDP. China is the sole exception, and it is fast emerging into a global superpower that could rival, if not eclipse, the United States. What does China want, does it have a grand strategy to achieve it, and what should the United States do about it? In The Long Game, Rush Doshi draws from a rich base of Chinese primary sources, including decades worth of party documents, leaked materials, memoirs by party leaders, and a careful analysis of China's conduct to provide a history of China's grand strategy since the end of the Cold War. Taking readers behind the Party's closed doors, he uncovers Beijing's long, methodical game to displace America from its hegemonic position in both the East Asia regional and global orders through three sequential "strategies of displacement." Beginning in the 1980s, China focused for two decades on "hiding capabilities and biding time." After the 2008 Global Financial Crisis, it became more assertive regionally, following a policy of "actively accomplishing something." Finally, in the aftermath populist elections of 2016, China shifted to an even more aggressive strategy for undermining US hegemony, adopting the phrase "great changes unseen in century." After charting how China's long game has evolved, Doshi offers a comprehensive yet asymmetric plan for an effective US response. Ironically, his proposed approach takes a page from Beijing's own strategic playbook to undermine China's ambitions and strengthen American order without competing dollar-for-dollar, ship-for-ship, or loan-for-loan.

Yugoslavia

Nora Beloff
Yugoslavia Book PDF

Author : Nora Beloff
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 146 pages
File Size : 44,6 Mb
Release : 1997-01-01
Category : Yugoslav War, 1991-1995
ISBN : 1872410081

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Yugoslavia by Nora Beloff Pdf

In this outstanding appraisal of the modern history of Yugoslavia and the factors surrounding its break-up, Nora Beloff takes sacred tenets of received wisdom and subjects them to close analysis. Interventions by foreign governments, the role of the United Nations, the recognition of the secessionists' political platforms, together with the diplomatic infighting and confusion are all chronicled in this concise account.

Europe's Next Avoidable War

M. Kambeck,S. Ghazaryan
Europe s Next Avoidable War Book PDF

Author : M. Kambeck,S. Ghazaryan
Publisher : Springer
Page : 277 pages
File Size : 40,9 Mb
Release : 2013-03-05
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781137030009

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Europe's Next Avoidable War by M. Kambeck,S. Ghazaryan Pdf

An international and interdisciplinary group of experts shed light upon the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict today, how it evolved and likely scenarios. Taking into account a changed political landscape, including the EU's new foreign policy instruments, they also make concrete policy proposals to make war less likely.

The Tragedy of Great Power Politics (Updated Edition)

John J. Mearsheimer
The Tragedy of Great Power Politics Updated Edition Book PDF

Author : John J. Mearsheimer
Publisher : W. W. Norton & Company
Page : 572 pages
File Size : 55,6 Mb
Release : 2003-01-17
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9780393076240

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The Tragedy of Great Power Politics (Updated Edition) by John J. Mearsheimer Pdf

"A superb book.…Mearsheimer has made a significant contribution to our understanding of the behavior of great powers."—Barry R. Posen, The National Interest The updated edition of this classic treatise on the behavior of great powers takes a penetrating look at the question likely to dominate international relations in the twenty-first century: Can China rise peacefully? In clear, eloquent prose, John Mearsheimer explains why the answer is no: a rising China will seek to dominate Asia, while the United States, determined to remain the world's sole regional hegemon, will go to great lengths to prevent that from happening. The tragedy of great power politics is inescapable.

Churchill, Hitler, and "The Unnecessary War"

Patrick J. Buchanan
Churchill Hitler and The Unnecessary War Book PDF

Author : Patrick J. Buchanan
Publisher : Forum Books
Page : 546 pages
File Size : 46,8 Mb
Release : 2009-07-28
Category : History
ISBN : 9780307405166

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Churchill, Hitler, and "The Unnecessary War" by Patrick J. Buchanan Pdf

Were World Wars I and II inevitable? Were they necessary wars? Or were they products of calamitous failures of judgment? In this monumental and provocative history, Patrick Buchanan makes the case that, if not for the blunders of British statesmen– Winston Churchill first among them–the horrors of two world wars and the Holocaust might have been avoided and the British Empire might never have collapsed into ruins. Half a century of murderous oppression of scores of millions under the iron boot of Communist tyranny might never have happened, and Europe’s central role in world affairs might have been sustained for many generations. Among the British and Churchillian errors were: • The secret decision of a tiny cabal in the inner Cabinet in 1906 to take Britain straight to war against Germany, should she invade France • The vengeful Treaty of Versailles that mutilated Germany, leaving her bitter, betrayed, and receptive to the appeal of Adolf Hitler • Britain’s capitulation, at Churchill’s urging, to American pressure to sever the Anglo-Japanese alliance, insulting and isolating Japan, pushing her onto the path of militarism and conquest • The greatest mistake in British history: the unsolicited war guarantee to Poland of March 1939, ensuring the Second World War Certain to create controversy and spirited argument, Churchill, Hitler, and “the Unnecessary War” is a grand and bold insight into the historic failures of judgment that ended centuries of European rule and guaranteed a future no one who lived in that vanished world could ever have envisioned.

