The Decision Dynamics

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GRASPED Decision Dynamics

Steven Brough
GRASPED Decision Dynamics Book PDF

Author : Steven Brough
Publisher : GRASPED Digital
Page : 17 pages
File Size : 52,5 Mb
Release : 2024-02-16
Category : Self-Help
ISBN : 8210379456XXX

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GRASPED Decision Dynamics by Steven Brough Pdf

"GRASPED Decision Dynamics" presents a nuanced exploration of enhancing decision-making speed without sacrificing accuracy. It dives into strategies for practicing quick decision-making in low-pressure situations, drawing parallels with professional athletes' training methods. The book offers insights into creating decision-making drills, the power of self-feedback, and the importance of commitment to choices. It also addresses rational decision-making by removing emotions from the equation and simplifies decision-making processes through practical methods like the Coin Flip Approach. The unique selling proposition of "GRASPED Decision Dynamics" is its comprehensive approach to accelerating decision-making processes across various contexts. It uniquely combines psychological insights, practical exercises, and real-world applications to empower readers to make swift, effective decisions. By focusing on both the mechanics of quick decision-making and the mental resilience needed to commit to those decisions, this book stands out as an essential guide for anyone looking to enhance their decision-making skills in personal and professional spheres. "GRASPED Decision Dynamics" starts with an invitation to readers to evaluate their decision-making processes, highlighting the benefits of making quicker, yet informed decisions. It lays the foundation for understanding the importance of swift decision-making in enhancing efficiency and productivity in one's personal and professional life.

Dynamics in Ergonomics, Psychology, and Decisions

Valery F. Venda,Yuri V. Venda
Dynamics in Ergonomics Psychology and Decisions Book PDF

Author : Valery F. Venda,Yuri V. Venda
Publisher : Intellect (UK)
Page : 528 pages
File Size : 40,6 Mb
Release : 1995
Category : Education
ISBN : UOM:39015037765875

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Dynamics in Ergonomics, Psychology, and Decisions by Valery F. Venda,Yuri V. Venda Pdf

This text describes the dynamics of the structures and strategies of human behaviour, perceptions, thinking, work skills and creativity. It also describes the dynamics of human-machine-environment systems, management, education and technological processes. It contributes to the understanding of how one can enhance human abilities to respond appropriately to the demands imposed by the ever-increasing pace of change and technological and societal complexities. The study of transformations and learning how to respond to changes is of paramount interest in today's dynamic world. Rapid adaptation of managment structures and absorption of new technologies has become a prerequisite for social and economic survival.

Dynamics of decision making: from evidence to preference and belief

Erica Yu,David A. Lagnado
Dynamics of decision making from evidence to preference and belief Book PDF

Author : Erica Yu,David A. Lagnado
Publisher : Frontiers E-books
Page : 260 pages
File Size : 47,9 Mb
Release : 2014-10-24
Category : Decision making
ISBN : 9782889192700

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Dynamics of decision making: from evidence to preference and belief by Erica Yu,David A. Lagnado Pdf

At the core of the many debates throughout cognitive science concerning how decisions are made are the processes governing the time course of preference formation and decision. From perceptual choices, such as whether the signal on a radar screen indicates an enemy missile or a spot on a CT scan indicates a tumor, to cognitive value-based decisions, such as selecting an agreeable flatmate or deciding the guilt of a defendant, significant and everyday decisions are dynamic over time. Phenomena such as decoy effects, preference reversals and order effects are still puzzling researchers. For example, in a legal context, jurors receive discrete pieces of evidence in sequence, and must integrate these pieces together to reach a singular verdict. From a standard Bayesian viewpoint the order in which people receive the evidence should not influence their final decision, and yet order effects seem a robust empirical phenomena in many decision contexts. Current research on how decisions unfold, especially in a dynamic environment, is advancing our theoretical understanding of decision making. This Research Topic aims to review and further explore the time course of a decision - from how prior beliefs are formed to how those beliefs are used and updated over time, towards the formation of preferences and choices and post-decision processes and effects. Research literatures encompassing varied approaches to the time-scale of decisions will be brought into scope: a) Speeded decisions (and post-decision processes) that require the accumulation of noisy and possibly non-stationary perceptual evidence (e.g., randomly moving dots stimuli), within a few seconds, with or without temporal uncertainty. b) Temporally-extended, value-based decisions that integrate feedback values (e.g., gambling machines) and internally-generated decision criteria (e.g., when one switches attention, selectively, between the various aspects of several choice alternatives). c) Temporally extended, belief-based decisions that build on the integration of evidence, which interacts with the decision maker's belief system, towards the updating of the beliefs and the formation of judgments and preferences (as in the legal context). Research that emphasizes theoretical concerns (including optimality analysis) and mechanisms underlying the decision process, both neural and cognitive, is presented, as well as research that combines experimental and computational levels of analysis.

Systems Thinking and Process Dynamics for Marketing Systems

Rajagopal
Systems Thinking and Process Dynamics for Marketing Systems Book PDF

Author : Rajagopal
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 47,9 Mb
Release : 2012
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1466609699

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Systems Thinking and Process Dynamics for Marketing Systems by Rajagopal Pdf

"This book describes a holistic approach to monitoring, evaluating, and applying appropriate marketing strategies, and understanding the competition and its future implication on the business of a company"--Provided by publisher.

Decision Dynamics

Dilip Patil
Decision Dynamics Book PDF

Author : Dilip Patil
Publisher : Independently Published
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 55,5 Mb
Release : 2024-05-15
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9798325696183

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Decision Dynamics by Dilip Patil Pdf

"The only thing worse than being blind is having sight but no vision." - Helen Keller. Are you ready to see your leadership challenges with new eyes? " DECISION DYNAMICS," the latest transformative entry in the acclaimed "LEADERSHIP TRANSFORMED" series. This book is a deep dive into the art and science of decision-making that will challenge you to rethink how you lead and make strategic choices. What will you discover? Unlock the Psychology of Decision-Making: Learn how decisions are made and how to improve them. Understand the common pitfalls of decision biases and how to avoid them using a blend of intuition and analysis. Master Problem-Solving Strategies: Navigate complex problems with ease. Enhance your ability to tackle challenges head-on, from identifying issues to implementing solutions. Harness Data-Driven Insights: Leverage analytics and data to make informed decisions that align with your strategic goals. Cultivate Ethical Leadership: Make decisions that are effective, ethically sound, and aligned with your values. Empower Teams for Better Outcomes: Discover how to foster an environment where collaborative decision-making thrives. Decision Dynamics offers a meticulous blend of theory and practical tools, including: Scenario analysis exercises Decision-making simulations SWOT analysis templates Risk assessment frameworks And much more! Who should read this book? Whether you are a seasoned executive seeking to refine your strategic decisions, a mid-level manager aiming to improve your team's effectiveness, or an emerging leader building your decision-making arsenal, Decision Dynamics will equip you with the tools and insights needed to succeed. Join us on this journey to transform your decision-making skills and elevate your leadership to new heights. Your next big decision starts here! Are you ready to make decisions that solve problems, drive growth, and inspire your team? If yes, Decision Dynamics is your indispensable guide to becoming the visionary leader you aspire to be.

Decision Dynamics, Persuasion and Negotiation

P. L. Yu
Decision Dynamics Persuasion and Negotiation Book PDF

Author : P. L. Yu
Publisher : Unknown
Page : 40 pages
File Size : 46,7 Mb
Release : 1975
Category : Decision making
ISBN : CORNELL:31924004308361

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Decision Dynamics, Persuasion and Negotiation by P. L. Yu Pdf

There are four elements in decision making: the set of possible alternatives, the criteria for good decisions, the possible outcomes of each possible alternative in terms of the criteria and the preference for the outcomes in terms of the criteria. These four elements grow and vary with the time. The decision process stops when one or several alternatives are found to be optimal, satisfactory and the benefit of further search cannot justify the cost or pain of further search for information. This observation of decision dynamics makes it possible to capture the essence of complicated dynamic multicriteria decision making. It also supplies a framework to study the fascinating and mysterious concepts of persuasion and negotiation. Effective rules for persuasion and negotiation are discussed with examples. It is pointed out that the present for negotiation is quite different from that of classical game theory. In this setting, realistic negotiation or bargaining processes can be incorporated.