Avoiding War with China

Amitai Etzioni
Avoiding War with China Book PDF

Author : Amitai Etzioni
Publisher : University of Virginia Press
Page : 216 pages
File Size : 52,8 Mb
Release : 2017-05-02
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9780813940045

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Avoiding War with China by Amitai Etzioni Pdf

Are the United States and China on a collision course? In response to remarks made by Donald Trump’s secretary of state, China’s state-run newspaper Global Times asserted, "Unless Washington plans to wage a large-scale war in the South China Sea, any other approaches to prevent Chinese access to the [disputed] islands will be foolish." Some experts contend that conflict is inevitable when an established power does not make sufficient room for a rising power. In this timely new work, renowned professor of international relations Amitai Etzioni explains why this would be disastrous and points to the ways the two nations can avoid war. The United States is already preparing for a war with China, Etzioni reveals. However, major differences of opinion exist among experts on the extent of military commitment required, and no plan has been formally reviewed by either Congress or the White House, nor has any been subjected to a public debate. Etzioni seeks here to provide a context for this long overdue discussion and to explore the most urgent questions: How aggressive is China? How powerful is it? Does it seek merely regional influence, or regional dominance, or to replace the United States as the global superpower? The most effective means of avoiding war, several experts argue, requires integrating China into the prevailing rule-based, liberal, international order. Etzioni spells out how this might be achieved and considers what can be done to improve the odds such an integration will take place. Others call for containing or balancing China, and Etzioni examines the risk posed by our alliances with various countries in the region, particularly India and Pakistan. With insight and clarity Etzioni presents our best strategy to reduce tension between the two powers, mapping out how the United States can accommodate China’s regional rise without undermining its core interests, its allies, and the international order.

Twelve American Wars

Eugene G. Windchy
Twelve American Wars Book PDF

Author : Eugene G. Windchy
Publisher : Xlibris Corporation
Page : 466 pages
File Size : 50,6 Mb
Release : 2019-07-01
Category : History
ISBN : 9781796040586

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Twelve American Wars by Eugene G. Windchy Pdf

Eugene Windchy lays bare the tricks, errors and secret plans that have led the American people into avoidable wars. In order to prevent wars in the future, we need to know how they have come about in the past. A harsh light is thrown on our wars with Muslim nations. Did a “policy coup” in Washington demand regime changes in seven countries, as alleged by retired four-star General Wesley Clark? Our greatest national catastrophe was the Civil War, which began with Southerners firing on Fort Sumter in Charleston, S.C. Why did the Southerners reject an opportunity to take the fort peacefully? We learn who opened fire and why. America’s entering World War I saved the Allies from defeat. Why in 1936 did Winston Churchill say the Americans ought to have stayed home and minded their own business? Did Germany start World War I? Triggering the war, according to our textbooks, was a young Bosnian Serb, Gavrilo Princip, who shot Austria’s Archduke Ferdinand. Was he a lone wolf? He was not. At trial sixteen men were convicted of participating in the crime. They were part of an international conspiracy that did not include Germany.

China's New Red Guards

Jude Blanchette
China s New Red Guards Book PDF

Author : Jude Blanchette
Publisher : Oxford University Press, USA
Page : 225 pages
File Size : 52,8 Mb
Release : 2019
Category : HISTORY
ISBN : 9780190605841

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China's New Red Guards by Jude Blanchette Pdf

In China's New Red Guards, Jude Blanchette illuminates two trends in contemporary China that point to its revival of Mao Zedong's legacy-a development that he argues will result in a more authoritarian and more militaristic China. This book not only will reshape our understanding of the political forces driving contemporary China, it will also demonstrates how ideologies can survive and prosper despite pervasive rumors of their demise.

Imperial Twilight

Stephen R. Platt
Imperial Twilight Book PDF

Author : Stephen R. Platt
Publisher : Vintage
Page : 592 pages
File Size : 45,9 Mb
Release : 2018-05-15
Category : History
ISBN : 9780307961747

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Imperial Twilight by Stephen R. Platt Pdf

As China reclaims its position as a world power, Imperial Twilight looks back to tell the story of the country’s last age of ascendance and how it came to an end in the nineteenth-century Opium War. As one of the most potent turning points in the country’s modern history, the Opium War has since come to stand for everything that today’s China seeks to put behind it. In this dramatic, epic story, award-winning historian Stephen Platt sheds new light on the early attempts by Western traders and missionaries to “open” China even as China’s imperial rulers were struggling to manage their country’s decline and Confucian scholars grappled with how to use foreign trade to China’s advantage. The book paints an enduring portrait of an immensely profitable—and mostly peaceful—meeting of civilizations that was destined to be shattered by one of the most shockingly unjust wars in the annals of imperial history. Brimming with a fascinating cast of British, Chinese, and American characters, this riveting narrative of relations between China and the West has important implications for today’s uncertain and ever-changing political climate.