The Dynamics of Rational Deliberation

Brian Skyrms
The Dynamics of Rational Deliberation Book PDF

Author : Brian Skyrms
Publisher : Harvard University Press
Page : 228 pages
File Size : 55,9 Mb
Release : 1990
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 067421885X

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The Dynamics of Rational Deliberation by Brian Skyrms Pdf

Brian Skyrms constructs a theory of "dynamic deliberation" and uses it to investigate rational decisionmaking in cases of strategic interaction. This illuminating book will be of great interest to all those in many disciplines who use decision theory and game theory to study human behavior and thought. Skyrms begins by discussing the Bayesian theory of individual rational decision and the classical theory of games, which at first glance seem antithetical in the criteria used for determining action. In his effort to show how methods for dealing with information feedback can be productively combined, the author skillfully leads us through the mazes of equilibrium selection, the Nash equilibria for normal and extensive forms, structural stability, causal decision theory, dynamic probability, the revision of beliefs, and, finally, good habits for decision. The author provides many clarifying illustrations and a handy appendix called "Deliberational Dynamics on Your Personal Computer." His powerful model has important implications for understanding the rational origins of convention and the social contract, the logic of nuclear deterrence, the theory of good habits, and the varied strategies of political and economic behavior.

Anticipatory Optimization for Dynamic Decision Making

Stephan Meisel
Anticipatory Optimization for Dynamic Decision Making Book PDF

Author : Stephan Meisel
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 192 pages
File Size : 40,9 Mb
Release : 2011-06-23
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781461405054

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Anticipatory Optimization for Dynamic Decision Making by Stephan Meisel Pdf

The availability of today’s online information systems rapidly increases the relevance of dynamic decision making within a large number of operational contexts. Whenever a sequence of interdependent decisions occurs, making a single decision raises the need for anticipation of its future impact on the entire decision process. Anticipatory support is needed for a broad variety of dynamic and stochastic decision problems from different operational contexts such as finance, energy management, manufacturing and transportation. Example problems include asset allocation, feed-in of electricity produced by wind power as well as scheduling and routing. All these problems entail a sequence of decisions contributing to an overall goal and taking place in the course of a certain period of time. Each of the decisions is derived by solution of an optimization problem. As a consequence a stochastic and dynamic decision problem resolves into a series of optimization problems to be formulated and solved by anticipation of the remaining decision process. However, actually solving a dynamic decision problem by means of approximate dynamic programming still is a major scientific challenge. Most of the work done so far is devoted to problems allowing for formulation of the underlying optimization problems as linear programs. Problem domains like scheduling and routing, where linear programming typically does not produce a significant benefit for problem solving, have not been considered so far. Therefore, the industry demand for dynamic scheduling and routing is still predominantly satisfied by purely heuristic approaches to anticipatory decision making. Although this may work well for certain dynamic decision problems, these approaches lack transferability of findings to other, related problems. This book has serves two major purposes: ‐ It provides a comprehensive and unique view of anticipatory optimization for dynamic decision making. It fully integrates Markov decision processes, dynamic programming, data mining and optimization and introduces a new perspective on approximate dynamic programming. Moreover, the book identifies different degrees of anticipation, enabling an assessment of specific approaches to dynamic decision making. ‐ It shows for the first time how to successfully solve a dynamic vehicle routing problem by approximate dynamic programming. It elaborates on every building block required for this kind of approach to dynamic vehicle routing. Thereby the book has a pioneering character and is intended to provide a footing for the dynamic vehicle routing community.

Multiple Criteria Problem Solving

S. Zionts
Multiple Criteria Problem Solving Book PDF

Author : S. Zionts
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 580 pages
File Size : 53,7 Mb
Release : 2012-12-06
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9783642463686

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Multiple Criteria Problem Solving by S. Zionts Pdf

The objective of this conference was to foster a healthy exchange of ideas and experience in the domain of multiple criteria problem solving. This conference was an outgrowth of an earlier conference I organized with Herve Thiriez at CESA, Jouy-en-Josas, France in 1975 during my stay at the European Institute in Brussels. When I re joined the State University of New York at Buffalo that year, I be gan to search for potential sponsors for this conference. Approxi mately one year later when the prospects began to look promising, I contacted several individuals to act as an informal coordinating committee for the conference. I wanted to avoid biasing the con ference completely to my way of thinking! The members of this committee were Jim Dyer, Peter Fishburn, Ralph Kee. ney, Bernard Roy (Universite de Paris IX Dauphine who was unable to participate in the conference), and Milan Zeleny. Though the committee did not meet, per se, their inputs regarding format, possible participants, number of participants, length of the conference, and so on were of great value to me in planning and organizing the conference. I wish to acknowledge the contributions of this group. We were most fortunate in obtaining the financial support of the European Institute for Advanced Studies in Management, Brussels ·(one of the sponsors of the Jouy-en-Josas conference), the Office of Naval Research, and the State University of New York at Buffalo.

Dynamic Policy Games in Economics

F. van der Ploeg,A.J. de Zeeuw
Dynamic Policy Games in Economics Book PDF

Author : F. van der Ploeg,A.J. de Zeeuw
Publisher : Elsevier
Page : 348 pages
File Size : 52,7 Mb
Release : 2014-06-28
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781483294858

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Dynamic Policy Games in Economics by F. van der Ploeg,A.J. de Zeeuw Pdf

The aim of this volume is to consider intertemporal and strategic issues in the formulation of economic policy so that dynamic game methodology is appropriate. When changes in economic policy are evaluated the reactions and expectations of other economic agents cannot be ignored, and in a dynamic setting issues like time inconsistency, subgame perfectness, reputation and information become important. The papers contained in this volume are the revised versions of those presented at a conference held in 1988 at Tilburg University, The Netherlands. They include methodological contributions and strategic analyses of macroeconomic policy, resource economics, international policy coordination and the arms race.

Discrete-Event Simulation and System Dynamics for Management Decision Making

Sally Brailsford,Leonid Churilov,Brian Dangerfield
Discrete Event Simulation and System Dynamics for Management Decision Making Book PDF

Author : Sally Brailsford,Leonid Churilov,Brian Dangerfield
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 342 pages
File Size : 50,6 Mb
Release : 2014-03-31
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN : 9781118762752

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Discrete-Event Simulation and System Dynamics for Management Decision Making by Sally Brailsford,Leonid Churilov,Brian Dangerfield Pdf

In recent years, there has been a growing debate, particularly in the UK and Europe, over the merits of using discrete-event simulation (DES) and system dynamics (SD); there are now instances where both methodologies were employed on the same problem. This book details each method, comparing each in terms of both theory and their application to various problem situations. It also provides a seamless treatment of various topics--theory, philosophy, detailed mechanics, practical implementation--providing a systematic treatment of the methodologies of DES and SD, which previously have been treated separately.

Quantitative Sociodynamics

Dirk Helbing
Quantitative Sociodynamics Book PDF

Author : Dirk Helbing
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 351 pages
File Size : 49,8 Mb
Release : 2010-11-15
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9783642115462

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Quantitative Sociodynamics by Dirk Helbing Pdf

When I wrote the book Quantitative Sociodynamics, it was an early attempt to make methods from statistical physics and complex systems theory fruitful for the modeling and understanding of social phenomena. Unfortunately, the ?rst edition appeared at a quite prohibitive price. This was one reason to make these chapters available again by a new edition. The other reason is that, in the meantime, many of the methods discussed in this book are more and more used in a variety of different ?elds. Among the ideas worked out in this book are: 1 • a statistical theory of binary social interactions, • a mathematical formulation of social ?eld theory, which is the basis of social 2 force models, • a microscopic foundation of evolutionary game theory, based on what is known today as ‘proportional imitation rule’, a stochastic treatment of interactions in evolutionary game theory, and a model for the self-organization of behavioral 3 conventions in a coordination game. It, therefore, appeared reasonable to make this book available again, but at a more affordable price. To keep its original character, the translation of this book, which 1 D. Helbing, Interrelations between stochastic equations for systems with pair interactions. Ph- icaA 181, 29–52 (1992); D. Helbing, Boltzmann-like and Boltzmann-Fokker-Planck equations as a foundation of behavioral models. PhysicaA 196, 546–573 (1993). 2 D. Helbing, Boltzmann-like and Boltzmann-Fokker-Planck equations as a foundation of beh- ioral models. PhysicaA 196, 546–573 (1993); D.

Better Decision Making in Complex, Dynamic Tasks

Hassan Qudrat-Ullah
Better Decision Making in Complex Dynamic Tasks Book PDF

Author : Hassan Qudrat-Ullah
Publisher : Springer
Page : 252 pages
File Size : 46,5 Mb
Release : 2014-06-16
Category : Science
ISBN : 9783319079868

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Better Decision Making in Complex, Dynamic Tasks by Hassan Qudrat-Ullah Pdf

Computer simulation-based education and training is a multi-billion dollar industry. With the increased complexity of organizational decision making, projected demand for computer simulation-based decisional aids is on the rise. The objective of this book is to enhance systematically our understanding of and gain insights into the general process by which human facilitated ILEs are effectively designed and used in improving users’ decision making in dynamic tasks. This book is divided into four major parts. Part I serves as an introduction to the subject of “decision making in dynamic tasks”, its importance and its complexity. Part II provides background material, drawing upon the relevant literature, for the development of an integrated process model on the effectiveness of human facilitated ILEs in improving decision making in dynamic tasks. Part III focuses on the design, development and application of Fish Bank ILE, in laboratory experiments, to gather empirical evidence for the validity of the process model. Finally, part IV presents a comprehensive analysis of the gathered data to provide a powerful basis for understating important phenomena of training with human facilitated simulation-based learning environments, thereby, help to drive critical lessons to be learned. This book provides the reader with both a comprehensive understanding of the phenomena encountered in decision making with human facilitated ILEs and a unique way of studying the effects of these phenomena on people’s ability to make better decision in complex, dynamic tasks. This book is intended to be of use to managers and practitioners, researchers and students of dynamic decision making. The background material of Part II provides a solid base to understand and organize the existing experimental research literature and approaches.

Dynamic Perspectives on Managerial Decision Making

Herbert Dawid,Karl F. Doerner,Gustav Feichtinger,Peter M. Kort,Andrea Seidl
Dynamic Perspectives on Managerial Decision Making Book PDF

Author : Herbert Dawid,Karl F. Doerner,Gustav Feichtinger,Peter M. Kort,Andrea Seidl
Publisher : Springer
Page : 527 pages
File Size : 46,5 Mb
Release : 2016-09-15
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9783319391205

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Dynamic Perspectives on Managerial Decision Making by Herbert Dawid,Karl F. Doerner,Gustav Feichtinger,Peter M. Kort,Andrea Seidl Pdf

This volume collects research papers addressing topical issues in economics and management with a particular focus on dynamic models which allow to analyze and foster the decision making of firms in dynamic complex environments. The scope of the contributions ranges from daily operational challenges firms face to strategic choices in dynamic industry environments and the analysis of optimal growth paths. The volume also highlights recent methodological developments in the areas of dynamic optimization, dynamic games and meta-heuristics, which help to improve our understanding of (optimal) decision making in a fast evolving economy.

Decision and Game Theory for Security

Jie Fu,Tomas Kroupa,Yezekael Hayel
Decision and Game Theory for Security Book PDF

Author : Jie Fu,Tomas Kroupa,Yezekael Hayel
Publisher : Springer Nature
Page : 409 pages
File Size : 54,9 Mb
Release : 2024-01-29
Category : Computers
ISBN : 9783031506703

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Decision and Game Theory for Security by Jie Fu,Tomas Kroupa,Yezekael Hayel Pdf

This book constitutes the refereed proceedings of the 14th International Conference on Decision and Game Theory for Security, GameSec 2023, held in Avignon, France, during October 18–20, 2023. The 19 full papers and 4 short papers included in this book were carefully reviewed and selected from 33 submissions. They were organized in topical sections as follows: Mechanism design and imperfect information, Security Games, Learning in security games, Cyber deception, Economics of security, Information and privacy and Short articles.